Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Ira Post" <ip108@yahoo.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS
Date: Sun, 14 Apr 2002 20:52:18 -0400
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I bought CHS last fall and sold it earlier this year. After a run of =
more than 50%, the price started to falter, the p/e was very high and =
sales seemed to be settling down about. It's a very good company and =
may have another run in it, but I'll pass.
Ira
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Tom Worley=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Sunday, April 14, 2002 7:16 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS
what I see is a decline in net after tax profit margins, combined with =
funds ownership of 46%. On top of that, cash flow fell below latest full =
year earnings. According to what DGO is showing, they will have to have =
four back to back record quarters in fiscal '03 to even come close to =
the full year forecast.
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: TexWorley
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Mona Guarino=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Sunday, April 14, 2002 9:59 PM
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS
John, couple cautions:
1. C: WON makes a point of saying to look for not only good a =
quarter-on-quater EPS improvement, but to look for accelerating earning. =
I don't see that here.
2. chart: base, not just handle, seems short. I remember (re)reading =
recently to beware of short bases as they are more failure-prone, esp. =
in bear markets. I think WON says 1 or 2 weeks. I agree with your point =
that changes in availability of data may justify a shorter period, I =
think at least a week or more would be required in order for an extreme =
volume dry-up at low end
Overall, I agree it looks like a CANSLIM stock, just not sure it's the =
right time, and, I confess, I see the market as overall scary rather =
than bullish, even in that sector.
I'm interested to hear others' comments on this one.
-- Mona
-----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of John Lessnau
Sent: Sunday, April 14, 2002 2:57 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS
I am considering CHS - Chico's Fashion, Inc. Here is why...
The chart looks to be in the final stages of a cup. I little longer =
handle is needed (I believe WON recommends a 4 - 8 week handle) but is =
that really possible in today's information age? Back when "How to Make =
Money in Stocks" was written the Web barely existed and only the most =
dedicated CANSLIMers and Stock pros could find these stocks. Today, any =
schmoe can find these stocks much more easily then before which may make =
entry point a little quicker then in the past.
The CHS Stats:
a.. C: Five quarters of solid earnings with one year Q to Q increase =
of 67%=20
a.. A: HOV 5 year annually earnings per share show outstanding =
growth. .077 to 1.007 increase in EPS over past 5 years.=20
a.. N: "Buy stocks as they are making new highs" CHS is only 5% =
below 52 week high.=20
a.. S: Only 40,182,680 shares outstanding.=20
a.. L: Technical Rating of 96 puts it 14 out of 65 stocks in its =
sector.=20
a.. I: 35% institutional ownership.=20
a.. M: In a bullish sector that's ahead of the bear market.
If this is not a CANSLIM stock, I give up..... Should I wait for =
the handle to play out a little the catch a volume spike and a price =
jump before I buy?
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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>I bought CHS last fall and sold it =
earlier this=20
year. After a run of more than 50%, the price started to falter, =
the p/e=20
was very high and sales seemed to be settling down about. It's a =
very good=20
company and may have another run in it, but I'll pass.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Ira</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dstkguru@bellsouth.net =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">Tom=20
Worley</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 14, 2002 =
7:16=20
PM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Chico's =
CHS</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>what I see is a decline in net after tax =
profit margins,=20
combined with funds ownership of 46%. On top of that, cash flow fell =
below=20
latest full year earnings. According to what DGO is showing, they will =
have to=20
have four back to back record quarters in fiscal '03 to even come =
close to the=20
full year forecast.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
=
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">stkguru@bellsouth.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3Dwebmaster@design21.com =
href=3D"mailto:webmaster@design21.com">Mona=20
Guarino</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 14, 2002 9:59 PM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2>John, couple cautions:</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>1.=20
C: WON makes a point of saying to look for not only good a =
quarter-on-quater=20
EPS improvement, but to look for <SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: =
'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: =
EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><FONT=20
color=3D#000000>accelerating </FONT></SPAN>earning. I don't see that=20
here.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>2.=20
chart: base, not just handle, seems short. I remember (re)reading =
recently to=20
beware of short bases as they are more failure-prone, esp. in bear =
markets. I=20
think WON says 1 or 2 weeks. I agree with your point that changes in=20
availability of data may justify a shorter period, I think at least a =
week or=20
more would be required in order for an</FONT></SPAN><SPAN=20
class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2> extreme volume=20
dry-up at low end</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2>Overall, I agree it looks like a CANSLIM stock, just not sure =
it's the=20
right time, and, I confess, I see the market as overall scary rather =
than=20
bullish, even in that sector.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>I'm=20
interested to hear others' comments on this one.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT =
face=3DArial=20
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>--=20
Mona</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D490384401-15042002> </SPAN><FONT face=3DTahoma =
size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<B>On Behalf Of </B>John=20
Lessnau<BR><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 14, 2002 2:57 PM<BR><B>To:</B>=20
canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Chico's=20
CHS<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #0000ff 2px =
solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>I am considering CHS - Chico's Fashion, =
Inc. Here is=20
why...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>The chart looks to be in the final stages of a =
cup. =20
I little longer handle is needed (I believe WON recommends a 4 - 8 =
week=20
handle) but is that really possible in today's information =
age? Back=20
when "How to Make Money in Stocks" was written the Web barely =
existed and=20
only the most dedicated CANSLIMers and Stock pros could find =
these=20
stocks. Today, any schmoe can find these stocks much more =
easily then=20
before which may make entry point a little quicker then in the=20
past.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>The CHS Stats:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV>
<LI><FONT size=3D2>C: Five quarters of solid earnings with one year =
Q to Q=20
increase of 67%</FONT>=20
<LI><FONT size=3D2>A: HOV 5 year annually earnings per share =
show=20
outstanding growth. .077 to 1.007 increase in EPS over past 5=20
years.</FONT>=20
<LI><FONT size=3D2>N: "Buy stocks as they are making new =
highs" CHS is=20
only 5% below 52 week high.</FONT>=20
<LI><FONT size=3D2>S: Only 40,182,680 shares outstanding.</FONT>=20
<LI><FONT size=3D2>L: Technical Rating of 96 puts it 14 out of =
65 stocks=20
in its sector.</FONT>=20
<LI><FONT size=3D2>I: 35% institutional ownership.</FONT>=20
<LI><FONT size=3D2>M: In a bullish sector that's ahead of the =
bear=20
market.</FONT></LI></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>If this is not a CANSLIM stock, I give =
up..... =20
Should I wait for the handle to play out a little the catch a =
volume=20
spike and a price jump before I=20
buy?</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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Next Article (by Date): [CANSLIM] Global Economics "Tom Worley"
Top of Thread: RE: [CANSLIM] Chico's CHS Simon Yang
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