Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Date: Fri, 7 Jun 2002 21:53:31 -0400
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Hi Kelly,
My weekly contribution basically grew out of what I was already doing =
for myself, only difference was typing it out rather than storing it =
mentally. I have always followed headlines, and absorbed huge amounts of =
stock news unrelated to what I personally follow. The stock chart =
reviews I have been doing for many years even tho most of the stocks I =
look at are not of interest to me, but give me a better feel for what =
CANSLIMish stocks are doing across many industry groups.
It became less disruptive for me to combine economic items into a single =
post a week rather than throughout the week as they occurred, so I put =
it together with my chart review, and WWW was born. Now it's habit, =
would be hard to stop.
- ----- Original Message -----=20
From: Kelly Short=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Friday, June 07, 2002 9:47 AM
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Tom,
I agree with Charley- your answers are most appreciated! Your insight =
below is also greatly appreciated as is any additional information you =
may be able to provide. However, I too am familiar with the long hours =
of work (and why hasn't this stock thing allowed me to retire yet?) so =
don't feel compelled to put something together unless you absolutely =
feel like it. I know the group would appreciate your knowledge though. =
Have a great weekend all!
Kelly
-----Original Message-----
From: Tom Worley [mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]
Sent: Thursday, June 06, 2002 10:15 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Hi Kelly,
I try to build my weekly email throughout the week, as I come across =
interesting snippets. Much of it comes from Infobeat daily emails, =
economic reports at various sites including =
http://money.cnn.com/news/economy/ , stratfor.com (subscription =
service), weekly summaries I receive=20
and scanning the headlines on Reuters and other news services each =
morning and some evenings. Lack of time precludes me getting very =
scientific with what I try to absorb, so my comments on "M" are usually =
an opinionated summary of what was absorbed in my gray matter.
Some economic reports weigh more heavily with me than others, both =
because they tend to be market movers (like the Employment report due =
tomorrow), as well as because of my perception of what the Feds are =
watching more closely. Some can also take on, at least temporarily, =
added importance, such as inflation indicators right now when everyone =
is trying to guess when the Feds will start raising rates (I said many =
months ago not till July/August meeting at earliest, and possibly not =
this year, latter looking more likely).
I have a number of other sites I use when time permits (which hasn't =
happened often lately with continuing 12 hour work days). I will try to =
put a list of addresses together for you when I get a chance.
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Kelly Short=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Thursday, June 06, 2002 12:45 PM
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Tom- information on M much appreciated. There seem to be multiple =
reports that provide nuggets of golden information just before major =
market news reports reflecting the same information. Would you be =
willing to list which reports you watch on a quarterly/yearly basis, =
where you find them, and when they come out? Your assistance would be =
greatly appreciated. -Kelly
-----Original Message-----
From: Tom Worley [mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]
Sent: Saturday, June 01, 2002 8:31 PM
To: CANSLIM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
M
Difficult week for me to follow the markets, over 46 hours at work =
in just 4 days. But my general sense, despite every index being down =
over 1% for the week, is that there is a resilience to the markets right =
now. Economics continue to improve, earnings more often than not are =
ahead of forecasts, confidence remains good (critical to consumer =
spending continuing). I remain fully invested in small and micro cap =
growth stocks, and managed to make money this past week despite Russell =
2000 being down 1.25%. But I am also not finding new candidates, just =
riding what I already have.=20
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ---
JAPAN
Moody's downgraded their credit rating two more notches, putting =
them one below Botswana and even with Kuwait. Govt debt stands at 140% =
of their GDP as they appear headed back into a double dip recession =
after one quarter of minor GDP growth.=20
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ---
ECONOMICS - watch the trend in revisions, and actual reports vs =
expectations
University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index for May surprised =
all by being revised upward to 96.9 from 96.0. It was 93.0 in April. =
Consumer views of the state of the economy was revised sharply up to =
103.5, April was 99.2. Consumer expectations was also revised sharply =
upward to 92.7 from 91.3 after reporting 89.1 in April.
Chicago Purchasing Managers index was expected to rise to 55 in May =
from 54.7 in April, instead leapt to 60.8, suggesting that business =
spending is starting to pick up strongly. This index is seen as often =
mirroring the nat'l report, due out next Monday.
