Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@netside.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Date: Mon, 28 Jan 2002 08:30:28 -0500
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Hi Ben,
You already figured out most of the mystery of LLUR (Lower Left Upper =
Right). It is a contribution from a former member of the group, but not =
a WON defined chart pattern (altho recently IBD talked about an =
"ascending base" which may be similar).
DLX is an excellent example of a LLUR. Very steady pattern, even through =
the halt after 9/11 attacks. Very tight daily trading range as well. And =
just keeps steadily moving up the price chart, even tho earnings =
forecasts are anything but robust. Can also be viewed as a trading range =
which is steadily moving higher, on more volatile stocks.
Best way to view the pattern is to tilt your head about 45 degrees to =
the left, and you should then see a long (preferably 12 months but =
lately 6 months seems to be working as well) very flat line base. There =
should be consistency particularly in the bottom of the trading range. =
Many of the LLUR patterns seem to bottom out on the 50 DMA, but you can =
play with the DMA lines and find other time periods that may better fit =
the chart pattern.
As for entry / exit points, depends on whether you are trying to trade =
it short term or invest mid to long term. For short term, entry is at =
the bottom of the trading range, exit at the high side of the range. For =
investing, best to enter at the bottom of the range but can just about =
pick any spot if you don't mind the possibility of a short term decline. =
In either case, the pattern is pretty sacred. If it violates the =
pattern, such as with a sharp breakout up, then your finger should be on =
the sell trigger because this pattern generally doesn't create any =
nearby support if it fails. Consistency of the pattern is very =
important, just as is making sure it also possesses good CANSLIM =
character in terms of RS, EPS, etc.
Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net
AIM: TexWorley
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Ben Chilcote=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Monday, January 28, 2002 8:08 AM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Tom,
Enjoyed reading your Weekned Weeview. I looked at charts of all the =
stocks in your watchlist and I have a question. What does LLUR stand =
for? I can see from the charts that it is a stock the is slowly and =
constistantly rising staying above the 50DMA. Also, where is the pivot =
or buying point for these kinds of stocks? I had seen the chart of DLX =
late last fall and was amazed recently to see it still following the =
same pattern, so last week I bought some shares of DLX, hoping that the =
trend will continue. I suppose this type of stock will not yield =
amazing returns but hopefully a longterm steady return.=20
As a new member of the discussion group, I am enjoying reading and =
learning from all the emails.
Ben
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Tom Worley=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Saturday, January 26, 2002 9:23 AM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
LEAVE IT TO THE JAPANESE
A Japanese toymaker (Takara Co. Ltd.) intends to begin building =
electric cars. Not toys, real cars, that can be driven on the highway. =
They also make karaoke systems, robots that open beer cans, and remote =
operated cars for young adults.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ---
LEADING INDICATORS
Latest report (for Dec) shows 8 of the 10 components rising, overall =
rate up 1.2%. This is the third monthly improvement (largest since =
1996), and combined with the 0.8% gain in Nov, is the largest two month =
gain since 1992. Best indication from this is no Fed rate cut Jan 30. =
Since expectation of another 25 basis point cut is already priced into =
the market, this could be bad, but likely more than offset by an upbeat =
Greenspan. Mr. Greenspan address to Congress on Thursday did clarify, as =
some rumors suggest his words on Jan 11 were taken as more bearish and =
concerned about the economy than he intended. The coincident indicators, =
BTW, which measure current economic activity, reversed to the positive =
in December, up 0.1% after a drop of 0.3% in November. Still, I am now =
expecting the Q4 GDP will end up being a negative number, confirming =
that we had (note the past tense) a recession.=20
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ---
UNEMPLOYMENT
While expectations continue that the overall rate will rise to 6% or =
higher, it is worth noting that new claims continue to fall, and this =
week once again were below expectations. The 4 week average, a more =
reliable indicator, also dipped nearly to 400,000, and continuing claims =
dropped by 50,000.=20
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ---
UPCOMING INFLUENCES
This week is full of some major economic reports, plus the meeting =
of FOMC on Tue/Wed. Monday we get new home sales (industry remains very =
strong, saw a lot of good looking stocks today), Tuesday is Consumer =
Confidence and Durable Goods reports, Wednesday we get the first reading =
on the GDP for Q4, Thursday we get the Personal Income and Spending =
Report, and Friday we get the Employment Report for January.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ---
WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABEES
Although the markets didn't seem to do much this week, the =
population of stocks I am reviewing this week is growing. New highs =
continue to substantially exceed new lows, and up/down volume seemed to =
be higher as well.
As always, Bx is my shorthand for a flat line "B"ase of "x" weeks =
duration, IMO. Any larger basing pattern I see, such as a cup & handle, =
double bottom, LLUR, etc., I will state.
