Re: [CANSLIM] Re: BREL


From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Re: BREL
Date: Sat, 15 Dec 2001 05:54:37 -0500

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Tim,

After reading all the comments about this one, I must agree with you.  I =
believe it was Katherine that mentioned the handle does not get counted =
as part of the "basing formation" but I do not recall that being correct =
(at least I always counted since it is an essential part of a c&h =
formation).

One point no one seems to have mentioned is that this is a small cap =
stock that was under $12 on 9/28, when it actually began its move. Up to =
then, it was characterized by a lengthy flat line base, just the kind of =
stock I look for. Can't believe I missed it, because the key was the Q2 =
results, where they showed strong growth in earnings both y2y and =
sequentially. Sales also showed good growth.

Management owns 43% of the issue, leaving only 4.7 million shares in the =
float. Of that, funds owned 18% as of the last report (presumably as of =
9/30) so their holdings may have increased substantially. While ADV now =
is over 300K shares a day, before the end of Sept it was a sleepy eyed =
stock, often trading less than a 1000 shares a day. BIG change in less =
than 3 months, and not all due to the anthrax attacks, since growth was =
already occurring before then.

With the float turning over in just 16 days, you are usually going to =
get a shortened "basing formation", so even if the handle is not to be =
counted, the five weeks forming the cup is still valid in my book. Some =
tolerance and deviation from the strict rules must be given due the =
small float and rapid growth in daily volume.

Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net
AIM: TexWorley

  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Tim Fisher=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Friday, December 14, 2001 11:09 AM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Re: BREL


  I see a short, flat handle starting Dec 5 forming at the old high of =
32.50,
  range of about 29-33. I do not see an upward slope in either the =
closing
  price or the trading range in the handle.

  At 11:01 AM 12/14/2001 -0500, you wrote:
  >Doesn't the upward-sloping handle on BREL concern you?
  >
  >-
  >-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
  >-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
  >-"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.

  Tim Fisher
  Ore-ROCK-On Rockhounding Web Site
  Pacific Fishery Biologists Information
  mailto:tim@OreRockOn.com
  WWW http://OreRockOn.com

  -
  -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
  -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
  -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.


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<HTML><HEAD>
<META content=3D"text/html; charset=3Diso-8859-1" =
http-equiv=3DContent-Type>
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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Tim,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>After reading all the comments about this one, I =
must agree=20
with you.&nbsp; I believe it was Katherine that mentioned the handle =
does not=20
get counted as part of the "basing formation" but I do not recall that =
being=20
correct (at least I always counted since it is an essential part of a =
c&amp;h=20
formation).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>One point no one seems to have mentioned is that =
this is a=20
small cap stock that was under $12 on 9/28, when it actually began its =
move. Up=20
to then, it was characterized by a lengthy flat line base, just the kind =
of=20
stock I look for. Can't believe I missed it, because the key was the Q2 =
results,=20
where they showed strong growth in earnings both y2y and sequentially. =
Sales=20
also showed good growth.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Management owns 43% of the issue, leaving only 4.7 =
million=20
shares in the float. Of that, funds owned 18% as of the last report =
(presumably=20
as of 9/30) so their holdings may have increased substantially. While =
ADV now is=20
over 300K shares a day, before the end of Sept it was a sleepy eyed =
stock, often=20
trading less than a 1000 shares a day. BIG change in less than 3 months, =
and not=20
all due to the anthrax attacks, since growth was already occurring =
before=20
then.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>With the float turning over in just 16 days, you are =
usually=20
going to get a shortened "basing formation", so even if the handle is =
not to be=20
counted, the five weeks forming the cup is still valid in my book. Some=20
tolerance and deviation from the strict rules must be given due the =
small float=20
and rapid growth in daily volume.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@netside.net">stkguru@netside.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley<BR></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: =
0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A href=3D"mailto:Tim@orerockon.com" title=3DTim@orerockon.com>Tim =
Fisher</A>=20
  </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
  href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com"=20
  title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com>canslim@lists.xmission.com</A> =
</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, December 14, 2001 =
11:09=20
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Re: =
BREL</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>I see a short, flat handle starting Dec 5 forming at =
the old=20
  high of 32.50,<BR>range of about 29-33. I do not see an upward slope =
in either=20
  the closing<BR>price or the trading range in the handle.<BR><BR>At =
11:01 AM=20
  12/14/2001 -0500, you wrote:<BR>&gt;Doesn't the upward-sloping handle =
on BREL=20
  concern you?<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;-<BR>&gt;-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email =
"<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>&gt=
;-In=20
  the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>&gt;-"unsubscribe=20
  canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes in your email.<BR><BR>Tim=20
  Fisher<BR>Ore-ROCK-On Rockhounding Web Site<BR>Pacific Fishery =
Biologists=20
  Information<BR><A=20
  href=3D"mailto:tim@OreRockOn.com">mailto:tim@OreRockOn.com</A><BR>WWW =
<A=20
  href=3D"http://OreRockOn.com">http://OreRockOn.com</A><BR><BR>-<BR>-To =

  subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>-In=
 the=20
  email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe =
canslim".&nbsp; Do=20
  not use quotes in your email.<BR></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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