Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Winston Little" <wlittle1@peoplepc.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Current Case Study - XRAY
Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2002 16:27:39 -0400
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Mike:
A quick set of comments from a novice:
1. If the pattern is Cup with handle:
The cup starting (31 May and ending 31 July) appears to be a V =
formation, which is less desirable for success.
2. The handle starting 31July and ending yesterday is either FLAT or =
V-SHAPED (neither are desirable)
3. High volume persisted in the handle period ... again undesirable.
4. Looking at a longer term charts (1 year, 3 year , 5 year and 10 year) =
show a pattern approaching "Ascending bases" as described in Investor's =
Corner today (8 Aug).
5. Institutional ownership is high as you point out at 76% or 60 million =
of the 78 million shares outstanding.
Recent activity in this area shows 6.2 million shares bought and =
6.3 million sold. My suspicion here is that some WINDOW DRESSING by the =
institutional managers was occurring.
6. Insider sales do not normally alarm me, but the CEO Miles unloaded $6 =
million dollars of shares at prices between $33 and $50, leaving him =
with 64,000 shares worth $2.5 million.
7. I have been watching XRAY in the past, and it often comes up in the =
IBD Where The Big Money Flows, but so far I have not been convinced =
enough to buy it.
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Mike Gibbons=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Thursday, August 08, 2002 3:26 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Current Case Study - XRAY
In view of the interest in current cases rather than 20-20 hindsight, =
and discussions to aid the learning process, I offer XRAY as an =
example, which broke out today from a CwH pattern with short handle
Firstly, let me add the disclaimer that I'm a programmer who was =
introduced to CANSLIM as a development project, and I'm 1 year into the =
3 yr learning curve, so further comment by the "experts" is welcomed to =
improve my own understanding.
Firstly the fundamentals which are very strong, with the exception =
that Institutional Ownership is already quite high. There are differing =
views on what the level should be, but somewhere less than 30% would be =
better. Additional DD would be required to determine why pre-tax profit =
margins are decreasing and if that is cause for concern. (This =
information is drawn from yahoo/multex not IBD) =20
C Current Earnings Earnings per share growth of at least 25% in =
the most recent quarter Most recent quarter year on year growth. =
(Published financial data).
35.00 % =20
Latest three quarters of sales growth should be a minimum of 25% =
Average year on year growth for last 3 quarters. (Published financial =
data). 51.00 % =20
Sales growth should be accelerating. Difference in year on year =
growth rates over last 3 quarters. (Published financial data). 23.00 =20
A Strong Annual Earnings Growth Annual earnings growth for the =
last three years of 25% or greater 3 year compound EPS growth rate. =
(Published financial data). 53.00 % =20
Return on equity should be at least 17% Published financial =
data. 21.00 %=20
Pretax profit margins should be increasing Profit Margin for =
most recent quarter minus profit margin 1 year ago. (Published financial =
data). -1.00 =20
N New Products, Services or Leadership If a company has a =
dynamic new product or service, or is capitalizing on new conditions in =
the economy, this can have a dramatic impact on the price of a stock. =
Buy stocks just as they emerge from a sound "base" pattern and make new =
price highs. Not Known =20
S Supply and Demand Watch the demand for shares by looking at =
the percentage change in volume for each of your stocks. Analyze a =
stock's daily and weekly price and volume changes. The up/down volume =
ratio measures the ratio of accumulation days to distribution days over =
the last 50 days. 0.90 =20
L Leading Stocks in Leading Industry Groups Nearly 50% of a =
stock's price action is a result of its industry group's performance. =
Focus on the top industry groups, and within those groups select stocks =
with the best price performance. Multex Industry Rank ( 0 - 99 )
(26 week relative performance). 90 =20
Multex Rank within Industry ( 0 - 99 ). Provided for =
informational purposes only.
(4 week relative performance)
22 =20
The stock's Relative Price Strength Rating should be in the 80s =
or 90s We calculate RS daily by ranking all NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ =
stocks. Our RS algorithm is described here. It correlates well with =
IBD's. Value. Score pro-rated in range 60-79. 83 =20
I Institutional Sponsorship You want at least a few of the =
better performing mutual funds owning the stock. They're the ones who =
will drive the stock up on a sustained basis. Institutional Ownership. =
Value in range 5 - 30% needed to score 1. 79.00 % =20
No. of Institutions. Provided for informational purposes only. =
568 =20
M Market Direction You can buy the best stocks, but if the =
general market is weak, most likely your stocks will be weak also. =
Because Market Direction is not specific to any one particular stock, we =
do not evaluate it on a per stock basis. =20
Look at the chart below. Note that the handle is only 3 days long. =
This is normally insufficient to have shaken out the potential sellers =
and WON recommends that a handle should be at least 1-2 weeks long, =
otherwise a breakout is prone to failure. Also the volume in the handle =
has not dried up. This is often the case in the early days of handle =
formation and we would like to see the volume decrease below the ADV and =
the price wedge downwards as the handle progresses.
