Re: [CANSLIM] Lack of Buy Candidates


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Lack of Buy Candidates
Date: Mon, 18 Feb 2002 12:26:41 -0600

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Hi Ian,

I hope you will understand my answer to your request for my list when I =
say "sorry, but I cannot." I see this as opening a big can of worms. I =
feel strongly in doing my own mining and as a result never pay attention =
to other people's lists whether they come from a newsletter, an email =
forum, CNBC, an analyst, etc. In the same way, I feel that sharing my =
own lists would not be of benefit to others because the methods that I =
use are personalized to my own style of trading. Earlier today I posted =
some "generalized" notes on how I go about finding stocks and that may =
lead you to many of the same names I get in my "filtered" list once you =
apply your own style to it. (I see forward growth rates as the number =
one most important filter but you may have a differing opinion even to =
this most basic of my criteria.)

Please don't misunderstand my unwillingness to share as being secretive =
or anything as dastardly as that. It's really about staying true to my =
principles.

Katherine
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Ian=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Monday, February 18, 2002 12:16 PM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Lack of Buy Candidates


  I couldn't agree more, and I couldn't have said it better myself. I =
have seen that microcaps with strong revenue and EPS growth will get bid =
up in any market - the only thing they need is a fundamental shift =
(increase) in average daily volume, and they have nowhere to go but up. =
And it happens while the media and daytraders are still chasing =
yesteryears winners. Personally, I think it would do many in the =
industry a world of good if they went backed and looked at the =
floats/valuations of those stocks circa 1990. It would provide them a =
good framework for what they should be looking for today.

  Is there anyway you could email your list of 230 (I am particularly =
interested in the lower price/lower liquidity names), as I would like to =
do quick charts scans on them.

  Thanks a lot,

  Ian


  ----- Original Message -----=20
    From: Katherine Malm=20
    To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    Sent: Saturday, February 16, 2002 7:58 AM
    Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Lack of Buy Candidates


    Hi Ian,

    I keep a constantly refreshed database of stocks with the minimum =
growth, price and volume characteristics that qualify them as CANSLIM =
candidates in my mind. Right now that list contains nearly 700 names. Of =
those, about 400 are what I'd call "OK" right now. I then take these =
stocks and pass them through what I call my "master filter." In order to =
pass this test, the stock has to be showing near term outperformance, =
longer term minimal outperformance, minimal technical health and be a =
member of an industry that shows near term outperformance and longer =
term minimal outperformance. As of Friday, 135 stocks pass this test. Of =
the remainder, the jury is still out as to which are breaking down and =
which will buck up and work on their base. While 135 out of 10000 stocks =
in the market seems paltry, the point is that there *are* names worth =
watching on the long side. If I dip down into lower prices and =
liquidity, the number of stocks goes up to about 230 names. It only =
takes 10 or 12 to fill out a long portfolio so I see this as a healthy =
sized pile from which to mine gems.

    (The remainder of my comments are general to the many posts against =
this subject line and aren't necessarily in response to your question, =
Ian.)

    I don't buy the CANSLIM party line that you should "stay out" of the =
market if there aren't 1000's of stocks to choose from. I look for good =
stocks with rising relative strength, strategic advantage and good =
technical strength that are members of rising and strong industry =
groups. I sell stocks that break down technically or that are members of =
a group that is beginning to break down. I short stocks/groups in =
industries that are breaking down to take advantage of the prevailing =
winds. I let the market tell me which kinds of stocks are doing well. =
Whether it's value/growth, small/mid/large cap, industry group, I'm =
agnostic (except that I *do* stay away from super microcaps). What =
works, works and I have a methodology that looks for what's working.

    The "market" is nothing more than a market of stocks. Too many =
people focus on what's *not* working and miss the many great =
opportunities that are out there. One of my mentors always says "when =
the market speaks, have big ears." I say, "when a stock and an industry =
speaks, have big ears." As I see it, too many folks are still focused on =
what *was* working during the last Great Bull market. This is the =
history of markets. A new bull starts and undiscovered gems begin to do =
well. Their business and markets grow somewhat unnoticed by the masses. =
When it all starts, they are micro/small caps. As the bull moves ahead, =
they continue to grow and eventually become big caps. Late in the bull, =
people begin to pile into the big caps making them bubble bait. Combine =
overvalued stocks, piling-on by the masses, overcapacity buildouts by =
the businesses and a confluence of macroeconomic events--it takes a =
while to work off the excesses. But when the new bull begins, all the =
new faces appear and tippy toe around somewhat unnoticed because =
everyone's still worried about the big cap former winners that are =
dive-bombing back to earth. Makings of a long flat market in my opinion =
and all the more reason to be paying attention to the stocks and =
industries that are in favor and then selling them when they fall out of =
favor. Hard work, but do-able, and *all* of this in the sprit of =
CANSLIM.

