Re: AW: [CANSLIM] Arthur Andersen


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: AW: [CANSLIM] Arthur Andersen
Date: Sat, 19 Jan 2002 21:29:24 -0600

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jans,

The accounting changes have to do with the way goodwill is handled on =
the books. Companies will no longer be required to write it off over =
time, meaning EPS will be higher as a result. Most companies report =
pro-forma numbers anyway, essentially deleting the "one time" or =
"extraordinary" charges such as write down of goodwill. The problem with =
goodwill is that it is the excess paid over the "value" of  a purchase, =
so companies will be required to write it down only if the "value =
changes." (Hah...now *there's* an entire inerpretive consulting practice =
right there!) When goodwill was originally conceived it was a way to =
show something of value that couldn't be calculated in book value, etc. =
For example, if I bought Coca-Cola, the value of its net assets might be =
$100, but I might pay $200 for it. The excess could be perceived as =
"brand value" which of course, can't really be quantified in a true =
accounting sense. Unfortunately, when companies overpay for acquisitions =
with inflated stock, things get really ugly. Good example would be a =
company like JDSU which purchased ETEK and SDLI at the height of the =
bubble.=20

Katherine

Here's an explanatory article:

      Unreliable estimates =20
     January 15, 2002: 2:39 p.m. ET

      New accounting rule muddies projections, may lead to seemingly =
higher profits.=20
      By Staff Writer Victoria Zunitch
    =20
           =20
           =20


            =20
          =20
          =20
      NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Earnings estimates, one of Wall Street's =
favorite prediction tools, may be unusually unreliable for at least the =
next few months as a new accounting rule could make some companies' =
profit growth appear higher than it actually is.

      The new rule, Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) rule FAS =
142, applies to all public companies as of January 1. It says that =
goodwill, which companies book in some mergers and acquisitions, no =
longer must be automatically amortized, or written down, over a maximum =
of 40 years. Goodwill is the amount paid for a business that exceeds its =
book value.

      Instead, companies will have to write down goodwill only if its =
value decreases. Although some companies will have to take these =
write-downs from time to time, which will reduce their earnings, =
analysts say that most companies will benefit from the change and =
overall earnings will be higher than in the past.

      Some say the new rule could make aggregate earnings for the =
overall market appear as much as 5 to 10 percent higher.

               =20
          =20

      Comparing apples with apples

      Many analysts and companies still have not updated their 2002 =
projections to reflect the new rule. What makes the problem more =
serious, though, is that companies are not required to recalculate their =
earnings for previous years in advance and this could give investors a =
false impression of actual earnings growth through the years.

      "Everybody is in a pretty reasonable state of confusion," said =
Charles Blood, director of financial markets and economic analysis at =
Brown Brothers Harriman.

      Chuck Hill, director of research at earnings tracking firm First =
Call, thinks companies might wait for each new quarter of 2002 to report =
the correct comparison, or "pro forma," numbers  for the corresponding =
2001 quarter.

      But it is unclear if and when multiple-year comparisons will be =
provided.

      "FASB does a very good job at putting out their opinions and how =
the accounting works, but not at the implementation," Hill said.

      FASB director of research and technical activities Timothy Lucas =
said he believes that the Securities and Exchange Commission requires =
multiple-year comparisons in corporate annual reports and that will, by =
default, eventually take care of this problem. An SEC official, =
contacted twice, was unable to confirm this as of press time.


      What is First Call doing?

      In an effort to dispel some of the confusion, First Call is =
posting earnings estimates calculated under both methods and is urging =
users of its service to be cautious.

      Hill is hoping that most first-quarter projections will be =
recalculated to account for the new rule by the end of this month.

      Some industries have already taken the lead. The merger-intensive =
financial and technology sectors are ahead of the game and have begun =
providing their estimates based on the new rule. In fact, FASB used a =
good deal of information from the banking industry when working on the =
change.

      "Most of the major banks have already been giving the data anyway, =
so comparability won't be a problem, because we already have the data," =
said Ron Mandle, analyst at Sanford Bernstein.

