From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest) To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Subject: canslim-digest V2 #2239 Reply-To: canslim Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Precedence: bulk Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable X-No-Archive: yes canslim-digest Monday, March 25 2002 Volume 02 : Number 2239 In this issue: [CANSLIM] HTF [CANSLIM] NBSC [CANSLIM] Re: Re: [CANSLIM] Re: SYPR and microcaps [CANSLIM] won Re: [CANSLIM] won [CANSLIM] Introduction (another wet-behind the ears newbie) [CANSLIM] cwh Re: [CANSLIM] won ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Mon, 25 Mar 2002 18:08:19 -0600 From: "Edward W. Gjertsen II" Subject: [CANSLIM] HTF The HTF (High Tight Flags)is one of the most elusive targets - we are about 0 for 8 on perceived HTF's. If anyone has additional insight on tracking HTF's, please post. Edward W. Gjertsen II, CFP Vice President Mack Investment Securities, Inc. ed@macktracks.com - -----Original Message----- From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Tim Fisher Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 5:39 PM To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] "M" An HTF that I was watching broke down in flames today. I do not buy until the day after the B/O to a new high from the HTF since they are very prone to failure. At 06:04 PM 3/25/2002 -0500, you wrote: >Ian: > > It might be what WON characterizes as a high tight flag: "Although the >high, tight flag pattern is quite rare, it remains a valid (bullish) base >formation. The pattern begins with a stock that about doubles over four to >eight weeks, typically. Then it corrects no more than 10% or 20%, usually >over a three- to five-week period. This pattern, however, is very risky and >difficult to interpret correctly." (From IBD.com, Ask IBD). > To me it's too extended now to buy, however; see if the hi tight flag >pattern holds (ie, it retraces only 10-15%). WON says that it is rare, but >this implies that it does occur. > >jans > > > >In a message dated 3/25/2002 12:08:07 PM Eastern Standard Time, >ianstm@shaw.ca writes: > ><< Tom: > > My Marketocracy fund is hitting new highs almost daily. Lots of strong > microcaps out there. But I admit that I'm feeling lucky I loaded up on the > QGLY breakout on the 11'th at $4. It was a classic technical breakout, > following a decent quarter. Annoyingly, in a brain-dead moment - I failed to > actually buy any real shares for myself. > > Anyone have an opinion on whether or not todays QGLY spike is just a > daytraders plaything, or will it catch strong institutional support? >> Tim Fisher Ore-ROCK-On Rockhounding Web Site Owner, Fisher Fisheries, Ltd. mailto:tim@OreRockOn.com WWW http://OreRockOn.com - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Mar 2002 19:49:52 EST From: Vanchee1@aol.com Subject: [CANSLIM] NBSC - --part1_155.b2bb1ab.29d11fb0_boundary Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit NBSC 80/93 Chart is looking good, starting to break out on good volume. Might be worth watching next few days. DLI 80/89 also looking good and worth watching. Chris - --part1_155.b2bb1ab.29d11fb0_boundary Content-Type: text/html; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit NBSC 80/93 Chart is looking good, starting to break out on good volume. Might be worth watching next few days.

DLI 80/89 also looking good and worth watching.

