Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Hill, Ernie" <Ernie.Hill@ElPaso.com>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] "M" History
Date: Thu, 13 Jun 2002 11:59:47 -0500
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I don't have a resource to contribute at this time but, I have seen two
interviews lately on CNBC one with Art Cashin (an "experienced" floor
trader) and the other with Warren Buffet. Both of these men made reference
to a 17.6 year cycle and point out that the major bull market that ended in
2000 began in 1983.
They both expect the next 17.6 years to be lean by comparison. Mr. buffet
even went on to talk about how the market has performed all the way back to
1929, and pointed out the influence of this cycle and how the market was
affected by it despite how the economy was performing.
Unfortunately I did not have my full attention focused on either interview
so I missed much of what was said about specific time periods and how the
market related to the economy during those time periods.
However, what I did hear did not sound very encouraging for the next 15
years!
E
- -----Original Message-----
From: Kelly Short [mailto:kelly.short@neoris.com]
Sent: Thursday, June 13, 2002 10:46 AM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] "M" History
Since "M" is not being nice- I have focused my attention in the short-term
on "M's" history over the past 100 - 150 years to try to better understand
what makes this machine tick. I have found a couple of resources that cover
this topic, provide timelines, etc. but would appreciate any known quality
resources the group has used in the past for such purposes.
Kelly Short
Business Development Manager
Neoris, Inc.
(817) 731-0995
mailto:kelly.short@neoris.com
http://www.neoris.com
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<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>I don't have a resource to contribute at this time but, I have seen=
two
interviews lately on CNBC one with Art Cashin (an "experienced"
floor trader) and the other with Warren Buffet. Both of these men made
reference to a 17.6 year cycle and point out that the major bull market tha=
t ended
in 2000 began in 1983.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>They both expect the next 17.6 years to be lean by comparison. Mr. =
buffet
even went on to talk about how the market has performed all the way back to
1929, and pointed out the influence of this cycle and how the market was
affected by it despite how the economy was performing.<o:p></o:p></span></f=
ont></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>Unfortunately I did not have my full attention focused on either in=
terview
so I missed much of what was said about specific time periods and how the
market related to the economy during those time periods.<o:p></o:p></span><=
/font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>However, what I did hear did not sound very encouraging for the nex=
t 15
years!<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>E <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>-----Original Message-----<br>
From: Kelly Short [mailto:kelly.short@neoris.com] <br>
Sent: Thursday, June 13, 2002 10:46 AM<br>
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com<br>
Subject: [CANSLIM] "M" History<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>Since "M" is not being nice- I have focused my attention =
in
the short-term on "M's" history over the past 100 - 150 years to =
try
to better understand what makes this machine tick. I have found a couple of
resources that cover this topic, provide timelines, etc. but would apprecia=
te
any known quality resources the group has used in the past for such purpose=
s. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>Kelly Short<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>Business Development Manager<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>Neoris, Inc.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>(817) 731-0995<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>mailto:kelly.short@neoris.com<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>http://www.neoris.com<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoPlainText><font size=3D2 face=3D"Courier New"><span style=3D'=
font-size:
10.0pt'>-<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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font-size:
10.0pt'>-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"=
<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
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font-size:
10.0pt'>-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<o:p></o:=
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