Re: [CANSLIM] MFA


From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] MFA
Date: Sun, 30 Dec 2001 20:43:21 -0500

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Hi Matt,

I got burned a number of years ago on a mortgage backed REIT, and =
learned my lesson. As a result, I won't consider them for growth =
oriented investment. I see that MFA currently has a yield of 12.7%, no =
doubt in my mind that is what is driving it. But with rates about as low =
as they are likely to get, and even more likely to start up in the =
future, even the fact that this company's mortgages are adjustables =
means that it will not keep up with rising rates.

I would aqree that it appears to be forming a c&h, but the handle is =
high, up/down ratio is only 1.1, and the trailing PE (9) says that there =
is little interest in pricing it at a premium. This is also reflected in =
the RS of 72, below CANSLIM standards.=20

It does have good earnings forecasts, but would not interest me.

Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net
AIM: TexWorley
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Matt & Alicia Leverette=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Sunday, December 30, 2001 3:59 PM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] MFA


  I would like to get some thoughts on this stock.  America First =
Mortgage Investments, Inc., is a REIT and is in the business of =
investing in mortgage-backed securities and mortgages.

  It appears to me using IBD Chart that there is a C&H formation =
beginning on around the first of October.  It looks like a handle is now =
forming.=20

  I will appreciate any thoughts.

  Thanks,

  Matt Leverette =20

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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Hi Matt,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I got burned a number of years ago on a mortgage =
backed=20
REIT, and learned my lesson. As a result, I won't consider them for =
growth=20
oriented investment. I see that MFA currently has a yield of 12.7%, no =
doubt in=20
my mind that is what is driving it. But with rates about as low as they =
are=20
likely to get, and even more likely to start up in the future, even the =
fact=20
that this company's mortgages are adjustables means that it will not =
keep up=20
with rising rates.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I would aqree that it appears to be forming a =
c&amp;h, but=20
the handle is high, up/down ratio is only 1.1, and the trailing PE (9) =
says that=20
there is little interest in pricing it at a premium. This is also =
reflected in=20
the RS of 72, below CANSLIM standards. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>It does have good earnings forecasts, but would =
not=20
interest me.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@netside.net">stkguru@netside.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dmalever@bellsouth.net =
href=3D"mailto:malever@bellsouth.net">Matt &amp;=20
  Alicia Leverette</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, December 30, 2001 =
3:59=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] MFA</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>I would like to get some thoughts on this =
stock.&nbsp;=20
  America First Mortgage Investments, Inc., is&nbsp;a REIT and&nbsp;is =
in the=20
  business of investing in mortgage-backed securities and=20
mortgages.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>It appears to me using IBD Chart that there is a =
C&amp;H=20
  formation beginning on around the first of October.&nbsp; It looks =
like a=20
  handle is now forming.&nbsp;</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>I will appreciate any thoughts.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Thanks,</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Matt Leverette&nbsp; =
</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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