Chris - --part1_155.b2bb1ab.29d11fb0_boundary-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Mar 2002 16:52:38 -0800 From: "Mike Lucero" Subject: [CANSLIM] Re: I think it looks like a breakout on volume at 56, but I'm not sure BAX is a leader in it's group. Daily Graphs shows the top 5 competitors and they all have RS >90, while BAX's is only 59. - ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harold Pollack" To: Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 11:58 AM Hello: My name is Hal and I am new to this very professional chat service. I have been trying to identify companies that might be completing the cup and handle pattern. I thought that BAX might have come out of this pattern at $56 and was a solid company and a leader in its industry. Does anyone have any comments on whether this company should or should not have been purchased around $56? Did Bax in fact break out of the C&H pattern at $56? Thanks, Hal _________________________________________________________________ Chat with friends online, try MSN Messenger: http://messenger.msn.com - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Mar 2002 19:49:57 -0600 From: "Robert Hodes" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Re: SYPR and microcaps This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_006B_01C1D436.3E3C3460 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_006C_01C1D436.3E3C3460" - ------=_NextPart_001_006C_01C1D436.3E3C3460 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Tom: Thank you for your thoughtful response. As a general comment, when I first started to invest, I could not make = sense out of technical analysis and paid no attention to the tools = developed by chartists. As I started to read IBD, I realized that chart = patterns reflect that buying and selling behavior of groups of = investors, and that one could make useful inferences about the = motivations and future behaviors of investors from these patterns. As a = behavioral psychologist, that appeals to me. So I know look at chart = patterns as behavioral data and not just numbers and it's starting to = fall into place. Your comments are very helpful. ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Tom Worley=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 4:21 AM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Re: SYPR and microcaps Robert, A lot depends on what they do with the money from the offering. Volume = on Thu and Fri appears like the new shares have already changed hands. = Between the time of the announcement and completion of the offering, the = price held up well, but on very light volume. So there is some support = in the $14-15 range. They already had a 44% earnings growth forecast. The new money may = increase this. Keep in mind that future earnings reports will be on a = "weighed average number of shares", so the effects of the add'l 3.6 = million shares, plus the oversubscription shares if issued, will only = take full affect over the next year. And there was only 1.6 million = shares in the float before, with heavy management ownership. Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Robert Hodes=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Sunday, March 24, 2002 8:47 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] Re: SYPR and microcaps Tom or others: =20 I've been looking at SYPR. I noted that the company announced = commencement of a public offering of 3.6M shares priced at $14.50 on = Thurs. The original SEC registration statement was announced on 2-8-02. = There are 9.90M shares outstanding so that seems like a significant = dilution when figuring per share earnings and revenue. What's your = experience with stock prices after this type of public offering. Does = this provide support for the stock price at $14.5, do you see a lot of = quick profit taking, does this prolong a base or cause a correction due = to earnings dilution, are they are guidelines here. This type of = situation occurs over and over again with these microcaps and I'm not = sure how to react. Thanks. Bob Hodes ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Tom Worley=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Saturday, March 23, 2002 4:34 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview FOMC The Feds met on Tuesday, and as expected shifted the bias from = recession fighting to neutral. Nonetheless, there was still the 10% that = hadn't got the word, or refused to believe the signs, and sold as if = this news was a surprise. I have already seen considerable talk of the = Feds beginning to raise rates as early as the May meeting, but so far = see little evidence to support this. While rate hikes may happen before = the end of 2002, I see no reason to believe they will start until after = the June meeting, at the earliest. Now, if they shifted all the way to = inflation fighting, THAT would have been a surprise. We're still = recovering from a recession, the Feds won't upset the apple cart, at = least not yet.=20 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - --- HWP / CPQ Gee, this is almost like a Presidential election in Florida. HP = claims victory, will own Compaq, with a 0.5% victory margin. Walter = Hewlett, leading the HP family's opposition to the merger, says a = recount will turn victory into defeat for HP's management. Love those = hanging chaffs, let's turn a boring merger vote into front page news, = and keep it there for a few days, or even a few weeks. Of course, no one = has yet figured out whether this "merger of giants" will actually allow = them to: a) compete against IBM; b) achieve any synergy of customer = base; c) achieve any production efficiency or cost savings; d) build a = better product that can compete better in either the printer or PC box = market. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - --- TRADE DEFICIT Widened again, to $28.5 billion, up 15% from December. Year 2001 was = the first annual decline in six years, but rising price of oil will = likely weaken Q1 GDP.=20 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - --- ECONOMICS New housing starts jumped 2.8% in February, biggest gain in over = three years and well above expectations. Single family home construction = jumped 7.4%, biggest gain in over 23 years. Building permits also rose = 1.8% and over expectations.=20 CPI - Index rose 0.2% overall as expected, but the core rose 0.3%, = slightly over expectations. NEW UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS - Fell to 371K from a revised 383K, expected = was 375K. This continues to support the view that the economy is = stronger, and recovering faster, that the Feds perceive, and could lead = to rate hikes sooner rather than later. LEADING INDICATORS - Unchanged, expected was a rise of 0.1 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - --- WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES Population of stocks under review this weekend somewhat reduced. As = always, a "Bx" means a flat line "B"ase of "x" weeks duration, IMO. I = will mention other specific formations, such as c&h, double bottom and = LLUR. AAON - stealth (low vol) b/o from B3 ACDO - 7 week consolidation base, huge earnings growth and 5 year = rate ACS - decent c&h for a former LLUR AVD - LLUR, may be breaking its pattern upward DCOM - LLUR DLX - LLUR FRED - volatile LLUR FRS - B4 NWRE - B2, low priced micro cap ODP - B5+ PENN - B4 PETM - LLUR PSTI - B3, in my VR Fund SYPR - 10 week consolidation, in my VR Fund TASR - volatile 10 week consolidation base, in my VR Fund Happy Hunting, Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley - ------=_NextPart_001_006C_01C1D436.3E3C3460 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

