Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Follow Through Days
Date: Fri, 1 Feb 2002 21:46:09 -0600
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Hi Lonnie,
When I said "rally's dead" it was referring to the move up from the last =
FTD 9/28/01. (In retrospect, I think all that action in December was the =
"real" end of the rally) So, at this point, anything can happen. If you =
look at the reversal day with a tail on 1/9, you could interpret that as =
the beginning of a new downtrend. But we really don't know yet. 1/30 was =
an accumulation day. It's possible that we could get a FTD 2/4-2/13 and =
that would mark the beginning of a new uptrend. It's also possible that =
we could go into a lengthier downtrend like the one we saw June-Sept =
last year. In the meantime, there's some, but not much, quality stuff on =
the verge of a breakout, but there are some strong stocks in strong =
industries trying to finish bases. (Also plenty of stinky stocks in =
stinky industries breaking down!)
Katherine
- ----- Original Message -----=20
From: Lonnie Brauner=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Friday, February 01, 2002 9:32 PM
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Follow Through Days
Hi Katherine,
Thanks for the thorough notes!! (I could use some more discipline =
there).
So, in spite of all those DD's, is it not true that a follow through =
of yesterday's up day on good volume would/could be a sign of a new =
rally?
Or, is the rally dead?
Lonnie=20
-----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Katherine Malm
Sent: Friday, February 01, 2002 8:57 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Follow Through Days
Hi Andreas,
I don't really remember what the IBD wrote mid-December, and as I've =
finally worked through the foot high stack of IBD's, they're long gone =
to the recyclers. I looked back in my trading journal and this is what I =
noticed on the NASDAQ charts:
12/6/01--sign of stress?? new high on fairly high volume without =
much upside progress
12/11 & 12/12--churning
12/13-Distribution Day (DD)
following 3 days are churning....by itself it doesn't worry me, but =
stacked up with the previous signals it's bad news
12/19--DD
12/20--DD--2 in a row...not good, especially with all the churning. =
That's 3 total DD's now.
12/26, 27, 28--churning again
12/31--DD --think the rally's done but not completely clear cut =
because there's a mix of churning and DD's
1/3/02 & 1/4/02--market begins to look ok...will start over with the =
DD count
1/9--DD
1/14--DD
1/16--DD that's 3 in a row...bad news
1/22--DD that's 4 in 2 weeks
1/29--DD that's 5. Rally's dead.
I use DGO charts for this....so won't include a graphic to go with =
it. I like the red and blue...helps me see the DD's and Accumulation =
Days more easily.
Katherine
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Andreas Himmelreich=20
To: 'canslim@lists.xmission.com'=20
Sent: Friday, February 01, 2002 7:49 PM
Subject: AW: [CANSLIM] Follow Through Days
Hi Katherine,
Thank you.
Did IDB call the stall of mid 12/01?
Regards
Andreas
> -----Ursprungliche Nachricht-----
> Von: Katherine Malm [SMTP:kmalm@earthlink.net]
> Gesendet am: Friday, February 01, 2002 9:30 PM
> An: canslim@lists.xmission.com
> Betreff: Re: [CANSLIM] Follow Through Days
>
> Hi Andreas...
>
> I'm doing this somewhat from memory...so please don't hold me to =
the=20
exact dates--
>
> Market top about 3/21/00-3/29/00
> FTD about 6/2/00 (I was at an IBD seminar in NYC, so remember =
this one!)=20
to rally stall early 9/00
> Mini rally early 10/00 to end of month (can't remember if this =
was an=20
"official" FTD)
> Mini rally mid 1/01 to end of month (again, not sure if there =
was an=20
official FTD)
> FTD early 4/01 to stall early 6/01
> FTD about 9/28/01 until stall mid 12/01.
> Mini rally beg. 1/02 until 5th distribution day hit 1/29/02.
> Would have to see a FTD at this point to indicate a fresh rally =
after the=20
up day 1/30/02. (would need to occur 4-10 days after, so that =
would make it=20
2/5 to 2/13, just in time for Valentine's Day!)
>
> Katherine
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Andreas Himmelreich
> To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
> Sent: Friday, February 01, 2002 1:15 PM
> Subject: [CANSLIM] Follow Through Days
>
>
> Hi,
>
> just wondered, how many follow through days there where =
between March=20
2000 and October 2001.
>
> I know of two in 2001 (the one which where followed by the =
spring rally=20
and the last in October).
>
> Have there been other rallies that failed.
