Re: DVD's (was [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement)


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: DVD's (was [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement)
Date: Wed, 26 Jun 2002 12:08:39 -0500


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Kelly,

I'm not intimately familiar with all the names under this macrotheme, =
but in general, I'd say that the shift to DVD-based entertainment has =
been substantial and any time there is a secular shift in technology, =
there are real profits to be had. In this case, I think the profits are =
spread around very well between all industry sectors. (but as with all =
technologies, those with the proprietary elements get the lion's share =
of the profits)  DVD prices are still quite high, though I noticed at =
Christmas, for the first time, that the prices of DVD players had =
dropped substantially, indicating that demand is reaching critical mass. =
That means that the lower prices make DVD players more affordable =
(scarcity becomes abundance), people replace and/or supplement their =
VCR's with DVD's, and then demand for DVD media becomes larger. That =
snowballs throughout the supply chain. Still up for grabs are =
implementations of DVD recording standards established somewhat =
recently....that could start a whole new chain of events.

I'd been disinclined to compare DVD's to PCs....the former early in its =
adoption life cycle, the latter late in its business life cycle =
(maturity phase, though arguably not yet in the decline phase).

Katherine
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Kelly Short=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 11:42 AM
  Subject: RE: DVD's (was [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement)

  Katherine-

  A wealth of information as usual- thank you. But WHO makes money in =
this business? Is it Blockbuster? Philips/Sony? Movie Studios? Fed-Ex? =
Or does anyone make money in DVD's (has it gone the way of the pc)?

  I appreciate your opinions- Kelly
    -----Original Message-----
    From: Katherine Malm [mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net]
    Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 11:27 AM
    To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
    Subject: Re: DVD's (was [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement)

    For starters:

    -DVD distributors such as DISK, HDL etc
    -Retailers such as AMZN, BBY etc
    -Hardware---runs the gamut from gaming hardware (Nintendo, XBox, =
etc), to video chips to handle the increased graphics requirements, to =
- -DVD players (Samsung, Matsushita), to chips (INTC and some specialty =
chip makers), to DVD drive makers, etc.
    -Software, such as NAVR and ROXI etc.
    -Hardware components distributors such as TECD, IM, Games Makers who =
will beef up games offereings given the extra content capabilities of =
DVD based games, etc.
    -etc
    -etc

    Katherine
      ----- Original Message -----=20
      From: Kelly Short=20
      To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 10:50 AM
      Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement

      Katherine-

      I think you recapped the past three weeks worth of conversations- =
we're all bored! So let me pose this question to the group: DVD's. Who =
makes money off DVD's?=20
        -----Original Message-----
        From: Katherine Malm [mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net]
        Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 10:40 AM
        To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
        Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement

        Hi Kelly,

        The '87 crash was considerably different....far more an event =
than a process as is the current Bear which is undoing the excesses of =
the late '90's. At that time, cocktail conversations rarely included =
talk of stocks, but on Black Monday...people who didn't even know what =
the stock market was all about were gathered around the TV at lunch =
time. In retrospect, the Fed's quick intervention and the adjustments to =
program trading guidelines made this a blip on the bull market screen, =
so the "throwing in the towel" talk was far more short-lived than now. =
Most folks investing these days know little of what creates value and =
perceived value in the stock market. Even fewer are students of market =
history. But I'd bet the same conversations could be heard in the 30's =
and the 60's. Sometimes the best way to *really* learn it is to live it.

        Besides, we're bored to tears..... :)) But I *am* enjoying the =
time off to pursue summer reading...throw away novels of little =
consequence, mindless fluff ....ah, what a pleasure!

