From: "Duke Miller" <dukemill@tampabay.rr.com>
Subject: RE: "M" (was Re: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast)
Date: Tue, 23 Apr 2002 09:13:11 -0400
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Since (and I agree) M is the most important letter in the alphabet, and
since it's as choppy and ill-defined as it is, and since it is often
ignored and overlooked, then I only have two questions?
1) What's to discuss?
2) Why are you fully invested under this cloud?
WON says when M's like this the best tactic and virtue is patience. I
couldn't agree more. I continue to lurk and look at the future
potentials.
Duke
- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Tom Worley
Sent: Tuesday, April 23, 2002 8:42 AM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: "M" (was Re: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast)
I would like to see some serious discussion here on "M". It is the most
important of the seven letters in CANSLIM, and is so often ignored or
overlooked.
The small caps continue to work for me, and I remain fully invested in
all accounts. Money appears to be shifting back from value to growth.
Volume appears to be picking up. But because I don't focus on the mid
caps, I often wonder what may also be happening there.
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: TexWorley
- ----- Original Message -----
From: Hill, <mailto:Ernie.Hill@ElPaso.com> Ernie
To: 'canslim@lists.xmission.com'
Sent: Monday, April 22, 2002 12:07 PM
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast
Hi Tom,
It is purely my version of TA. It has really helped me in my trading.
I would not present these forecasts to the group if I were not confident
in them. My purpose in posting these forecasts is to give back some
value to a group that has given me value. Determining market direction
has not been very easy to do lately. It is my hope that as some group
members gain some confidence that I may actually know what I am talking
about that they could use these forecasts as another tool to benefit
them in their CANSLIM investments.
E
PS: Today is certainly not adding to my credibility :-)
- -----Original Message-----
From: Tom Worley [mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]
Sent: Monday, April 22, 2002 7:16 AM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast
I don't understand your reasoning for this, Ernie, but I would certainly
cheer 1238 on the S&P500 by then.
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: TexWorley
- ----- Original Message -----
From: Hill, <mailto:Ernie.Hill@ElPaso.com> Ernie
To: CANSLIM <mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Saturday, April 20, 2002 10:08 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast
At this point in time I have two high probability projections for the
next major turning point in the S&P 500. The highest probability is for
a turning point on May 21, 2002 at a price level of 1200. The second
highest probability is for a turning point on May 22, 2002 at a price
level of 1238. As we approach these dates one of these scenarios should
emerge as the most likely candidate.
E
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<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT face=3DArial>Since (and I =
agree) M=20
is the most important letter in the alphabet, and since it's as =
choppy and=20
ill-defined as it is, and since it is often ignored and overlooked, then =
I only=20
have two questions? </FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT face=3DArial>1) What's to=20
discuss?</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT face=3DArial>2) Why are you =
fully=20
invested under this cloud?</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT face=3DArial>WON says when =
M's like this=20
the best tactic and virtue is patience. I couldn't agree =
more. I=20
continue to lurk and look at the future potentials.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT =
face=3DArial>Duke</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D701060813-23042002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV></DIV>
<DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader lang=3Den-us dir=3Dltr =
align=3Dleft><FONT=20
face=3DTahoma size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]=20
<B>On Behalf Of </B>Tom Worley<BR><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, April 23, 2002 =
8:42=20
AM<BR><B>To:</B> canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> "M" =
(was Re:=20
[CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast)<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I would like to see some serious discussion =
here on "M".=20
It is the most important of the seven letters in CANSLIM, and is so =
often=20
ignored or overlooked. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>The small caps continue to work for me, and I =
remain=20
fully invested in all accounts. Money appears to be shifting back from =
value=20
to growth. Volume appears to be picking up. But because I don't focus =
on the=20
mid caps, I often wonder what may also be happening =
there.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV>Tom Worley<BR><A=20
=
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">stkguru@bellsouth.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3DErnie.Hill@ElPaso.com =
href=3D"mailto:Ernie.Hill@ElPaso.com">Hill,=20
Ernie</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:'canslim@lists.xmission.com'">'canslim@lists.xmission.com'=
</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Monday, April 22, 2002 12:07 PM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] S&P 500 forecast</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV class=3DSection1>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt">Hi=20
Tom,<o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt">It is=20
purely my version of TA. It has really helped me in my=20
trading.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt">I=20
would not present these forecasts to the group if I were not confident =
in=20
them. My purpose in posting these forecasts is to give back some value =
to a=20
group that has given me value. Determining market direction has not =
been very=20
easy to do lately. It is my hope that as some group members gain some=20
confidence that I may actually know what I am talking about that they =
could=20
use these forecasts as another tool to benefit them in their CANSLIM=20
investments.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt">E<o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt">PS:=20
Today is certainly not adding to my credibility =
</SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN=20
class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DWingdings color=3Dnavy><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; =
mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-char-type: =
symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Wingdings"><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: =
Wingdings">J</SPAN></SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN=20
class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dnavy><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-font-size: =
12.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><SPAN class=3DEmailStyle19><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dnavy=20
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: =
12.0pt"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DTahoma =
color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: =
Tahoma">-----Original=20
Message-----<BR><B><SPAN style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">From:</SPAN></B> =
Tom Worley=20
[mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]<BR><B><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Sent:</SPAN></B> Monday, April 22, 2002 =
7:16=20
AM<BR><B><SPAN style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">To:</SPAN></B>=20
canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Subject:</SPAN></B> Re: [CANSLIM] S&P =
500=20
forecast</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]><![endif]> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dblack=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial">I don't=20
understand your reasoning for this, Ernie, but I would certainly cheer =
1238 on=20
the S&P500 by then.</SPAN></FONT><FONT color=3Dblack><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: black; mso-color-alt: =
windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
color=3Dblack size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black"> </SPAN></FONT><FONT=20
color=3Dblack><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: black; mso-color-alt: =
windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
color=3Dblack size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: =
black">Tom=20
Worley<BR><A=20
=
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">stkguru@bellsouth.net</A><BR>AIM:=20
TexWorley</SPAN></FONT><FONT color=3Dblack><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: black; mso-color-alt: =
windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial">-----=20
Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"font-color: black"></SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; =
mso-color-alt: windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT>
<P></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; MARGIN-LEFT: =
0.5in"><B><FONT=20
face=3DArial color=3Dblack size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">From:</SPAN></FONT></B><FONT=20
face=3DArial color=3Dblack size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"> <A=20
title=3DErnie.Hill@ElPaso.com =
href=3D"mailto:Ernie.Hill@ElPaso.com">Hill,=20
Ernie</A> </SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblack =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; =
mso-color-alt: windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P></DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><B><FONT =
face=3DArial color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">To:</SPAN></FONT></B><FONT=20
face=3DArial color=3Dblack size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"> <A=20
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">CANSLIM</A> =
</SPAN></FONT><FONT=20
face=3DArial color=3Dblack size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; =
mso-color-alt: windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><B><FONT =
face=3DArial color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Sent:</SPAN></FONT></B><FONT=20
face=3DArial color=3Dblack size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"> Saturday, =
April 20,=20
2002 10:08 PM</SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblack =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; =
mso-color-alt: windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><B><FONT =
face=3DArial color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Subject:</SPAN></FONT></B><FONT=20
face=3DArial color=3Dblack size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"> [CANSLIM] =
S&P=20
500 forecast</SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblack =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; =
mso-color-alt: windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
color=3Dblack size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: =
black"><![if !supportEmptyParas]><![endif]> </SPAN></FONT><FONT=20
color=3Dblack><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: black; mso-color-alt: =
windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial">At this=20
point in time I have two high probability projections for the next =
<U>major=20
turning point</U> in the S&P 500. The highest probability is for a =
turning=20
point on <st1:date Year=3D"2002" Day=3D"21" Month=3D"5">May 21, =
2002</st1:date> at a=20
price level of 1200. The second highest probability is for a turning =
point on=20
<st1:date Year=3D"2002" Day=3D"22" Month=3D"5">May 22, 2002</st1:date> =
at a price=20
level of 1238. As we approach these dates one of these scenarios =
should emerge=20
as the most likely candidate.</SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; =
mso-color-alt: windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"> </SPAN></FONT><FONT=20
face=3DArial color=3Dblack size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; =
mso-color-alt: windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3Dblack=20
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial">E</SPAN></FONT><FONT=20
face=3DArial color=3Dblack size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; =
mso-color-alt: windowtext"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Courier New"=20
color=3Dblack size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Courier New'; =
mso-fareast-font-family: 'Courier New'"><BR><BR><CODE><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ansi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: =
12.0pt">*****************************************************************=
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any files transmitted with it from the ElPaso =
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style=3D"mso-ansi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: =
12.0pt">Corporation are=20
confidential and intended solely for the </SPAN></CODE><BR><CODE><SPAN =
style=3D"mso-ansi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">use =
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style=3D"mso-ansi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: =
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