      In other sectors of the market, analysts are still waiting for =
companies to provide details before they prepare their new estimates.

      Saying that they'd rather get it right than fast, these analysts =
are relying on the companies they cover to provide them with guidance =
and do the arithmetic.

      "I didn't want to go ahead and speculate only to have to adjust =
because I didn't get the classifications right," said Michael Harris, a =
Deutsche Banc analyst who follows Caterpillar (CAT: down $0.59 to =
$49.90, Research, Estimates).

      Todd A. Hinrichs, who follows Caterpillar for ABN Amro and also is =
waiting for company guidance, says the issue isn't that much of a =
problem for his clients because they're institutional investors who =
understand the change.

      But he and others concede that individual investors, in particular =
those who pick their own stocks using analysts' estimates, probably will =
be confused.


      Coping with uncertainty

      Even Wall Street's top strategists are guessing when they compare =
earnings expectations to previous years. Strategists use the coming =
year's projected earnings to make predictions and judgments about the =
market. They base some of their work on how much earnings have grown, or =
not grown, from previous years.

      But without proper comparison numbers from past years, projecting =
future growth or even analyzing current growth will involve more =
guesswork than usual. Wall Street has been through this before with =
other accounting changes, so the professionals have established coping =
methods. For example, at Brown Brothers Harriman, Blood expects to =
prepare two sets of earnings projections because of the new rule.

      But to a certain degree, the market is stuck with precisely what =
it hates most: uncertainty.

      "What you have to accept is that we won't get very precise numbers =
until we have everything sorted out," says Subodh Kumar, chief =
investment strategist at CIBC World Markets=20

  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Spencer48@aol.com=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Saturday, January 19, 2002 9:16 PM
  Subject: Re: AW: [CANSLIM] Arthur Andersen


  Dave, Andreas and Tom:

       Andreas: How can cash-flow be below EPS, since in order to derive =

  cash-flow you must add non-cash expenses (like amortization expense,=20
  and-possibly (see next paragraph as to why I am uncertain)-good-will =
expense)

       On Wednesday or Thursday's CNBC show with Lawerence Kudlow at =
11PM EST,=20
  the show revolved around the Enron scandal.  I thought I heard mention =
that=20
  the Supervisory Board relating to Accounting Practices was doing away =
with=20
  the balance sheet entry "Goodwill", but I thought it had already been =
done=20
  away with several years ago? =20

       In any event, what baffles me is that just about everyone on the=20
  business news remarks on Enron's OFF BOOK ACCOUNTS, but I've heard no =
one on=20
  any of these shows lambast anyone at Enron (or Anderson=20
  who-putatively-audited them) who decided to go with off-book =
accounting.  It=20
  makes one wonder, how many public corporation have off-book entries?  =
It also=20
  makes one wonder if DGO, WON and IBD recognize these entries as =
legitimate-or=20
  if they are even aware of them?  I guess the bottom line is:  How =
accurate is=20
  an off-book entry, and does it accurately and legally reflect the=20
  corporation's profit/loss statement, or is it instead a gambit a =
corporation=20
  uses to circumvent investment law and SEC supervision?=20

  jans=20


  In a message dated 1/19/2002 8:02:27 PM Eastern Standard Time,=20
  judgejimmy@web.de writes:

