Re: [CANSLIM] DFXI


From: "William King" <wk11@adelphia.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] DFXI
Date: Mon, 1 Apr 2002 13:03:12 -0500

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Makes sense. Thanks Katherine.

Bill King
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Katherine Malm=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Monday, April 01, 2002 2:24 AM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] DFXI


  Hi Bill,

  I think insider buying and selling is useful, but only in context. For =
example, if I see that the stock is making new lows and there is a rash =
of insider selling....bad sign. If there has been no insider action for =
some time and then suddenly the buying action picks up...that might be a =
good sign. It's also helpful to know who is selling and what their =
personal selling patterns are. Have they suddenly changed? If I were =
looking at two stocks that were essentially equal in all respects, I'd =
choose the stock that had little or no insider selling and/or some =
insider buying over a stock that had persistent insider selling. From a =
CANSLIM perspective, WON advocates selecting stocks where there is =
evidence of insider buying for the same reason he advocates buying =
stocks of companies that are buying back their own stock in the open =
market. Just a sign of confidence...or as he says signs they're willing =
to "eat their own cooking." And as Martha Stewart would say "that's a =
good thing."

  Katherine
    ----- Original Message -----=20
    From: William King=20
    To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    Sent: Sunday, March 31, 2002 11:51 AM
    Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] DFXI


    Thanks to all for the interesting and educational dialogue on DFXI. =
I note from DGO that there has been consistent insider buying and =
selling. I haven't run across a WON position on that yet. Is that =
something you consider or accept as normal practice?

    Bill King
    --- Original Message -----=20
      From: Katherine Malm=20
      To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      Sent: Sunday, March 31, 2002 9:04 AM
      Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] DFXI


      I agree with you all that this is textbook CANSLIM down to the =
leadership status, savvy business planning, high ROE, high Sales/EPS =
growth, low institutional ownership, share buyback, etc. (They also own =
Nautilus sleep systems....those mattresses that have air chambers =
instead of box springs and compete with Select Comfort)...Good point =
about buying TV ad time on the cheap, Robert....more business savvy. My =
concern was that the breakout coincided with an upgrade by US Piper =
Jaffray (didn't notice that high short interest until Ian pointed it =
out). That, combined with a lot of CANSLIM eyes on the stock makes me =
wary about the timing, not the validity of the stock itself. I'll bet =
there'll be plenty of "second chances" for entry near the pivot on this =
one. (Hopefully no high-volume-rock-pullbacks for your sakes Charley and =
Robert!)

      Ian...a question for you--If you were to find a company like DFXI =
that fit all your requirements except the low price/microcap status you =
prefer....would you pass?  Seems that when you look back on a long term =
chart of stocks like INTC, DELL, CSCO that were once $25 "pricey" =
stocks, those prices now look like tiny blips in comparison.

      Happy Easter,
      Katherine
        ----- Original Message -----=20
        From: Chazmoore@aol.com=20
        To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
        Sent: Saturday, March 30, 2002 11:33 PM
        Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] DFXI


        Robert, Katherine, and Spencer:=20
        Direct Focus, in my opinion, is basically a marketing company =
that has chosen to sell high quality leisure equipment. They have =
"branded" their products through heavy spot TV commercials, =
infomercials, Internet, response mailings and print media. Their =
products include Bowflex, Nautilus, Schwinn, and StairMaster. One strong =
trait is their ability to set the product price and hold it for an =
extended period of time. I sent off for their free video tape over a =
year ago and the Bowflex prices have not changed. They are growing =
through acquisition which is reducing their fixed costs, and they are a =
clear leader in their industry. Their IBD Industry Classification, =
Leisure-Products, has done quite well over the last several months.=20

        Having said all that, the stock price could drop like a rock =
Monday, and if it does, I'm gone.=20

