URBN (was Re: [CANSLIM] ODSY)


From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: URBN (was Re: [CANSLIM] ODSY)
Date: Thu, 11 Apr 2002 11:10:58 -0400

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MessageHi Duke,

I agree, URBN does look like it has turned things around. I saw nothing =
at a quick glance that looked like a problem. Even Inventory Turnover is =
9.2X, which is important to a retailer.

Main problem I see is the chart. I don't see a constructive pattern, nor =
a decent base from which to buy right now.

Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: TexWorley
- ----- Original Message -----=20
From: Duke Miller=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Thursday, April 11, 2002 10:15 AM
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] ODSY


Katherine:

Thanks for that insight.  Wasn't aware of the meaning of a "blank" SMR =
vs. N/A SMR. =20

My feeling is, and it's hard to hold to it sometimes, is with what =
happened to us the past couple of years, ROE of 15% or better.  Was just =
pondering URBN; it's ROE is 11% and change.  My that's tempting.

Duke

  -----Original Message-----
  From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Katherine Malm
  Sent: Thursday, April 11, 2002 10:03 AM
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] ODSY


  Duke,

  Sorry...just took a look and I was incorrect. If there isn't enough =
info, they will leave a blank for SMR. Looks like ROE is N/A due to =
negative earnings in the past and that would also make SMR an N/A

  Katherine
    ----- Original Message -----=20
    From: Katherine Malm=20
    To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    Sent: Thursday, April 11, 2002 9:00 AM
    Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] ODSY


    Hi Duke,

    The N/A for the SMR ranking is only because there isn't yet enough =
history on this new IPO to perform the calculations. In that case, you =
would have to look instead at the Sales, Profit Margins, and ROE =
independently to make the assessment.

    Katherine
      ----- Original Message -----=20
      From: Duke Miller=20
      To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      Sent: Thursday, April 11, 2002 8:57 AM
      Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] ODSY


      First blush, Eric, with a N/A for SMR and Group at D, it wouldn't =
make any of my lists. =20

      Duke
        -----Original Message-----
        From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Eric Jaenike
        Sent: Thursday, April 11, 2002 9:26 AM
        To: canslim group
        Subject: [CANSLIM] ODSY


        Investigating ODSY (see New America 2/7). New high 7 wk =
consolidation. Good RS, EPS. Growth organic and acquisitions. Medicare =
reimbursement=3D93+% of revs. Still working on 2001 and 2002 EPS =
figures, finding discrepancies with reported DGO figures. IPO Oct. 2001. =
Group strength concerns. U/D 3.2, A/C B. Outperforming industry =
recently. Sequential top and bottom line growth.=20

        Any opinions/insights?

        Eric





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<HTML><HEAD><TITLE>Message</TITLE>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Hi Duke,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I agree, URBN does look like it has turned =
things around.=20
I saw nothing at a quick glance that looked like a problem. Even =
Inventory=20
Turnover is 9.2X, which is important to a retailer.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Main problem I see is the chart. I don't see a=20
constructive pattern, nor a decent base from which to buy right=20
now.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">stkguru@bellsouth.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3Ddukemill@tampabay.rr.com =
href=3D"mailto:dukemill@tampabay.rr.com">Duke=20
Miller</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, April 11, 2002 10:15 AM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] ODSY</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D826581214-11042002><FONT=20
face=3DArial>Katherine:</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D826581214-11042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D826581214-11042002><FONT face=3DArial>Thanks for that =

insight.&nbsp; Wasn't aware of the meaning of a "blank" SMR vs. N/A =
SMR.&nbsp;=20
</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D826581214-11042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D826581214-11042002><FONT face=3DArial>My feeling is, =
and it's=20
hard to hold to it sometimes, is with what happened to us the past =
couple of=20
years, ROE of 15% or better.&nbsp; Was just pondering URBN; it's ROE is =
11% and=20
change.&nbsp; My that's tempting.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D826581214-11042002></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D826581214-11042002><FONT =
face=3DArial>Duke</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D826581214-11042002></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV></DIV>
  <DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader lang=3Den-us dir=3Dltr =
align=3Dleft><FONT=20
  face=3DTahoma size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> <A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com">owner-canslim@lists.xmis=
sion.com</A>=20
  [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] <B>On Behalf Of =
</B>Katherine=20
  Malm<BR><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, April 11, 2002 10:03 AM<BR><B>To:</B>=20
  canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM]=20
  ODSY<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>Duke,</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Sorry...just took a look and I was incorrect. If there isn't =
enough info,=20
  they will leave a blank for SMR. Looks like ROE is N/A due to negative =

  earnings in the past and that would also make SMR an N/A</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Katherine</DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
  style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV=20
    style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
    <A title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine=20
    Malm</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
    </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, April 11, =
2002 9:00=20
    AM</DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
ODSY</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV>Hi Duke,</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>The N/A for the SMR ranking&nbsp;is only because there isn't =
yet enough=20
    history on this new IPO to perform the calculations. In that case, =
you would=20
    have to look instead at the Sales, Profit Margins, and ROE =
independently to=20
    make the assessment.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Katherine</DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
    style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
      <DIV=20
      style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
      <A title=3Ddukemill@tampabay.rr.com=20
      href=3D"mailto:dukemill@tampabay.rr.com">Duke Miller</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
      title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
      </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, April 11, =
2002 8:57=20
      AM</DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] =
ODSY</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D248585413-11042002><FONT face=3DArial>First =
blush, Eric,=20
      with a N/A for SMR and Group at D, it wouldn't make any of my =
lists.&nbsp;=20
      </FONT></SPAN></DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D248585413-11042002><FONT=20
      face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D248585413-11042002><FONT=20
      face=3DArial>Duke</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
      <BLOCKQUOTE style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV></DIV>
        <DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader lang=3Den-us dir=3Dltr =
align=3Dleft><FONT=20
        face=3DTahoma size=3D2>-----Original =
Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> <A=20
        =
href=3D"mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com">owner-canslim@lists.xmis=
sion.com</A>=20
        [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] <B>On Behalf Of =
</B>Eric=20
        Jaenike<BR><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, April 11, 2002 9:26 =
AM<BR><B>To:</B>=20
        canslim group<BR><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] =
ODSY<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
        <P>Investigating ODSY (see New America 2/7). New high 7 wk=20
        consolidation. Good RS, EPS. Growth organic and acquisitions. =
Medicare=20
        reimbursement=3D93+% of revs. Still working on 2001 and 2002 EPS =
figures,=20
        finding discrepancies with reported DGO figures. IPO Oct. 2001. =
Group=20
        strength concerns. U/D 3.2, A/C B. Outperforming industry =
recently.=20
        Sequential top and bottom line growth. </P>
        <P>Any opinions/insights?</P>
        <P>Eric</P>
        <P><BR>
        <HR SIZE=3D1>
        <B>Do You Yahoo!?</B><BR><A=20
        href=3D"$rd_url/welcome/?http://taxes.yahoo.com/">Yahoo! Tax =
Center</A> -=20
        online filing with=20
TurboTax</BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML=
>

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