Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: John Maycock <jmvan@shaw.ca>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Performance
Date: Thu, 13 Dec 2001 20:29:48 -0800
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Thanks for this Katherine. Some wise words to consider.
John
- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Katherine Malm
Sent: Thursday, December 13, 2001 10:38 AM
To: CANSLIM List Posting
Subject: [CANSLIM] Performance
Gary is a regular columnist at RealMoney.com. This week, he did a survey
asking respondents what sort of returns they generated during 2001. This
column is his response. Can't get any simpler than this--
Katherine
How to Avoid Another Losing Year
By Gary B. Smith <mailto:gsmith@thestreet.com>
Special to TheStreet.com
12/13/2001 08:05 AM EST
URL: http://www.thestreet.com/p/rmoney/techforumrm/10005347.html
If you haven't done so already, please see the poll that appeared in
Wednesday's column. If you did read Wednesday's column, you no doubt took
the survey, and I thank you.
Thoughts on it all? To be honest, I was surprised at the results: I thought
the overall returns would be a bit higher. Clearly there's some pain out
there, as two-thirds of the respondents haven't made a dime this year. And
within that, 24% of you are down more than 25% this year. Tough stuff, I
know.
But here's the good news. I'm convinced everyone out there has the ability
to be not down, not flat, but up in a year like this. You see, I liken
trading/investing (henceforth, just called trading) ability to golf. The
average player these days can't break 90. And it's been that way for about
the past 20 years or so. Probably longer.
That doesn't have to be the case because only three things can be stopping
you.
1. You're totally devoid of any ability. Yes, sadly some people have
seemingly no motor skills whatsoever. I suppose when it comes to money, some
folks pretty much "just don't get it." But I'd have to assume that applies
to only the smallest percentage of RealMoney readers.
2. You have the ability, but you don't practice. Oh, there's a lot of
that in golf, and for some reason, these folks are always ahead of me when
I'm trying to get around quickly!
In trading, though, what constitutes practice? I'd throw reading about
different methods into that mix. I'd also include a daily examination of
your trades and a write-up of where you went wrong and why. Finally, I also
think you need to do a ton of paper trading and trading with small lot sizes
to see if new methods can be effective.
As a simple test, ask yourself how many books you read about trading this
year. If the answer is fewer than one, you have some work to do.
3. You practice, but you practice the wrong things. For many of you,
this is the nut of the problem. You keep swinging away, but you keep working
on things that don't work. Or they work, but you're not flexible enough to
include new or different concepts.
As an example, if you went short this year as easily as you went long, I
think you could have fared pretty well. If you don't like shorting, then a
variety of good market-timers (Jim Rohrbach, for example) could have told
you when to stay in and when to stay out.
Options may have helped, and let's not forget about technical analysis, even
if you're a die-hard fundy.
I guess my long-winded point is that I feel 99.9% of you have the ability to
never have a losing year. Never. The tools are out there, but they require
diligence to find and a dedication to implement. But if you're serious about
"breaking 90," then you really have no choice. Time to get to work.
