Re: [CANSLIM] Any thoughts on STGS?

From: Dimitri Katsaros <dcka@yahoo.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Any thoughts on STGS?
Date: Sun, 19 May 2002 12:56:51 -0700 (PDT)

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Hi Tom,

Thanks for the input. I'll check out earnings growth
in the future before posting. As for charts... I'm
still learning (visual patterns are harder for me to
recognise).

Dimitri

- --- Tom Worley <stkguru@bellsouth.net> wrote:
> Hi Dimitri,
> 
> Good presentation, logical and easily reviewed. I
> took a look at DGO and
> quickly noted two things. The earnings forecast for
> current year (ending
> next Jan) is for only 8% earnings growth. Also,
> first three qtrs last year
> showed earnings of 52 and 53 cents on lower sales
> than Q4 (which would have
> included Christmas) which only showed 8 cents. I
> suspect the first 3 qtrs
> were "pro forma", thus hard to tell just what the
> real comparisons will be.
> 
> I think you have to treat this as an IPO in January,
> past history as a
> private company is always questionable in my mind
> when it comes to the
> financial reporting on a "pro forma" basis. That's
> why I don't even look at
> IPOs in their first year.
> 
> The second thing I note is the chart. Nice and
> tight, I see it right now as
> forming a base on base, with the lower base being
> the handle of a cup.
> However, the handle formed too high, making it more
> suspect.
> 
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Dimitri Katsaros" <dcka@yahoo.com>
> To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
> Sent: Friday, May 17, 2002 4:50 AM
> Subject: [CANSLIM] Any thoughts on STGS?
> 
> 
> Stage Stores was on today's (May 16) daily charts.
> Do
> I see a second base forming?
> 
> Here are the stats on rankings:
> 
> EPS                     81
> RS                      99
> Grp RS                  A+
> SMR                     NA
> Acc/Dis                 A-
> Daily Graphs Timeliness A
> 
> It just made a new 52 week high.
> 
> It is fourth in the Retail-Apparel/Shoe Group (7th
> out
> of the 197 industry groups ranked) which places it
> ahead of Chicos Fas Inc. and just behind Jos A Bank
> Clothiers.
> 
> Retail was the second group of those making new
> highs.
> 
> Retail-Apparel/Shoe Group was also 7th in groups
> with
> highest % of stocks making new highs.
> 
> Now you know it can't be all good news, so here's
> the
> bad:
> 
> 3 Year Sales Rate -11%
> 
> How is such a seemingly "good" stock with high
> rankings have such a lousy sales rate? Does this one
> factor discount everything else or is the rate based
> on its past company formation (it was bankrupt for a
> bit and then went public again under a new symbol
> this
> past January).
> 
> Any constructive comments are definitely welcome and
> encouraged.
> 
> Thanks in advance
> Dimitri Katsaros
> 
> =====
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