Re: [CANSLIM] HTMMIS and M


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] HTMMIS and M
Date: Sat, 6 Apr 2002 10:10:33 -0600

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MessageHi Chas,

When I was writing my original note, I was going back to a previous FTD =
in the market, that is, the one after 9/11. The rally that started with =
the FTD 9/28 was fairly strong, but then began sputtering in =
mid-December. The market reversed a bit right after the first of the =
year, but then by mid-January started falling apart after multiple =
distribution days and killed the rally. You're right that we've had a =
fresh FTD on about 3/3 or 3/4. In WON"s terms,  "this is what you look =
for in a follow-through confirmation of a new market rally: The Nasdaq, =
Dow or S&P 500 must stay above the point at which they bottomed. Then, =
between the fourth and seventh days of the rally attempt (or sometimes =
later), look for at least one of the indexes to gain at least 2% on =
higher volume than the prior session. " Mark Boucher of =
TradingMarkets.com uses WON's FTD, but also adds what he calls "a =
plurality of signals." This is not contrary to WON's notions, but =
quantifies some of the additional clues that WON tells us we should look =
for when determining market health, such as new highs in strong =
industries vs new lows in weak industries, up vs down volume, etc. =
Though there are signs that things are not as dire in the market as some =
would have us believe, the jury's still out. The Nasdaq has now posted 2 =
heavy distribution days close together, the S&P has had a couple of =
lighter distribution days recently, and the Dow has had a couple of back =
to back distribution days. None of these officially kills the recent =
rally, but in my mind that means we're treading on iffy ground. I don't =
even know why I'm attempting to explain all this in my own words, =
because there's a terrific resource available written by Bill Lee. He's =
done a superb job of explaining market bottoms and tops at his website. =
And, though he's too humble to tell anybody about it here (so I'm just =
going to do it for him!), he has an amazing shareware tool that runs in =
Excel that does all these calculations for you and spits out a chart =
that shows the beginning and end of each rally according the WON's =
guidelines. Once I stumbled across his beta version, I started using it =
in place of my own manual notations at the end of each day. Check out =
his explanations of WON's guidelines at: =
http://www.market-tester.com/primer.htm

Katherine

  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Chas=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Saturday, April 06, 2002 9:00 AM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] HTMMIS and M


  Hi Katherine
  Since I'm new to this CANSLIM and still learning...you wrote of the =
sept 01 ftd....was this for the market in general or do you have =
different % that you look for??? WON writes of the 1% ftd and there was =
a ftd in mar4 & mar6....both the DOW & NASDAQ are lower now ...does this =
mean we have to look for a new set of follow through days??   As always =
your comments are read with great interest.
  Chas
    -----Original Message-----
    From: Katherine Malm <kmalm@earthlink.net>
    To: canslim@lists.xmission.com <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
    Date: Friday, April 05, 2002 3:26 PM
    Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] HTMMIS and M


    Hi Duke,

    Didn't you receive the special =
double-secret-forward-looking-X-Ray-sunglasses with your copy of HTMMIS?

    Thanks for pointing out the typo, I meant 9/28/01!

    Katherine
      ----- Original Message -----=20
      From: Duke Miller=20
      To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      Sent: Friday, April 05, 2002 2:06 PM
      Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] HTMMIS and M


      Katherine,

      You are so good...however, since it's almost the weekend, =
rhetorically speaking, how is it you know that September 28, 2002 is =
going to be an FTD?

      Enjoy your weekend and, as you usually say, happy hunting!