        Katherine

        ----- Original Message -----=20
          From: Kelly Short=20
          To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
          Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 10:25 AM
          Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement

          If I were new to this earth and had just learned what the US =
stock market was by reading the comments shared this morning =
post-Worldcom I'd think the stock market was going bye-bye. I'll admit- =
I'm still wet behind the ears when it comes to investing experience but =
I can't for a minute believe that the same types of comments weren't =
passed around (albeit pre-Internet, shiver) regarding the 1987 crash. =
Can anyone remember back that far? I am correct and memory short? Or =
this truly "new"? Sorry folks- I was in the sixth grade in 1987.

          Kelly

          P.S. - thanks for the "Wall Street" quotes- it's the most used =
DVD I own!

          -----Original Message-----
          From: Cefaloni, John L Jr. [AMSTA-AR-WEA]
          [mailto:john.cefaloni@us.army.mil]
          Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 10:18 AM
          To: 'canslim@lists.xmission.com'
          Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement

          At the risk of being corny, I thought I'd dig up some quotes =
from the movie
          "Wall Street" (because Hollywood tells us everything we need =
to know about
          life ;-)

          "The main thing about money, Bud, is that it makes you do =
things you don't
          want to do."

          "Stop going for the easy buck and start producing something =
with your life.
          Create, instead of living off the buying and selling of =
others."=20

          "Stick to the fundamentals.  That's how IBM and Hilton were =
built."

          "There are no shotcuts.  Quick-buck artists come and go with =
every bull
          market, but the steady players make it through the bear =
markets."

          "You're on a roll, kid.  Enjoy it while it lasts, becuase it =
never does."

          and, of course...

          "Man looks in the abyss, there's nothing staring back at him. =
At that
          moment, man finds his character. And that is what keeps him =
out of the
          abyss."

          Of course, the movie is packed with many more "bullish" =
quotes, but those
          will have to wait for another day.

          -----Original Message-----
          From: Winston Little [mailto:wlittle1@peoplepc.com]
          Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 10:33 AM
          To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
          Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement

          People in the rust belt are back in style.

          I believe the expression is "The meek shall inherit the =
earth".
          There is merit to the people who work and sweat for a living, =
instead of the
          glorified crooks of the past three years.
          Remember all those clowns forming companies (with NO EARNINGS) =
that had
          market capitalization greater than that of General Motors?

          Today:
          Lear LEI is up.They make car seats and interior parts.
          Delphi DPH guided up yesterday. They make electronic parts for =
cars (mostly
          GM).
          Visteon VC guided up this morning.They make car parts (mostly =
for Ford).
          P&G ( as Duke pointed out) is up. Soap, toothpaste and paper =
towels.
          Donnelly DON  (mirrors for cars) is to be bought out by Magna =
(they make car
          parts) at 38% premium.

          ----- Original Message -----
          From: "Duke Miller" <dukemill@tampabay.rr.com>
          To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
          Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 10:07 AM
          Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement

          > Absolutely.
          >
          > P&G is up over $1 at the open this a.m.  Up 16% this year.  =
43% last two
          > years.  Soap, toothpaste, quality people.  All things you =
can count
          > (on).
          >
          > Duke
          >
          > (I do have a position in P&G)
          >
          > -----Original Message-----
          > From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
          > [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of =
Winston Little
          > Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 9:48 AM
          > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
          > Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement
          >
          >
          > There may be some merit to companies that make goods that I =
can see,
          > touch and count such as houses, cars, chemicals.
          >
          > There may also be some merit to companies that pay =
dividends, as the
          > crooks are less likely to borrow or steal funds to pay =
dividends.
          >
          >
          > ----- Original Message -----
          > From: "Dave Cameron" <dfcameron@yahoo.com>
          > To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
          > Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 9:33 AM
          > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement
          >
          >
          > > Rocky (and all),
          > >
          > > Yeah... this is amazing.   As a professional statistician, =
the recent
          > > events show why I don't use classical statistical =
techniques in
          > > investing.   I sold all my individual holdings in November =
- - haven't
          > > bought back in.   Still hold the mutual funds for long =
term, but
          > > continue to watch them dwindle.
          > >
          > > My line to people at work is that I'll be working until =
I'm 80....
          > >
          > > Dave
          > >
          > > --- Rocky Sanghvi <rs@mylodestar.com> wrote:
          > > > I wish I could say that today coming blowoff will be the =
last one.
          > > > There are other skeletons in the closet.  More =
importantly the
          > > > impact of the
          > > > dropping dollar will be enormous in our highly leveraged =
financial
          > > > system.
          > > >
          > > > From ECON 101
          > > > Until now we were managing to balance our foreign =
deficits by inflow
          >
          > > > of cash from other countries into our markets.  The =
falling dollar
          > > > is an indication
          > > > that money is moving OUT of the country.  Watch out for =
the ripple
          > > > effects.
          > > >
          > > > Unless ofcourse we attack Iraq immediately and thereby =
create "a
          > > > demand" for
          > > > the the safety of the American dollar.  ;)   I guess I =
am cynical.
          > > > Today
          > > > the market lost me as an investor for a very long time.  =
I quit.
          > > >
          > > > -----Original Message-----
          > > > From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
          > > > [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of =
Winston Little
          > > > Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 8:34 AM
          > > > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
          > > > Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement
          > > >
          > > >
          > > >
          > > > The mantra of the clowns:
          > > > "I want it ALL"
          > > > "Give it to me NOW"
          > > > "It is MINE, I deserve it"
          > > >
          > > > ----- Original Message -----
          > > > From: "Kent Norman" <kent_norman@yahoo.com>
          > > > To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
          > > > Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 8:12 AM
          > > > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement
          > > >
          > > >
          > > > > The answer is:
          > > > >
          > > > > The same childish, short-sighted, immediate =
satisfaction that
          > > > blinds
          > > > > them to the possibility that there is a tomorrow... =
They run the
          > > > > business like they live their life. All today and no =
tomorrow.
          > > > >
          > > > > Kent Norman
          > > > >
          > > > > --- "Cefaloni, John L Jr. [AMSTA-AR-WEA]"
          > > > <john.cefaloni@us.army.mil>
          > > > > wrote:
          > > > > > Well said, Tom.  What is it that makes people do =
things for
          > > > temporary
          > > > > > gain
          > > > > > when they know they'll probably get slammed for it =
in the
          > > > future?
          > > > > >
          > > > > > I guess it's just greed, stupidity and arrogance.
          > > > > >
          > > > > > -----Original Message-----
          > > > > > From: Tom Worley [mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]
          > > > > > Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 12:53 AM
          > > > > > To: CANSLIM
          > > > > > Subject: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement
          > > > > >
          > > > > >
          > > > > > once again, Andersen strikes again, this time by =
signing off on
          > > > > > Worldcom hiding over $3 billion in expenses as =
capital
          > > > > > expenditures, and
          > > > thus
          > > > > > inflating cash flow. Restatement expected to take =
away last
          > > > five
          > > > > > quarters of
          > > > > > profits and turn them into losses.
          > > > > >
          > > > > > Who gave this sanction to a deviation from GAAP =
(Generally
          > > > Accepted
          > > > > > Accounting Principles)?? Andersen, of course. It's =
clear that
          > > > Enron
          > > > > > was only
          > > > > > the tip of the iceberg, as if Waste Management, =
Sunbeam, and a
          > > > host
          > > > > > of other
          > > > > > companies were not sufficient warning of major =
problems in
          > > > corporate
          > > > > > policy
          > > > > > and infrastructure. Sad to see a great name like =
Andersen
          > > > prostituted
          > > > > > to
          > > > > > selling its certification services for any price, =
but also
          > > > clear that
          > > > > > it
          > > > > > must disappear from corporate America. And until =
every major
          > > > company
          > > > > > audited
          > > > > > by Andersen undergoes a special review by the SEC on =
accounting
          > > > > > practices, I doubt anyone will believe that we have =
finally seen
          >
          > > > > > it all.
          > > > > >
          > > > > > Tom Worley
          > > > > > stkguru@bellsouth.net
          > > > > > AIM: TexWorley
          > > > > >
          > > > > >
          > > > > >
          > > > > > -
          > > > > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email =
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          > > > >
          > > > >
          > > > > =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D
          > > > > Opportunities always look bigger going than coming.
          > > > >
          > > > > __________________________________________________
          > > > > Do You Yahoo!?
          > > > > Yahoo! - Official partner of 2002 FIFA World Cup
          > > > > http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com
          > > > >
          > > > > -
          > > > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email =
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          > > > > email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe =
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          > > >
          > > >
          > > > -
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          > > > email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe =
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          > > > not use quotes in your email.
          > > >
          > > >
          > > >
          > > > -
          > > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email =
"majordomo@xmission.com" -In the
          > > > email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe =
canslim".  Do
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          > > > not use quotes in your email.
          > >
          > >
          > > =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D
          > > Dave Cameron
          > > dfcameron@yahoo.com
          > >
          > > __________________________________________________
          > > Do You Yahoo!?
          > > Yahoo! - Official partner of 2002 FIFA World Cup
          > > http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com
          > >
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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV>Kelly,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>I'm not intimately familiar with all the names under this =
macrotheme, but=20
in general, I'd say that the shift to DVD-based entertainment has been=20
substantial and any time there is a secular shift in technology, there =
are real=20
profits to be had. In this case, I think the profits are spread around =
very well=20
between all industry sectors. (but as with all technologies, those with =
the=20
proprietary elements get the lion's share of the profits) &nbsp;DVD =
prices are=20
still quite high, though I noticed at Christmas, for the first time, =
that the=20
prices of DVD players had dropped substantially, indicating that demand =
is=20
reaching critical mass. That means that the lower prices make DVD =
players more=20
affordable (scarcity becomes abundance), people replace and/or =
supplement their=20
VCR's with DVD's, and then demand for DVD media becomes larger. That =
snowballs=20
throughout the supply chain. Still up for grabs are implementations of =
DVD=20
recording standards established somewhat recently....that could start a =
whole=20
new chain of events.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>I'd been disinclined to compare DVD's to PCs....the former early in =
its=20
adoption life cycle, the latter late in its business life cycle =
(maturity phase,=20
though arguably not yet in the decline phase).</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dkelly.short@neoris.com =
href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@neoris.com">Kelly=20
  Short</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June 26, 2002 =
11:42=20
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: DVD's (was =
[CANSLIM] WCOM=20
  restatement)</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D957284016-26062002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
  size=3D2>Katherine-</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D957284016-26062002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
  size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D957284016-26062002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>A=20
  wealth of information as usual- thank you. But WHO makes money in this =

