Re: [CANSLIM] question on secondary offering


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] question on secondary offering
Date: Wed, 27 Mar 2002 16:27:35 -0600

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Hi Mona,

You can always read the offering prospectus at the SEC/Edgar site.
http://www.edgar-online.com/bin/edgardoc/finSys_main.asp?dcn=3D0000912057=
- -02-011434

In this case, INVN is offering 2.5m additional shares in a primary =
offering (proceeds to the company). Another 500K are offered by current =
shareholders, so these proceeds do not go to the company itself. I =
imagine INVN is in quite a pickle these days---capacity pushed to the =
limit due to the bevy of new orders for bomb detection systems in =
airports around the world.=20

In general, a stock's price will decline once the new shares are pumped =
into the market because the additional outstanding shares will have a =
dilutive effect on EPS. However, the price performance over the long =
term will be determined by the management/company's ability to utilize =
the proceeds to increase their overall earnings, offsetting the initial =
dilutive effect. No telling if INVN has what it takes to make that =
happen. I don't see anything good in the recent price/volume action =
right now with 3 distribution days in the last 10 days.

Katherine
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Mona Guarino=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Wednesday, March 27, 2002 7:01 PM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] question on secondary offering


  INVN priced 3M shares today in a secondary at $36.50. It had been =
trading
  over $39.

  AskIBD says that a public offering of additional shares is generally
  positive for a stock. But also says that a stock offering increases =
the
  number of shares outstanding, which decreases earnings per share. EPS =
is one
  the main drivers of a stock's price. But on its own, an offering is =
not a
  sell signal. It depends on how large the offering is and how investors =
react
  to it. The company may have credible plans for the additional capital. =
If
  your stock continues to act well, there's no reason to sell it.

  I can't provide details at the moment on number of shares outstanding, =
etc
  as I am having problems reaching the DGO site.

  Wondering if someone would care to comment onf secondary offerings in
  general or INVN in particular?

  =
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D
  (253)983-1531 (voice)      Design21 Internet Solutions
  (877)576-6172 (toll-free fax)           Mona Guarino
  webmaster@design21.com          10209 Bridgeport Way SW
  http://www.design21.com/             Lakewood, WA 98499
  =
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D


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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV>Hi Mona,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>You can always read the offering prospectus at the SEC/Edgar =
site.</DIV>
<DIV><A=20
href=3D"http://www.edgar-online.com/bin/edgardoc/finSys_main.asp?dcn=3D00=
00912057-02-011434">http://www.edgar-online.com/bin/edgardoc/finSys_main.=
asp?dcn=3D0000912057-02-011434</A></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>In this case, INVN is offering 2.5m additional shares in a primary =
offering=20
(proceeds to the company). Another 500K are offered by current =
shareholders, so=20
these proceeds do not go to the company itself. I imagine INVN is in =
quite a=20
pickle these days---capacity&nbsp;pushed to the limit due to the bevy of =
new=20
orders for bomb detection systems in&nbsp;airports around the world. =
</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>In general, a stock's price will decline once the new shares are =
pumped=20
into the market because the additional outstanding shares will have a =
dilutive=20
effect on EPS. However, the price performance over the long term will be =

determined by the management/company's ability to utilize the proceeds =
to=20
increase their overall earnings, offsetting the initial dilutive effect. =
No=20
telling if INVN has what it takes to make that happen. I don't see =
anything=20
good&nbsp;in the recent price/volume action right now with 3 =
distribution days=20
in the last 10 days.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dwebmaster@design21.com =
href=3D"mailto:webmaster@design21.com">Mona=20
  Guarino</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, March 27, 2002 =
7:01=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] question on =
secondary=20
  offering</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>INVN priced 3M shares today in a secondary at $36.50. =
It had=20
  been trading<BR>over $39.<BR><BR>AskIBD says that a public offering of =

  additional shares is generally<BR>positive for a stock. But also says =
that a=20
  stock offering increases the<BR>number of shares outstanding, which =
decreases=20
  earnings per share. EPS is one<BR>the main drivers of a stock's price. =
But on=20
  its own, an offering is not a<BR>sell signal. It depends on how large =
the=20
  offering is and how investors react<BR>to it. The company may have =
credible=20
  plans for the additional capital. If<BR>your stock continues to act =
well,=20
  there's no reason to sell it.<BR><BR>I can't provide details at the =
moment on=20
  number of shares outstanding, etc<BR>as I am having problems reaching =
the DGO=20
  site.<BR><BR>Wondering if someone would care to comment onf secondary=20
  offerings in<BR>general or INVN in=20
  =
particular?<BR><BR>=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D<BR>(253)983-1531=20
  (voice)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Design21 Internet=20
  Solutions<BR>(877)576-6172 (toll-free=20
  fax)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Mona=20
  Guarino<BR><A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:webmaster@design21.com">webmaster@design21.com</A>&nbsp;&n=
bsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  10209 Bridgeport Way SW<BR><A=20
  =
href=3D"http://www.design21.com/">http://www.design21.com/</A>&nbsp;&nbsp=
;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  Lakewood, WA=20
  =
98499<BR>=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D<BR><BR><BR>-<BR>-To=20
  subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>-In=
 the=20
  email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe =
canslim".&nbsp; Do=20
  not use quotes in your email.<BR></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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