From: Spencer48@aol.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Holy Cow....It's a New Era Indeed...
Date: Wed, 19 Jun 2002 00:45:26 EDT
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Katherine:
Thanks for the info.
To conjoin it to a thought that I recently read on Investors.com: It
appears to me that IBD (WON's apparent proxy) believes that the up&coming
stocks will be coming from the small-cap consumer sector (retailers,
restaurants, medicals, perhaps gaming and safety/security). I conclude this
because of the 6/17 "Ask Bill O' Neil", which queried, "Where will the new
leaders come from?" Here was the reply:
"How The Mkts Will Do W/O Tech. To Lead Them: You don't need Cisco,
Oracle and AOL to recover for the market to bounce back. People with short
memories may forget, but consumer stocks often ruled the market before the
high-tech craze of the 1990s. Though the market's still struggling, we're
seeing a gradual shift by money managers toward retailers, restaurants,
medicals and other consumer-focused companies [incl., I believe,
Leisure-gaming/equip & Security/Safety]. While big techs' struggles may hold
the Nasdaq back, other indexes could push forward. Keep an eye on small-cap
indexes like the S&P 600 [or the Russell 2000], which offer a slew of
promising, young firms with solid growth potential. Techs will eventually
rebound, but it's possible they may mostly sit out the next bull market."
jans
In a message dated 6/18/2002 7:32:37 PM Eastern Daylight Time,
kmalm@earthlink.net writes:
<< Check it out!!! The highlighting is mine....
--Katherine
The Big Picture
Wednesday, June 19, 2002
Tech Stocks Take A Break But Cyclicals Edge Higher
BY DAVID SAITO-CHUNG
INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY
Tech stocks decided Tuesday to rest after two straight days of gains.
Cyclicals thought otherwise.
Housing starts surged 11.6% in May, well above the 2.9% rise economists had
expected. Core consumer prices, meanwhile, rose 0.2% the same month, matching
estimates. Translation: good news for industrial stocks.
The Nasdaq started higher, but ran out of fuel by midmorning. It ended off
0.7%. Volume ran just a tad lower, a sign that heavy hitters weren't eager to
sell stocks.
In contrast, the S&P 500 edged up 0.1%, helped by retail, building,
machinery and energy names. The Dow gained 0.2%. The Amex Morgan Stanley
cyclical index marched ahead 0.6%. NYSE trade cooled as well.
Small caps also held ground. The S&P SmallCap 600 index, up 3.2% in the
previous two sessions, lost less than 0.1% Tuesday.
On Thursday, the General Markets & Sectors page in the print edition will
feature for the first time the S&P 600 SmallCap index chart on a daily basis.
It will be sandwiched between the Nasdaq and S&P 500 charts. The Dow will
appear at the bottom of the page on Mondays only. Four more indexes will fill
in this slot on a rotating basis during the rest of the week.
In the 1890s, Charles Henry Dow showed vision in creating an index of stocks
as a barometer of the overall U.S. economy. By 1928, his industrial index had
grown to 30 stocks.
The Dow Jones industrial average was initially an index of railroad stocks.
And rightfully so. Back then, railroads served as a backbone of economic
growth. As the economy changed, so did the Dow's makeup. The latest changes
to the Dow came in October 1999, when Microsoft (MSFT), Intel (INTC), Home
Depot (HD) and SBC Communications (SBC) kicked out Union Carbide, Chevron
(CVX), Goodyear Tire (GT) and Sears (S).
But the market has changed so much since then. We are in a brand-new economy
where young companies provide new, exciting products and services, and excel
at it. Success in the stock market means actively searching for these
lesser-known yet fast-growing firms and buying shares early in their upward
cycle.
Smaller-cap stocks have outperformed their large-cap brethren. Since Sept.
21, the S&P 600 has gained 22%, the Dow 9%. Many large caps have dragged
their feet for years.
IBD strives to present the facts - especially facts about great stocks and
those that have the potential to outpace the market. We feel the S&P 600 will
offer readers a clearer view of this new face of America. The Nasdaq and S&P
500, meanwhile, will help investors keep a finger on the pulse of the largest
companies.
When the S&P 600 chart comes out on Thursday, it will list the index's 70
biggest stocks along with their IBD Composite Rating. This feature will help
save you time in singling out the best stocks in the market. The average IBD
Composite Rating among the S&P 600 stocks is 59 vs. 54 for the Dow 30 stocks.
While both indexes had the same average Earnings Per Share Rating of 57, the
average RS Rating for the S&P 600 was 55 vs. the Dow's 43.
Meanwhile, the Dow will continue to be featured in IBD every day on page B4
in the print edition, along with the Dow transport and Dow utility indexes.
>>
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