Re: [CANSLIM] Sometimes even the Pros don't know


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Sometimes even the Pros don't know
Date: Fri, 2 Aug 2002 08:36:41 -0500

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Hi Donald,

I think you've actually hit on a key element of chart reading in =
CANSLIM. That is, when there is a deep correction that undercuts the low =
of the last base, the base count is reset and you essentially "start =
fresh" with the chart. It's my understanding that this is why WON looks =
at formations as they form over the previous 52 wks. In the case of SIE, =
the base count was reset in '99 when the downside move passed below the =
last base formed in '98.

http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/SIE10yrs080202.jpg=20

By August '01, you would then be looking at SIE to set up a brand new =
1st stage base as it nears its 52 wk high, in this case a double bottom:

http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/SIE080101.jpg

Important, as it allows you to take advantage of renewed growth in an =
industry and/or company. (Assuming this is not a cyclical move)

Katherine
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Donald Wallker=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Friday, August 02, 2002 3:48 AM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Sometimes even the Pros don't know


  Katherine ---Maybe (tongue in cheek) SIEt hasn't broken out yet and is =
still working on the cup that it started back in March 1998.---Donald=20
    ----- Original Message -----=20
    From: Katherine Malm=20
    To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    Sent: Thursday, August 01, 2002 7:24 PM
    Subject: [CANSLIM] Sometimes even the Pros don't know


    Hi All,

    Got a real kick out of this comment from Tim Truebenbach, a real pro =
and contributor to TradingMarkets.com:

    "Sierra Health (SIE) hails from the leading HMO group. The stock has =
stellar fundamentals, but to this day, no one I have spoken with -- from =
fellow investors to people at IBD -- have been able to describe what =
kind of base it has produced. It has broken out of this "unknown" base =
and continues to push higher for the time being."



    I've dubbed this a "Lazy W"...

    See it at http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/LazyW.jpg=20



    Katherine




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<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
<META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2600.0" name=3DGENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV>Hi Donald,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>I think you've actually hit on a key element of chart reading in =
CANSLIM.=20
That is, when there is a deep correction that undercuts the low of the =
last=20
base, the base count is reset and you essentially "start fresh" with the =
chart.=20
It's my understanding that this is why WON looks at formations as they =
form over=20
the previous 52 wks. In the case of SIE, the base count was reset in '99 =
when=20
the downside move passed below the last base formed in '98.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><A=20
href=3D"http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/SIE10yrs080202.jpg">http://Wall=
Street-LLC.com/canslim/SIE10yrs080202.jpg</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>By August '01, you would then be looking at SIE to set up a brand =
new 1st=20
stage base as it nears its 52 wk high, in this case a double =
bottom:</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><A=20
href=3D"http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/SIE080101.jpg">http://WallStree=
t-LLC.com/canslim/SIE080101.jpg</A></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Important, as it allows you to take advantage of renewed growth in =
an=20
industry and/or company. (Assuming this is not a cyclical move)</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Ddougald@dmv.com href=3D"mailto:dougald@dmv.com">Donald =
Wallker</A>=20
  </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, August 02, 2002 =
3:48=20
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
Sometimes even the=20
  Pros don't know</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Katherine ---Maybe (tongue in cheek) =
SIEt hasn't=20
  broken out yet and is still working on the cup that it started back in =
March=20
  1998.---Donald </FONT></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
  style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV=20
    style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
    <A title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine=20
    Malm</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
    </DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, August 01, =
2002 7:24=20
    PM</DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Sometimes =
even the=20
    Pros don't know</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV>Hi All,</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Got a real kick out of this comment from Tim Truebenbach, a =
real pro=20
    and contributor&nbsp;to TradingMarkets.com:</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>
    <P><FONT face=3D"arial, helvetica" size=3D2><FONT =
color=3D#0000ff><B>"Sierra=20
    Health</B></FONT> (<A=20
    =
href=3D"http://www.tradingmarkets.com/.site/stocks/commentary/ttage/goto~=
www.tradingmarkets.com~redirect.cfm?symbol=3DSIE">SIE</A>)=20
    hails from the leading HMO group. The stock has stellar =
fundamentals, but to=20
    this day, no one I have spoken with -- from fellow investors to =
people at=20
    <I>IBD</I> -- have been able to describe what kind of base it has =
produced.=20
    It has broken out of this "unknown" base and continues to push =
higher for=20
    the time being."</FONT></P>
    <P>&nbsp;</P>
    <P>I've dubbed this a "Lazy W"...</P>
    <P>See it at <A=20
    =
href=3D"http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/LazyW.jpg">http://WallStreet-LL=
C.com/canslim/LazyW.jpg</A>=20
    </P>
    <P>&nbsp;</P>
    <P>Katherine</P>
    <P>&nbsp;</P></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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