Tom: Thank you for your = thoughtful=20 response.

As a general comment, when I first = started to=20 invest, I could not make sense out of technical analysis and paid no = attention=20 to the tools developed by chartists. As I started to read IBD, I = realized that=20 chart patterns reflect that buying and selling behavior of groups = of=20 investors, and that one could make useful inferences about the = motivations and=20 future behaviors of investors from these patterns. As a behavioral = psychologist, that appeals to me. So I know look at chart patterns as = behavioral=20 data and not just numbers and it's starting to fall into place. = Your=20 comments are very helpful.

----- Original Message -----
From:=20 Tom=20 Worley
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=

Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 = 4:21=20 AM

Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Re: SYPR = and=20 microcaps

Robert,

A lot depends on what they do with the money = from the=20 offering. Volume on Thu and Fri appears like the new shares have = already=20 changed hands. Between the time of the announcement and completion of = the=20 offering, the price held up well, but on very light volume. So there = is some=20 support in the $14-15 range.

They already had a 44% earnings growth = forecast. The new=20 money may increase this. Keep in mind that future earnings reports = will be on=20 a "weighed average number of shares", so the effects of the add'l 3.6 = million=20 shares, plus the oversubscription shares if issued, will only take = full affect=20 over the next year. And there was only 1.6 million shares in the float = before,=20 with heavy management ownership.

Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM:=20 TexWorley

----- Original Message -----=20
From: Robert = Hodes=20

To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=

Sent: Sunday, March 24, 2002 8:47 PM

Subject: [CANSLIM] Re: SYPR and microcaps

Tom or others:

I've been looking at SYPR. I = noted that the=20 company announced commencement of a public offering of 3.6M = shares priced=20 at $14.50 on Thurs. The original SEC registration statement was=20 announced on 2-8-02. There are 9.90M shares outstanding so that = seems=20 like a significant dilution when figuring per share earnings and=20 revenue. What's your experience with stock prices after this = type of=20 public offering. Does this provide support for the = stock price=20 at $14.5, do you see a lot of quick profit taking, does this = prolong=20 a base or cause a correction due to earnings dilution, are = they=20 are guidelines here. This type of situation occurs over and = over=20 again with these microcaps and I'm not sure how to react. =20 Thanks.

