Re: [CANSLIM] M - How low will it go.


From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] M - How low will it go.
Date: Sat, 20 Jul 2002 08:03:52 -0400

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only the market can tell us that answer, Ira. And because the past two =
years have been marked by failed rally after failed rally, whether =
measured as a breakout on an individual stock, or on an index, it is =
reasonable to assume that this will continue once the market does turn.

Because the downtrend has been so steep, and for months now also =
disconnected from a strengthening economy and recovering earnings, the =
separation between sentiment and reality is creating a "negative bubble" =
caused by a combination of terrorism fears at first, and financial =
accounting scandals now. When this bubble bursts, if it does so, then =
the reversal in the markets could be rapid and near vertical. On the =
other hand, just as we continued the down trend in a steady erosion, =
without the severe capitulation day often forecasted and never met, the =
recovery might just go the other way, with people settling for short =
term profits thinking the rally would fail, only to find it still going =
higher.

- ----- Original Message -----=20
From: Ira Post=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Saturday, July 20, 2002 5:21 AM
Subject: [CANSLIM] M - How low will it go.


I've been sitting out of the market and this discussion list because I =
don't think these market conditions are suitable for Canslim.  But I'm =
ready to get back into it once the market turns around.

My question is how much longer before the market turns and how low will =
it get?  I'd like to hear alot of different opinons and people's =
reasons.  It may do us all some good.

Ira


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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>only the market can tell us that answer, Ira. =
And because=20
the past two years have been marked by failed rally after failed rally, =
whether=20
measured as a breakout on an individual stock, or on an index, it is =
reasonable=20
to assume that this will continue once the market does =
turn.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Because the downtrend has been so steep, and for =
months=20
now also disconnected from a strengthening economy and recovering =
earnings, the=20
separation between sentiment and reality is creating a "negative bubble" =
caused=20
by a combination of terrorism fears at first, and financial accounting =
scandals=20
now. When this bubble bursts, if it does so, then the reversal in the =
markets=20
could be rapid and near vertical. On the other hand, just as we =
continued the=20
down trend in a steady erosion, without the severe capitulation day =
often=20
forecasted and never met, the recovery might just go the other way, with =
people=20
settling for short term profits thinking the rally would fail, only to =
find it=20
still going higher.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3Dip108@yahoo.com href=3D"mailto:ip108@yahoo.com">Ira Post</A> =
</DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, July 20, 2002 5:21 AM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] M - How low will it go.</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>I've been sitting out of the market and =
this=20
discussion list because I don't think these market conditions are =
suitable for=20
Canslim.&nbsp; But I'm ready to get back into it once the market turns=20
around.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>My question is how much longer before =
the market=20
turns and how low will it get?&nbsp; I'd like to hear alot of different =
opinons=20
and people's reasons.&nbsp; It may do us all some good.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Ira</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2><BR>---<BR>Outgoing mail is certified =
Virus=20
Free.<BR>Checked by AVG anti-virus system (<A=20
href=3D"http://www.grisoft.com">http://www.grisoft.com</A>).<BR>Version: =
6.0.377 /=20
Virus Database: 211 - Release Date: 7/15/02</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>

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