  << ts not only Anderson or Enron, its also laws that give the =
possibiltiy
   to give EPS numbers that are so far away from the cash flow number, =
that
   the EPS number does not represent "a true and fair view" of the =
current=20
  situation
   of the firm. You can not pay bills with EPS number, you only can pay
   for personel and material if you generate enough cash flow to cover =
your=20
  costs
   and to reach a profit margin and to take care of investments in you =
business.
  =20
   A very good way to see quickly if the EPS Reporting is fair or not =
- -->
  =20
   Check if the Cash Flow is above or at least equal to the EPS numbers=20
  reported.
   If it is even below, than its always good to be really critical ...
  =20
   Cash Flow Price Ratio should be always below the PE Ratio. A good =
sign is
   if the Cash Flow to Price Ratio is half the PE Ratio (thats my rule =
of=20
  thumb).
  =20
   Even better, use free cash flow (the money that is not needed even =
after=20
  investments charged),=20
   but this is not provided by any service I know ...
  =20
   I always wondered, why the investment community does not pay =
attention to=20
  the differences
   between both numbers (PE and PCF Ratio).
   But as far I can tell, a low Price Cash flow Ratio, which is well =
below the=20
  PE Ratio is
   very seldem taken into account by the market and very seldem is used =
as=20
  "fuel" to
   price up the stock price.
  =20
   So I only get really cautious if the PCF Ratio is not below the PE =
Ratio.
  =20
   But with Enron, I gues, even this would not have helped, due to the =
fact=20
  that they just reported
   wrong numbers...
  =20
   See you
  =20
   Andreas
  =20
  =20
   > -----Ursprungliche Nachricht-----
   > Von: Dave Cameron [SMTP:dfcameron@yahoo.com]
   > Gesendet am: Sunday, January 20, 2002 1:07 AM
   > An:  canslim@lists.xmission.com
   > Betreff: [CANSLIM] Arthur Andersen
   >=20
   >=20
   > --- Tom Worley <stkguru@netside.net> wrote:
   > Tom writes:
   >=20
   > > Is it coincidence that Arthur Andersen is Enron's consultant /
   > > advisor / auditor, and was also doing some of the same for =
Sunbeam?
   > > (some Sunbeam execs just settled a shareholder class action =
lawsuit
   > > for $15 million so they can concentrate on defending themselves
   > > against fraud charges by the SEC). Sure, I'll pay you guys $15
   > > really big ones, but, hey, I'm still not admitting I did anything
   > > wrong with the company financial reports. Maybe we should be =
buying
   > > shares in companies making shredders?? This is the third big
   > > financial scandal in recent years involving Andersen, and now
   > > leading to cries from Congress for governmental regulation of
   > > accounting firms. Great idea, let the politicians who rarely can
   > > balance a budget, and invented the concept of off-book =
accounting,
   > > regulate the accountants.
   >=20
   > This makes me wonder how "good" the earnings figures we get really
   > are.  It seems logical that given the number of firms that Arthur
   > Andersen serves as the accountants/auditors, there have to be more
   > out there that are fraudulent - and someone is benefiting.
   >=20
   > Furthermore, is it likely this behavior is unique to just Andersen?
   >=20
   > I don't mean to sound like a conspiracy type; but it does give me a
   > dose of cynicism that we have to be even more diligent in our
   > research.  Enron was rarely, if ever, a CANSLIM stock, but the =
lesson
   > is valuable nonetheless.
   >=20
   > I suspect the Enron situation could change some legislation.   =
There
   > are some big name trustee types demanding an investigation.   I =
blame
   > Andersen more than Enron.    Andersen is "supposed" to be =
impartial;
   > hence the auditing requirements.
   >  >>

  -
  -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
  -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
  -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your email.