US factory orders rose 1.2% in May from 1.0% in April, expected was =
a rise of just 0.7%. The trend is clear, this was the fifth consecutive =
month of gains.
Productivity grew at a revised 8.4% annual rate (preliminary was =
8.6%, no change was expected) during the first quarter. This is the =
strongest since Q2 1983.
On unemployment, new claims declined but remained above 400K for the =
8th week. Those continuing to receive benefits rose 50K to 3.89 million, =
highest since Jan 15, 1983 (course there are a lot more people working =
today compared to 1983). This recovery is taking on some signs, with =
regard to employment, suggesting the 1990-1991 recovery, when =
unemployment remained high for over a year. Overall rate of unemployment =
is expected to be reported next week at 6.1%, up from 6%. Of course, it =
was not that many years ago, before Greenspan proved he could fight =
inflation, that the markets believed that unemployment much below 6% was =
inflationary, and under 5% was dangerous. The May Unemployment Report is =
the big economic one for next week, due on Friday.
Consumer confidence rose to 109.8 from a revised April level of =
108.5, expectations were for a rate of 110.0.
Existing home sales jumped 7% to an annual rate of 5.79 million =
units, up from a revised April rate of 5.41, and well ahead of =
expectations for 5.35 million units. With existing sales remaining =
strong, I would expect to see new home sales also remain strong overall.
Personal spending rose 0.5% (I did my share and a few others as =
well), while personal income rose 0.3% (someone else got mine). Income =
was in line with expectations, while spending fell short of expectations =
for a rise to 0.7%.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- ---
=20
WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES
As always, I will mention specific basing formations, such as c&h, =
double bottoms, or non-CANSLIM ones like LLUR (Lower Left Upper Right) =
or flat line bases (marked as Bx where x indicates the number of weeks =
IMO). Most stocks in this list will have both RS and EPS of 80 or =
better, and be close to their 12 month high. I try to glance at the =
earnings forecast, and eliminate any less than 20% for this year and =
next, but do no other due diligence. I exclude any stocks under any form =
of merger / acquisition.=20
The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend slid further =
this past week.
AMSG - kind of an odd looking c&h, Thursday broke up from a nicely =
declining handle on volume to the pivot point, worth watching
AZO - high handle forming
BEL - 6 week consolidation
ERES - BE
FCFS- B6, broke pivot Friday on 8X ADV
LION - B6
MCL - LLUR
OCAS - LLUR, no revenue growth
ODSY - 6 week consolidation, volume declining, another play on the =
aging baby boomer market?
PETM - LLUR
ROST - LLUR
SSNC - 6 week consolidation, mostly light volume
SYPR - nice 8 week consolidation, volume drying up, funds have 54%, =
but only because float very small due management having 87%, in my VR =
Fund
WFMI - B3
ZAP - nice c&h
Happy Hunting,
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: TexWorley
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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Hi Kelly,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>My weekly contribution basically grew out of =
what I was=20
already doing for myself, only difference was typing it out rather than =
storing=20
it mentally. I have always followed headlines, and absorbed huge amounts =
of=20
stock news unrelated to what I personally follow. The stock chart =
reviews I have=20
been doing for many years even tho most of the stocks I look at are not =
of=20
interest to me, but give me a better feel for what CANSLIMish stocks are =
doing=20
across many industry groups.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>It became less disruptive for me to combine =
economic items=20
into a single post a week rather than throughout the week as they =
occurred, so I=20
put it together with my chart review, and WWW was born. Now it's habit, =
would be=20
hard to stop.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3Dkelly.short@neoris.com =
href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@neoris.com">Kelly=20
Short</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Friday, June 07, 2002 9:47 AM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D456284413-07062002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2>Tom,</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D456284413-07062002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D456284413-07062002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2>I=20
agree with Charley- your answers are most appreciated! Your insight =
below is=20
also greatly appreciated as is any additional information you may be =
able to=20
provide. However, I too am familiar with the long hours of work (and why =
hasn't=20
this stock thing allowed me to retire yet?) so don't feel compelled to =
put=20
something together unless you absolutely feel like it. I know the group =
