Re: [CANSLIM] clarification


From: <camelot.homes@charter.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] clarification
Date: Thu, 13 Dec 2001 08:04:31 -0600

Next Article (by Author): Re: [CANSLIM] Whither EPIQ? "Katherine Malm"
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katherine, very interesting! is this saying that cups w/o handles have a =
better return rate than w/handles? isn't this contrary to WON's =
writings? how does your own personal experience relate to this? thank =
you, david
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Katherine Malm=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Thursday, December 13, 2001 7:10 AM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] clarification



    Norm,

    See my notes in bold.

    In general, he is trying to match the formation to WON's criteria. =
When looking for the C&H pattern, cups had to have handles of at least =
one week to qualify. Handles had to be in upper half, but there were =
some in the study that were marginally in the upper half and included =
anyway. Cups had to be U shaped. No V shapes were included. (Guess he =
doesn't like drinking his coffee from a funnel.) Price has to have risen =
30% before the cup was formed. Cup has to take 7 to 65 weeks to form.=20

    Thanks for relaying the interesting Bulkowski info.  Mr. B =
definitely is on my coffee table list.  I have a 'couple' of questions.

    1) "Cups with higher right lips tend to outperform those with a =
higher left lip."  Why would this be? Who knows? It's a mystery. But the =
differences were statistically significant.

    2) "Failure rate if waited for upside B/O 5%."  Is 'upside B/O' when =
it goes above the left side? B/O occurs when it breaks above the high of =
the handle. Does vol play a roll here? He did not include volume as =
criteria for B/O because removing the criteria hurt performance, but =
only slightly. He does give statistics on volume at breakout and after, =
and the volume tends to be very high. Only 5% failure with these is =
surprising.  And failure is when the price falls back to the pivot? No, =
failure is when the price falls below the pivot and heads down. A =
pullback to the pivot that subsequently moves on is considered a =
"throwback" or pullback, and is not considered a failure.

    This chapter alone is worth the price of the book. The ROI makes =
this investment a big winner.

    Katherine

    Norm

    ----- Original Message -----=20
    From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
    To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
    Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 10:18 PM
    Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] clarification