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<DIV>jans,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>The accounting changes have to do with the way goodwill is handled =
on the=20
books. Companies will no longer be required to write it off over time, =
meaning=20
EPS will be higher as a result. Most companies report pro-forma numbers =
anyway,=20
essentially deleting the "one time" or "extraordinary" charges such as =
write=20
down of goodwill. The problem with goodwill is that it is the excess =
paid over=20
the "value" of&nbsp; a purchase, so companies will be required to write =
it down=20
only if the "value changes." (Hah...now *there's* an entire inerpretive=20
consulting practice right there!) When goodwill was originally conceived =
it was=20
a way to show something of value that couldn't be calculated in book =
value, etc.=20
For example, if I bought Coca-Cola, the value of its net assets might be =
$100,=20
but I might pay $200 for it. The excess could be perceived as "brand =
value"=20
which of course, can't really be quantified in a true accounting sense.=20
Unfortunately, when companies overpay for acquisitions with inflated =
stock,=20
things get really ugly. Good example would be a company like JDSU which=20
purchased ETEK and SDLI at the height of the bubble. </DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Here's an explanatory article:</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0 width=3D440 border=3D0>
  <TBODY>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dstorysubheadline colSpan=3D2 height=3D50><FONT =
size=3D5>Unreliable=20
      estimates</FONT> <!--startclickprintexclude--></TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD vAlign=3Dtop width=3D145 height=3D120><IMG height=3D105 =
alt=3Dgraphic=20
      =
src=3D"http://money.cnn.com/2002/01/15/investing/uncertain_estimates/calc=
ulator_question.01.jpg"=20
      width=3D140 border=3D0></TD>
    <TD vAlign=3Dtop><!--endclickprintexclude--><SPAN =
class=3Dtimestamp>January=20
      15, 2002: 2:39 p.m. ET<BR><BR></SPAN><SPAN class=3Dstorytease>New =
accounting=20
      rule muddies projections, may lead to seemingly higher =
profits.</SPAN>=20
      <SPAN class=3Dstorybyline><BR><!--Start Byline-->By <A=20
      href=3D"mailto:Victoria.Zunitch@turner.com">Staff Writer Victoria=20
      Zunitch</A><BR><!--End =
Byline--></SPAN><!--startclickprintexclude--></TD></TR>
  <TR>
    <TD class=3Dstorytext vAlign=3Dtop width=3D440 colSpan=3D2>
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        colSpan=3D5><!--Start box elements--><!--End box =
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 Body-->NEW=20
      YORK (CNN/Money) - Earnings estimates, one of Wall Street's =
favorite=20
      prediction tools, may be unusually unreliable for at least the =
next few=20
      months as a new accounting rule could make some companies' profit =
growth=20
      appear higher than it actually is.<BR><BR>The new rule, Financial=20
      Accounting Standards Board (FASB) rule FAS 142, applies to all =
public=20
      companies as of January 1. It says that goodwill, which companies =
book in=20
      some mergers and acquisitions, no longer must be automatically =
amortized,=20
      or written down, over a maximum of 40 years. Goodwill is the =
amount paid=20
      for a business that exceeds its book value.<BR><BR>Instead, =
companies will=20
      have to write down goodwill only if its value decreases. Although =
some=20
      companies will have to take these write-downs from time to time, =
which=20
      will reduce their earnings, analysts say that most companies will =
benefit=20
      from the change and overall earnings will be higher than in the=20
      past.<BR><BR>Some say the new rule could make aggregate earnings =
for the=20
      overall market appear as much as 5 to 10 percent =
higher.<BR><BR><!--FN_BOX_BEGIN-->
      <TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0 align=3Dright border=3D0>
        <TBODY>
        <TR>
          <TD width=3D10 rowSpan=3D3>&nbsp;</TD>
          <TD align=3Dmiddle width=3D204><IMG height=3D209 alt=3Dgraphic =

