Re: [CANSLIM] Current Case Study - XRAY


From: Chazmoore@aol.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Current Case Study - XRAY
Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2002 16:17:00 EDT

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Mike: I'll take a crack at XRAY to get the ball rolling.
I agree that the fundamentals look pretty good, although I would like to know 
more about 118% Debt to Equity ratio. My guess is that it has to do with 
acquisitions because this industry is consolidating. (PDCO is another on a 
buying binge.) You will note that the EPS are expected to grow 31% this year, 
but only 13% next year. This may mean their next acquisition is still unknown 
or in the planning stage.

Technically, I read this as a breakout even though the handle is short. 
Unfortunately, the cup is V shaped, not the nice round bottom we like to see. 
It hit it's low of $31.25 on July 22nd, just 18 days ago. I think this has 
more to do with the general market than it does with this company. By that I 
mean this is a defensive type of company; no showy new product, just 
conservative management and growth. If you wanted to participate in a general 
market recovery without a lot of risk, this would be a good place to park 
money.

For what it is worth I checked another technical indicator that confirms $40 
to $41 as a breakout price. However, all things considered, I suspect this 
upward push will fade rather quickly.

There you go. No hind sight observation but a prediction.

Thanks for bringing this up Mike. Charley

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<HTML><FONT FACE=arial,helvetica><FONT  SIZE=2>Mike: I'll take a crack at XRAY to get the ball rolling.
<BR>I agree that the fundamentals look pretty good, although I would like to know more about 118% Debt to Equity ratio. My guess is that it has to do with acquisitions because this industry is consolidating. (PDCO is another on a buying binge.) You will note that the EPS are expected to grow 31% this year, but only 13% next year. This may mean their next acquisition is still unknown or in the planning stage.
<BR>
<BR>Technically, I read this as a breakout even though the handle is short. Unfortunately, the cup is V shaped, not the nice round bottom we like to see. It hit it's low of $31.25 on July 22nd, just 18 days ago. I think this has more to do with the general market than it does with this company. By that I mean this is a defensive type of company; no showy new product, just conservative management and growth. If you wanted to participate in a general market recovery without a lot of risk, this would be a good place to park money.
<BR>
<BR>For what it is worth I checked another technical indicator that confirms $40 to $41 as a breakout price. However, all things considered, I suspect this upward push will fade rather quickly.
<BR>
<BR>There you go. No hind sight observation but a prediction.
<BR>
<BR>Thanks for bringing this up Mike. Charley</FONT></HTML>

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