Look at the volume coming up the right side of the cup - consistently =
above the 50 ADV accompanied by big price positive price movements, with =
only two days when the stock closed slightly down. It would have been =
better if the volume had been below the ADV on those days, in which case =
the stock would have earned a higher CQ (Chart Quality) score.
Note the RS line. This is quite high at 83, but has advanced only =
slightly over the last few days despite significant price gains in this =
stock. This indicates that other stocks are doing at least as well.
The 50 day up/down volume is at 0.90. Values less than 1 mean that the =
down volume days exceed the up volume days. However, the trend of the =
line is upwards, which is a positive sign.
I'll go out on a limb and say my guess is that todays breakout will =
not be sustained (although its holding now - just) and it will continue =
to form a handle.=20
I conclude that this is one to watch but not to buy right now.
Aloha,
Mike Gibbons
Proactive Technologies, LLC
http://www.proactech.com
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<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Mike:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>A quick set of comments from a novice:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>1. If the pattern is Cup with =
handle:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2> The cup starting (31 May =
and ending=20
31 July) appears to be a V formation, which is less desirable for=20
success.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>2. The handle starting 31July and ending yesterday =
is either=20
FLAT or V-SHAPED (neither are desirable)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>3. High volume persisted in the handle period ... =
again=20
undesirable.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>4. Looking at a longer term charts (1 year, 3 year , =
5 year=20
and 10 year) show a pattern approaching "Ascending bases" as described =
in=20
Investor's Corner today (8 Aug).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>5. Institutional ownership is high as you point out =
at 76% or=20
60 million of the 78 million shares outstanding.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2> Recent activity in this =
area shows=20
6.2 million shares bought and 6.3 million sold. My suspicion here is =
that some=20
WINDOW DRESSING by the institutional managers was =
occurring.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>6. Insider sales do not normally alarm me, but the =
CEO Miles=20
unloaded $6 million dollars of shares at prices between $33 and =
$50,=20
leaving him with 64,000 shares worth $2.5 million.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>7. I have been watching XRAY in the past, and it =
often comes=20
up in the IBD Where The Big Money Flows, but so far I have =
not been=20
convinced enough to buy it.</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dmike@proactech.com href=3D"mailto:mike@proactech.com">Mike =
Gibbons</A>=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, August 08, 2002 =
3:26=20
PM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Current Case =
Study -=20
XRAY</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN =
class=3D210001418-08082002>In=20
view of the interest in current cases rather than 20-20 =
hindsight,<FONT=20
color=3D#0000ff><SPAN =
class=3D770040819-08082002> </SPAN><SPAN=20
class=3D770040819-08082002><FONT color=3D#000080>and discussions to =
aid the=20
learning process,</FONT> </SPAN></FONT> I offer XRAY as an =
example, which=20
broke out today from a CwH pattern with short =
handle</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002>Firstly, let me add the disclaimer that I'm =
a=20
programmer who was introduced to CANSLIM as a development project, and =
I'm 1=20
year into the 3 yr learning curve, so further comment by the "experts" =
is=20
welcomed to improve my own understanding.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT =
size=3D2><FONT=20
color=3D#000080>Firstly the fundamentals which are very strong, with =
the=20
exception that Institutional Ownership is already quite high. There =
are=20
differing views on what the level should be, but somewhere less than =
30% would=20
be better.<SPAN class=3D770040819-08082002> </SPAN><SPAN=20
class=3D770040819-08082002>Additional DD would be required to =
determine why=20
pre-tax profit margins are decreasing and if that is cause =
for=20
concern. (This information is drawn from yahoo/multex not=20
IBD) </SPAN><SPAN=20
=
class=3D770040819-08082002> </SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></SPAN></DIV=
>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN =
class=3D210001418-08082002>
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D1 cellPadding=3D2 width=3D"100%" align=3Dcenter =
bgColor=3D#5588bb=20
border=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD align=3Dmiddle width=3D"5%" bgColor=3D#ffffff =
rowSpan=3D3><B><FONT=20
size=3D2>C</FONT></B></TD>
<TD align=3Dleft width=3D"15%" bgColor=3D#ffffff rowSpan=3D3>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Current =
Earnings</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Earnings per share growth of at =
least 25%=20
in the most recent quarter</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<P align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Most recent quarter year on year =
growth.=20
(Published financial data).</FONT></P></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#ffffff><FONT size=3D2>35.00 % =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Latest three quarters of sales =
growth=20
should be a minimum of 25%</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD vAlign=3Dtop width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Average year on year growth for =
last 3=20
quarters. (Published financial data).</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#ffffff><FONT size=3D2>51.00 % =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR>
<TD vAlign=3Dtop width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Sales growth should be =
accelerating.=20
</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD vAlign=3Dtop width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Difference in year on year =
growth rates=20
over last 3 quarters. (Published financial data). =
