Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's W W - Japan and TYC


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's W W - Japan and TYC
Date: Sat, 9 Feb 2002 11:32:14 -0600

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Hi Rolf,

I'm in a bit of a rush today, so more details later. But, the biggest =
"threat" to the rest of the world if Japan goes down is "exported =
deflation." Imagine a world where Japan floods the market with autos at =
1/2 the price of an American made model. US business has to "match" to =
be able to sell their products. I'll give a more detailed example of the =
domino effect that has on the US economy tomorrow when I have some time.

Katherine
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: rolf hertenstein=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Saturday, February 09, 2002 10:24 AM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's W W - Japan and TYC


  I'm just trying to understand a couple issues raised a bit better.

  Read the Erdman article on Japan, Tom's comments on it and his WWW =
Japan
  comments.  What real impact would a Japanese crash have on our =
economy?
  Do U.S. banks have big loans to Japanese corps?  Our exports to Japan =
aren't
  so large that a slow-down in exports to Japan would hurt us, or would =
they?  With
  a falling yen would Japanese exports get so cheap that nobody would =
buy our
  goods?

  As for TYC, even though they didn't announce (press releases) all =
acquisitions,=20
  they were still properly reported in quarterly reports I believe.  So =
this is sloppy PR=20
  perhaps but nothing wrong (illegal or misleading) me thinks.  Correct?

   Rolf

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<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
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<META content=3D"MSHTML 5.50.4807.2300" name=3DGENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV>Hi Rolf,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>I'm in a bit of a rush today, so more details later. But, the =
biggest=20
"threat" to the rest of the world if Japan goes down is "exported =
deflation."=20
Imagine a world where Japan floods the market with autos at 1/2 the =
price of an=20
American made model. US business has to "match" to be able to sell their =

products. I'll give a more detailed example of the domino effect that =
has on the=20
US economy tomorrow when I have some time.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Drolfh@mindspring.com =
href=3D"mailto:rolfh@mindspring.com">rolf=20
  hertenstein</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, February 09, =
2002 10:24=20
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's =
W W -=20
  Japan and TYC</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>I'm just trying to understand a =
couple issues=20
  raised a bit better.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Read the Erdman article on Japan, =
Tom's comments=20
  on it and his WWW Japan</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>comments.&nbsp; What real impact =
would a Japanese=20
  crash have on our economy?</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Do U.S. banks have big loans to =
Japanese=20
  corps?&nbsp; Our exports to Japan aren't</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>so large that a slow-down in exports =
to Japan=20
  would hurt us, or would they?&nbsp; With</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>a falling yen would Japanese exports =
get so cheap=20
  that nobody would buy our</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>goods?</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>As for TYC, even though they didn't =
announce=20
  (press releases) all&nbsp;acquisitions, </FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>they were still properly </FONT><FONT =
face=3DArial=20
  size=3D2>reported in quarterly reports I believe.&nbsp; So this is =
sloppy PR=20
  </FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>perhaps but nothing </FONT><FONT =
face=3DArial=20
  size=3D2>wrong (illegal or misleading)&nbsp;me thinks.&nbsp;=20
  Correct?</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>&nbsp;Rolf</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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