Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "William King" <wk11@adelphia.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Date: Mon, 22 Apr 2002 07:26:27 -0400
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Got it. Thanks Tom
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Tom Worley=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Monday, April 22, 2002 1:27 AM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
PSTI - the short term pattern is an ascending base, generally not =
encouraging as it doesn't create a support level. But looking at the =
longer term pattern, I saw a LLUR, and that is a more significant =
pattern
PXXI - I saw the drop below the 50 DMA as breaking the base formation =
that started 1/28/02, so I started a new count when it again began to =
form a flat line base
UOPX - if in fact that is a cup that has formed, it is a very sloppy =
one, so I choose to disregard it and just focus on the recent flat line =
base (which would be the handle if there is a cup there)
The basic list I review requires RS and EPS of 80 or better, and =
within 5% of the 12 month high during the prior week. I look at the =
chart pattern for possibilities and patterns, and try also to note the =
earnings forecast (to eliminate those without at least a 20% growth =
forecast). but I don't do any due diligence beyond that, hence the =
"wannabees". I started this list several years ago with the idea of =
giving the group some valid candidates that had CANSLIM basis, using =
valid CS data. That remains my intent today, altho I have had to vary =
the criteria a little, and blend in other sources, to avoid legal =
problems with Daily Graphs Online.
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: TexWorley
----- Original Message -----=20
From: William King=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Monday, April 22, 2002 12:40 AM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Tom,
Was looking at your list of Wannabees and have a few questions to =
further my education.
Re base definition:
PSTI-LLUR-why not a B6?
PXXI-B5-why not a B12?
UOPX -B4-why not a potential cwh?-cup too short?
Re fundamentals:
A number of the candidates had quarterly sales growth below WON's =
desired 25% and group RS less than 70%. Assume they would be dropped =
from consideration?
Thanks,
Bill King
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Tom Worley=20
To: CANSLIM=20
Sent: Sunday, April 21, 2002 1:41 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
ECONOMICS
Initial claims, 4 week average of initial claims, and Continued =
Claims all rose more than expected, signaling a continuing rise in =
unemployment figures (a laggard indicator).
February Trade Gap was the largest in a year at $31.5 billion, even =
after factoring out energy products, just another sign of a recovering =
US economy trying to drag the global economy along. It was far higher =
that economist's forecast of 28.8 billion.
CPI rose a tame 0.3% in March, expectations were for a rise of 0.5%. =
Stripping out volatile energy and food portions, it was up only 0.1% on =
the core rate.
Housing starts dropped 7.8%, biggest drop in 12 years, but was =
measured against February's rate which was the highest in four years. =
New building permits also fell, by 9.9%, below expectations.
Industrial production for March was up 0.7%, expectation was for a =
gain of 0.5%. February's gain was revised to 0.3% gain. Capacity =
utilization came in at 75.4% against expectations of 75.1%, and =
February's rate of 74.9%.
Consumer debt is again out of control, and may curtail future =
spending needed to keep the economy growing. Consumers were spending =
14.3% of their disposable income just to service their debt during the =
4th quarter, highest rate since 1986. Debt service level was higher at =
the end of this latest recession than at the end of any of the prior =
three recessions, and was rising during the final six months of =
recession, while it declined in the final six months of the prior =
recessions. Worthwhile article at
http://money.cnn.com/2002/04/16/news/economy/trend_debt/index.htm=20
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ---
WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABEES
As always, most here will have both RS and EPS of 80 or better, and =
be close to their 12 month high. I will try to note the exceptions to =
this. I will point out what I see in basing formations, such as c&h, =
double bottoms, or LLUR (Lower Left, Upper Right, not an approved WON =
pattern). Mostly I am looking for flat line basing, noted as Bx where =
"B"ase means "x" weeks, IMO. The population I am reviewing this weekend =
expanded sharply. Most charts are already extended, not much to pick =
from.