      Duke=20


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<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD><TITLE>Message</TITLE>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type =
content=3Dtext/html;charset=3Diso-8859-1>
<META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2600.0" name=3DGENERATOR>
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</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV>Hi Chas,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>When I was writing my original note, I was going back to a previous =
FTD in=20
the market, that is, the one after 9/11. The rally that started with the =
FTD=20
9/28 was fairly strong, but then began sputtering in mid-December. The =
market=20
reversed a bit right after the first of the year, but then by =
mid-January=20
started falling apart after multiple distribution days and killed the =
rally.=20
You're right that we've had a fresh FTD on about 3/3 or 3/4. In WON"s=20
terms,&nbsp; "this is what you look for in a follow-through confirmation =
of a=20
new market rally: The Nasdaq, Dow or S&amp;P 500 must stay above the =
point at=20
which they bottomed. Then, between the fourth and seventh days of the =
rally=20
attempt (or sometimes later), look for at least one of the indexes to =
gain at=20
least 2% on higher volume than the prior session. " Mark Boucher of=20
TradingMarkets.com uses WON's FTD, but also adds what he calls "a =
plurality of=20
signals." This is not contrary to WON's notions, but quantifies some of =
the=20
additional clues that WON tells us we should look for when determining =
market=20
health, such as new highs in strong industries vs new lows in weak =
industries,=20
up vs down volume, etc. Though there are signs that things are not as =
dire in=20
the market as some would have us believe, the jury's still out. The =
Nasdaq has=20
now posted 2 heavy distribution days close together, the S&amp;P has had =
a=20
couple of lighter distribution days recently, and&nbsp;the Dow has had a =
couple=20
of back to back distribution days. None of these officially kills the =
recent=20
rally, but in my mind that means we're treading on iffy ground. I don't =
even=20
know why I'm attempting to explain all this in my own words, because =
there's a=20
terrific resource available written by Bill Lee. He's done a superb job =
of=20
explaining market bottoms and tops at his website. And, though he's too =
humble=20
to tell anybody about it here (so I'm just going to do it for him!), he =
has an=20
amazing shareware tool that runs in Excel that does all these =
calculations for=20
you and spits out a chart that shows the beginning and end of each rally =

according the WON's guidelines. Once I stumbled across his beta version, =
I=20
started using it in place of my own manual notations at the end of each =
day.=20
Check out his explanations of WON's guidelines at: <A=20
href=3D"http://www.market-tester.com/primer.htm">http://www.market-tester=
.com/primer.htm</A></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3D1440lda@tm.net href=3D"mailto:1440lda@tm.net">Chas</A> =
</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, April 06, 2002 =
9:00=20
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] HTMMIS =
and M</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT color=3D#000000 size=3D2>Hi Katherine</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT color=3D#000000 size=3D2></FONT><FONT size=3D2>Since I'm =
new to this=20
  CANSLIM and still learning...you wrote of the sept 01 ftd....was this =
for the=20
  market in general or do you have different % that you look for??? WON =
writes=20
  of the 1% ftd and there was a ftd in mar4 &amp; mar6....both the DOW =
&amp;=20
  NASDAQ are lower now ...does this mean we have to look for a new set =
of follow=20
  through days??&nbsp;&nbsp; As always your comments are read with great =

  interest.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=3D2>Chas</FONT></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE=20
  style=3D"PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px =
solid">
    <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2><B>-----Original =
Message-----</B><BR><B>From:=20
    </B>Katherine Malm &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">kmalm@earthlink.net</A>&gt;<BR><B>To:=
=20
    </B><A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
    &lt;<A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;<BR><B>Date:=20
    </B>Friday, April 05, 2002 3:26 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>Re: [CANSLIM] =
HTMMIS=20
    and M<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
    <DIV>Hi Duke,</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Didn't you receive the special=20
    double-secret-forward-looking-X-Ray-sunglasses with your copy of=20
    HTMMIS?</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Thanks for pointing out the typo, I meant 9/28/01!</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Katherine</DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
    style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
      <DIV=20
      style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
      <A title=3Ddukemill@tampabay.rr.com=20
      href=3D"mailto:dukemill@tampabay.rr.com">Duke Miller</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
      title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
      </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, April 05, =
2002 2:06=20
      PM</DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] =
HTMMIS and=20
      M</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D543290220-05042002><FONT=20
      face=3DArial>Katherine,</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D543290220-05042002><FONT=20
      face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D543290220-05042002><FONT face=3DArial>You are =
so=20
      good...however, since it's almost the weekend,&nbsp;rhetorically =
speaking,=20
      how is it you&nbsp;know that September 28, 2002 is going to be an=20
      FTD?</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D543290220-05042002></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D543290220-05042002><FONT face=3DArial>Enjoy =
your weekend=20
      and, as you usually&nbsp;say, happy hunting!</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D543290220-05042002></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D543290220-05042002><FONT=20
      face=3DArial>Duke</FONT>&nbsp;</SPAN></DIV>
      <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV></DIV>
        <DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader lang=3Den-us dir=3Dltr=20
        =
align=3Dleft>&nbsp;</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQU=
OTE></BODY></HTML>

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