  business? Is it Blockbuster? Philips/Sony? Movie Studios? Fed-Ex? Or =
does=20
  anyone make money in DVD's (has it gone the way of the=20
pc)?</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D957284016-26062002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
  size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D957284016-26062002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>I=20
  appreciate your opinions- Kelly</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT =
face=3DTahoma=20
    size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> Katherine Malm=20
    [mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net]<BR><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June 26, =
2002 11:27=20
    AM<BR><B>To:</B> canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> Re: =
DVD's=20
    (was [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement)<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>For starters:</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>-DVD distributors such as DISK, HDL etc</DIV>
    <DIV>-Retailers such as AMZN, BBY etc</DIV>
    <DIV>-Hardware---runs the gamut from gaming hardware (Nintendo, =
XBox, etc),=20
    to video chips to handle the increased graphics requirements, to =
- -DVD=20
    players (Samsung, Matsushita), to chips (INTC and some specialty =
chip=20
    makers), to DVD drive makers, etc.</DIV>
    <DIV>-Software, such as NAVR and ROXI etc.</DIV>
    <DIV>-Hardware components distributors such as TECD, IM, Games =
Makers who=20
    will beef up games offereings given the extra content capabilities =
of DVD=20
    based games, etc.</DIV>
    <DIV>-etc</DIV>
    <DIV>-etc</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Katherine</DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
    style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
      <DIV=20
      style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
      <A title=3Dkelly.short@neoris.com =
href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@neoris.com">Kelly=20
      Short</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
      title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
      </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June 26, =
2002 10:50=20
      AM</DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] WCOM =

