Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] TOL
Date: Thu, 20 Dec 2001 09:20:11 -0600
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This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0021_01C18937.86F69C80 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable You are quite right about the trend--even more so to point out that up = is up....until it isn't! I suppose only caution was on my mind when writing my comments. I left = it to others to comment on the technicals as you have done so well. Thanks, Katherine ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Andreas Himmelreich=20 To: 'canslim@lists.xmission.com'=20 Sent: Thursday, December 20, 2001 9:20 AM Subject: AW: [CANSLIM] TOL Hi Katherine, the trend is up until its broken. I think so too, it will not take a = lot=20 time until the whole group breaks down, but until then you can ride it = ... But I am with your conclusion ... Andreas > -----Ursprungliche Nachricht----- > Von: Katherine Malm [SMTP:kmalm@earthlink.net] > Gesendet am: Thursday, December 20, 2001 2:11 PM > An: canslim@lists.xmission.com > Betreff: Re: [CANSLIM] TOL > > High Dave, > > It looks to me as though TOL broke out on 12/12. But in truth, I = have a=20 hard time believing the homebuilders have enough oomph left in them to = go=20 much further; TOL, in particular, since it specializes in high end = homes.=20 If you look back on the industry, the real run is behind them. It = started=20 when the Fed started easing, and this is a typical reaction for the = group.=20 Also, it is common for interest rate sensitive groups such as = homebuilders=20 to lead out of a bear market. They often mark the transition from bear = to=20 new bull. It has been a bit confounding, however, as they seemed to = have=20 done well *while* the bear was going on. (I suppose a false signal = with=20 respect to timing.) I was puzzled when they fell apart earlier this = summer.=20 But this current run is corresponding more directly with other = economic=20 indicators such as an apparent bottoming in economically sensitive=20 commodities, etc., and seems to point to a transitional period in the=20 market. > > All in all, I'd say my conclusion would be to keep from taking any=20 *risky* entries on the homebuilders. > > Katherine > ----- Original Message ----- > From: J. David Stem > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com > Sent: Thursday, December 20, 2001 12:01 AM > Subject: [CANSLIM] TOL > > > Going through DGO, the stock TOL stood out to me... low PE, 36 M=20 shares, A's across the board. 97 EPS, 83 RS. It's just broken out of = a=20 cup on very strong volume, yet, alas, there's no handle. Anyone have = any=20 thoughts/experience with patterns of this sort? > > Dave > << Datei: ATT00000.htm >>=20 - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - ------=_NextPart_000_0021_01C18937.86F69C80 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> <HTML><HEAD> <META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; = charset=3Diso-8859-1"> <META content=3D"MSHTML 5.50.4611.1300" name=3DGENERATOR> <STYLE></STYLE> </HEAD> <BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff> <DIV>You are quite right about the trend--even more so to point out that = up is=20 up....until it isn't!</DIV> <DIV> </DIV> <DIV>I suppose only caution was on my mind when writing my comments. I = left it=20 to others to comment on the technicals as you have done so well.</DIV> <DIV> </DIV> <DIV>Thanks,</DIV> <DIV>Katherine</DIV> <BLOCKQUOTE=20 style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; = BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"> <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV> <DIV=20 style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: = black"><B>From:</B>=20 <A title=3Djudgejimmy@web.de href=3D"mailto:judgejimmy@web.de">Andreas = Himmelreich</A> </DIV> <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A = title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20 = href=3D"mailto:'canslim@lists.xmission.com'">'canslim@lists.xmission.com'= </A>=20 </DIV> <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, December 20, = 2001 9:20=20 AM</DIV> <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> AW: [CANSLIM] = TOL</DIV> <DIV><BR></DIV>Hi Katherine,<BR><BR>the trend is up until its broken. = I think=20 so too, it will not take a lot <BR>time until the whole group breaks = down, but=20 until then you can ride it ...<BR>But I am with your conclusion=20 ...<BR><BR>Andreas<BR><BR>> -----Ursprungliche = Nachricht-----<BR>> Von:=20 Katherine Malm [SMTP:kmalm@earthlink.net]<BR>> Gesendet am: = Thursday,=20 December 20, 2001 2:11 PM<BR>> An: <A=20 = href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>= <BR>>=20 Betreff: Re: [CANSLIM] TOL<BR>><BR>> High Dave,<BR>><BR>> = It looks=20 to me as though TOL broke out on 12/12. But in truth, I have a = <BR>hard time=20 believing the homebuilders have enough oomph left in them to go = <BR>much=20 further; TOL, in particular, since it specializes in high end homes. = <BR>If=20 you look back on the industry, the real run is behind them. It started = <BR>when the Fed started easing, and this is a typical reaction for = the group.=20 <BR>Also, it is common for interest rate sensitive groups such as = homebuilders=20 <BR>to lead out of a bear market. They often mark the transition from = bear to=20 <BR>new bull. It has been a bit confounding, however, as they seemed = to have=20 <BR>done well *while* the bear was going on. (I suppose a false signal = with=20 <BR>respect to timing.) I was puzzled when they fell apart earlier = this=20 summer. <BR>But this current run is corresponding more directly with = other=20 economic <BR>indicators such as an apparent bottoming in economically=20 sensitive <BR>commodities, etc., and seems to point to a transitional = period=20 in the <BR>market.<BR>><BR>> All in all, I'd say my conclusion = would be=20 to keep from taking any <BR>*risky* entries on the=20 homebuilders.<BR>><BR>> Katherine<BR>> ----- = Original=20 Message -----<BR>> From: J. David = Stem<BR>> To:=20 <A=20 = href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>= <BR>> =20 Sent: Thursday, December 20, 2001 12:01 AM<BR>> = Subject:=20 [CANSLIM] TOL<BR>><BR>><BR>> Going through DGO, = the stock=20 TOL stood out to me... low PE, 36 M <BR>shares, A's across the = board. 97=20 EPS, 83 RS. It's just broken out of a <BR>cup on very strong = volume,=20 yet, alas, there's no handle. Anyone have any = <BR>thoughts/experience=20 with patterns of this sort?<BR>><BR>> = Dave<BR>> =20 << Datei: ATT00000.htm >> <BR><BR>-<BR>-To = subscribe/unsubscribe,=20 email "<A=20 = href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>-In= the=20 email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe = canslim". Do=20 not use quotes in your email.</BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML> - ------=_NextPart_000_0021_01C18937.86F69C80-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
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