Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview

From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Date: Mon, 22 Apr 2002 01:27:13 -0400
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PSTI - the short term pattern is an ascending base, generally not =
encouraging as it doesn't create a support level. But looking at the =
longer term pattern, I saw a LLUR, and that is a more significant =
pattern
PXXI - I saw the drop below the 50 DMA as breaking the base formation =
that started 1/28/02, so I started a new count when it again began to =
form a flat line base
UOPX - if in fact that is a cup that has formed, it is a very sloppy =
one, so I choose to disregard it and just focus on the recent flat line =
base (which would be the handle if there is a cup there)

The basic list I review requires RS and EPS of 80 or better, and within =
5% of the 12 month high during the prior week. I look at the chart =
pattern for possibilities and patterns, and try also to note the =
earnings forecast (to eliminate those without at least a 20% growth =
forecast). but I don't do any due diligence beyond that, hence the =
"wannabees". I started this list several years ago with the idea of =
giving the group some valid candidates that had CANSLIM basis, using =
valid CS data. That remains my intent today, altho I have had to vary =
the criteria a little, and blend in other sources, to avoid legal =
problems with Daily Graphs Online.

Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: TexWorley
- ----- Original Message -----=20
From: William King=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Monday, April 22, 2002 12:40 AM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview


Tom,
Was looking at your list of Wannabees and have a few questions to =
further my education.

Re base definition:
PSTI-LLUR-why not a B6?
PXXI-B5-why not a B12?
UOPX -B4-why not a potential cwh?-cup too short?

Re fundamentals:
A number of the candidates had quarterly sales growth below WON's =
desired 25% and group RS less than 70%. Assume they would be dropped =
from consideration?

Thanks,
Bill King


  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Tom Worley=20
  To: CANSLIM=20
  Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 1:41 PM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview


  ECONOMICS
  Initial claims, 4 week average of initial claims, and Continued Claims =
all rose more than expected, signaling a continuing rise in unemployment =
figures (a laggard indicator).

  February Trade Gap was the largest in a year at $31.5 billion, even =
after factoring out energy products, just another sign of a recovering =
US economy trying to drag the global economy along. It was far higher =
that economist's forecast of 28.8 billion.

  CPI rose a tame 0.3% in March, expectations were for a rise of 0.5%. =
Stripping out volatile energy and food portions, it was up only 0.1% on =
the core rate.

  Housing starts dropped 7.8%, biggest drop in 12 years, but was =
measured against February's rate which was the highest in four years. =
New building permits also fell, by 9.9%, below expectations.

  Industrial production for March was up 0.7%, expectation was for a =
gain of 0.5%. February's gain was revised to 0.3% gain. Capacity =
utilization came in at 75.4% against expectations of 75.1%, and =
February's rate of 74.9%.

  Consumer debt is again out of control, and may curtail future spending =
needed to keep the economy growing. Consumers were spending 14.3% of =
their disposable income just to service their debt during the 4th =
quarter, highest rate since 1986. Debt service level was higher at the =
end of this latest recession than at the end of any of the prior three =
recessions, and was rising during the final six months of recession, =
while it declined in the final six months of the prior recessions. =
Worthwhile article at
  http://money.cnn.com/2002/04/16/news/economy/trend_debt/index.htm=20
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- -----

  WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABEES
  As always, most here will have both RS and EPS of 80 or better, and be =
close to their 12 month high. I will try to note the exceptions to this. =
I will point out what I see in basing formations, such as c&h, double =
bottoms, or LLUR (Lower Left, Upper Right, not an approved WON pattern). =
Mostly I am looking for flat line basing, noted as Bx where "B"ase means =
"x" weeks, IMO. The population I am reviewing this weekend expanded =
sharply. Most charts are already extended, not much to pick from.

  AMZ - B4
  CMX - B5
  CSTR - uptrending B6, but staggering earnings forecasts (713% this =
year and 123% next year), which will drop trailing PE from 486 to 52 =
projected this year
  GLG - LLUR, small cap low priced gold stock, I have no confidence in =
it with a price/sales ratio of over 7, but nice chart
  ICTG - B4
  NWRE - small cap, B2, powerful earnings forecast, in my VR fund
  OFIX - B6
  PETM - LLUR
  PNG - B4
  PSTI - early stage LLUR?, in my VR fund, small cap
  PXXI - B5, but EPS only 74, in my VR fund, small cap
  TTC - B7
  UOPX - B4