      restatement</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D802075015-26062002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
      size=3D2>Katherine-</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D802075015-26062002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
      size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV><SPAN class=3D802075015-26062002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
      size=3D2>I think you recapped the past three weeks worth of =
conversations-=20
      we're all bored! So let me pose this question to the group: DVD's. =
Who=20
      makes money off DVD's? </FONT></SPAN></DIV>
      <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT =
face=3DTahoma=20
        size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> Katherine =
Malm=20
        [mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net]<BR><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June 26, =
2002=20
        10:40 AM<BR><B>To:</B> <A=20
        =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR><B>Subject:</B>=20
        Re: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
        <DIV>Hi Kelly,</DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV>The '87 crash was considerably different....far more an =
event than=20
        a process as is the current Bear which is undoing the excesses =
of the=20
        late '90's. At that time, cocktail conversations rarely included =
talk of=20
        stocks, but on Black Monday...people who didn't even know what =
the stock=20
        market was all about were gathered around the TV at lunch time. =
In=20
        retrospect, the Fed's quick intervention and the adjustments to =
program=20
        trading guidelines made this a blip on the bull market screen, =
so the=20
        "throwing in the towel" talk was far more short-lived than now. =
Most=20
        folks investing these days know little of what creates value and =

        perceived value in the stock market. Even fewer are students of =
market=20
        history. But I'd bet the same conversations could be heard in =
the 30's=20
        and the 60's. Sometimes the best way to *really* learn it is to =
live=20
        it.</DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV>Besides, we're bored to tears..... :)) But I *am* enjoying =
the time=20
        off to pursue&nbsp;summer reading...throw away novels of little=20
        consequence, mindless fluff ....ah, what a pleasure!</DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV>Katherine</DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV>----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
        <BLOCKQUOTE=20
        style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: =
5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
          <DIV=20
          style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
          <A title=3Dkelly.short@neoris.com=20
          href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@neoris.com">Kelly Short</A> </DIV>
          <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
          title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
          </DIV>
          <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June =
26, 2002=20
          10:25 AM</DIV>
          <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] =
WCOM=20
          restatement</DIV>
          <DIV><BR></DIV>If I were new to this earth and had just =
learned what=20
          the US stock market was by reading the comments shared this =
morning=20
          post-Worldcom I'd think the stock market was going bye-bye. =
I'll=20
          admit- I'm still wet behind the ears when it comes to =
investing=20
          experience but I can't for a minute believe that the same =
types of=20
          comments weren't passed around (albeit pre-Internet, shiver) =
regarding=20
          the 1987 crash. Can anyone remember back that far? I am =
correct and=20
          memory short? Or this truly "new"? Sorry folks- I was in the =
sixth=20
          grade in 1987.<BR><BR>Kelly<BR><BR>P.S. - thanks for the "Wall =
Street"=20
          quotes- it's the most used DVD I own!<BR><BR>-----Original=20
          Message-----<BR>From: Cefaloni, John L Jr.=20
          [AMSTA-AR-WEA]<BR>[mailto:john.cefaloni@us.army.mil]<BR>Sent:=20
          Wednesday, June 26, 2002 10:18 AM<BR>To: <A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:'canslim@lists.xmission.com'">'canslim@lists.xmission.com'=
</A><BR>Subject:=20
          RE: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement<BR><BR><BR>At the risk of being =
corny,=20
          I thought I'd dig up some quotes from the movie<BR>"Wall =
Street"=20
          (because Hollywood tells us everything we need to know =
about<BR>life=20
          ;-)<BR><BR>"The main thing about money, Bud, is that it makes =
you do=20
          things you don't<BR>want to do."<BR><BR>"Stop going for the =
easy buck=20
          and start producing something with your life.<BR>Create, =
instead of=20
          living off the buying and selling of others." <BR><BR>"Stick =
to the=20
          fundamentals.&nbsp; That's how IBM and Hilton were=20
          built."<BR><BR>"There are no shotcuts.&nbsp; Quick-buck =
artists come=20
          and go with every bull<BR>market, but the steady players make =
it=20
          through the bear markets."<BR><BR>"You're on a roll, =
kid.&nbsp; Enjoy=20
          it while it lasts, becuase it never does."<BR><BR>and, of=20
          course...<BR><BR>"Man looks in the abyss, there's nothing =
staring back=20
          at him. At that<BR>moment, man finds his character. And that =
is what=20
          keeps him out of the<BR>abyss."<BR><BR>Of course, the movie is =
packed=20
          with many more "bullish" quotes, but those<BR>will have to =
wait for=20
          another day.<BR><BR>-----Original Message-----<BR>From: =
Winston Little=20
          [mailto:wlittle1@peoplepc.com]<BR>Sent: Wednesday, June 26, =
2002 10:33=20
          AM<BR>To: <A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>Subject:=20
          Re: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement<BR><BR><BR>People in the rust =
belt are=20
          back in style.<BR><BR>I believe the expression is "The meek =
shall=20
          inherit the earth".<BR>There is merit to the people who work =
and sweat=20
          for a living, instead of the<BR>glorified crooks of the past =
three=20
          years.<BR>Remember all those clowns forming companies (with NO =

