Re: [CANSLIM]"Rubberband Sell Rule"


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM]"Rubberband Sell Rule"
Date: Tue, 11 Dec 2001 22:11:11 -0600

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Tom,

I always use a valid base to do the measure. The only recent valid base =
is a cup from $20.05 on 8/30 to a low of $8.49 9/21 to a B/O on 11/6 at =
2x ADV.

That means at today's close price of $27.50, we have

224% above BL $8.49 and
32% above 50dMA $20.88 and
77% above 200dMA $15.58

Possible sell triggered.

Katherine
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Tom Worley=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Tuesday, December 11, 2001 11:13 PM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM]"Rubberband Sell Rule"


  Bill and Katherine,

  Where do you peg the "recent base low"?? If you use the short base =
just under 20, then it's up about 140% depending on the exact price you =
use. On the other hand, if you use the more recent and longer =
consolidation it did around / over $25 (now in its 5th week), then this =
criteria is not satisfied, and the test fails on this count.

  P.S. Shhsssshhh, if IBD thinks we have too much knowledge here, then =
they're liable to give out the address, and we will be swamped with =
newbies. Another form of the IBD curse!!  Not that I don't welcome =
newcomers here, in fact they typically bring in fresh perspective, =
ideas, and challenges to the stodgy thinking of members like me (once we =
get them over their shyness about posting). Just gotta take them in =
moderation, not volume.

  Tom Worley
  stkguru@netside.net
  AIM: TexWorley

    ----- Original Message -----=20
    From: Bill Triffet=20
    To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 12:01 AM
    Subject: Re: [CANSLIM]"Rubberband Sell Rule"


    Katherine,

    Really enjoy your posts. You and Tom ought to write a book together! =
: ) I'm
    amazed at the wealth of information I've seen here in the past few =
weeks.
    Really great stuff.

    Looks like ALLY has just made the "rubber band" criteria. Will be a =
good
    eductional study to follow its actions.

    -Bill Triffet

    ----- Original Message -----
    From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
    To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
    Sent: Tuesday, December 11, 2001 6:50 PM
    Subject: Re: [CANSLIM]"Rubberband Sell Rule"


    Hi John,

    The original discussion of this came up on the AZO thread, then =
again on
    "PECS & the Rubberband sell rule" if you want to get more of the =
discussion.

    But the criteria for the rule is:

    If all three of these criteria are met, be prepared to sell, as the =
price
    can fall 15-25%:
    (1) >125% above the recent base low AND
    (2) >70% above the 200 day MA AND
    (3) >25% above the 50 day MA.

    This is an enhancement to WON's "may want to sell if the stock is =
70%+ above
    the 200 day MA." It's really just about quantifying the degree of =
extension
    from its base and moving averages and the likelihood that short term =
players
    will be taking profits.

    Hope that helps!

    Katherine




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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Tom,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>I always use a valid base to do the =
measure. The=20
only recent valid base is a cup from $20.05 on 8/30 to a low of $8.49 =
9/21 to a=20
B/O on 11/6 at 2x ADV.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>That means at today's close price of =
$27.50, we=20
have</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>224% above BL $8.49 and</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>32% above 50dMA $20.88 and</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>77% above 200dMA $15.58</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Possible sell triggered.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Katherine</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dstkguru@netside.net href=3D"mailto:stkguru@netside.net">Tom =
Worley</A>=20
  </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, December 11, =
2001 11:13=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: =
[CANSLIM]"Rubberband Sell=20
  Rule"</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Bill and Katherine,</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Where do you peg the "recent base low"?? If you =
use the=20
  short base just under 20, then it's up about 140% depending on the =
exact price=20
  you use. On the other hand, if you use the more recent and longer=20
  consolidation it did around / over $25 (now in its 5th week), then =
this=20
  criteria is not satisfied, and the test fails on this =
count.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>P.S. Shhsssshhh, if IBD thinks we have too much =
knowledge=20
  here, then they're liable to give out the address, and we will be =
swamped with=20
  newbies. Another form of the IBD curse!!&nbsp; Not that I don't =
welcome=20
  newcomers here, in fact they typically bring in fresh perspective, =
ideas, and=20
  challenges to the stodgy thinking of members like me (once we get them =
over=20
  their shyness about posting). Just gotta take them in moderation, not=20
  volume.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
  href=3D"mailto:stkguru@netside.net">stkguru@netside.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
  TexWorley<BR></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE=20
  style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV=20
    style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
    <A title=3Dbtriffet@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:btriffet@earthlink.net">Bill=20
    Triffet</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
    </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, December 12, =
2001=20
    12:01 AM</DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: =
[CANSLIM]"Rubberband Sell=20
    Rule"</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>Katherine,<BR><BR>Really enjoy your posts. You and =
Tom ought=20
    to write a book together! : ) I'm<BR>amazed at the wealth of =
information=20
    I've seen here in the past few weeks.<BR>Really great =
stuff.<BR><BR>Looks=20
    like ALLY has just made the "rubber band" criteria. Will be a=20
    good<BR>eductional study to follow its actions.<BR><BR>-Bill=20
    Triffet<BR><BR>----- Original Message -----<BR>From: "Katherine =
Malm" &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">kmalm@earthlink.net</A>&gt;<BR>To: =
&lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;<BR>Sent:=20
    Tuesday, December 11, 2001 6:50 PM<BR>Subject: Re: =
[CANSLIM]"Rubberband Sell=20
    Rule"<BR><BR><BR>Hi John,<BR><BR>The original discussion of this =
came up on=20
    the AZO thread, then again on<BR>"PECS &amp; the Rubberband sell =
rule" if=20
    you want to get more of the discussion.<BR><BR>But the criteria for =
the rule=20
    is:<BR><BR>If all three of these criteria are met, be prepared to =
sell, as=20
    the price<BR>can fall 15-25%:<BR>(1) &gt;125% above the recent base =
low=20
    AND<BR>(2) &gt;70% above the 200 day MA AND<BR>(3) &gt;25% above the =
50 day=20
    MA.<BR><BR>This is an enhancement to WON's "may want to sell if the =
stock is=20
    70%+ above<BR>the 200 day MA." It's really just about quantifying =
the degree=20
    of extension<BR>from its base and moving averages and the likelihood =
that=20
    short term players<BR>will be taking profits.<BR><BR>Hope that=20
    helps!<BR><BR>Katherine<BR><BR><BR><BR><BR>-<BR>-To =
subscribe/unsubscribe,=20
    email "<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>-In=
 the=20
    email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe =
canslim".&nbsp; Do=20
    not use quotes in your =
email.<BR></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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Next Article (by Author): Re: [CANSLIM] Filter Criteria "Patrick Wahl"
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