            =
src=3D"http://money.cnn.com/2002/01/15/investing/uncertain_estimates/earn=
ings_appear_taller.gif"=20
            width=3D204 border=3D0> </TD></TR>
        <TR>
          <TD vAlign=3Dtop width=3D204></TD></TR>
        <TR></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!--FN_BOX_END--><!--FN_BOX_BEGIN-->
      <CENTER><B>Comparing apples with=20
      apples</B></CENTER><BR><!--FN_BOX_END-->Many analysts and =
companies still=20
      have not updated their 2002 projections to reflect the new rule. =
What=20
      makes the problem more serious, though, is that companies are not =
required=20
      to recalculate their earnings for previous years in advance and =
this could=20
      give investors a false impression of actual earnings growth =
through the=20
      years.<BR><BR>"Everybody is in a pretty reasonable state of =
confusion,"=20
      said Charles Blood, director of financial markets and economic =
analysis at=20
      Brown Brothers Harriman.<BR><BR>Chuck Hill, director of research =
at=20
      earnings tracking firm First Call, thinks companies might wait for =
each=20
      new quarter of 2002 to report the correct comparison, or "pro =
forma,"=20
      numbers&nbsp; for the corresponding 2001 quarter.<BR><BR>But it is =
unclear=20
      if and when multiple-year comparisons will be =
provided.<BR><BR>"FASB does=20
      a very good job at putting out their opinions and how the =
accounting=20
      works, but not at the implementation," Hill said.<BR><BR>FASB =
director of=20
      research and technical activities Timothy Lucas said he believes =
that the=20
      Securities and Exchange Commission requires multiple-year =
comparisons in=20
      corporate annual reports and that will, by default, eventually =
take care=20
      of this problem. An SEC official, contacted twice, was unable to =
confirm=20
      this as of press time.<BR><BR><!--FN_BOX_BEGIN-->
      <CENTER><B>What is First Call =
doing?</B></CENTER><BR><!--FN_BOX_END-->In=20
      an effort to dispel some of the confusion, First Call is posting =
earnings=20
      estimates calculated under both methods and is urging users of its =
service=20
      to be cautious.<BR><BR>Hill is hoping that most first-quarter =
projections=20
      will be recalculated to account for the new rule by the end of =
this=20
      month.<BR><BR>Some industries have already taken the lead. The=20
      merger-intensive financial and technology sectors are ahead of the =
game=20
      and have begun providing their estimates based on the new rule. In =
fact,=20
      FASB used a good deal of information from the banking industry =
when=20
      working on the change.<BR><BR>"Most of the major banks have =
already been=20
      giving the data anyway, so comparability won't be a problem, =
because we=20
      already have the data," said Ron Mandle, analyst at Sanford=20
      Bernstein.<BR><BR>In other sectors of the market, analysts are =
still=20
      waiting for companies to provide details before they prepare their =
new=20
      estimates.<BR><BR>Saying that they'd rather get it right than =
fast, these=20
      analysts are relying on the companies they cover to provide them =
with=20
      guidance and do the arithmetic.<BR><BR>"I didn't want to go ahead =
and=20
      speculate only to have to adjust because I didn't get the =
classifications=20
      right," said Michael Harris, a Deutsche Banc analyst who follows =
<A=20
      =
href=3D"http://cgi.cnnfn.com/mgi/mgi_search?QUERY=3DCAT">Caterpillar</A> =
<!--FN_BOX_BEGIN-->(<A=20
      href=3D"http://gw.money.cnn.com/search/GW?symbol=3DCAT">CAT</A>: =
down $0.59 to=20
      $49.90, <A=20
      =
href=3D"http://cnnfn.multexinvestor.com/TickerSearch.asp?ticker=3DCAT">Re=
search</A>,=20
      <A =
href=3D"http://cgi.money.cnn.com/firstcall/fc?ticker=3DCAT">Estimates</A>=
)<!--FN_BOX_END-->.<BR><BR>Todd=20
      A. Hinrichs, who follows Caterpillar for ABN Amro and also is =
waiting for=20
      company guidance, says the issue isn't that much of a problem for =
his=20
      clients because they're institutional investors who understand the =

