From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Date: Sat, 8 Jun 2002 20:27:41 -0400
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This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_01D4_01C20F2A.F04E94C0 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_01D5_01C20F2A.F04E94C0" - ------=_NextPart_001_01D5_01C20F2A.F04E94C0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable ECONOMICS ISM Index (formerly NAPM) rose nicely to 55.7 in May from 53.9 in April, = continuing to show recovery in the manufacturing sector. Expected was = 55.0, and was the highest since Feb, '2000. Construction spending rose 0.2% in April after falling 1.2% in March. = Expected was a drop of 0.1%. Private residential construction rose 0.7% = to the highest annualized rate in history ($425.5 billion). Wholesale inventories continued to drop, down another 0.7%, while sales = rose 1.6%. The Inventory / Sales Ratio of 1.23 is the lowest on record, = clearly production must increase if sales continue. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- UNEMPLOYMENT Looks like the volume of "refilers" is finally drying up as most = eligible for the extended benefits have apparently now filed. "New" = filers (which Labor has to date failed to be able to differentiate = between true new filers and refilers) finally dropped under 400K this = week, down to 383K, well below expectations of 405K, and dragging the 4 = week average down sharply to 411,250 from 419,750.=20 - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- EMPLOYMENT Friday's report surprised with positive news, overall unemployment = dropping to 5.8% from 6% instead of rising as expected to 6.1%. New jobs = were well under expectations, with 41K added instead of 75K. Revised new = jobs in April ended up only 6K. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES As always, I will mention specific basing formations, such as c&h, = double bottoms, or non-CANSLIM ones like LLUR (Lower Left Upper Right) = or flat line bases (marked as Bx where x indicates the number of weeks = IMO). Most stocks in this list will have both RS and EPS of 80 or = better, and be close to their 12 month high. I try to glance at the = earnings forecast, and eliminate any less than 20% for this year and = next, but do no other due diligence. I exclude any stocks under any form = of merger / acquisition.=20 The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend slid further this = past week. Daily lists were not even a page long, and little of = interest. The across the board slide in all indexes hurt a lot of = otherwise good looking charts. ABC - pushing the pivot point in a 7 week base AMZ - LLUR APSG - c&h CECO - nice 7 week base, just under pivot, volume drying up CHBS - base on base CHS - nice bounce off the 50dma, lot of insider selling COCO - nice consolidation, volume picking up CPS - 9 week c&h, volume hasn't dried up DKWD - LLUR DOCC - small cap, consolidating nicely in a bad "M", owned, in my VR = Fund ERES - LLUR, early stage, big move on Friday GLG - volatile B3 HRH - 2nd attempt to break out from the handle ODSY - B7 OVRL - triple bottom / c&h, owned & in my VR Fund PETM - was LLUR, b/o on good earnings news PRV - c&h SBUX - double bottom THC - B8 THO - retiring baby boomer stock? TRI - chart questionable right now, but another retiring baby boomer = stock TSN - saucer WSM - B2+ Happy Hunting, Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley - ------=_NextPart_001_01D5_01C20F2A.F04E94C0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> <HTML><HEAD> <META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; = charset=3Diso-8859-1"> <META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2716.2200" name=3DGENERATOR> <STYLE></STYLE> </HEAD> <BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>ECONOMICS</STRONG></FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>ISM Index (formerly NAPM) rose nicely to 55.7 in = May from=20 53.9 in April, continuing to show recovery in the manufacturing sector. = Expected=20 was 55.0, and was the highest since Feb, '2000.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Construction spending rose 0.2% in April after = falling=20 1.2% in March. Expected was a drop of 0.1%. Private residential = construction=20 rose 0.7% to the highest annualized rate in history ($425.5=20 billion).</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Wholesale inventories continued to drop, down = another=20 0.7%, while sales rose 1.6%. The Inventory / Sales Ratio of 1.23 is the = lowest=20 on record, clearly production must increase if sales continue.</DIV> <DIV> <HR> </DIV></FONT> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>UNEMPLOYMENT</STRONG></FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Looks like the volume of "refilers" is finally = drying up=20 as most eligible for the extended benefits have apparently now filed. = "New"=20 filers (which Labor has to date failed to be able to differentiate = between true=20 new filers and refilers) finally dropped under 400K this week, down to = 383K,=20 well below expectations of 405K, and dragging the 4 week average = down=20 sharply to 411,250 from 419,750.=20 <HR> </FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>EMPLOYMENT</STRONG></FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Friday's report surprised with positive news, = overall=20 unemployment dropping to 5.8% from 6% instead of rising as expected to = 6.1%. New=20 jobs were well under expectations, with 41K added instead of 75K. = Revised new=20 jobs in April ended up only 6K.</DIV> <DIV> <HR> </DIV> <DIV> <DIV><STRONG>WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES</STRONG></DIV> <DIV>As always, I will mention specific basing formations, such as = c&h,=20 double bottoms, or non-CANSLIM ones like LLUR (Lower Left Upper Right) = or flat=20 line bases (marked as Bx where x indicates the number of weeks IMO). = Most stocks=20 in this list will have both RS and EPS of 80 or better, and be close to = their 12=20 month high. I try to glance at the earnings forecast, and eliminate any = less=20 than 20% for this year and next, but do no other due diligence. I = exclude any=20 stocks under any form of merger / acquisition.=20 <DIV> </DIV> <DIV>The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend slid = further this=20 past week. Daily lists were not even a page long, and little of = interest. The=20 across the board slide in all indexes hurt a lot of otherwise good = looking=20 charts.</DIV> <DIV> </DIV> <DIV>ABC - pushing the pivot point in a 7 week base</DIV> <DIV>AMZ - LLUR</DIV> <DIV>APSG - c&h</DIV> <DIV>CECO - nice 7 week base, just under pivot, volume drying up</DIV> <DIV>CHBS - base on base</DIV> <DIV>CHS - nice bounce off the 50dma, lot of insider selling</DIV> <DIV>COCO - nice consolidation, volume picking up</DIV> <DIV>CPS - 9 week c&h, volume hasn't dried up</DIV> <DIV>DKWD - LLUR</DIV> <DIV>DOCC - small cap, consolidating nicely in a bad "M", owned, in my = VR=20 Fund</DIV> <DIV>ERES - LLUR, early stage, big move on Friday</DIV> <DIV>GLG - volatile B3</DIV> <DIV>HRH - 2nd attempt to break out from the handle</DIV> <DIV>ODSY - B7</DIV> <DIV>OVRL - triple bottom / c&h, owned & in my VR Fund</DIV> <DIV>PETM - was LLUR, b/o on good earnings news</DIV> <DIV>PRV - c&h</DIV> <DIV>SBUX - double bottom</DIV> <DIV>THC - B8</DIV> <DIV>THO - retiring baby boomer stock?</DIV> <DIV>TRI - chart questionable right now, but another retiring baby = boomer=20 stock</DIV> <DIV>TSN - saucer</DIV> <DIV>WSM - B2+</DIV> <DIV> </DIV></DIV></DIV> <DIV>Happy Hunting,</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT><IMG alt=3D"" hspace=3D0=20 src=3D"cid:01d301c20f4c$7756bee0$6501a8c0@TOMSBOX" align=3Dbaseline = border=3D0></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Tom Worley<BR></FONT><A=20 href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net"><FONT=20 face=3DArial>stkguru@bellsouth.net</FONT></A><BR><FONT face=3DArial>AIM: = TexWorley</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML> - ------=_NextPart_001_01D5_01C20F2A.F04E94C0-- - ------=_NextPart_000_01D4_01C20F2A.F04E94C0 Content-Type: image/gif; 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