RE: [CANSLIM] Acc/Dis Numbers


From: Robert <FBNAirPLT@yahoo.com>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Acc/Dis Numbers
Date: Mon, 10 Dec 2001 18:02:10 -0500

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Hi Tom

The following would indicate an "over rich" market.

When %e gets as low as 1.5 to 2%, you should be on the look
out that the market is overextended (over-rich), and is due for a
correction.  Also once the a+b/a:e gets close to 75%, one should be alerted 
that the
market is very extended and is likely to go through a correction.

As far as when the above might happen it would seem we have along way to go 
right now.  The indication from the Ian woodward answer is that this 
happens rarely (like when Mr. Greenspan talks about Irrational exuberance). 
 A normal market should vary between 62 and 75%.  Hopefully we will be in a 
time of more normal markets for a while.

Robert


- -----Original Message-----
From:	Tom Worley [SMTP:stkguru@netside.net]
Sent:	Monday, December 10, 2001 3:58 AM
To:	canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject:	Re: [CANSLIM] Acc/Dis Numbers

Thanks, Robert, I had been wondering how much longer it would take to see 
"Market in correction" go away!

What is the next threshold, and what will it take for the numbers to 
achieve that?

Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net
AIM: TexWorley

  ----- Original Message -----
  From: Robert
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
  Sent: Sunday, December 09, 2001 10:41 PM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] Acc/Dis Numbers


  Hello everyone.  Here are the latest Acc/Dis numbers.  PLEASE take note
  that the market has returned to a "stable condition" on 12/7!!  The last
  time the market this occoured was 5 months ago on 7/6/01.  So things are
  looking up.  Let the Bull return....

  Robert




  Spread sheet version

  Date,A,B,C,D,E,% of AB/A:E,%E,Market Posture

  11/30/01,651,2299,1232,930,305,54%,6%,Market in correction
  12/3/01,715,2371,1201,860,281,57%,5%,Market in correction
  12/4/01,695,2392,1181,878,282,57%,5%,Market in correction
  12/5/01,678,2360,1204,885,288,56%,5%,Market in correction
  12/6/01,736,2440,1173,814,263,59%,5%,Market in correction
  12/7/01,924,2470,1064,754,239,62%,4%,Market stable
  12/10/01,984,2450,1058,728,248,63%,5%,Market stable



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