BBY - c&h, handle 5+ weeks on declining volume
BVN - c&h, handle 2 weeks, vol still high, Peruvian firm
CEDC - LLUR
CRFT - B6
DKWD - volatile LLUR
DLX - amazingly smooth LLUR even tho forecasts not great
ELTE - didn't quite break the pivot on Friday on 2X ADV
EME - nice double bottom, low forecasts, handle trending slightly up =
on low volume, 5 weeks
EUNI - what a wild ride, can't read the chart, strong forecasts, low =
price
FCN - LLUR, broke out to the high side of range on volume
FHRX - former LLUR that broke pattern to downside, may now be c&h =
w/rough 5 week handle
FMAR - high handle to the cup, low price and volume
FRED - LLUR
GFF - LLUR
HCBK - smooth ascent, not sure how to read it but strong earnings =
forecast and 3 div increases in 3 qtrs
HOV - nice 5 week high handle on a smooth cup, low forecast and =
latest qtr down slightly
HTRN - high handle on nice cup, good forecast
IART - high side of trading range, volume dropping, strong forecast
MDCI - B4, well under high but good forecast
NLY - B4
PENN - high handle forming?
PETM - nice LLUR
PFGC - c&h, started b/o Friday, nearly 2X ADV but not past pivot of =
36.35
POSS - B4
RGIS - B4
RYAN - LLUR
SCVL - c&h, high handle 3 weeks
STSA - c&h, new handle, selling vol above avg but price holding
TASR - B2, EPS only 55 but earnings forecast 227%
URBN - B5
WSH - tight B9 despite doing a secondary offering soon after the IPO
WTSLA - B2
Happy Hunting,
Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net
AIM: TexWorley
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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Hi Ben,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>You already figured out most of the mystery of =
LLUR (Lower=20
Left Upper Right). It is a contribution from a former member of the =
group, but=20
not a WON defined chart pattern (altho recently IBD talked about an =
"ascending=20
base" which may be similar).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>DLX is an excellent example of a LLUR. Very =
steady=20
pattern, even through the halt after 9/11 attacks. Very tight daily =
trading=20
range as well. And just keeps steadily moving up the price chart, even =
tho=20
earnings forecasts are anything but robust. Can also be viewed as a =
trading=20
range which is steadily moving higher, on more volatile =
stocks.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Best way to view the pattern is to tilt your =
head about 45=20
degrees to the left, and you should then see a long (preferably 12 =
months but=20
lately 6 months seems to be working as well) very flat line base. There =
should=20
be consistency particularly in the bottom of the trading range. Many of =
the LLUR=20
patterns seem to bottom out on the 50 DMA, but you can play with the DMA =
lines=20
and find other time periods that may better fit the chart =
pattern.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>As for entry / exit points, depends on whether =
you are=20
trying to trade it short term or invest mid to long term. For short =
term, entry=20
is at the bottom of the trading range, exit at the high side of the =
range. For=20
investing, best to enter at the bottom of the range but can just about =
pick any=20
spot if you don't mind the possibility of a short term decline. In =
either case,=20
the pattern is pretty sacred. If it violates the pattern, such as with a =
sharp=20
breakout up, then your finger should be on the sell trigger because this =
pattern=20
generally doesn't create any nearby support if it fails. Consistency of =
the=20
pattern is very important, just as is making sure it also possesses good =
CANSLIM=20
character in terms of RS, EPS, etc.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@netside.net">stkguru@netside.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dcbenj@pennswoods.net =
href=3D"mailto:cbenj@pennswoods.net">Ben=20
Chilcote</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, January 28, 2002 =
8:08=20
AM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's =
Weekend=20
Weeview</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Tom,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Enjoyed reading your Weekned =
Weeview. I=20
looked at charts of all the stocks in your watchlist and I have a=20
question. What does LLUR stand for? I can see from the =
charts that=20
it is a stock the is slowly and constistantly rising staying above the =
50DMA. Also, where is the pivot or buying point for these kinds =
of=20
stocks? I had seen the chart of DLX late last fall and was =
amazed=20
recently to see it still following the same pattern, so last week I =
bought=20
some shares of DLX, hoping that the trend will continue. I =
suppose this=20
type of stock will not yield amazing returns but hopefully a longterm =
steady=20
return. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>As a new member of the discussion =
group, I am=20
enjoying reading and learning from all the emails.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Ben</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dstkguru@netside.net =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@netside.net">Tom=20
Worley</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, January 26, =
2002 9:23=20
AM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Worley's =
Weekend=20