  Happy Hunting,


  Tom Worley
  stkguru@bellsouth.net
  AIM: TexWorley

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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PSTI - the short term pattern is an ascending =
base,=20
generally not encouraging as it doesn't create a support level. But =
looking at=20
the longer term pattern, I saw a LLUR, and that is a more significant=20
pattern</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PXXI - I saw the drop below the 50 DMA as =
breaking the=20
base formation that started 1/28/02, so I started a new count when it =
again=20
began to form a flat line base</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>UOPX - if in fact that is a cup that has formed, =
it is a=20
very sloppy one, so I choose to disregard it and just focus on the =
recent flat=20
line base (which would be the handle if there is a cup =
there)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>The basic list I review requires RS and EPS of =
80 or=20
better, and within 5% of the 12 month high during the prior week. I look =
at the=20
chart pattern for possibilities and patterns, and try also to note the =
earnings=20
forecast (to eliminate those without at least a 20% growth forecast). =
but I=20
don't do any due diligence beyond that, hence the "wannabees". I started =
this=20
list several years ago with the idea of giving the group some valid =
candidates=20
that had CANSLIM basis, using valid CS data. That remains my intent =
today, altho=20
I have had to vary the criteria a little, and blend in other sources, to =
avoid=20
legal problems with Daily Graphs Online.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">stkguru@bellsouth.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3Dwk11@adelphia.net href=3D"mailto:wk11@adelphia.net">William =
King</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Monday, April 22, 2002 12:40 AM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Tom,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Was looking at your list of Wannabees =
and have a=20
few questions to further my education.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>Re base=20
definition:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>PSTI-LLUR-why not=20
a B6?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>PXXI-B5-why not a=20
B12?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>UOPX&nbsp;-B4-why=20
not a potential cwh?-cup too short?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>Re=20
fundamentals:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>A =
number of the=20
candidates had quarterly sales growth below WON's desired 25% and group =
RS less=20
than 70%. Assume they would be dropped from consideration?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2>Thanks,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>Bill=20
King</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dstkguru@bellsouth.net =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">Tom=20
  Worley</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">CANSLIM</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 21, 2002 =
1:41=20
PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Worley's =
Weekend=20
  Weeview</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>ECONOMICS</STRONG></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Initial claims, 4 week average of initial =
claims, and=20
  Continued Claims all rose more than expected, signaling a continuing =
rise in=20
  unemployment figures (a laggard indicator).</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>February Trade Gap was the largest in a year =
at $31.5=20
  billion, even after factoring out energy products, just another sign =
of a=20
  recovering US economy trying to drag the global economy along. It was =
far=20
  higher that economist's forecast of 28.8 billion.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>CPI rose a tame 0.3% in March, expectations =
were for a=20
  rise of 0.5%. Stripping out volatile energy and food portions, it was =
up only=20
  0.1% on the core rate.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Housing starts dropped 7.8%, biggest drop in =
12 years,=20
  but was measured against February's rate which was the highest in four =
years.=20
  New building permits also fell, by 9.9%, below =
expectations.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Industrial production for March was up 0.7%, =
expectation=20
  was for a gain of 0.5%. February's gain was revised to 0.3% gain. =
Capacity=20
  utilization came in at 75.4% against expectations of 75.1%, and =
February's=20
  rate of 74.9%.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Consumer debt is again out of control, and may =
curtail=20
  future spending needed to keep the economy growing. Consumers were =
spending=20
  14.3% of their disposable income just to service their debt during the =
4th=20
  quarter, highest rate since 1986. Debt service level was higher at the =
end of=20
  this latest recession than at the end of any of the prior three =
recessions,=20
  and was rising during the final six months of recession, while it =
declined in=20
  the final six months of the prior recessions. Worthwhile article=20
  at</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><A=20
  =
href=3D"http://money.cnn.com/2002/04/16/news/economy/trend_debt/index.htm=
"><FONT=20
  =
face=3DArial>http://money.cnn.com/2002/04/16/news/economy/trend_debt/inde=
x.htm</FONT></A>=20

  <HR>
  </DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>WORLEY'S WATCHLIST=20
  WANNABEES</STRONG></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>As always, most here will have both RS and EPS =
of 80 or=20
  better, and be close to their 12 month high. I will try to note the =
exceptions=20
  to this. I will point out what I see in basing formations, such as =
c&amp;h,=20
  double bottoms, or LLUR (Lower Left, Upper Right, not an approved WON=20
  pattern). Mostly I am looking for flat line basing, noted as Bx where =
"B"ase=20
  means "x" weeks, IMO. The population I am reviewing this weekend =
expanded=20
  sharply. Most charts are already extended, not much to pick =
from.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>AMZ - B4</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>CMX - B5</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>CSTR - uptrending B6, but staggering earnings =
forecasts=20
  (713% this year and 123% next year), which will drop trailing PE from =
486 to=20
  52 projected this year</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>GLG - LLUR, small cap low priced gold stock, I =
have no=20
  confidence in it with a price/sales ratio of over 7, but nice=20
  chart</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>ICTG - B4</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>NWRE - small cap, B2, powerful earnings =
forecast, in my=20
  VR fund</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>OFIX - B6</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PETM - LLUR</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PNG - B4</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PSTI - early stage LLUR?, in my VR fund, small =

  cap</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PXXI - B5, but EPS only 74, in my VR fund, =
small=20
  cap</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>TTC - B7</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>UOPX - B4</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Happy Hunting,</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial><IMG alt=3D"" hspace=3D0=20
  src=3D"cid:0e2c01c1e9be$5bdc8040$9300a8c0@TOMSBOX" align=3Dbaseline=20
  border=3D0></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Tom Worley<BR></FONT><A=20
  href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net"><FONT=20
  face=3DArial>stkguru@bellsouth.net</FONT></A><BR><FONT =
face=3DArial>AIM:=20
  TexWorley</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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