>
> Thanks
>
> Andreas
>
> -
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> -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
> -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
> << Datei: ATT00000.htm >>=20
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<DIV>Hi Lonnie,</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>When I said "rally's dead" it was referring to the move up from the =
last=20
FTD 9/28/01. (In retrospect, I think all that action in December =
was the=20
"real" end of the rally) So, at this point, anything can happen. If =
you=20
look at the reversal day with a tail on 1/9, you could interpret that as =
the=20
beginning of a new downtrend. But we really don't know yet. 1/30 was an=20
accumulation day. It's possible that we could get a FTD 2/4-2/13 and =
that would=20
mark the beginning of a new uptrend. It's also possible that we could go =
into a=20
lengthier downtrend like the one we saw June-Sept last year. In the =
meantime,=20
there's some, but not much, quality stuff on the verge of a breakout, =
but there=20
are some strong stocks in strong industries trying to finish bases. =
(Also plenty=20
of stinky stocks in stinky industries breaking down!)</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dlonnie@hal-pc.org href=3D"mailto:lonnie@hal-pc.org">Lonnie =
Brauner</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, February 01, 2002 =
9:32=20
PM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] Follow =
Through=20
Days</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390042803-02022002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff>Hi=20
Katherine,</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390042803-02022002><FONT face=3DArial=20
color=3D#0000ff></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390042803-02022002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff>Thanks for=20
the thorough notes!! (I could use some more discipline=20
there).</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390042803-02022002><FONT face=3DArial=20
color=3D#0000ff></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390042803-02022002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff>So, in=20
spite of all those DD's, is it not true that a follow through of =
yesterday's=20
up day on good volume would/could be a sign of a new=20
rally?</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390042803-02022002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff>Or, is the=20
rally dead?</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<P></P><FONT size=3D2><STRONG>
<P>Lonnie </P>
<P><IMG height=3D74 =
src=3D"cid:015501c1ab9c$26c3d260$0500a8c0@mindspring.com"=20
width=3D74></P></FONT></STRONG>
<DIV> </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader><FONT face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> <A=20
=
href=3D"mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com">owner-canslim@lists.xmis=
sion.com</A>=20
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<B>On Behalf Of</B> =
Katherine=20
Malm<BR><B>Sent:</B> Friday, February 01, 2002 8:57 PM<BR><B>To:</B> =
canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Follow =
Through=20
Days<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>Hi Andreas,</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>I don't really remember what the IBD wrote mid-December, and as =
I've=20
finally worked through the foot high stack of IBD's, they're long =
gone to=20
the recyclers. I looked back in my trading journal and this is what =
I=20
noticed on the NASDAQ charts:</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>12/6/01--sign of stress?? new high on fairly high volume =
without much=20
upside progress</DIV>
<DIV>12/11 & 12/12--churning</DIV>
<DIV>12/13-Distribution Day (DD)</DIV>
<DIV>following 3 days are churning....by itself it doesn't worry me, =
but=20
stacked up with the previous signals it's bad news</DIV>
<DIV>12/19--DD</DIV>
<DIV>12/20--DD--2 in a row...not good, especially with all the =
churning.=20
That's 3 total DD's now.</DIV>
<DIV>12/26, 27, 28--churning again</DIV>
<DIV>12/31--DD --think the rally's done but not completely =
clear cut=20
because there's a mix of churning and DD's</DIV>
<DIV>1/3/02 & 1/4/02--market begins to look ok...will start over =
with=20
the DD count</DIV>
<DIV>1/9--DD</DIV>
<DIV>1/14--DD</DIV>
<DIV>1/16--DD that's 3 in a row...bad news</DIV>
<DIV>1/22--DD that's 4 in 2 weeks</DIV>
<DIV>1/29--DD that's 5. Rally's dead.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>I use DGO charts for this....so won't include a graphic to go =
with it.=20
I like the red and blue...helps me see the DD's and Accumulation =
Days more=20
easily.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Djudgejimmy@web.de =
href=3D"mailto:judgejimmy@web.de">Andreas=20
Himmelreich</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:'canslim@lists.xmission.com'">'canslim@lists.xmission.com'=
</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, February 01, =
2002 7:49=20
PM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> AW: [CANSLIM] =
Follow Through=20
Days</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>Hi Katherine,<BR><BR>Thank you.<BR>Did IDB call the =
stall=20
of mid 12/01?<BR><BR>Regards<BR><BR>Andreas<BR><BR><BR>>=20
-----Ursprungliche Nachricht-----<BR>> Von: Katherine Malm=20
[SMTP:kmalm@earthlink.net]<BR>> Gesendet am: Friday, February =
01, 2002=20
9:30 PM<BR>> An: <A=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>>=20
Betreff: Re: [CANSLIM] Follow Through Days<BR>><BR>> Hi=20
Andreas...<BR>><BR>> I'm doing this somewhat from =
memory...so please=20
don't hold me to the <BR>exact dates--<BR>><BR>> Market top =
about=20
3/21/00-3/29/00<BR>> FTD about 6/2/00 (I was at an IBD seminar =
in NYC,=20
so remember this one!) <BR>to rally stall early 9/00<BR>> Mini =
rally=20
early 10/00 to end of month (can't remember if this was an =
<BR>"official"=20
FTD)<BR>> Mini rally mid 1/01 to end of month (again, not sure =
if there=20
was an <BR>official FTD)<BR>> FTD early 4/01 to stall early=20
6/01<BR>> FTD about 9/28/01 until stall mid 12/01.<BR>> Mini =
rally=20
beg. 1/02 until 5th distribution day hit 1/29/02.<BR>> Would =
have to=20
see a FTD at this point to indicate a fresh rally after the <BR>up =
day=20
1/30/02. (would need to occur 4-10 days after, so that would make =
it=20
<BR>2/5 to 2/13, just in time for Valentine's =
Day!)<BR>><BR>>=20
Katherine<BR>> ----- Original Message=20
-----<BR>> From: Andreas =
Himmelreich<BR>> =20
To: <A=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>> =20
Sent: Friday, February 01, 2002 1:15 PM<BR>> =
Subject:=20
[CANSLIM] Follow Through Days<BR>><BR>><BR>> =20
Hi,<BR>><BR>> just wondered, how many follow =
through=20
days there where between March <BR>2000 and October=20
2001.<BR>><BR>> I know of two in 2001 (the one =
which=20
where followed by the spring rally <BR>and the last in=20
October).<BR>><BR>> Have there been other =
rallies that=20
failed.<BR>><BR>> =
Thanks<BR>><BR>> =20
Andreas<BR>><BR>> -<BR>> -To=20
subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
=
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>>=
; =20
-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" =
or<BR>> =20
-"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your=20
email.<BR>> << Datei: ATT00000.htm >>=20
<BR><BR>-<BR>-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
=
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>-In=
=20
the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe=20
canslim". Do not use quotes in your=20
email.</BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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