      change.<BR><BR>But he and others concede that individual =
investors, in=20
      particular those who pick their own stocks using analysts' =
estimates,=20
      probably will be confused.<BR><BR><!--FN_BOX_BEGIN-->
      <CENTER><B>Coping with =
uncertainty</B></CENTER><BR><!--FN_BOX_END-->Even=20
      Wall Street's top strategists are guessing when they compare =
earnings=20
      expectations to previous years. Strategists use the coming year's=20
      projected earnings to make predictions and judgments about the =
market.=20
      They base some of their work on how much earnings have grown, or =
not=20
      grown, from previous years.<BR><BR>But without proper comparison =
numbers=20
      from past years, projecting future growth or even analyzing =
current growth=20
      will involve more guesswork than usual. Wall Street has been =
through this=20
      before with other accounting changes, so the professionals have=20
      established coping methods. For example, at Brown Brothers =
Harriman, Blood=20
      expects to prepare two sets of earnings projections because of the =
new=20
      rule.<BR><BR>But to a certain degree, the market is stuck with =
precisely=20
      what it hates most: uncertainty.<BR><BR>"What you have to accept =
is that=20
      we won't get very precise numbers until we have everything sorted =
out,"=20
      says Subodh Kumar, chief investment strategist at CIBC World=20
  Markets</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3DSpencer48@aol.com=20
  href=3D"mailto:Spencer48@aol.com">Spencer48@aol.com</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, January 19, =
2002 9:16=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: AW: [CANSLIM] =
Arthur=20
  Andersen</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>Dave, Andreas and Tom:<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; =
Andreas:=20
  How can cash-flow be below EPS, since in order to derive <BR>cash-flow =
you=20
  must add non-cash expenses (like amortization expense, =
<BR>and-possibly (see=20
  next paragraph as to why I am uncertain)-good-will=20
  expense)<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; On Wednesday or Thursday's =
CNBC show=20
  with Lawerence Kudlow at 11PM EST, <BR>the show revolved around the =
Enron=20
  scandal.&nbsp; I thought I heard mention that <BR>the Supervisory =
Board=20
  relating to Accounting Practices was doing away with <BR>the balance =
sheet=20
  entry "Goodwill", but I thought it had already been done <BR>away with =
several=20
  years ago?&nbsp; <BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; In any event, what =
baffles=20
  me is that just about everyone on the <BR>business news remarks on =
Enron's OFF=20
  BOOK ACCOUNTS, but I've heard no one on <BR>any of these shows lambast =
anyone=20
  at Enron (or Anderson <BR>who-putatively-audited them) who decided to =
go with=20
  off-book accounting.&nbsp; It <BR>makes one wonder, how many public=20
  corporation have off-book entries?&nbsp; It also <BR>makes one wonder =
if DGO,=20
  WON and IBD recognize these entries as legitimate-or <BR>if they are =
even=20
  aware of them?&nbsp; I guess the bottom line is:&nbsp; How accurate is =
<BR>an=20
  off-book entry, and does it accurately and legally reflect the=20
  <BR>corporation's profit/loss statement, or is it instead a gambit a=20
  corporation <BR>uses to circumvent investment law and SEC supervision? =

  <BR><BR>jans <BR><BR><BR>In a message dated 1/19/2002 8:02:27 PM =
Eastern=20
  Standard Time, <BR><A =
href=3D"mailto:judgejimmy@web.de">judgejimmy@web.de</A>=20
  writes:<BR><BR>&lt;&lt; ts not only Anderson or Enron, its also laws =
that give=20
  the possibiltiy<BR>&nbsp;to give EPS numbers that are so far away from =
the=20
  cash flow number, that<BR>&nbsp;the EPS number does not represent "a =
true and=20
  fair view" of the current <BR>situation<BR>&nbsp;of the firm. You can =
not pay=20
  bills with EPS number, you only can pay<BR>&nbsp;for personel and =
material if=20
  you generate enough cash flow to cover your <BR>costs<BR>&nbsp;and to =
reach a=20
  profit margin and to take care of investments in you=20
  business.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;A very good way to see quickly if the EPS =