    > Bulkowski (Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns) gives statistics on C&H =
and cups
    > w/o handles:
    >=20
    > C&H:
    > Failure rate 26%
    > Failure rate if waited for B/O 10% <<<<--------------<<<<<<<<<
    > Average rise 38%, most likely 10-20%
    > Cups with higher right lips tend to outperform those with a higher =
left lip.
    > Avg gain 40% vs 35%.
    >=20
    > C w/o H (Rounding Bottoms):
    > Failure rate 38%
    > Failure rate if waited for upside B/O 5% =
<<<<---------------<<<<<<<<<
    > Average rise 54%, most likely 20%
    >=20
    > Nothing on flat bases.
    >=20
    > Katherine
    > ----- Original Message -----
    > From: "Tangen, Eric" <tangene@tycoelectronics.com>
    > To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
    > Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 9:41 PM
    > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] clarification
    >=20
    >=20
    > > The 40% number is an amalgam of a number of anecdotes from a few =
different
    > > sources. Its all word of mouth. No names to given protect the =
guilty.
    > >
    > > You can almost infer such a number from WON himself...I'd bet if =
you asked
    > > the big-O-man in a seminar he'd deflect the question to point =
out how much
    > > you are ahead having 1 big gain out of 2-5 trades.
    > >
    > >
    > > ERIC TANGEN
    > >
    > > -----Original Message-----
    > > From: camelot.homes@charter.net =
[mailto:camelot.homes@charter.net]
    > > Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 9:16 PM
    > > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
    > > Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] clarification
    > >
    > >
    > > eric, how do you get the 40% reliability of the WON breakout? =
david frank
    > > ----- Original Message -----
    > > From: "Tangen, Eric" <tangene@tycoelectronics.com>
    > > To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
    > > Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 8:57 PM
    > > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] clarification
    > >
    > >
    > > > Of course you are right...risk is the stop value itself...it =
is what you
    > > > loose when your stop is triggered. It is what I mean but =
didn't say
    > > > correctly.
    > > >
    > > > This is what happens when I try to communicate math =
verbally...the two
    > > don't
    > > > mix. :)
    > > >
    > > > ERIC TANGEN
    > > >
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > -----Original Message-----
    > > > From: John Adair [mailto:xjadair@brightok.net]
    > > > Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 8:48 PM
    > > > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
    > > > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] clarification
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > Hi Erick
    > > > If I am reading your post right  correctly you would say your =
risk
    > > > on a $50
    > > > stock with a $5.00 stop would be  $50.00 -$5.00 or $45.00. If =
that is
    > what
    > > > you are saying  I would not agree I would say your risk is =
$5.00  if I
    > > > understand what Tharp suggests. Tharp then limits your risk to =
 the 1%
    > is
    > > > based on that figure 1% ( 3% for the gunslinger) of your total =
 capitol.
    > > > John Adair
    > > >
    > > > -----Original Message-----
    > > > From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
    > > > [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Tangen, =
Eric
    > > > Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 7:19 PM
    > > > To: 'canslim@lists.xmission.com'
    > > > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] clarification
    > > >
    > > > The latter....your risk is your buy price less the stop. Rule =
of thumb:
    > > that
    > > > number should be 1% or less of your total trading capital. So =
if you
    > want
    > > in
    > > > on a more volatile stock, just buy less of it...but don't set =
the stop
    > at
    > > > 7-8% if the stock has a 10% daily trading range - another =
point HTMMIS
    > > > doesn't address.
    > > >
    > > > Trading any system with a 7-8% risk for each trade is a =
receipe for
    > > > disaster. The pros use a 1% limit. If (as in HTMMIS suggest) =
you split
    > up
    > > > your capital evenly amoung 5-6 stocks and used an arbitrary =
7-8% stop
    > > loss,
    > > > statistically, it would be very easy to get enough losing =
trades to
    > loose
    > > > all your money. The unspoken 40% reliability of the WON =
breakouts only
    > > makes
    > > > this bad situation worse.
    > > >
    > > > I'm afraid that a quick reading of HTMMIS gives the impression =
that if
    > you
    > > > can identify the perfect C+H setup and all the other CANSLIM =
criteria
    > are
    > > in
    > > > place, you can get darn near 100% reliability of a breakout. I =
have a
    > big
    > > > problem with that.
    > > >
    > > > I'm not down on CANSLIM...just like people to know the reality =
of the
    > > > situation. Your going for home runs here and home run hitters =
have a lot
    > > of
    > > > strikeouts.
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > ERIC TANGEN
    > > >
    > > > -----Original Message-----
    > > > From: Katherine Malm [mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net]
    > > > Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 2:02 PM
    > > > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
    > > > Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] clarification
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > >>If you put 7-8% of your trading capital
    > > > > at risk on any one trade
    > > >
    > > > Now that I've been mulling over your comment, it begs another =
question.
    > > Are
    > > > you suggesting the *total* monies invested in a trade are "at =
risk"? Or
    > > the
    > > > amount which you've specified in downside stop-loss protection =
as "at
    > > > risk."?
    > > >
    > > > Katherine
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > ----- Original Message -----
    > > > From: "Tangen, Eric" <tangene@tycoelectronics.com>
    > > > To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
    > > > Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 1:46 PM
    > > > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] clarification
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > > Welcome to the club! Breakouts are a high risk and high =
reward
    > > strategy -
    > > > if
    > > > > you're batting .500, that's pretty darn good. You should =
expect 40%
    > > > success
    > > > > at finding successful breakouts long-term.
    > > > >
    > > > > I just have to get this off my chest for the new =
subscribers...WON's
    > > 7-8%
    > > > > stop below the pivot is a technical stop. It is a rule of =
thumb based
    > on
    > > > > volatility in the handle region before a stock takes off.
    > > > >
    > > > > It is NOT A MONEY MANAGEMENT STOP!. If you put 7-8% of your =
trading
    > > > capital
    > > > > at risk on any one trade, you will eventually pay some =
really serious
    > > Wall
    > > > > Street tuition on the path to becoming successful trader.
    > > > >
    > > > > WON's work has virtually nothing in the area of money =
management (what
    > > he
    > > > > does say is just plain outdated...by 5 stocks with =
100k...more
    > > appropriate
    > > > > to an era of high commissions and lower volatility).
    > > > >
    > > > > Tharp's books are the best (only?) work in this area and =
should be
    > > > required
    > > > > reading before you head out to the great casino that is Wall =
Street.
    > > > >
    > > > > ERIC TANGEN
    > > >
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > -
    > > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
    > > > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
    > > > -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.
    > > >
    > > > -
    > > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
    > > > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
    > > > -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > -
    > > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
    > > > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
    > > > -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.
    > > >
    > > > -
    > > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
    > > > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
    > > > -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.
    > >
    > >
    > > -
    > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
    > > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
    > > -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.
    > >
    > > -
    > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
    > > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
    > > -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.
    >=20
    >=20
    > -
    > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
    > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
    > -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.
    >=20
    >=20
    >=20