        Charley=20

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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Makes sense. Thanks =
Katherine.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Bill King</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine=20
  Malm</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, April 01, 2002 =
2:24=20
AM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
DFXI</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV>Hi Bill,</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>I think insider buying and selling is useful, but only in =
context. For=20
  example, if I see that the stock is making new lows and there is a =
rash of=20
  insider selling....bad sign. If there has been no insider action for =
some time=20
  and then suddenly the buying action picks up...that might be a good =
sign. It's=20
  also helpful to know who is selling and what their personal selling =
patterns=20
  are. Have they suddenly changed? If I were looking at two stocks that =
were=20
  essentially equal in all respects, I'd choose the stock that had =
little or no=20
  insider selling and/or some insider buying over a stock that had =
persistent=20
  insider selling.&nbsp;From a CANSLIM perspective, WON advocates =
selecting=20
  stocks where there is evidence of insider buying for the same reason =
he=20
  advocates buying stocks of companies that are buying back their own =
stock in=20
  the open market. Just a sign of confidence...or as he says signs =
they're=20
  willing to "eat their own cooking." And as Martha Stewart would say =
"that's a=20
  good thing."</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Katherine</DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
  style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV=20
    style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
    <A title=3Dwk11@adelphia.net =
href=3D"mailto:wk11@adelphia.net">William King</A>=20
    </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
    </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, March 31, 2002 =
11:51=20
    AM</DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
DFXI</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Thanks to all for the interesting =
and=20
    educational dialogue on DFXI. I note from DGO that there has=20
    been&nbsp;consistent insider buying and selling. I haven't run =
across a WON=20
    position on that yet. Is that something you consider or accept as =
normal=20
    practice?</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Bill King</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>--- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
    style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV=20
      style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
      <A title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine=20
      Malm</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
      title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
      </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, March 31, =
2002 9:04=20
      AM</DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
DFXI</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV>I agree with you all that this is textbook CANSLIM down to =
the=20
      leadership status, savvy business planning, high ROE, high =
Sales/EPS=20
      growth, low institutional ownership, share buyback, etc. (They =
also own=20
      Nautilus sleep systems....those mattresses that have air chambers =
instead=20
      of box springs and compete with Select Comfort)...Good point about =
buying=20
      TV ad time on the cheap, Robert....more business savvy. My concern =

      was&nbsp;that the breakout coincided with an upgrade by US Piper =
Jaffray=20
      (didn't notice that high short interest until Ian pointed it out). =
That,=20
      combined with a lot of CANSLIM eyes on the stock makes me wary =
about the=20
      timing, not the validity of the stock itself. I'll bet there'll be =
plenty=20
      of "second chances" for entry near the pivot&nbsp;on this one. =
(Hopefully=20
      no high-volume-rock-pullbacks for your sakes&nbsp;Charley and=20
      Robert!)</DIV>
      <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV>Ian...a question for you--If you were to find a company like =
DFXI=20
      that fit all your requirements except the low price/microcap =
status you=20
      prefer....would you pass?&nbsp; Seems that when you look back on a =
long=20
      term chart of stocks like INTC, DELL, CSCO that were once $25 =
"pricey"=20
      stocks, those prices&nbsp;now look like tiny blips in =
comparison.</DIV>
      <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV>Happy Easter,</DIV>
      <DIV>Katherine</DIV>
      <BLOCKQUOTE=20
      style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
        <DIV=20
        style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
        <A title=3DChazmoore@aol.com=20
        href=3D"mailto:Chazmoore@aol.com">Chazmoore@aol.com</A> </DIV>
        <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
        title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
        =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
        </DIV>
        <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, March 30, =
2002=20
        11:33 PM</DIV>
        <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
DFXI</DIV>
        <DIV><BR></DIV><FONT face=3Darial,helvetica><FONT =
size=3D2>Robert,=20
        Katherine, and Spencer: <BR>Direct Focus, in my opinion, is =
basically a=20
        marketing company that has chosen to sell high quality leisure=20
        equipment. They have "branded" their products through heavy spot =
TV=20
        commercials, infomercials, Internet, response mailings and print =
media.=20
        Their products include Bowflex, Nautilus, Schwinn, and =
StairMaster. One=20
        strong trait is their ability to set the product price and hold =
it for=20
        an extended period of time. I sent off for their free video tape =
over a=20
        year ago and the Bowflex prices have not changed. They are =
growing=20
        through acquisition which is reducing their fixed costs, and =
they are a=20
        clear leader in their industry. Their IBD Industry =
Classification,=20
        Leisure-Products, has done quite well over the last several =
months.=20
        <BR><BR>Having said all that, the stock price could drop like a =
rock=20
        Monday, and if it does, I'm gone. <BR><BR>Charley=20
    =
<BR></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></FONT></FONT></B=
ODY></HTML>

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