    Katherine


    ----- Original Message -----=20
      From: Ian=20
      To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      Sent: Friday, February 15, 2002 10:15 AM
      Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Lack of Buy Candidates


      Katherine:

      I would greatly appreciate it if you would share your list of good =
CANSLIM stocks making healthy bases. Caveat Emptor is understood :)

      Thank you,

      Ian


        ----- Original Message -----=20
        From: Katherine Malm=20
        To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
        Sent: Friday, February 15, 2002 6:54 AM
        Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Lack of Buy Candidates


        Hi Rob,

        I know there are plenty of folks here who short, but the subject =
only comes up on occasion because you are right, it is an advanced =
trading technique in comparison to CANSLIM in general. I'd also agree =
with you that my short scans are turning up far more candidates than my =
long scans. At the same time, however, I also see plenty of good quality =
CANSLIM stocks continuing to build healthy bases. All in all, I'd say =
the market is "stuck!"

        Katherine
          ----- Original Message -----=20
          From: Rob Miller=20
          To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
          Sent: Friday, February 15, 2002 8:40 AM
          Subject: [CANSLIM] Lack of Buy Candidates


          Even if we have a FTD from here, I see few stocks worth =
buying.  However, my short list is overflowing.  The only moderately =
attractive stocks I see on the long side are those already in an uptrend =
that are riding their lower channel.

          Is shorting considered off limits for this list?  I know that =
WON discourages it, but he also claimed to make good money from shorts =
in HTMMIS.  As I understand it, he discourages it as a medium for the =
masses, nor necessarily for everyone. =20

          Rob  =20

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<DIV>Hi Ian,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>I hope you will understand my answer to your request for my list =
when I say=20
"sorry, but I cannot." I see this as opening a big can of worms. I feel =
strongly=20
in doing my own mining and as a result never pay attention to other =
people's=20
lists whether they come from a newsletter, an email forum, CNBC, an =
analyst,=20
etc. In the same way, I feel that sharing my own lists would not be of =
benefit=20
to others because the methods that I use are personalized to my own =
style of=20
trading. Earlier today I posted some "generalized" notes on how I go =
about=20
finding stocks and that may lead you to many of the same names I get in =
my=20
"filtered" list once you apply your own style to it.&nbsp;(I see forward =
growth=20
rates as the number one most important filter but you may have a =
differing=20
opinion even&nbsp;to this most basic of my criteria.)</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Please don't misunderstand my unwillingness to share as being =
secretive or=20
anything as dastardly as that. It's really about staying true to my=20
principles.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dianstm@shaw.ca href=3D"mailto:ianstm@shaw.ca">Ian</A> =
</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, February 18, 2002 =
12:16=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Lack of =
Buy=20
  Candidates</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>I couldn't agree more, and I couldn't have said it =
better=20
  myself. I have seen that microcaps with strong revenue and EPS growth =
will get=20
  bid up in any market - the only thing they need is a fundamental shift =

  (increase) in average daily volume, and they have nowhere to go but =
up. And it=20
  happens while the media and daytraders are still chasing yesteryears =
winners.=20
  Personally, I think it would do many in the industry a world of good =
if they=20
  went backed and looked at the floats/valuations of those stocks circa =
1990. It=20
  would provide them a good framework for what they should be looking =
for=20
  today.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Is there anyway you could email your list of 230 =
(I am=20
  particularly interested in the lower price/lower liquidity names), as =
I would=20
  like to do quick charts scans on them.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Thanks a lot,</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Ian</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
  style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV=20
    style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
    <A title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine=20
    Malm</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
    </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, February 16, =
2002 7:58=20
    AM</DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Lack =
of Buy=20
    Candidates</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV>Hi Ian,</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>I keep a constantly refreshed database of stocks with the =
minimum=20
    growth, price and volume characteristics that qualify them as =
CANSLIM=20
    candidates in my mind. Right now that list contains nearly 700 =
names. Of=20
    those, about 400 are what I'd call "OK" right now. I then take these =
stocks=20
    and pass them through what I call my "master filter." In order to =
pass this=20
    test, the stock has to be showing near term outperformance, longer =
term=20
    minimal outperformance, minimal technical health and be a member of =
an=20
    industry that shows near term outperformance and longer term minimal =