          EARNINGS) that had<BR>market capitalization greater than that =
of=20
          General Motors?<BR><BR>Today:<BR>Lear LEI is up.They make car =
seats=20
          and interior parts.<BR>Delphi DPH guided up yesterday. They =
make=20
          electronic parts for cars (mostly<BR>GM).<BR>Visteon VC guided =
up this=20
          morning.They make car parts (mostly for Ford).<BR>P&amp;G ( as =
Duke=20
          pointed out) is up. Soap, toothpaste and paper =
towels.<BR>Donnelly=20
          DON&nbsp; (mirrors for cars) is to be bought out by Magna =
(they make=20
          car<BR>parts) at 38% premium.<BR><BR><BR><BR><BR>----- =
Original=20
          Message -----<BR>From: "Duke Miller" &lt;<A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:dukemill@tampabay.rr.com">dukemill@tampabay.rr.com</A>&gt;=
<BR>To:=20
          &lt;<A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;<BR>Sent:=20
          Wednesday, June 26, 2002 10:07 AM<BR>Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] =
WCOM=20
          restatement<BR><BR><BR>&gt; Absolutely.<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; =
P&amp;G is up=20
          over $1 at the open this a.m.&nbsp; Up 16% this year.&nbsp; =
43% last=20
          two<BR>&gt; years.&nbsp; Soap, toothpaste, quality =
people.&nbsp; All=20
          things you can count<BR>&gt; (on).<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
          Duke<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; (I do have a position in =
P&amp;G)<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
          -----Original Message-----<BR>&gt; From: <A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com">owner-canslim@lists.xmis=
sion.com</A><BR>&gt;=20
          [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Winston =