Weeview</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>LEAVE IT TO THE =
JAPANESE</STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>A Japanese toymaker (Takara Co. Ltd.) =
intends to begin=20
building electric cars. Not toys, real cars, that can be driven on =
the=20
highway. They also make karaoke systems, robots that open beer cans, =
and=20
remote operated cars for young adults.</DIV>
<DIV>
<HR>
</DIV>
<DIV><STRONG>LEADING INDICATORS</STRONG></DIV>
<DIV>Latest report (for Dec) shows 8 of the 10 components rising, =
overall=20
rate up 1.2%. This is the third monthly improvement (largest since =
1996),=20
and combined with the 0.8% gain in Nov, is the largest two month =
gain since=20
1992. Best indication from this is no Fed rate cut Jan 30. Since =
expectation=20
of another 25 basis point cut is already priced into the market, =
this could=20
be bad, but likely more than offset by an upbeat Greenspan. Mr. =
Greenspan=20
address to Congress on Thursday did clarify, as some rumors =
suggest his=20
words on Jan 11 were taken as more bearish and concerned =
about the=20
economy than he intended. The coincident indicators, BTW, which =
measure=20
current economic activity, reversed to the positive in December, up =
0.1%=20
after a drop of 0.3% in November. Still, I am now expecting the Q4 =
GDP will=20
end up being a negative number, confirming that we had (note the =
past tense)=20
a recession.=20
<HR>
</DIV>
<DIV><STRONG>UNEMPLOYMENT</STRONG></DIV>
<DIV>While expectations continue that the overall rate will rise to =
6% or=20
higher, it is worth noting that new claims continue to fall, and =
this week=20
once again were below expectations. The 4 week average, a more =
reliable=20
indicator, also dipped nearly to 400,000, and continuing claims =
dropped by=20
50,000. </DIV>
<DIV>
<HR>
</DIV>
<DIV><STRONG>UPCOMING INFLUENCES</STRONG></DIV>
<DIV>This week is full of some major economic reports, plus the =
meeting of=20
FOMC on Tue/Wed. Monday we get new home sales (industry remains very =
strong,=20
saw a lot of good looking stocks today), Tuesday is Consumer =
Confidence and=20
Durable Goods reports, Wednesday we get the first reading on the GDP =
for Q4,=20
Thursday we get the Personal Income and Spending Report, and Friday =
we get=20
the Employment Report for January.</DIV>
<DIV>
<HR>
</DIV>
<DIV><STRONG>WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABEES</STRONG></DIV>
<DIV>Although the markets didn't seem to do much this week, the =
population=20
of stocks I am reviewing this week is growing. New highs continue to =
substantially exceed new lows, and up/down volume seemed to be =
higher as=20
well.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>As always, Bx is my shorthand for a flat line "B"ase of "x" =
weeks=20
duration, IMO. Any larger basing pattern I see, such as a cup & =
handle,=20
double bottom, LLUR, etc., I will state.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>BBY - c&h, handle 5+ weeks on declining volume</DIV>
<DIV>BVN - c&h, handle 2 weeks, vol still high, Peruvian =
firm</DIV>
<DIV>CEDC - LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>CRFT - B6</DIV>
<DIV>DKWD - volatile LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>DLX - amazingly smooth LLUR even tho forecasts not great</DIV>
<DIV>ELTE - didn't quite break the pivot on Friday on 2X ADV</DIV>
<DIV>EME - nice double bottom, low forecasts, handle trending =
slightly up on=20
low volume, 5 weeks</DIV>
<DIV>EUNI - what a wild ride, can't read the chart, strong =
forecasts, low=20
price</DIV>
<DIV>FCN - LLUR, broke out to the high side of range on volume</DIV>
<DIV>FHRX - former LLUR that broke pattern to downside, may now be =
c&h=20
w/rough 5 week handle</DIV>
<DIV>FMAR - high handle to the cup, low price and volume</DIV>
<DIV>FRED - LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>GFF - LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>HCBK - smooth ascent, not sure how to read it but strong =
earnings=20
forecast and 3 div increases in 3 qtrs</DIV>
<DIV>HOV - nice 5 week high handle on a smooth cup, low forecast and =
latest=20
qtr down slightly</DIV>
<DIV>HTRN - high handle on nice cup, good forecast</DIV>
<DIV>IART - high side of trading range, volume dropping, strong=20
forecast</DIV>
<DIV>MDCI - B4, well under high but good forecast</DIV>
<DIV>NLY - B4</DIV>
<DIV>PENN - high handle forming?</DIV>
<DIV>PETM - nice LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>PFGC - c&h, started b/o Friday, nearly 2X ADV but not past =
pivot of=20
36.35</DIV>
<DIV>POSS - B4</DIV>
<DIV>RGIS - B4</DIV>
<DIV>RYAN - LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>SCVL - c&h, high handle 3 weeks</DIV>
<DIV>STSA - c&h, new handle, selling vol above avg but price=20
holding</DIV>
<DIV>TASR - B2, EPS only 55 but earnings forecast 227%</DIV>
<DIV>URBN - B5</DIV>
<DIV>WSH - tight B9 despite doing a secondary offering soon after =
the=20
IPO</DIV>
<DIV>WTSLA - B2</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Happy Hunting,</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><IMG alt=3D"" hspace=3D0 =
src=3D"cid:005401c1a7ff$f319add0$1ea08fd0@D73PS211"=20
align=3Dbaseline border=3D0></DIV></FONT>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@netside.net">stkguru@netside.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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