    outperformance. As of Friday, 135 stocks pass this test. Of the =
remainder,=20
    the jury is still out as to which are breaking down and which will =
buck up=20
    and work on their base. While 135 out of 10000 stocks in the market =
seems=20
    paltry, the point is that there *are* names worth watching on the =
long side.=20
    If I dip down into lower prices and liquidity, the number of stocks =
goes up=20
    to about 230 names. It only takes 10 or 12 to fill out a long =
portfolio so I=20
    see this as a healthy sized pile from which to mine gems.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>(The remainder of my comments are general to the many posts =
against=20
    this subject line and aren't necessarily in response to your =
question,=20
    Ian.)</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>I don't buy the CANSLIM party line that you should "stay out" =
of the=20
    market if there aren't 1000's of stocks to choose from. I look for =
good=20
    stocks with rising relative strength, strategic advantage and good =
technical=20
    strength that are members of rising and strong industry groups. I =
sell=20
    stocks that break down technically or that are members of a group =
that is=20
    beginning to break down.&nbsp;I short stocks/groups in industries =
that are=20
    breaking down to take advantage of the prevailing winds. I let the =
market=20
    tell me which kinds of stocks are doing well. Whether it's =
value/growth,=20
    small/mid/large cap, industry group, I'm agnostic (except that I =
*do* stay=20
    away from super microcaps). What works, works and I have a =
methodology that=20
    looks for what's working.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>The "market" is nothing more than a market of stocks. Too many =
people=20
    focus on what's *not* working and miss the many great opportunities =
that are=20
    out there. One of my mentors always says "when the market speaks, =
have big=20
    ears." I say, "when a stock and an industry speaks, have big ears." =
As I see=20
    it, too many folks are still focused on what *was* working during =
the last=20
    Great Bull market. This is the history of markets. A new bull starts =
and=20
    undiscovered gems begin to do well. Their business and markets grow =
somewhat=20
    unnoticed by the masses. When it all starts, they are micro/small =
caps. As=20
    the bull moves ahead, they continue to grow and eventually become =
big caps.=20
    Late in the bull, people begin to pile into the big caps making them =
bubble=20
    bait. Combine overvalued stocks, piling-on by the masses, =
overcapacity=20
    buildouts by the businesses and a confluence of macroeconomic =
events--it=20
    takes a while to work off the excesses. But when the new bull =
begins, all=20
    the new faces appear and tippy toe around somewhat unnoticed because =

    everyone's still worried about the big cap former winners that are=20
    dive-bombing back to earth. Makings of a long flat market in my =
opinion and=20
    all the more reason to be paying attention to the stocks and =
industries that=20
    are in favor and then selling them when they fall out of favor. Hard =
work,=20
    but do-able, and *all* of this in the sprit of CANSLIM.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Katherine</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
    style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV=20
      style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
      <A title=3Dianstm@shaw.ca href=3D"mailto:ianstm@shaw.ca">Ian</A> =
</DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
      title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
      </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, February 15, =
2002 10:15=20
      AM</DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Lack =
of Buy=20
      Candidates</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Katherine:</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><FONT size=3D2>I would greatly appreciate it if you would =
share your=20
      list of good CANSLIM stocks making healthy bases. Caveat Emptor is =

      understood :)</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Thank you,</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Ian</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
      style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
        <DIV=20
        style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
        <A title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine=20
        Malm</A> </DIV>
        <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
        title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
        =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
        </DIV>
        <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, February =
15, 2002=20
        6:54 AM</DIV>
        <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
Lack of Buy=20
        Candidates</DIV>
        <DIV><BR></DIV>
        <DIV>Hi Rob,</DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV>I know there are plenty of folks here who short, but the =
subject=20
        only comes up on occasion because you are right, it is an =
advanced=20
        trading technique in comparison to CANSLIM in general. I'd also =
agree=20
        with you that my short scans are turning up far more candidates =
than my=20
        long scans. At the same time, however, I also see plenty of good =
quality=20
        CANSLIM stocks continuing to build healthy bases. All in all, =
I'd say=20
        the market is "stuck!"</DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV>Katherine</DIV>
        <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
        style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: =
5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
          <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
          <DIV=20
          style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
          <A title=3Drmiller2@carolina.rr.com=20
          href=3D"mailto:rmiller2@carolina.rr.com">Rob Miller</A> </DIV>
          <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
          title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
          </DIV>
          <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, February =
15, 2002=20
          8:40 AM</DIV>
          <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Lack =
of Buy=20
          Candidates</DIV>
          <DIV><BR></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Even if we have a FTD from =
here, I see=20
          few stocks worth buying.&nbsp; However, my short list is=20
          overflowing.&nbsp; The only moderately attractive stocks I see =
on the=20
          long side are those already in an uptrend that are riding =
their lower=20
          channel.</FONT></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT><FONT face=3DArial=20
          size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Is&nbsp;shorting =
considered&nbsp;off=20
          limits for this list?&nbsp; I know that WON discourages it, =
but he=20
          also claimed to make good money from shorts in HTMMIS.&nbsp; =
As I=20
          understand it, he&nbsp;discourages it&nbsp;as a medium for the =
masses,=20
          nor&nbsp;necessarily for everyone.&nbsp;&nbsp;</FONT></DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
          <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Rob&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
      =
</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQ=
UOTE></BODY></HTML>

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