Re: [CANSLIM] Housing stocks


From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Housing stocks
Date: Thu, 18 Jul 2002 23:09:17 -0400

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could be correct, but from memory seems like the housing stocks have had =
a longer, and higher, run than the HMOs.

- ----- Original Message -----=20
From: J. Lobatto=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Thursday, July 18, 2002 8:45 AM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Housing stocks


Tom,

You may be right, but I'd contrast the action of the housing stocks to =
the HMOs. Both have been very strong groups this year. However, in the =
recent correction, the housing stocks have been battered down far more =
than the HMOs. The latter were up strongly yesterday, while the former =
dropped a bit more. Of course there is tremendous rotation in this =
market and the opposite might happen today, but to my eyes, it would =
appear that the housing stocks are in more serious trouble.

Jon
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Tom Worley=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Wednesday, July 17, 2002 11:00 PM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Housing stocks


  I disagree, Jon, and for opposite reasons. The housing stocks have =
done very well in a market that has continued to trend ever lower. For =
just that reason, those investors that chose to stay invested on the =
long side (me and two others, I think), would be more likely to take =
profits on the housing stocks to jump into some "momentum" big or mid =
caps when the rallies start and look like they could take off.

  I see this especially on a lot of my small / micro caps that have done =
well, when the market rallies on heavy volume from the very liquid big =
cap names, the little guys tend to either sell off or at least not get =
any new money running into them, all the action is concentrated on the =
bigger names where less risk is perceived against the perceived "value" =
(everyone loved them at $45, so they must be a real bargain at $18).

  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: J. Lobatto=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Wednesday, July 17, 2002 11:29 AM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] Housing stocks


  Another negative sign are the once mighty housing stocks. This group =
has been a leader all year reflecting the hosuing boom we've discussed =
here before. In the past couple of weeks these stocks have been =
hammered. If these stocks were going to bounce back (as they've done =
before), today's rally should have been the perfect opportunity, but it =
appears they are now leading the retreat down.

  Jon=20

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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>could be correct, but from memory seems like the =
housing=20
stocks have had a longer, and higher, run than the HMOs.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3Djlobatto@nyc.rr.com href=3D"mailto:jlobatto@nyc.rr.com">J. =
Lobatto</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, July 18, 2002 8:45 AM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Housing stocks</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>Tom,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>You may be right, but I'd =
contrast the=20
action of the housing stocks to the HMOs. Both have been very strong =
groups this=20
year. However, in the recent correction, the housing stocks have been =
battered=20
down far more than the HMOs. The latter were up strongly yesterday, =
while the=20
former dropped a bit more. Of course there is tremendous rotation in =
this market=20
and the opposite might happen today, but to my eyes, it would appear =
that the=20
housing stocks are in more serious trouble.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>Jon</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #0000ff 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dstkguru@bellsouth.net =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">Tom=20
  Worley</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, July 17, 2002 =
11:00=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Housing=20
  stocks</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I disagree, Jon, and for opposite reasons. The =
housing=20
  stocks have done very well in a market that has continued to trend =
ever lower.=20
  For just that reason, those investors that chose to stay invested on =
the long=20
  side (me and two others, I think), would be more likely to take =
profits on the=20
  housing stocks to jump into some "momentum" big or mid caps when the =
rallies=20
  start and look like they could take off.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I see this especially on a lot of my small / =
micro caps=20
  that have done well, when the market rallies on heavy volume from the =
very=20
  liquid big cap names, the little guys tend to either sell off or at =
least not=20
  get any new money running into them, all the action is concentrated on =
the=20
  bigger names where less risk is perceived against the perceived =
"value"=20
  (everyone loved them at $45, so they must be a real bargain at=20
  $18).</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
  <DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
  title=3Djlobatto@nyc.rr.com href=3D"mailto:jlobatto@nyc.rr.com">J. =
Lobatto</A>=20
  </DIV>
  <DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, July 17, 2002 11:29 AM</DIV>
  <DIV><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Housing stocks</DIV></DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>Another negative sign&nbsp;are =
the once=20
  mighty housing stocks. This group has been a leader all year =
reflecting the=20
  hosuing boom we've discussed here before. In the past couple of weeks =
these=20
  stocks have been hammered. If these stocks were going to bounce back =
(as=20
  they've done before), today's rally should have been the perfect =
opportunity,=20
  but it appears they are now leading the retreat down.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial=20
color=3D#0000ff>Jon</FONT>&nbsp;</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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