  Reporting is fair or not --&gt;<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;Check if the Cash =
Flow is=20
  above or at least equal to the EPS numbers <BR>reported.<BR>&nbsp;If =
it is=20
  even below, than its always good to be really critical=20
  ...<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;Cash Flow Price Ratio should be always below =
the PE=20
  Ratio. A good sign is<BR>&nbsp;if the Cash Flow to Price Ratio is half =
the PE=20
  Ratio (thats my rule of <BR>thumb).<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;Even better, =
use free=20
  cash flow (the money that is not needed even after <BR>investments =
charged),=20
  <BR>&nbsp;but this is not provided by any service I know=20
  ...<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;I always wondered, why the investment community =
does=20
  not pay attention to <BR>the differences<BR>&nbsp;between both numbers =
(PE and=20
  PCF Ratio).<BR>&nbsp;But as far I can tell, a low Price Cash flow =
Ratio, which=20
  is well below the <BR>PE Ratio is<BR>&nbsp;very seldem taken into =
account by=20
  the market and very seldem is used as <BR>"fuel" to<BR>&nbsp;price up =
the=20
  stock price.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;So I only get really cautious if the =
PCF Ratio=20
  is not below the PE Ratio.<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;But with Enron, I gues, =
even=20
  this would not have helped, due to the fact <BR>that they just=20
  reported<BR>&nbsp;wrong numbers...<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;See=20
  you<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;Andreas<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;<BR>&nbsp;&gt;=20
  -----Ursprungliche Nachricht-----<BR>&nbsp;&gt; Von: Dave Cameron=20
  [SMTP:dfcameron@yahoo.com]<BR>&nbsp;&gt; Gesendet am: Sunday, January =
20, 2002=20
  1:07 AM<BR>&nbsp;&gt; An:&nbsp; <A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>&nbsp;&gt;=20
  Betreff: [CANSLIM] Arthur Andersen<BR>&nbsp;&gt; <BR>&nbsp;&gt; =
<BR>&nbsp;&gt;=20
  --- Tom Worley &lt;<A=20
  href=3D"mailto:stkguru@netside.net">stkguru@netside.net</A>&gt;=20
  wrote:<BR>&nbsp;&gt; Tom writes:<BR>&nbsp;&gt; <BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; Is =
it=20
  coincidence that Arthur Andersen is Enron's consultant /<BR>&nbsp;&gt; =
&gt;=20
  advisor / auditor, and was also doing some of the same for=20
  Sunbeam?<BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; (some Sunbeam execs just settled a =
shareholder=20
  class action lawsuit<BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; for $15 million so they can=20
  concentrate on defending themselves<BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; against fraud =
charges=20
  by the SEC). Sure, I'll pay you guys $15<BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; really big =
ones,=20
  but, hey, I'm still not admitting I did anything<BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; =
wrong with=20
  the company financial reports. Maybe we should be buying<BR>&nbsp;&gt; =
&gt;=20
  shares in companies making shredders?? This is the third =
big<BR>&nbsp;&gt;=20
  &gt; financial scandal in recent years involving Andersen, and=20
  now<BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; leading to cries from Congress for governmental =

  regulation of<BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; accounting firms. Great idea, let the =

  politicians who rarely can<BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; balance a budget, and =
invented=20
  the concept of off-book accounting,<BR>&nbsp;&gt; &gt; regulate the=20
  accountants.<BR>&nbsp;&gt; <BR>&nbsp;&gt; This makes me wonder how =
"good" the=20
  earnings figures we get really<BR>&nbsp;&gt; are.&nbsp; It seems =
logical that=20
  given the number of firms that Arthur<BR>&nbsp;&gt; Andersen serves as =
the=20
  accountants/auditors, there have to be more<BR>&nbsp;&gt; out there =
that are=20
  fraudulent - and someone is benefiting.<BR>&nbsp;&gt; <BR>&nbsp;&gt;=20
  Furthermore, is it likely this behavior is unique to just=20
  Andersen?<BR>&nbsp;&gt; <BR>&nbsp;&gt; I don't mean to sound like a =
conspiracy=20
  type; but it does give me a<BR>&nbsp;&gt; dose of cynicism that we =
have to be=20
  even more diligent in our<BR>&nbsp;&gt; research.&nbsp; Enron was =
rarely, if=20
  ever, a CANSLIM stock, but the lesson<BR>&nbsp;&gt; is valuable=20
  nonetheless.<BR>&nbsp;&gt; <BR>&nbsp;&gt; I suspect the Enron =
situation could=20
  change some legislation.&nbsp;&nbsp; There<BR>&nbsp;&gt; are some big =
name=20
  trustee types demanding an investigation.&nbsp;&nbsp; I =
blame<BR>&nbsp;&gt;=20
  Andersen more than Enron.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Andersen is "supposed" to =
be=20
  impartial;<BR>&nbsp;&gt; hence the auditing =
requirements.<BR>&nbsp;&gt;&nbsp;=20
  &gt;&gt;<BR><BR>-<BR>-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>-In=
 the=20
  email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe =
canslim".&nbsp; Do=20
  not use quotes in your email.</BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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