Re: [CANSLIM] Identifying NEW leaders


From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Identifying NEW leaders
Date: Tue, 6 Aug 2002 20:49:41 -0400

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MessageI will wade into this topic just a little. I have never found =
consumer groups to be sustainable leaders. They are defensive, and some =
are less cyclical than others (we got to eat, smoke, drink, take baths, =
do laundry, etc after all, at least I hope so!!).  I have seen the =
Financials provide a strong secondary leadership at times, even lasting =
months, but that is also not a sector I fully trust as true leaders to =
turn this "M" around.  I think the key will remain whatever group can =
demonstrate sustained revenue and earnings growth that puts the rest of =
the groups / sectors to shame. So far, none are showing that to me.

- ----- Original Message -----=20
From: J. Lobatto=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Tuesday, August 06, 2002 7:46 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Identifying NEW leaders


If we have to look toward beer and soap to lead the market, it won't be =
pretty.....

Jon
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Duke Miller=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Tuesday, August 06, 2002 5:12 PM
  Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Identifying NEW leaders


  WON did say that consumer groups might likely lead us out of the =
abyss.  And if you pulled up today's SOD, there's a good chance you =
almost fell out of your chair as I did.  It lists the top 20 Up/Down =
Volume leaders, to wit:

  This screen lists leading stocks in leading industries with an up/down =
volume ratio of at least 1.0, which indicates buying volume has exceeded =
selling volume in recent months. The ratio can be found daily in IBD's =
Stock Checkup for all stocks. Stocks shown have an Earnings Per Share =
Rating Relative Price Strength Rating of at least 80, an Industry Group =
Relative Strength Rating of at least "B-" and an SMR Rating of "A." All =
stocks are within 20% of a 52-week high.

  There are three consumer products companies therein:  BUD, DL, STZ, =
and PG (that one made me fall out of my chair).



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<HTML><HEAD><TITLE>Message</TITLE>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
<META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2716.2200" name=3DGENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I will wade into this topic just a little. I =
have never=20
found consumer groups to be sustainable leaders. They are defensive, and =
some=20
are less cyclical than others (we got to eat, smoke, drink, take baths, =
do=20
laundry, etc after all, at least I hope so!!).&nbsp; I have seen the =
Financials=20
provide a strong secondary leadership at times, even lasting months, but =
that is=20
also not a sector I fully trust as true leaders to turn this "M" =
around.&nbsp; I=20
think the key will remain whatever group can demonstrate sustained =
revenue and=20
earnings growth that puts the rest of the groups / sectors to shame. So =
far,=20
none are showing that to me.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3Djlobatto@nyc.rr.com href=3D"mailto:jlobatto@nyc.rr.com">J. =
Lobatto</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, August 06, 2002 7:46 PM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Identifying NEW leaders</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>If we have to look toward beer =
and soap to=20
lead the market, it won't be pretty.....</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff>Jon</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #0000ff 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Ddukemill@tampabay.rr.com =
href=3D"mailto:dukemill@tampabay.rr.com">Duke=20
  Miller</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, August 06, 2002 =
5:12=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] =
Identifying NEW=20
  leaders</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D562590021-06082002><FONT face=3DArial>WON did say =
that consumer=20
  groups might likely lead us out of the abyss.&nbsp; And if you pulled =
up=20
  today's SOD, there's a good chance you almost fell out of your chair =
as I=20
  did.&nbsp; It lists the top 20 Up/Down Volume leaders, to=20
  wit:</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D562590021-06082002><FONT=20
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D562590021-06082002>This screen lists leading stocks =
in=20
  leading industries with an <A=20
  =
href=3D"javascript:popup=3Dwindow.open('../../ibdhelp/helpglossA.asp?help=
ID=3D423','help','width=3D375,height=3D200,directories=3Dno,status=3Dno,l=
ocation=3Dno,toolbar=3Dno,scrollbars=3Dyes,resizable=3Dyes,menubar=3Dno,c=
opyhistory=3Dno,alwaysRaised=3D1,dependent=3Dyes');popup.focus()"><FONT=20
  color=3D#336699>up/down volume ratio</FONT></A> of at least 1.0, which =
indicates=20
  buying volume has exceeded selling volume in recent months. The ratio =
can be=20
  found daily in IBD's Stock Checkup for all stocks. Stocks shown have =
an <A=20
  =
href=3D"javascript:popup=3Dwindow.open('../../ibdhelp/helpglossA.asp?help=
ID=3D69','help','width=3D375,height=3D200,directories=3Dno,status=3Dno,lo=
cation=3Dno,toolbar=3Dno,scrollbars=3Dyes,resizable=3Dyes,menubar=3Dno,co=
pyhistory=3Dno,alwaysRaised=3D1,dependent=3Dyes');popup.focus()"><FONT=20
  color=3D#336699>Earnings Per Share Rating</FONT></A> <A=20
  =
href=3D"javascript:popup=3Dwindow.open('../../ibdhelp/helpglossA.asp?help=
ID=3D153','help','width=3D375,height=3D200,directories=3Dno,status=3Dno,l=
ocation=3Dno,toolbar=3Dno,scrollbars=3Dyes,resizable=3Dyes,menubar=3Dno,c=
opyhistory=3Dno,alwaysRaised=3D1,dependent=3Dyes');popup.focus()"><FONT=20
  color=3D#336699>Relative Price Strength Rating</FONT></A> of at least =
80, an <A=20
  =
href=3D"javascript:popup=3Dwindow.open('../../ibdhelp/helpglossA.asp?help=
ID=3D493','help','width=3D375,height=3D200,directories=3Dno,status=3Dno,l=
ocation=3Dno,toolbar=3Dno,scrollbars=3Dyes,resizable=3Dyes,menubar=3Dno,c=
opyhistory=3Dno,alwaysRaised=3D1,dependent=3Dyes');popup.focus()"><FONT=20
  color=3D#336699>Industry Group Relative Strength Rating</FONT></A> of =
at least=20
  "B-" and an <A=20
  =
href=3D"javascript:popup=3Dwindow.open('../../ibdhelp/helpglossA.asp?help=
ID=3D156','help','width=3D375,height=3D200,directories=3Dno,status=3Dno,l=
ocation=3Dno,toolbar=3Dno,scrollbars=3Dyes,resizable=3Dyes,menubar=3Dno,c=
opyhistory=3Dno,alwaysRaised=3D1,dependent=3Dyes');popup.focus()"><FONT=20
  color=3D#336699>SMR Rating</FONT></A> of "A." All stocks are within =
20% of a=20
  52-week high.</SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D562590021-06082002></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D562590021-06082002><FONT face=3DArial>There are =
three consumer=20
  products companies therein:&nbsp; BUD, DL, STZ, and PG (that one made =
me fall=20
  out of my chair).</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D562590021-06082002><FONT=20
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3Darial,helvetica=20
size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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