RE: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast

From: "Hill, Ernie" <Ernie.Hill@ElPaso.com>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast
Date: Mon, 22 Apr 2002 11:07:13 -0500

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Hi Tom,
 
It is purely my version of TA. It has really helped me in my trading.
 
I would not present these forecasts to the group if I were not confident in
them. My purpose in posting these forecasts is to give back some value to a
group that has given me value. Determining market direction has not been
very easy to do lately. It is my hope that as some group members gain some
confidence that I may actually know what I am talking about that they could
use these forecasts as another tool to benefit them in their CANSLIM
investments.
 
E
 
PS: Today is certainly not adding to my credibility :-)
 
- -----Original Message-----
From: Tom Worley [mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]
Sent: Monday, April 22, 2002 7:16 AM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast
 
I don't understand your reasoning for this, Ernie, but I would certainly
cheer 1238 on the S&P500 by then.
 
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net <mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net> 
AIM: TexWorley
- ----- Original Message ----- 

From: Hill, Ernie <mailto:Ernie.Hill@ElPaso.com>  
To: CANSLIM <mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com>  
Sent: Saturday, April 20, 2002 10:08 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast
 
At this point in time I have two high probability projections for the next
major turning point in the S&P 500. The highest probability is for a turning
point on May 21, 2002 at a price level of 1200. The second highest
probability is for a turning point on May 22, 2002 at a price level of 1238.
As we approach these dates one of these scenarios should emerge as the most
likely candidate.
 
E


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<div class=3DSection1>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D3 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Hi T=
om,<o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D3 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><![i=
f !supportEmptyParas]>&nbsp;<![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D3 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>It i=
s purely
my version of TA. It has really helped me in my trading.<o:p></o:p></span><=
/font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D3 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><![i=
f !supportEmptyParas]>&nbsp;<![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D3 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>I wo=
uld
not present these forecasts to the group if I were not confident in them. My
purpose in posting these forecasts is to give back some value to a group th=
at
has given me value. Determining market direction has not been very easy to =
do lately.
It is my hope that as some group members gain some confidence that I may
actually know what I am talking about that they could use these forecasts as
another tool to benefit them in their CANSLIM investments.<o:p></o:p></span=
></font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D3 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><![i=
f !supportEmptyParas]>&nbsp;<![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D3 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>E<o:=
p></o:p></span></font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D3 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><![i=
f !supportEmptyParas]>&nbsp;<![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D3 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>PS: =
Today
is certainly not adding to my credibility </span></font></span><span
class=3DEmailStyle19><font color=3Dnavy face=3DWingdings><span style=3D'mso=
- -ansi-font-size:
12.0pt;font-family:Wingdings;mso-ascii-font-family:Arial;mso-hansi-font-fam=
ily:
Arial;mso-char-type:symbol;mso-symbol-font-family:Wingdings'><span
style=3D'mso-char-type:symbol;mso-symbol-font-family:Wingdings'>J</span></s=
pan></font></span><span
class=3DEmailStyle19><font color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span style=3D'mso-ans=
i-font-size:
12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D2 color=3Dnavy=
 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><![i=
f !supportEmptyParas]>&nbsp;<![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack
face=3DTahoma><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma;color:blac=
k'>-----Original
Message-----<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>From:</span></b> Tom Worley
[mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>Sent:</span></b> Monday, April 22, 2002=
 7:16
AM<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>To:</span></b> canslim@lists.xmission.c=
om<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>Subject:</span></b> Re: [CANSLIM] S&amp=
;P 500
forecast</span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 face=3D"Time=
s New Roman"><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt'><![if !supportEmptyParas]>&nbsp;<![endif]><o:p><=
/o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'=
>I don't
understand your reasoning for this, Ernie, but I would certainly cheer 1238=
 on
the S&amp;P500 by then.</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span style=3D'col=
or:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>&nbsp=
;</span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o=
:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>Tom W=
orley<br>
<a href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">stkguru@bellsouth.net</a><br>
AIM: TexWorley</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span style=3D'color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'=
>-----
Original Message -----=20

<div style=3D'font-color:black'></span></font><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in;background:#E4E4E4'><b><font=
 size=3D2
color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Aria=
l;
color:black;font-weight:bold'>From:</span></font></b><font size=3D2 color=
=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'=
> <a
href=3D"mailto:Ernie.Hill@ElPaso.com" title=3D"Ernie.Hill@ElPaso.com">Hill,=
 Ernie</a>
</span></font><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span style=3D'font=
- -size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span><=
/font></p>

</div>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><b><font size=3D2 color=3Db=
lack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;
font-weight:bold'>To:</span></font></b><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack face=3D=
Arial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'> <a
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com" title=3D"canslim@lists.xmission.=
com">CANSLIM</a>
</span></font><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span style=3D'font=
- -size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span><=
/font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><b><font size=3D2 color=3Db=
lack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;
font-weight:bold'>Sent:</span></font></b><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack face=
=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'> Saturday, April 2=
0,
2002 10:08 PM</span></font><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:windo=
wtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><b><font size=3D2 color=3Db=
lack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;
font-weight:bold'>Subject:</span></font></b><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'=
> [CANSLIM]
S&amp;P 500 forecast</span></font><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack face=3DArial=
><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:windo=
wtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'><![if=
 !supportEmptyParas]>&nbsp;<![endif]></span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o=
:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'=
>At this
point in time I have two high probability projections for the next <u>major
turning point</u> in the S&amp;P 500. The highest probability is for a turn=
ing
point on <st1:date Year=3D"2002" Day=3D"21" Month=3D"5">May 21, 2002</st1:d=
ate> at a
price level of 1200. The second highest probability is for a turning point =
on <st1:date Year=3D"2002" Day=3D"22" Month=3D"5">May
22, 2002</st1:date> at a price level of 1238. As we approach these dates on=
e of
these scenarios should emerge as the most likely candidate.</span></font><f=
ont
size=3D2 color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-fa=
mily:Arial;
color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'=
>&nbsp;</span></font><font
size=3D2 color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-fa=
mily:Arial;
color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D2 color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'=
>E</span></font><font
size=3D2 color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-fa=
mily:Arial;
color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 color=3Dblack
face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Courier N=
ew";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Courier New";color:black'><br>
<br>
<code><span style=3D'mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt'>*=
*****************************************************************</span></c=
ode><br>
<code><span style=3D'mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt'>T=
his
email and any files transmitted with it from the ElPaso </span></code><br>
<code><span style=3D'mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt'>C=
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are confidential and intended solely for the </span></code><br>
<code><span style=3D'mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt'>u=
se of
the individual or entity to whom they are addressed. </span></code><br>
<code><span style=3D'mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt'>I=
f you
have received this email in error please notify the </span></code><br>
<code><span style=3D'mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt'>s=
ender.</span></code><br>
<code><span style=3D'mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt'>*=
*****************************************************************</span></c=
ode></span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o=
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