AMZ - B4
CMX - B5
CSTR - uptrending B6, but staggering earnings forecasts (713% this =
year and 123% next year), which will drop trailing PE from 486 to 52 =
projected this year
GLG - LLUR, small cap low priced gold stock, I have no confidence in =
it with a price/sales ratio of over 7, but nice chart
ICTG - B4
NWRE - small cap, B2, powerful earnings forecast, in my VR fund
OFIX - B6
PETM - LLUR
PNG - B4
PSTI - early stage LLUR?, in my VR fund, small cap
PXXI - B5, but EPS only 74, in my VR fund, small cap
TTC - B7
UOPX - B4
Happy Hunting,
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: TexWorley
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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Got it. Thanks Tom</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dstkguru@bellsouth.net =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">Tom=20
Worley</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Monday, April 22, 2002 =
1:27=20
AM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's =
Weekend=20
Weeview</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PSTI - the short term pattern is an ascending =
base,=20
generally not encouraging as it doesn't create a support level. But =
looking at=20
the longer term pattern, I saw a LLUR, and that is a more significant=20
pattern</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PXXI - I saw the drop below the 50 DMA as =
breaking the=20
base formation that started 1/28/02, so I started a new count when it =
again=20
began to form a flat line base</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>UOPX - if in fact that is a cup that has =
formed, it is a=20
very sloppy one, so I choose to disregard it and just focus on the =
recent flat=20
line base (which would be the handle if there is a cup =
there)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>The basic list I review requires RS and EPS of =
80 or=20
better, and within 5% of the 12 month high during the prior week. I =
look at=20
the chart pattern for possibilities and patterns, and try also to note =
the=20
earnings forecast (to eliminate those without at least a 20% growth =
forecast).=20
but I don't do any due diligence beyond that, hence the "wannabees". I =
started=20
this list several years ago with the idea of giving the group some =
valid=20
candidates that had CANSLIM basis, using valid CS data. That remains =
my intent=20
today, altho I have had to vary the criteria a little, and blend in =
other=20
sources, to avoid legal problems with Daily Graphs =
Online.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
=
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">stkguru@bellsouth.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3Dwk11@adelphia.net href=3D"mailto:wk11@adelphia.net">William =
King</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Monday, April 22, 2002 12:40 AM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend =
Weeview</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Tom,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Was looking at your list of Wannabees =
and have a=20
few questions to further my education.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>Re base=20
definition:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>PSTI-LLUR-why=20
not a B6?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>PXXI-B5-why not=20
a B12?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2>UOPX -B4-why not a potential cwh?-cup too =
short?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>Re=20
fundamentals:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>A number of the=20
candidates had quarterly sales growth below WON's desired 25% and =
group RS=20
less than 70%. Assume they would be dropped from =
consideration?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2>Thanks,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D2>Bill=20
King</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px"><FONT face=3DArial=20
size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dstkguru@bellsouth.net =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">Tom=20
Worley</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">CANSLIM</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, April 21, 2002 =
1:41=20
PM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Worley's =
Weekend=20
Weeview</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>ECONOMICS</STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Initial claims, 4 week average of initial =
claims, and=20
Continued Claims all rose more than expected, signaling a continuing =
rise in=20
unemployment figures (a laggard indicator).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>February Trade Gap was the largest in a year =
at $31.5=20
billion, even after factoring out energy products, just another sign =
of a=20
recovering US economy trying to drag the global economy along. It =
was far=20
higher that economist's forecast of 28.8 billion.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>CPI rose a tame 0.3% in March, expectations =
were for a=20
rise of 0.5%. Stripping out volatile energy and food portions, it =
was up=20
only 0.1% on the core rate.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Housing starts dropped 7.8%, biggest drop in =
12 years,=20
but was measured against February's rate which was the highest in =
four=20
years. New building permits also fell, by 9.9%, below=20
expectations.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Industrial production for March was up 0.7%, =
expectation was for a gain of 0.5%. February's gain was revised to =
0.3%=20
gain. Capacity utilization came in at 75.4% against expectations of =
75.1%,=20
and February's rate of 74.9%.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Consumer debt is again out of control, and =
may curtail=20
future spending needed to keep the economy growing. Consumers were =
spending=20
14.3% of their disposable income just to service their debt during =
the 4th=20
quarter, highest rate since 1986. Debt service level was higher at =
the end=20
of this latest recession than at the end of any of the prior three=20
recessions, and was rising during the final six months of recession, =
while=20
it declined in the final six months of the prior recessions. =
Worthwhile=20
article at</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><A=20
=
href=3D"http://money.cnn.com/2002/04/16/news/economy/trend_debt/index.htm=
"><FONT=20
=
face=3DArial>http://money.cnn.com/2002/04/16/news/economy/trend_debt/inde=
x.htm</FONT></A>=20
<HR>
</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>WORLEY'S WATCHLIST=20
WANNABEES</STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>As always, most here will have both RS and =
EPS of 80=20
or better, and be close to their 12 month high. I will try to note =
the=20
exceptions to this. I will point out what I see in basing =
formations, such=20
as c&h, double bottoms, or LLUR (Lower Left, Upper Right, not an =
approved WON pattern). Mostly I am looking for flat line basing, =
noted as Bx=20
where "B"ase means "x" weeks, IMO. The population I am reviewing =
this=20
weekend expanded sharply. Most charts are already extended, not much =
to pick=20
from.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>AMZ - B4</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>CMX - B5</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>CSTR - uptrending B6, but staggering =
earnings=20
forecasts (713% this year and 123% next year), which will drop =
trailing PE=20
from 486 to 52 projected this year</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>GLG - LLUR, small cap low priced gold stock, =
I have no=20
confidence in it with a price/sales ratio of over 7, but nice=20
chart</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>ICTG - B4</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>NWRE - small cap, B2, powerful earnings =
forecast, in=20
my VR fund</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>OFIX - B6</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PETM - LLUR</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PNG - B4</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PSTI - early stage LLUR?, in my VR fund, =
small=20
cap</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>PXXI - B5, but EPS only 74, in my VR fund, =
small=20
cap</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>TTC - B7</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>UOPX - B4</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Happy Hunting,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><IMG alt=3D"" hspace=3D0=20
src=3D"cid:001101c1e9f0$8abc3ea0$c10d3218@pbc.adelphia.net" =
align=3Dbaseline=20
border=3D0></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Tom Worley<BR></FONT><A=20
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net"><FONT=20
face=3DArial>stkguru@bellsouth.net</FONT></A><BR><FONT =
face=3DArial>AIM:=20
TexWorley</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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