would=20
appreciate your knowledge though. Have a great weekend =
all!</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D456284413-07062002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D456284413-07062002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2>Kelly</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT =
face=3DTahoma=20
size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> Tom Worley=20
[mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]<BR><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, June 06, 2002 =
10:15=20
PM<BR><B>To:</B> canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> Re: =
[CANSLIM]=20
Worley's Weekend Weeview<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Hi Kelly,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I try to build my weekly email throughout the =
week, as I=20
come across interesting snippets. Much of it comes from Infobeat daily =
emails,=20
economic reports at various sites including <A=20
=
href=3D"http://money.cnn.com/news/economy/">http://money.cnn.com/news/eco=
nomy/</A> ,=20
stratfor.com (subscription service), weekly summaries I receive =
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>and scanning the headlines on Reuters and =
other news=20
services each morning and some evenings. Lack of time precludes me =
getting=20
very scientific with what I try to absorb, so my comments on "M" are =
usually=20
an opinionated summary of what was absorbed in my gray =
matter.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Some economic reports weigh more heavily with =
me than=20
others, both because they tend to be market movers (like the =
Employment report=20
due tomorrow), as well as because of my perception of what the Feds =
are=20
watching more closely. Some can also take on, at least temporarily, =
added=20
importance, such as inflation indicators right now when everyone is =
trying to=20
guess when the Feds will start raising rates (I said many months ago =
not till=20
July/August meeting at earliest, and possibly not this year, latter =
looking=20
more likely).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I have a number of other sites I use when time =
permits=20
(which hasn't happened often lately with continuing 12 hour work =
days). I will=20
try to put a list of addresses together for you when I get a=20
chance.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3Dkelly.short@neoris.com =
href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@neoris.com">Kelly=20
Short</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, June 06, 2002 12:45 PM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend =
Weeview</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D069104416-06062002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>Tom-=20
information on M much appreciated. There seem to be multiple reports =
that=20
provide nuggets of golden information just before major market news =
reports=20
reflecting the same information. Would you be willing to list which =
reports=20
you watch on a quarterly/yearly basis, where you find them, and when =
they come=20
out? Your assistance would be greatly appreciated. =
- -Kelly</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT =
face=3DTahoma=20
size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> Tom Worley=20
[mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]<BR><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, June 01, =
2002 8:31=20
PM<BR><B>To:</B> CANSLIM<BR><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Worley's =
Weekend=20
Weeview<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>M</STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Difficult week for me to follow the markets, =
over 46=20
hours at work in just 4 days. But my general sense, despite every =
index=20
being down over 1% for the week, is that there is a resilience to =
the=20
markets right now. Economics continue to improve, earnings more =
often than=20
not are ahead of forecasts, confidence remains good (critical to =
consumer=20
spending continuing). I remain fully invested in small and micro cap =
growth=20
stocks, and managed to make money this past week despite Russell =
2000 being=20
down 1.25%. But I am also not finding new candidates, just riding =
what I=20
already have.=20
<HR>
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>JAPAN</STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Moody's downgraded their credit rating two =
more=20
notches, putting them one below Botswana and even with Kuwait. Govt =
debt=20
stands at 140% of their GDP as they appear headed back into a double =
dip=20
recession after one quarter of minor GDP growth.</FONT>=20
<HR>
</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>ECONOMICS -</STRONG> <EM>watch the =
trend in=20
revisions, and actual reports vs expectations</EM></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment =
Index for=20
May surprised all by being revised upward to 96.9 from 96.0. It was =
93.0 in=20
April. Consumer views of the state of the economy was revised =
sharply up to=20
