Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??


From: "Rob Miller" <rmiller2@carolina.rr.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
Date: Tue, 26 Feb 2002 16:46:30 -0500

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BlankRich,

This is too much in my opinion.  I don't use a specific number as a =
screen, but 92% is clearly too high.  Sometimes, depending on the type =
of stock and the number of shares outstanding, it may be the case that =
much of the institutional ownership is from pensions, state plans, etc., =
where the probability of large scale selling is reduced.  In this case, =
you have a small number of shares (although I don't know the price, so =
I'm assuming its not a $300 stock), so in all likelihood mutual funds =
are the biggest holders.  Mutual funds are weaker sponsors, so while =
there is little room for further instititutional buying, there are a =
large number of potential sellers.  I rarely bother digging that deep =
into the sponsorship structure if institutional ownership is high.  I =
usually just look at DGO and if fund ownership is too high, say over =
30%, then I just move on.  DGO only shows funds and banks, whereas other =
sources include all sponsors so the numbers are much higher, and less =
reliable.  I assume you are not using DGO since few stocks have fund and =
bank sponsorship greater than 90% (a scan turned up only 12).  I would =
stick to DGO, if you have it, and avoid other sources, unless someone =
else on the list can recommend another reliable source...I haven't found =
one. =20

Rob


- ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Rich W=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Tuesday, February 26, 2002 4:11 PM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??


  Tom or anyone else who has an answer to this.
  Here is a stock that has increased institutional ownership since =
July,01
  Top number is # of funds, banks, etc.
  2nd row is % of ownership
        72 95 104 116 140 149 158=20
        46.9 38.8 35.3 44.7 87.9 91.4 92.4=20


  Total shares outstanding =3D=3D  13,910,000  @21.50

  From Market Guide

   is this much ownership too much, and what is the Max to look for=20


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<DIV>Rich,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>This is too much in my opinion.&nbsp; I don't use a specific number =
as a=20
screen, but 92% is clearly too high.&nbsp; Sometimes, depending on the =
type of=20
stock and the number of shares outstanding, it may be the case that much =
of the=20
institutional ownership is from pensions, state plans, etc., where the=20
probability of large scale selling is reduced.&nbsp; In this =
case,&nbsp;you have=20
a small number of shares (although I don't know the price, so I'm =
assuming its=20
not a $300 stock), so in all likelihood mutual funds are the biggest=20
holders.&nbsp; Mutual funds are weaker sponsors, so while there is =
little room=20
for further instititutional buying, there are a large number of =
potential=20
sellers.&nbsp;&nbsp;I rarely bother digging that deep into the =
sponsorship=20
structure if institutional ownership&nbsp;is high.&nbsp; I&nbsp;usually=20
just&nbsp;look at DGO and if fund ownership is too high, say over 30%, =
then I=20
just move on.&nbsp;&nbsp;DGO only shows funds and banks, whereas other =
sources=20
include all sponsors so the numbers are much higher, and less =
reliable.&nbsp; I=20
assume you are not using DGO since few stocks have fund and bank =
sponsorship=20
greater than 90% (a scan turned up only 12).&nbsp; I would stick to DGO, =
if you=20
have it, and avoid other sources, unless someone else on the list can =
recommend=20
another reliable source...I haven't found one.&nbsp; </DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Rob</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Drich1334@brick.net href=3D"mailto:rich1334@brick.net">Rich =
W</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, February 26, =
2002 4:11=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] what is to =
much=20
  ownership??</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D3>Tom or anyone else who has an answer to =
this.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D3>Here is a stock that has increased institutional =
ownership=20
  since July,01</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D3>Top number is # of funds, banks, etc.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D3>2nd row is % of ownership</FONT></DIV>
  <P>
  <TABLE style=3D"WIDTH: 235pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" =
cellSpacing=3D0=20
  cellPadding=3D0 width=3D312 border=3D0 x:str>
    <COLGROUP>
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    <COL style=3D"WIDTH: 34pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: =
1645"=20
    span=3D2 width=3D45>
    <COL style=3D"WIDTH: 32pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: =
1536"=20
    width=3D42>
    <COL style=3D"WIDTH: 33pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: =
1609"=20
    width=3D44>
    <COL style=3D"WIDTH: 35pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: =
1682"=20
    width=3D46>
    <COL style=3D"WIDTH: 38pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: =
1865"=20
    width=3D51>
    <TBODY>
    <TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; WIDTH: 29pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"=20
      align=3Dright width=3D39 height=3D17 x:num><FONT =
size=3D2>72</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; WIDTH: 34pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: =
transparent"=20
      align=3Dright width=3D45 x:num><FONT size=3D2>95</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; WIDTH: 34pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: =
transparent"=20
      align=3Dright width=3D45 x:num><FONT size=3D2>104</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; WIDTH: 32pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: =
transparent"=20
      align=3Dright width=3D42 x:num><FONT size=3D2>116</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; WIDTH: 33pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: =
transparent"=20
      align=3Dright width=3D44 x:num><FONT size=3D2>140</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; WIDTH: 35pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: =
transparent"=20
      align=3Dright width=3D46 x:num><FONT size=3D2>149</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; WIDTH: 38pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: =
transparent"=20
      align=3Dright width=3D51 x:num><FONT size=3D2>158</FONT></TD></TR>
    <TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: =
transparent"=20
      align=3Dright height=3D17 x:num><FONT size=3D2>46.9</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"=20
      align=3Dright x:num><FONT size=3D2>38.8</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"=20
      align=3Dright x:num><FONT size=3D2>35.3</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"=20
      align=3Dright x:num><FONT size=3D2>44.7</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"=20
      align=3Dright x:num><FONT size=3D2>87.9</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"=20
      align=3Dright x:num><FONT size=3D2>91.4</FONT></TD>
      <TD=20
      style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP: #ece9d8; BORDER-LEFT: =
#ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent"=20
      align=3Dright x:num><FONT =
size=3D2>92.4</FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></P>
  <P><FONT size=3D3>Total shares outstanding =3D=3D&nbsp; =
13,910,000&nbsp;=20
  @21.50</FONT></P>
  <P><FONT size=3D3>From Market Guide</FONT></P>
  <P><FONT size=3D3>&nbsp;is this much ownership too much, and what is =
the Max to=20
  look for&nbsp;</FONT></P></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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