- --Boundary_(ID_r+lpTgKkCuH3GCnjtDBVNA)
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<p class=MsoNormal><span class=EmailStyle19><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Thanks for
this Katherine. Some wise words to consider.<o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span class=EmailStyle19><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><![if !supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span class=EmailStyle19><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>John<o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
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style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><![if !supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=2 color=black
face=Tahoma><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma;color:black'>-----Original
Message-----<br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>From:</span></b> owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>On
Behalf Of </span></b>Katherine Malm<br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Sent:</span></b> Thursday, December 13, 2001
10:38 AM<br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>To:</span></b> CANSLIM List Posting<br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Subject:</span></b> [CANSLIM] Performance</span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'><![if !supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=2 color=black
face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>Gary is
a regular columnist at RealMoney.com. This week, he did a survey asking
respondents what sort of returns they generated during 2001. This column is his
response. Can't get any simpler than this--</span></font><font color=black><span
style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=2 color=black
face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>Katherine</span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:
12.0pt;margin-left:.5in'><strong><b><font size=4 color=black face=Arial><span
style='font-size:13.5pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>How to Avoid Another
Losing Year</span></font></b></strong><b><font size=4 color=black face=Arial><span
style='font-size:13.5pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;font-weight:bold'><br>
</span></font></b><strong><b><font color=black face=Arial><span
style='font-family:Arial;color:black'>By </span></font></b></strong><font
color=black><span style='color:black'><a href="mailto:gsmith@thestreet.com"><strong><b><font
face=Arial><span style='font-family:Arial'>Gary B. Smith</span></font></b></strong></a><br>
</span></font><strong><b><font color=black face=Arial><span style='font-family:
Arial;color:black'>Special to TheStreet.com</span></font></b></strong><font
color=black><span style='color:black'><br>
<br>
</span></font><font size=1 color=black face=Arial><span style='font-size:7.5pt;
font-family:Arial;color:black'>12/13/2001 08:05 AM EST</span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black'><br>
</span></font><font size=2 color=black face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial;color:black'>URL: <a
href="http://www.thestreet.com/p/rmoney/techforumrm/10005347.html">http://www.thestreet.com/p/rmoney/techforumrm/10005347.html</a></span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>If you
haven't done so already, please see the poll that appeared in Wednesday's
column. If you did read Wednesday's column, you no doubt took the survey, and I
thank you. </span></font><font color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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style='color:black'>Thoughts on it all? To be honest, I was surprised at the
results: I thought the overall returns would be a bit higher. Clearly there's
some pain out there, as two-thirds of the respondents haven't made a dime this
year. And within that, 24% of you are down more than 25% this year. Tough
stuff, I know. </span></font><font color=black><span style='color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>But here's
the good news. I'm convinced everyone out there has the ability to be not down,
not flat, but up in a year like this. You see, I liken trading/investing
(henceforth, just called trading) ability to golf. The average player these
days can't break 90. And it's been that way for about the past 20 years or so.
Probably longer. </span></font><font color=black><span style='color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>That doesn't
have to be the case because only three things can be stopping you. </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:1.0in;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;tab-stops:list 1.0in'><![if !supportLists]><font
size=3 color=black face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>1.<font size=1 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'> </span></font></span></font><![endif]><font
color=black><span style='color:black'>You're totally devoid of any ability.
Yes, sadly some people have seemingly no motor skills whatsoever. I suppose
when it comes to money, some folks pretty much "just don't get it."
But I'd have to assume that applies to only the smallest percentage of <i><span
style='font-style:italic'>RealMoney</span></i> readers. </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:1.0in;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;tab-stops:list 1.0in'><![if !supportLists]><font
size=3 color=black face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>2.<font size=1 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'> </span></font></span></font><![endif]><font
color=black><span style='color:black'>You have the ability, but you don't
practice. Oh, there's a lot of that in golf, and for some reason, these folks
are always ahead of me when I'm trying to get around quickly! </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:1.0in'><font size=3 color=black face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>In trading, though, what constitutes
practice? I'd throw reading about different methods into that mix. I'd also
include a daily examination of your trades and a write-up of where you went
wrong and why. Finally, I also think you need to do a ton of paper trading and
trading with small lot sizes to see if new methods can be effective. </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:1.0in'><font size=3 color=black face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>As a simple test, ask yourself how many
books you read about trading this year. If the answer is fewer than one, you
have some work to do. </span></font><font color=black><span style='color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:1.0in;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;tab-stops:list 1.0in'><![if !supportLists]><font
size=3 color=black face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>3.<font size=1 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'> </span></font></span></font><![endif]><font
color=black><span style='color:black'>You practice, but you practice the wrong
things. For many of you, this is the nut of the problem. You keep swinging
away, but you keep working on things that don't work. Or they work, but you're
not flexible enough to include new or different concepts. </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:1.0in'><font size=3 color=black face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>As an example, if you went short this year
as easily as you went long, I think you could have fared pretty well. If you
don't like shorting, then a variety of good market-timers (Jim Rohrbach, for
example) could have told you when to stay in and when to stay out. </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:1.0in'><font size=3 color=black face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>Options may have helped, and let's not
forget about technical analysis, even if you're a die-hard fundy. </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>I guess my
long-winded point is that I feel 99.9% of you have the ability to never have a
losing year. Never. The tools are out there, but they require diligence to find
and a dedication to implement. But if you're serious about "breaking
90," then you really have no choice. Time to get to work. </span></font><font
color=black><span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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