Bob Hodes

----- Original Message -----
From:=20 Tom=20 Worley
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com= =20

Sent: Saturday, March 23, = 2002 4:34=20 PM

Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's = Weekend=20 Weeview

FOMC

The Feds met on Tuesday, and as expected = shifted the=20 bias from recession fighting to neutral. Nonetheless, there was = still the=20 10% that hadn't got the word, or refused to believe the signs, and = sold as=20 if this news was a surprise. I have already seen considerable talk = of the=20 Feds beginning to raise rates as early as the May meeting, but so = far see=20 little evidence to support this. While rate hikes may happen before = the end=20 of 2002, I see no reason to believe they will start until after the = June=20 meeting, at the earliest. Now, if they shifted all the way to = inflation=20 fighting, THAT would have been a surprise. We're still recovering = from a=20 recession, the Feds won't upset the apple cart, at least not = yet.=20

HWP / CPQ

Gee, this is almost like a Presidential = election in=20 Florida. HP claims victory, will own Compaq, with a 0.5% victory = margin.=20 Walter Hewlett, leading the HP family's opposition to the merger, = says a=20 recount will turn victory into defeat for HP's management. Love = those=20 hanging chaffs, let's turn a boring merger vote into front page = news, and=20 keep it there for a few days, or even a few weeks. Of course, no one = has yet=20 figured out whether this "merger of giants" will actually allow them = to: a)=20 compete against IBM; b) achieve any synergy of customer base; c) = achieve any=20 production efficiency or cost savings; d) build a better product = that can=20 compete better in either the printer or PC box market.

TRADE DEFICIT

Widened again, to $28.5 billion, up 15% from December. Year = 2001 was=20 the first annual decline in six years, but rising price of oil will = likely=20 weaken Q1 GDP.=20

ECONOMICS

New housing starts jumped 2.8% in February, = biggest=20 gain in over three years and well above expectations. Single family = home=20 construction jumped 7.4%, biggest gain in over 23 years. Building = permits=20 also rose 1.8% and over expectations.

CPI - Index=20 rose 0.2% overall as expected, but the core rose 0.3%, slightly over = expectations.

NEW UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS -=20 Fell to 371K from a revised 383K, = expected=20 was 375K. This continues to support the view that the economy is = stronger,=20 and recovering faster, that the Feds perceive, and could lead to = rate hikes=20 sooner rather than later.

LEADING INDICATORS - = Unchanged, expected was a rise of 0.1

WORLEY'S WATCHLIST=20 WANNABES

Population of stocks under review this = weekend=20 somewhat reduced. As always, a "Bx" means a flat line "B"ase of "x" = weeks=20 duration, IMO. I will mention other specific formations, such as = c&h,=20 double bottom and LLUR.

AAON - stealth (low vol) b/o from = B3

ACDO - 7 week consolidation base, huge = earnings growth=20 and 5 year rate

ACS - decent c&h for a former = LLUR

AVD - LLUR, may be breaking its pattern=20 upward

DCOM - LLUR

DLX - LLUR

FRED - volatile LLUR

FRS - B4

NWRE - B2, low priced micro cap

ODP - B5+

PENN - B4

PETM - LLUR

PSTI - B3, in my VR Fund

SYPR - 10 week consolidation, in my VR=20 Fund

TASR - volatile 10 week consolidation base, = in my VR=20 Fund

Happy Hunting,

Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM:=20 TexWorley

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What does WON stand = for?

- ------=_NextPart_000_0042_01C1D43D.A82560C0-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Mar 2002 19:59:10 -0600 From: "Katherine Malm" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] won This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0058_01C1D437.875EA0A0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Hi Charles, WON stands for "William O'Neil", originator of CANSLIM. Katherine ----- Original Message -----=20 From: charles wilfong=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 7:43 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] won What does WON stand for? - ------=_NextPart_000_0058_01C1D437.875EA0A0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

Hi Charles,

WON stands for "William O'Neil", originator of CANSLIM.

Katherine

----- Original Message -----
From:=20 charles=20 wilfong
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=

Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 = 7:43=20 PM

Subject: [CANSLIM] won

What does WON stand=20 for?