103.5, April was 99.2. Consumer expectations was also revised =
sharply upward=20
to 92.7 from 91.3 after reporting 89.1 in April.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Chicago Purchasing Managers index was =
expected to rise=20
to 55 in May from 54.7 in April, instead leapt to 60.8, suggesting =
that=20
business spending is starting to pick up strongly. This index is =
seen as=20
often mirroring the nat'l report, due out next Monday.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>US factory orders rose 1.2% in May from 1.0% =
in April,=20
expected was a rise of just 0.7%. The trend is clear, this was the =
fifth=20
consecutive month of gains.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Productivity grew at a revised 8.4% annual =
rate=20
(preliminary was 8.6%, no change was expected) during the first =
quarter.=20
This is the strongest since Q2 1983.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>On unemployment, new claims declined but =
remained=20
above 400K for the 8th week. Those continuing to receive benefits =
rose 50K=20
to 3.89 million, highest since Jan 15, 1983 (course there are a lot =
more=20
people working today compared to 1983). This recovery is taking on =
some=20
signs, with regard to employment, suggesting the 1990-1991 recovery, =
when=20
unemployment remained high for over a year. Overall rate of =
unemployment is=20
expected to be reported next week at 6.1%, up from 6%. Of course, it =
was not=20
that many years ago, before Greenspan proved he could fight =
inflation, that=20
the markets believed that unemployment much below 6% was =
inflationary, and=20
under 5% was dangerous. The May Unemployment Report is the big =
economic one=20
for next week, due on Friday.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Consumer confidence rose to 109.8 from a =
revised April=20
level of 108.5, expectations were for a rate of 110.0.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Existing home sales jumped 7% to an annual =
rate of=20
5.79 million units, up from a revised April rate of 5.41, and well =
ahead of=20
expectations for 5.35 million units. With existing sales remaining =
strong, I=20
would expect to see new home sales also remain strong =
overall.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Personal spending rose 0.5% (I did my share =
and a few=20
others as well), while personal income rose 0.3% (someone else got =
mine).=20
Income was in line with expectations, while spending fell short of=20
expectations for a rise to 0.7%.</DIV>
<DIV>
<HR>
</DIV>
<DIV> =20
<DIV><STRONG>WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES</STRONG></DIV>
<DIV>As always, I will mention specific basing formations, such as =
c&h,=20
double bottoms, or non-CANSLIM ones like LLUR (Lower Left Upper =
Right) or=20
flat line bases (marked as Bx where x indicates the number of weeks =
IMO).=20
Most stocks in this list will have both RS and EPS of 80 or better, =
and be=20
close to their 12 month high. I try to glance at the earnings =
forecast, and=20
eliminate any less than 20% for this year and next, but do no other =
due=20
diligence. I exclude any stocks under any form of merger / =
acquisition.=20
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend slid =
further=20
this past week.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>AMSG - kind of an odd looking c&h, Thursday broke up from a =
nicely=20
declining handle on volume to the pivot point, worth watching</DIV>
<DIV>AZO - high handle forming</DIV>
<DIV>BEL - 6 week consolidation</DIV>
<DIV>ERES - BE</DIV>
<DIV>FCFS- B6, broke pivot Friday on 8X ADV</DIV>
<DIV>LION - B6</DIV>
<DIV>MCL - LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>OCAS - LLUR, no revenue growth</DIV>
<DIV>ODSY - 6 week consolidation, volume declining, another play on =
the=20
aging baby boomer market?</DIV>
<DIV>PETM - LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>ROST - LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>SSNC - 6 week consolidation, mostly light volume</DIV>
<DIV>SYPR - nice 8 week consolidation, volume drying up, funds have =
54%, but=20
only because float very small due management having 87%, in my VR =
Fund</DIV>
<DIV>WFMI - B3</DIV>
<DIV>ZAP - nice c&h</DIV></DIV></DIV></FONT>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Happy Hunting,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><IMG alt=3D"" hspace=3D0 =
src=3D"cid:004401c20e8f$4a788600$6501a8c0@TOMSBOX"=20
align=3Dbaseline border=3D0></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Tom Worley<BR></FONT><A=20
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net"><FONT=20
face=3DArial>stkguru@bellsouth.net</FONT></A><BR><FONT =
face=3DArial>AIM:=20
TexWorley</FONT></DIV>
<HR>
For your protection, this e-mail message has been scanned for =
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<P>Visit us at <A =
href=3D"http://www.neoris.com/">http://www.neoris.com/</A>=20
<HR>
<P></P></BLOCKQUOTE>
<HR>
For your protection, this e-mail message has been scanned for viruses. =
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