Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS
Date: Sun, 14 Apr 2002 19:16:42 -0400
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This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_01B1_01C1E3E8.E94B7980 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="Windows-1252" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable what I see is a decline in net after tax profit margins, combined with = funds ownership of 46%. On top of that, cash flow fell below latest full = year earnings. According to what DGO is showing, they will have to have = four back to back record quarters in fiscal '03 to even come close to = the full year forecast. Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley - ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Mona Guarino=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Sunday, April 14, 2002 9:59 PM Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS John, couple cautions: 1. C: WON makes a point of saying to look for not only good a = quarter-on-quater EPS improvement, but to look for accelerating earning. = I don't see that here. 2. chart: base, not just handle, seems short. I remember (re)reading = recently to beware of short bases as they are more failure-prone, esp. = in bear markets. I think WON says 1 or 2 weeks. I agree with your point = that changes in availability of data may justify a shorter period, I = think at least a week or more would be required in order for an extreme = volume dry-up at low end Overall, I agree it looks like a CANSLIM stock, just not sure it's the = right time, and, I confess, I see the market as overall scary rather = than bullish, even in that sector. I'm interested to hear others' comments on this one. - -- Mona -----Original Message----- From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com = [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of John Lessnau Sent: Sunday, April 14, 2002 2:57 PM To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Subject: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS I am considering CHS - Chico's Fashion, Inc. Here is why... The chart looks to be in the final stages of a cup. I little longer = handle is needed (I believe WON recommends a 4 - 8 week handle) but is = that really possible in today's information age? Back when "How to Make = Money in Stocks" was written the Web barely existed and only the most = dedicated CANSLIMers and Stock pros could find these stocks. Today, any = schmoe can find these stocks much more easily then before which may make = entry point a little quicker then in the past. The CHS Stats: a.. C: Five quarters of solid earnings with one year Q to Q increase = of 67%=20 a.. A: HOV 5 year annually earnings per share show outstanding = growth. .077 to 1.007 increase in EPS over past 5 years.=20 a.. N: "Buy stocks as they are making new highs" CHS is only 5% below = 52 week high.=20 a.. S: Only 40,182,680 shares outstanding.=20 a.. L: Technical Rating of 96 puts it 14 out of 65 stocks in its = sector.=20 a.. I: 35% institutional ownership.=20 a.. M: In a bullish sector that's ahead of the bear market. If this is not a CANSLIM stock, I give up..... Should I wait for the = handle to play out a little the catch a volume spike and a price jump = before I buy? - ------=_NextPart_000_01B1_01C1E3E8.E94B7980 Content-Type: text/html; charset="Windows-1252" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> <HTML><HEAD> <META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; = charset=3Dwindows-1252"> <META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2715.400" name=3DGENERATOR> <STYLE></STYLE> </HEAD> <BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>what I see is a decline in net after tax profit = margins,=20 combined with funds ownership of 46%. On top of that, cash flow fell = below=20 latest full year earnings. According to what DGO is showing, they will = have to=20 have four back to back record quarters in fiscal '03 to even come close = to the=20 full year forecast.</FONT></DIV> <DIV> </DIV> <DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20 href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">stkguru@bellsouth.net</A><BR>AIM:=20 TexWorley</DIV> <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20 <DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20 title=3Dwebmaster@design21.com = href=3D"mailto:webmaster@design21.com">Mona=20 Guarino</A> </DIV> <DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20 href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>= </DIV> <DIV><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 14, 2002 9:59 PM</DIV> <DIV><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS</DIV></DIV> <DIV><BR></DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2>John,=20 couple cautions:</FONT></SPAN></DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2>1. C:=20 WON makes a point of saying to look for not only good a = quarter-on-quater EPS=20 improvement, but to look for <SPAN=20 style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: = 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: = EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><FONT=20 color=3D#000000>accelerating </FONT></SPAN>earning. I don't see that=20 here.</FONT></SPAN></DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2>2.=20 chart: base, not just handle, seems short. I remember (re)reading = recently to=20 beware of short bases as they are more failure-prone, esp. in bear = markets. I=20 think WON says 1 or 2 weeks. I agree with your point that changes in=20 availability of data may justify a shorter period, I think at least a = week or=20 more would be required in order for an</FONT></SPAN><SPAN=20 class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2> = extreme volume=20 dry-up at low end</FONT></SPAN></DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2>Overall, I agree it looks like a CANSLIM stock, just not sure = it's the=20 right time, and, I confess, I see the market as overall scary rather = than=20 bullish, even in that sector.</FONT></SPAN></DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2>I'm=20 interested to hear others' comments on this one.</FONT></SPAN></DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2></FONT></SPAN><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT = face=3DArial=20 color=3D#0000ff size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2>--=20 Mona</FONT></SPAN></DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff = size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV> <DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002> </SPAN><FONT face=3DTahoma=20 size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20 owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com = [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<B>On=20 Behalf Of </B>John Lessnau<BR><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 14, 2002 2:57=20 PM<BR><B>To:</B> canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] = Chico's=20 CHS<BR><BR></FONT></DIV> <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20 style=3D"PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #0000ff 2px = solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"> <DIV><FONT size=3D2>I am considering CHS - Chico's Fashion, Inc. = Here is=20 why...</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT size=3D2>The chart looks to be in the final stages of a = cup. I=20 little longer handle is needed (I believe WON recommends a 4 - 8 week = handle)=20 but is that really possible in today's information age? Back = when "How=20 to Make Money in Stocks" was written the Web barely existed and only = the most=20 dedicated CANSLIMers and Stock pros could find these = stocks. Today,=20 any schmoe can find these stocks much more easily then before which = may make=20 entry point a little quicker then in the past.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT size=3D2>The CHS Stats:</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV> <DIV> <LI><FONT size=3D2>C: Five quarters of solid earnings with one year Q = to Q=20 increase of 67%</FONT>=20 <LI><FONT size=3D2>A: HOV 5 year annually earnings per share = show=20 outstanding growth. .077 to 1.007 increase in EPS over past 5=20 years.</FONT>=20 <LI><FONT size=3D2>N: "Buy stocks as they are making new highs" = CHS is=20 only 5% below 52 week high.</FONT>=20 <LI><FONT size=3D2>S: Only 40,182,680 shares outstanding.</FONT>=20 <LI><FONT size=3D2>L: Technical Rating of 96 puts it 14 out of = 65 stocks=20 in its sector.</FONT>=20 <LI><FONT size=3D2>I: 35% institutional ownership.</FONT>=20 <LI><FONT size=3D2>M: In a bullish sector that's ahead of the = bear=20 market.</FONT></LI></DIV> <DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT size=3D2>If this is not a CANSLIM stock, I give = up..... Should=20 I wait for the handle to play out a little the catch a volume = spike and a=20 price jump before I buy?</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML> - ------=_NextPart_000_01B1_01C1E3E8.E94B7980-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
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