Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Market psychology
Date: Wed, 24 Jul 2002 07:52:20 -0400
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This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_00D5_01C232E7.0A1ECCA0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable well, I have capitulated finally. A 20% loss yesterday overall on my IRA = was the final straw. time for me to break out WON's mini-book on shorting stocks and see if = it makes any sense in today's market. It is undated, but I think about = 20 years old. - ----- Original Message -----=20 From: J. Lobatto=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Tuesday, July 23, 2002 3:59 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] Market psychology All the professionals are looking for a massive capitulation day to mark = the termination of this bear market (i.e. an obvious panic day when they = can start pouring money in). Using the fact that the market rarely = satisfies the majority of participants, I suspect that the professionals = may not get their wish. As such, one other scenario comes to mind: The market continues this relentless water torture for an indeterminate = amount of time and finally the bear market ends at some point with a = whimper barely noticed by anyone, that is a new low is made on a fairly = "normal" day and the market starts climbing back up the next day, either = A) explosively or perhaps B) gently and imperceptibly and basically = doesn't look back from that day on. Any other non-capitulation scenarios that any of you can come up with? = The reason I ask is that with my "B"scenario, we may not get the FTD day = that will ring the bell for us either. Jon - ------=_NextPart_000_00D5_01C232E7.0A1ECCA0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> <HTML><HEAD> <META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; = charset=3Diso-8859-1"> <META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2716.2200" name=3DGENERATOR> <STYLE></STYLE> </HEAD> <BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>well, I have capitulated finally. A 20% loss = yesterday=20 overall on my IRA was the final straw.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>time for me to break out WON's mini-book on = shorting=20 stocks and see if it makes any sense in today's market. It is undated, = but I=20 think about 20 years old.</FONT></DIV> <DIV> </DIV> <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20 <DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20 title=3Djlobatto@nyc.rr.com href=3D"mailto:jlobatto@nyc.rr.com">J. = Lobatto</A>=20 </DIV> <DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20 href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>= </DIV> <DIV><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, July 23, 2002 3:59 PM</DIV> <DIV><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Market psychology</DIV></DIV> <DIV><BR></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>All the professionals are = looking for a=20 massive capitulation day to mark the termination of this bear market = (i.e. an=20 obvious panic day when they can start pouring money in). Using the = fact=20 that the market rarely satisfies the majority of participants, I suspect = that=20 the professionals may not get their wish. As such, one other scenario = comes to=20 mind:</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>The market continues this = relentless water=20 torture for an indeterminate amount of time and finally the bear = market=20 ends at some point with a whimper barely noticed by anyone, that is a = new low is=20 made on a fairly</FONT><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff> "normal" day = and the=20 market starts climbing back up the next day, either = A) explosively or=20 perhaps B) gently and imperceptibly and basically doesn't look back = from=20 that day on.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>Any other non-capitulation = scenarios that=20 any of you can come up with? The reason I ask is that with my = "B"scenario, we=20 may not get the FTD day that will ring the bell for us = either.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>Jon</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML> - ------=_NextPart_000_00D5_01C232E7.0A1ECCA0-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
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