          Little<BR>&gt; Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 9:48 AM<BR>&gt; =
To: <A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>&gt;=20
          Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] WCOM =
restatement<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; There=20
          may be some merit to companies that make goods that I can =
see,<BR>&gt;=20
          touch and count such as houses, cars, =
chemicals.<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; There=20
          may also be some merit to companies that pay dividends, as =
the<BR>&gt;=20
          crooks are less likely to borrow or steal funds to pay=20
          dividends.<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; ----- Original Message=20
          -----<BR>&gt; From: "Dave Cameron" &lt;<A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:dfcameron@yahoo.com">dfcameron@yahoo.com</A>&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
          To: &lt;<A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
          Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 9:33 AM<BR>&gt; Subject: RE: =
[CANSLIM]=20
          WCOM restatement<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; Rocky (and =
all),<BR>&gt;=20
          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; Yeah... this is amazing.&nbsp;&nbsp; As a=20
          professional statistician, the recent<BR>&gt; &gt; events show =
why I=20
          don't use classical statistical techniques in<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
          investing.&nbsp;&nbsp; I sold all my individual holdings in =
November -=20
          haven't<BR>&gt; &gt; bought back in.&nbsp;&nbsp; Still hold =
the mutual=20
          funds for long term, but<BR>&gt; &gt; continue to watch them=20
          dwindle.<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; My line to people at work =
is that=20
          I'll be working until I'm 80....<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
          Dave<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; --- Rocky Sanghvi &lt;<A=20
          href=3D"mailto:rs@mylodestar.com">rs@mylodestar.com</A>&gt;=20
          wrote:<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; I wish I could say that today coming =
blowoff=20
          will be the last one.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; There are other =
skeletons in=20
          the closet.&nbsp; More importantly the<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
impact of=20
          the<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; dropping dollar will be enormous in our =
highly=20
          leveraged financial<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; system.<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; From ECON 101<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Until =
now we=20
          were managing to balance our foreign deficits by=20
          inflow<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; of cash from other countries =
into our=20
          markets.&nbsp; The falling dollar<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; is an=20
          indication<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; that money is moving OUT of the=20
          country.&nbsp; Watch out for the ripple<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;=20
          effects.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Unless ofcourse =
we attack=20
          Iraq immediately and thereby create "a<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
demand"=20
          for<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; the the safety of the American =
dollar.&nbsp;=20
          ;)&nbsp;&nbsp; I guess I am cynical.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
Today<BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; the market lost me as an investor for a very long=20
          time.&nbsp; I quit.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
- -----Original=20
          Message-----<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; From: <A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com">owner-canslim@lists.xmis=
sion.com</A><BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf =
Of=20
          Winston Little<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Sent: Wednesday, June 26, =
2002 8:34=20
          AM<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; To: <A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement<BR>&gt; &gt; =

          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; The =
mantra=20
          of the clowns:<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; "I want it ALL"<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;=20
          "Give it to me NOW"<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; "It is MINE, I deserve=20
          it"<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; ----- Original Message =

          -----<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; From: "Kent Norman" &lt;<A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:kent_norman@yahoo.com">kent_norman@yahoo.com</A>&gt;<BR>&g=
t;=20
          &gt; &gt; To: &lt;<A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; Sent: Wednesday, June 26, 2002 8:12 AM<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;=20
          Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] WCOM restatement<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; The answer is:<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;=20
          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; The same childish, short-sighted,=20
          immediate satisfaction that<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; blinds<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt; them to the possibility that there is a tomorrow... They =
run=20
          the<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; business like they live their life. =
All=20
          today and no tomorrow.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          Kent Norman<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; ---=20
          "Cefaloni, John L Jr. [AMSTA-AR-WEA]"<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &lt;<A =

          =
href=3D"mailto:john.cefaloni@us.army.mil">john.cefaloni@us.army.mil</A>&g=
t;<BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; &gt; wrote:<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; Well said,=20
          Tom.&nbsp; What is it that makes people do things for<BR>&gt; =
&gt;=20
          &gt; temporary<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; gain<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt; when they know they'll probably get slammed for it in =
the<BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; future?<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt; I guess it's just greed, stupidity and arrogance.<BR>&gt; =
&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; -----Original=20
          Message-----<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; From: Tom Worley=20
          [mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net]<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
Sent:=20
          Wednesday, June 26, 2002 12:53 AM<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
To:=20
          CANSLIM<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; Subject: [CANSLIM] WCOM=20
          restatement<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =