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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>katherine, very interesting! is this =
saying that=20
cups w/o handles have a better return rate than w/handles? isn't this =
contrary=20
to WON's writings?&nbsp;how does your own personal experience relate to =
this?=20
thank you, david</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine=20
  Malm</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, December 13, =
2001 7:10=20
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM]=20
clarification</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE=20
  style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><STRONG>Norm,</STRONG></DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><STRONG></STRONG>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><STRONG>See my notes in =
bold.</STRONG></DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><STRONG></STRONG>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><STRONG>In general, he is trying to =
match the=20
    formation to WON's criteria. When looking for the C&amp;H pattern, =
cups had=20
    to have handles of at least one week to qualify. Handles had to be =
in upper=20
    half, but there were some in the study that were marginally in the =
upper=20
    half&nbsp;and included anyway. Cups had to be U shaped. No V shapes =
were=20
    included. (Guess he doesn't like drinking his coffee from a funnel.) =
Price=20
    has to have risen 30% before the cup was formed.&nbsp;Cup has to =
take 7 to=20
    65 weeks to form.</STRONG> </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Thanks for relaying the interesting Bulkowski info.&nbsp; Mr. B =

    definitely is on my&nbsp;coffee table&nbsp;list.&nbsp; I have a =
'couple' of=20
    questions.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>1) "<FONT color=3D#0000ff>Cups with higher right lips tend to =
outperform=20
    those with a higher left lip."&nbsp; </FONT>Why would this be? =
<STRONG>Who=20
    knows? It's a mystery. But the differences were statistically=20
    significant.</STRONG></DIV>
    <DIV><STRONG></STRONG>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>2) "<FONT color=3D#0000ff>Failure rate if waited for upside B/O =

    5%."&nbsp; </FONT>Is 'upside B/O' when it goes above the left side?=20
    <STRONG>B/O occurs when it breaks above the high of the=20
    handle.</STRONG>&nbsp;Does vol play a roll here? <STRONG>He did not =
include=20
    volume as criteria&nbsp;for&nbsp;B/O because&nbsp;removing the =
criteria hurt=20
    performance,&nbsp;but&nbsp;only slightly.</STRONG>&nbsp;<STRONG>He =
does give=20
    statistics on volume at breakout and after, and the volume tends to =
be very=20
    high.</STRONG> Only 5% failure with these is surprising.&nbsp; And =
failure=20
    is when the price falls back to the pivot? <STRONG>No, failure is =
when the=20
    price falls below the pivot and heads down. A pullback to the pivot =
that=20
    subsequently moves on is considered a "throwback" or pullback, and =
is not=20
    considered a failure.</STRONG></DIV>
    <DIV><STRONG></STRONG>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><STRONG>This chapter alone is worth the price of the book. The =
ROI=20
    makes this investment a big winner.</STRONG></DIV>
    <DIV><STRONG></STRONG>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><STRONG>Katherine</STRONG></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Norm<BR></DIV>
    <DIV>----- Original Message -----=20
    <DIV>From: "Katherine Malm" &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">kmalm@earthlink.net</A>&gt;</DIV>
    <DIV>To: &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;</DIV>
    <DIV>Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 10:18 PM</DIV>
    <DIV>Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] clarification</DIV></DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>&gt; Bulkowski (Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns) gives =

    statistics on C&amp;H and cups<BR>&gt; w/o handles:<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; =

