Re: [CANSLIM] DFXI


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] DFXI
Date: Sun, 31 Mar 2002 08:04:23 -0600

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I agree with you all that this is textbook CANSLIM down to the =
leadership status, savvy business planning, high ROE, high Sales/EPS =
growth, low institutional ownership, share buyback, etc. (They also own =
Nautilus sleep systems....those mattresses that have air chambers =
instead of box springs and compete with Select Comfort)...Good point =
about buying TV ad time on the cheap, Robert....more business savvy. My =
concern was that the breakout coincided with an upgrade by US Piper =
Jaffray (didn't notice that high short interest until Ian pointed it =
out). That, combined with a lot of CANSLIM eyes on the stock makes me =
wary about the timing, not the validity of the stock itself. I'll bet =
there'll be plenty of "second chances" for entry near the pivot on this =
one. (Hopefully no high-volume-rock-pullbacks for your sakes Charley and =
Robert!)

Ian...a question for you--If you were to find a company like DFXI that =
fit all your requirements except the low price/microcap status you =
prefer....would you pass?  Seems that when you look back on a long term =
chart of stocks like INTC, DELL, CSCO that were once $25 "pricey" =
stocks, those prices now look like tiny blips in comparison.

Happy Easter,
Katherine
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Chazmoore@aol.com=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Saturday, March 30, 2002 11:33 PM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] DFXI


  Robert, Katherine, and Spencer:=20
  Direct Focus, in my opinion, is basically a marketing company that has =
chosen to sell high quality leisure equipment. They have "branded" their =
products through heavy spot TV commercials, infomercials, Internet, =
response mailings and print media. Their products include Bowflex, =
Nautilus, Schwinn, and StairMaster. One strong trait is their ability to =
set the product price and hold it for an extended period of time. I sent =
off for their free video tape over a year ago and the Bowflex prices =
have not changed. They are growing through acquisition which is reducing =
their fixed costs, and they are a clear leader in their industry. Their =
IBD Industry Classification, Leisure-Products, has done quite well over =
the last several months.=20

  Having said all that, the stock price could drop like a rock Monday, =
and if it does, I'm gone.=20

  Charley=20


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<META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2600.0" name=3DGENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV>I agree with you all that this is textbook CANSLIM down to the =
leadership=20
status, savvy business planning, high ROE, high Sales/EPS growth, low=20
institutional ownership, share buyback, etc. (They also own Nautilus =
sleep=20
systems....those mattresses that have air chambers instead of box =
springs and=20
compete with Select Comfort)...Good point about buying TV ad time on the =
cheap,=20
Robert....more business savvy. My concern was&nbsp;that the breakout =
coincided=20
with an upgrade by US Piper Jaffray (didn't notice that high short =
interest=20
until Ian pointed it out). That, combined with a lot of CANSLIM eyes on =
the=20
stock makes me wary about the timing, not the validity of the stock =
itself. I'll=20
bet there'll be plenty of "second chances" for entry near the =
pivot&nbsp;on this=20
one. (Hopefully no high-volume-rock-pullbacks for your =
sakes&nbsp;Charley and=20
Robert!)</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Ian...a question for you--If you were to find a company like DFXI =
that fit=20
all your requirements except the low price/microcap status you =
prefer....would=20
you pass?&nbsp; Seems that when you look back on a long term chart of =
stocks=20
like INTC, DELL, CSCO that were once $25 "pricey" stocks, those =
prices&nbsp;now=20
look like tiny blips in comparison.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Happy Easter,</DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3DChazmoore@aol.com=20
  href=3D"mailto:Chazmoore@aol.com">Chazmoore@aol.com</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, March 30, 2002 =
11:33=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
DFXI</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV><FONT face=3Darial,helvetica><FONT size=3D2>Robert, =
Katherine, and=20
  Spencer: <BR>Direct Focus, in my opinion, is basically a marketing =
company=20
  that has chosen to sell high quality leisure equipment. They have =
"branded"=20
  their products through heavy spot TV commercials, infomercials, =
Internet,=20
  response mailings and print media. Their products include Bowflex, =
Nautilus,=20
  Schwinn, and StairMaster. One strong trait is their ability to set the =
product=20
  price and hold it for an extended period of time. I sent off for their =
free=20
  video tape over a year ago and the Bowflex prices have not changed. =
They are=20
  growing through acquisition which is reducing their fixed costs, and =
they are=20
  a clear leader in their industry. Their IBD Industry Classification,=20
  Leisure-Products, has done quite well over the last several months.=20
  <BR><BR>Having said all that, the stock price could drop like a rock =
Monday,=20
  and if it does, I'm gone. <BR><BR>Charley=20
<BR></BLOCKQUOTE></FONT></FONT></BODY></HTML>

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