          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; once again, Andersen strikes =
again,=20
          this time by signing off on<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
Worldcom=20
          hiding over $3 billion in expenses as capital<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt; expenditures, and<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; thus<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt; inflating cash flow. Restatement expected to take away=20
          last<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; five<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
quarters=20
          of<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; profits and turn them into=20
          losses.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
&gt; Who=20
          gave this sanction to a deviation from GAAP (Generally<BR>&gt; =
&gt;=20
          &gt; Accepted<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; Accounting =
Principles)??=20
          Andersen, of course. It's clear that<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
Enron<BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; was only<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; the =
tip of=20
          the iceberg, as if Waste Management, Sunbeam, and a<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          host<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; of other<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          companies were not sufficient warning of major problems =
in<BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; corporate<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; policy<BR>&gt; =
&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; &gt; and infrastructure. Sad to see a great name =
like=20
          Andersen<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; prostituted<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
&gt;=20
          to<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; selling its certification =
services for=20
          any price, but also<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; clear that<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; it<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; must disappear from =
corporate=20
          America. And until every major<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
company<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; &gt; audited<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; by Andersen =

          undergoes a special review by the SEC on accounting<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; practices, I doubt anyone will believe that we have =
finally=20
          seen<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; it all.<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; Tom Worley<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; <A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">stkguru@bellsouth.net</A><BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; AIM: TexWorley<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
&gt;<BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt; -<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; -To subscribe/unsubscribe, =
email=20
          "<A =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"=20
          -In<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; the email body, write =
"subscribe=20
          canslim" or -"unsubscribe<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
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          Do not use quotes in your email.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
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          &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; -<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; -To=20
          subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"=20
          -In<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; the email body, write =
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          canslim" or -"unsubscribe<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
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          Do not use quotes in your email.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; =
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          &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D<BR>&gt; &gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          Opportunities always look bigger going than coming.<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;=20
          __________________________________________________<BR>&gt; =
&gt; &gt;=20
          &gt; Do You Yahoo!?<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; Yahoo! - Official =
partner=20
          of 2002 FIFA World Cup<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; <A=20
          =
href=3D"http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com">http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com</A><=
BR>&gt;=20
          &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; -<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; =
- -To=20
          subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
          =
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          the<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; email body, write "subscribe =
canslim" or=20
          -"unsubscribe canslim".<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt; Do not use =
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          your email.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; =
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          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; -<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; -To =
subscribe/unsubscribe,=20
          email "<A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>" -In=20
          the<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; email body, write "subscribe canslim" or =

          -"unsubscribe canslim".&nbsp; Do<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; not =
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          quotes in your email.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; =
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          email "<A=20
          =
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          -"unsubscribe canslim".&nbsp; Do<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; not =
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          quotes in your email.<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
          =3D=3D=3D=3D=3D<BR>&gt; &gt; Dave Cameron<BR>&gt; &gt; <A=20
          =
href=3D"mailto:dfcameron@yahoo.com">dfcameron@yahoo.com</A><BR>&gt;=20
          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;=20
          __________________________________________________<BR>&gt; =
&gt; Do You=20
          Yahoo!?<BR>&gt; &gt; Yahoo! - Official partner of 2002 FIFA =
World=20
          Cup<BR>&gt; &gt; <A=20
          =
href=3D"http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com">http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com</A><=
BR>&gt;=20
          &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; -<BR>&gt; &gt; -To subscribe/unsubscribe, =
email "<A=20
          =
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          &gt; -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or=20
          -"unsubscribe<BR>&gt; &gt; canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes =
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          email.<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt;<BR>&gt; -<BR>&gt; -To=20
          subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
          =
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          -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>&gt; =
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