    C&amp;H:<BR>&gt; Failure rate 26%<BR>&gt; Failure rate if waited for =
B/O 10%=20
    =
&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;--------------&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;<BR>&gt=
;=20
    Average rise 38%, most likely 10-20%<BR>&gt; Cups with higher right =
lips=20
    tend to outperform those with a higher left lip.<BR>&gt; Avg gain =
40% vs=20
    35%.<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; C w/o H (Rounding Bottoms):<BR>&gt; Failure =
rate=20
    38%<BR>&gt; Failure rate if waited for upside B/O 5%=20
    =
&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;---------------&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;&lt;<BR>&g=
t;=20
    Average rise 54%, most likely 20%<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; Nothing on flat=20
    bases.<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; Katherine<BR>&gt; ----- Original Message=20
    -----<BR>&gt; From: "Tangen, Eric" &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:tangene@tycoelectronics.com">tangene@tycoelectronics.com</=
A>&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    To: &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 9:41 PM<BR>&gt; Subject: RE: =
[CANSLIM]=20
    clarification<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; &gt; The 40% number is an =
amalgam of=20
    a number of anecdotes from a few different<BR>&gt; &gt; sources. Its =
all=20
    word of mouth. No names to given protect the guilty.<BR>&gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; You can almost infer such a number from WON himself...I'd bet =
if you=20
    asked<BR>&gt; &gt; the big-O-man in a seminar he'd deflect the =
question to=20
    point out how much<BR>&gt; &gt; you are ahead having 1 big gain out =
of 2-5=20
    trades.<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; ERIC TANGEN<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; -----Original Message-----<BR>&gt; &gt; From: <A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:camelot.homes@charter.net">camelot.homes@charter.net</A>=20
    [mailto:camelot.homes@charter.net]<BR>&gt; &gt; Sent: Wednesday, =
December=20
    12, 2001 9:16 PM<BR>&gt; &gt; To: <A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] clarification<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; eric, how do you get the 40% reliability of the WON breakout? =
david=20
    frank<BR>&gt; &gt; ----- Original Message -----<BR>&gt; &gt; From: =
"Tangen,=20
    Eric" &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:tangene@tycoelectronics.com">tangene@tycoelectronics.com</=
A>&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; To: &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 8:57 PM<BR>&gt; &gt; =
Subject: RE:=20
    [CANSLIM] clarification<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
Of=20
    course you are right...risk is the stop value itself...it is what=20
    you<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; loose when your stop is triggered. It is what =
I mean=20
    but didn't say<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; correctly.<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    &gt; This is what happens when I try to communicate math =
verbally...the=20
    two<BR>&gt; &gt; don't<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; mix. :)<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; ERIC TANGEN<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; =
&gt;=20
    &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; -----Original Message-----<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
From:=20
    John Adair [mailto:xjadair@brightok.net]<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Sent: =
Wednesday,=20
    December 12, 2001 8:48 PM<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; To: <A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] clarification<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Hi Erick<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; If I am =
reading your=20
    post right&nbsp; correctly you would say your risk<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
on a=20
    $50<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; stock with a $5.00 stop would be&nbsp; $50.00 =
- -$5.00=20
    or $45.00. If that is<BR>&gt; what<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; you are =
saying&nbsp; I=20
    would not agree I would say your risk is $5.00&nbsp; if I<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
    understand what Tharp suggests. Tharp then limits your risk to&nbsp; =
the=20
    1%<BR>&gt; is<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; based on that figure 1% ( 3% for the =