- ------=_NextPart_000_0058_01C1D437.875EA0A0-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Mar 2002 18:07:07 -0800 From: "Richard Norwood" Subject: [CANSLIM] Introduction (another wet-behind the ears newbie) This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_000D_01C1D427.E4C91140 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Hello I too am new and signed on because of the Forbes story.I have been interested in CANSLIM for about a year and a half. Bill O (which I take it is called WON here) seems to have the most common sense approach I could find. I am an archaeologist out in the Mojave Desert but we don't find any golden idols out here to retire on. I started "investing" in individual stocks just about the time of the market spike in April of 2000.Wonderful timing! I was too smart for my own britches and made some classic mistakes, so I can see that tuition in the school of investing is just as expensive as at any university. Fortunately I only lost about as much as I used to invest in the Nevada economy on my trips to Las Vegas. I'm getting too old for that now! I need to pay attention and learn-make some money so I can get buried in Santa Barbara-or perhaps La Jolla--instead of here. I still have a lot to learn to get there. One question, does anyone use "Growth Stock Analytics" (http://www.growthstockanalytics.com/) or find it useful?Or is Daily Charts Online (which I take is called DGO here) good enough? Thanks! Rick Norwood - ------=_NextPart_000_000D_01C1D427.E4C91140 Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

Hello

I too = am new and signed on because of the Forbes story.I have = been interested in CANSLIM for about a year and a half. Bill O (which I = take it is called WON here) seems to have the most common sense approach I could = find. I am an archaeologist out in = the Mojave Desert but we don’t find any golden idols = out here to retire on. I started “investing” in individual = stocks just about the time of the market spike in April of 2000.Wonderful timing! I = was too smart for my own britches and made some classic mistakes, so I can see = that tuition in the school of investing is just as expensive as at any university. Fortunately I only lost about as much as I used to = invest in the Nevada economy on my trips = to Las = Vegas. I’m getting too old for that now! I need to pay attention and = learn-make some money so I can get buried = in Santa Barbara-or = perhaps La Jolla--instead of here. I still have a lot to = learn to get there. One question, does anyone use “Growth Stock = Analytics” (http://www.growthstockanaly= tics.com/) or find it useful?Or is Daily Charts Online (which I take is called DGO here) good = enough?

Thanks!

Rick Norwood =

- ------=_NextPart_000_000D_01C1D427.E4C91140-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Mar 2002 21:13:39 -0500 From: "charles wilfong" <10charles@email.msn.com> Subject: [CANSLIM] cwh This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0086_01C1D441.EF462940 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Are these valid cwh? CMOS KO SGY - ------=_NextPart_000_0086_01C1D441.EF462940 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

Are these valid cwh?

CMOS

SGY

- ------=_NextPart_000_0086_01C1D441.EF462940-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Mon, 25 Mar 2002 20:28:46 -0600 From: "Robert Hodes" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] won This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_003D_01C1D43B.AA3DF270 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Katherine, Is it won or obe-won? ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Katherine Malm=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 7:59 PM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] won Hi Charles, WON stands for "William O'Neil", originator of CANSLIM. Katherine ----- Original Message -----=20 From: charles wilfong=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 7:43 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] won What does WON stand for? - ------=_NextPart_000_003D_01C1D43B.AA3DF270 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

Katherine, Is it won or = obe-won?

----- Original Message -----
From:=20 Katherine=20 Malm
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=

Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 = 7:59=20 PM

Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] = won

Hi Charles,

WON stands for "William O'Neil", originator of CANSLIM.

Katherine

----- Original Message -----
From:=20 charles wilfong
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com= =20

Sent: Monday, March 25, 2002 = 7:43=20 PM

Subject: [CANSLIM] won

What does WON stand=20 for?

- ------=_NextPart_000_003D_01C1D43B.AA3DF270-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ End of canslim-digest V2 #2239 ****************************** To unsubscribe to canslim-digest, send an email to "majordomo@xmission.com" with "unsubscribe canslim-digest" in the body of the message. For information on digests or retrieving files and old messages send "help" to the same address. Do not use quotes in your message.