Re: [CANSLIM] Today's big picture/m


From: "Bill Triffet" <btriffet@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Today's big picture/m
Date: Wed, 31 Jul 2002 09:01:54 -0700

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It also stated "Short sellers covering their positions and retail buyers
pushed the NYSE higher. Neither class of investor can sustain a new bull
market."

I can't recall the last time IBD mentioned (admitted) short sellers and or
retail investors were actually moving an index.

Still a good time to to make those lists. But still I whine...banks
stocks?...sheesh.

- -Bill

- ----- Original Message -----
From: "Eric Jaenike" <ericjaenike@yahoo.com>
To: "canslim group" <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Wednesday, July 31, 2002 8:33 AM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Today's big picture/m


>
> A quick note on today's Big Picture. Referring to action on the S&P, the
author states that price/volume action implies "mild accumulation". I
strongly disagree with that. I consider the action on that index to be a
sign of distribution as well, as it is indicative of stalling action. From
HTMMIS, 2nd edition, pg. 50: "On one of the days in the uptrend, the total
volume for the market will increase over the preceding day's high volume,
but the Dow's (or any index) closing average will show stalling action, or
substantially less upward movement, than on the prior few days".
>
> One other note: the Nasdaq is the only primary index to have flashed a
follow through (not including the S&P 600). It also was the index that
experienced the nasty give back last Thursday. That giveback was not a good
sign. Also, the news that drove the giveback was ominous: Taiwan
Semiconductor, the largest chip fab in the industry, announced a nasty
revenue miss, revenue guidedown, capex reduction, and capacity utilization
reduction to 70%. That is a terrible sign for the chip industry going
forward. Also of interest is the NVDA miss last night, as they sell into the
PC industry (as well as to Xbox, but I consider that to be an unimportant
segment).
>
> So far, I consider the action in this latest rally to be very poor. For
those interested in another item to watch, I think the action in MSFT, C,
and JPM are of some importance (as well as the XLF in general). Their breaks
and subsequent (poor) rebounds are, in my opinion, an important tell on
where the market is.
>
> Eric
>
>
>
> ---------------------------------
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