    gunslinger) of your total&nbsp; capitol.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; John=20
    Adair<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; -----Original =
Message-----<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; From: <A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com">owner-canslim@lists.xmis=
sion.com</A><BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of =
Tangen,=20
    Eric<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 7:19 =
PM<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; To: <A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:'canslim@lists.xmission.com'">'canslim@lists.xmission.com'=
</A><BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] clarification<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; The latter....your risk is your buy price less the stop. =
Rule of=20
    thumb:<BR>&gt; &gt; that<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; number should be 1% or =
less of=20
    your total trading capital. So if you<BR>&gt; want<BR>&gt; &gt; =
in<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; on a more volatile stock, just buy less of it...but don't =
set the=20
    stop<BR>&gt; at<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; 7-8% if the stock has a 10% daily =
trading=20
    range - another point HTMMIS<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; doesn't =
address.<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Trading any system with a 7-8% risk for each =
trade is=20
    a receipe for<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; disaster. The pros use a 1% limit. =
If (as in=20
    HTMMIS suggest) you split<BR>&gt; up<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; your capital =
evenly=20
    amoung 5-6 stocks and used an arbitrary 7-8% stop<BR>&gt; &gt; =
loss,<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; statistically, it would be very easy to get enough losing =
trades=20
    to<BR>&gt; loose<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; all your money. The unspoken 40%=20
    reliability of the WON breakouts only<BR>&gt; &gt; makes<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
    this bad situation worse.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; I'm =
afraid=20
    that a quick reading of HTMMIS gives the impression that if<BR>&gt;=20
    you<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; can identify the perfect C+H setup and all the =
other=20
    CANSLIM criteria<BR>&gt; are<BR>&gt; &gt; in<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
place, you=20
    can get darn near 100% reliability of a breakout. I have a<BR>&gt;=20
    big<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; problem with that.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
    I'm not down on CANSLIM...just like people to know the reality of=20
    the<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; situation. Your going for home runs here and =
home run=20
    hitters have a lot<BR>&gt; &gt; of<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
strikeouts.<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; ERIC TANGEN<BR>&gt; =
&gt;=20
    &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; -----Original Message-----<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
From:=20
    Katherine Malm [mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net]<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Sent:=20
    Wednesday, December 12, 2001 2:02 PM<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; To: <A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] clarification<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;&gt;If you put 7-8% of your trading=20
    capital<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; at risk on any one trade<BR>&gt; &gt; =

    &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Now that I've been mulling over your comment, =
it begs=20
    another question.<BR>&gt; &gt; Are<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; you suggesting =
the=20
    *total* monies invested in a trade are "at risk"? Or<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    the<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; amount which you've specified in downside =
stop-loss=20
    protection as "at<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; risk."?<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    &gt; Katherine<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
- -----=20
    Original Message -----<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; From: "Tangen, Eric" &lt;<A =

    =
href=3D"mailto:tangene@tycoelectronics.com">tangene@tycoelectronics.com</=
A>&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; To: &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2001 1:46 PM<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;=20
    Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] clarification<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; Welcome to the club! Breakouts are a =
high risk=20
    and high reward<BR>&gt; &gt; strategy -<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; if<BR>&gt; =
&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; you're batting .500, that's pretty darn good. You should =
expect=20
    40%<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; success<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; at finding =
successful=20
    breakouts long-term.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; I =
just=20
    have to get this off my chest for the new =
subscribers...WON's<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    7-8%<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; stop below the pivot is a technical =
stop. It is=20
    a rule of thumb based<BR>&gt; on<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; volatility =
in the=20
    handle region before a stock takes off.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; It is NOT A MONEY MANAGEMENT STOP!. If you put 7-8% of =
your=20
    trading<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; capital<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; at risk on =
any one=20
    trade, you will eventually pay some really serious<BR>&gt; &gt; =
Wall<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; &gt; Street tuition on the path to becoming successful=20
    trader.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; WON's work has =

    virtually nothing in the area of money management (what<BR>&gt; &gt; =

    he<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; does say is just plain outdated...by 5 =
stocks with=20
    100k...more<BR>&gt; &gt; appropriate<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; to an =
era of=20
    high commissions and lower volatility).<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; Tharp's books are the best (only?) work in this area and =
should=20
    be<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; required<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; reading before =
you head=20
    out to the great casino that is Wall Street.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
    &gt; &gt; &gt; ERIC TANGEN<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; -<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; -To =
subscribe/unsubscribe, email=20
    "<A =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>&gt=
;=20
    &gt; &gt; -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
    -"unsubscribe canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes in your =
email.<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
    &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; -<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; -To =
subscribe/unsubscribe, email=20
    "<A =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>&gt=
;=20
    &gt; &gt; -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
    -"unsubscribe canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes in your =
email.<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
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    subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
    =
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href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>&gt=
;=20
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    -"unsubscribe canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes in your =
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href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>&gt=
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email.<BR>&gt;=20
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"<A=20
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    <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; -<BR>&gt; -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
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