</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#ffffff><FONT size=3D2>23.00 =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD align=3Dmiddle width=3D"5%" bgColor=3D#dddddd =
rowSpan=3D3><B><FONT=20
size=3D2>A</FONT></B></TD>
<TD align=3Dleft width=3D"15%" bgColor=3D#dddddd rowSpan=3D3>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Strong Annual Earnings=20
Growth</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Annual earnings growth for the =
last three=20
years of 25% or greater</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>3 year compound EPS growth =
rate. (Published=20
financial data).</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#dddddd><FONT size=3D2>53.00 % =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Return on equity should be at =
least=20
17%</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Published financial =
data.</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#dddddd><FONT size=3D2>21.00 =
%</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Pretax profit margins should be =
increasing</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Profit Margin for most recent =
quarter minus=20
profit margin 1 year ago. (Published financial =
data).</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#dddddd><FONT size=3D2>-1.00 =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD align=3Dmiddle width=3D"5%" bgColor=3D#ffffff><B><FONT=20
size=3D2>N</FONT></B></TD>
<TD align=3Dleft width=3D"15%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>New Products, Services or =
Leadership<FONT=20
class=3Dfont5> </FONT></FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>If a company has a dynamic new =
product or=20
service, or is capitalizing on new conditions in the economy, =
this can=20
have a dramatic impact on the price of a stock. Buy stocks just =
as they=20
emerge from a sound "base" pattern and make new price highs.=20
</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff><FONT size=3D2>Not =
Known</FONT></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#ffffff><FONT =
size=3D2> </FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD align=3Dmiddle width=3D"5%" bgColor=3D#dddddd><B><FONT=20
size=3D2>S</FONT></B></TD>
<TD align=3Dleft width=3D"15%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Supply and Demand =
</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Watch the demand for shares by =
looking at=20
the percentage change in volume for each of your stocks. Analyze =
a=20
stock's daily and weekly price and volume changes. =
</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>The up/down volume ratio =
measures the ratio=20
of accumulation days to distribution days over the last 50=20
days.</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#dddddd><FONT size=3D2>0.90 =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD align=3Dmiddle width=3D"5%" bgColor=3D#ffffff =
rowSpan=3D3><FONT=20
size=3D2><B>L</B><B></B></FONT></TD>
<TD align=3Dleft width=3D"15%" bgColor=3D#ffffff rowSpan=3D3>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Leading Stocks in Leading =
Industry Groups=20
</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff rowSpan=3D2>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Nearly 50% of a stock's price =
action is a=20
result of its industry group's performance. Focus on the top =
industry=20
groups, and within those groups select stocks with the best =
price=20
performance.</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff height=3D"50%">
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Multex Industry Rank ( 0 - 99 =
)<BR>(26 week=20
relative performance).</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#ffffff><FONT size=3D2>90 =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff height=3D"50%">
<P align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Multex Rank within Industry ( 0 - =
99 ).=20
Provided for informational purposes only.<BR>(4 week relative=20
performance)</FONT></P></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#ffffff><FONT size=3D2>22 =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>The stock's Relative Price =
Strength Rating=20
should be in the 80s or 90s </FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>We calculate RS daily by =
ranking all NYSE,=20
AMEX and NASDAQ stocks. Our RS algorithm is </FONT><A=20
=
onclick=3D"MM_openBrWindow('html/rs.html','','scrollbars=3Dyes,resizable=3D=
yes,width=3D500,height=3D500')"=20
href=3D"file:///H:/cwhcharts/TMP1m5cljfr3.htm#"><FONT =
size=3D2>described=20
here</FONT></A><FONT size=3D2>. It correlates well with IBD's. =
Value.=20
Score pro-rated in range 60-79.</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#ffffff><FONT size=3D2>83</FONT> =
</TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD align=3Dmiddle width=3D"5%" bgColor=3D#dddddd =
rowSpan=3D2><B>I</B></TD>
<TD align=3Dleft width=3D"15%" bgColor=3D#dddddd rowSpan=3D2>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Institutional =
Sponsorship</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd rowSpan=3D2>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>You want at least a few of the =
better=20
performing mutual funds owning the stock. They're the ones who =
will=20
drive the stock up on a sustained basis.</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Institutional Ownership. Value =
in range 5 -=20
30% needed to score 1.</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#dddddd><FONT size=3D2>79.00 % =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD width=3D"30%" bgColor=3D#dddddd>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>No. of Institutions. Provided =
for=20
informational purposes only.</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle bgColor=3D#dddddd><FONT size=3D2>568 =
</FONT></TD></TR>
<TR vAlign=3Dtop>
<TD align=3Dmiddle width=3D"5%" bgColor=3D#ffffff><B><FONT=20
size=3D2>M</FONT></B></TD>
<TD align=3Dleft width=3D"15%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Market Direction =
</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD width=3D"20%" bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>You can buy the best stocks, =
but if the=20
general market is weak, most likely your stocks will be weak=20
also.</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV align=3Dleft><FONT size=3D2>Because Market Direction is not =
specific to=20
any one particular stock, we do not evaluate it on a per stock=20
basis.</FONT></DIV></TD>
<TD align=3Dmiddle=20
bgColor=3D#ffffff> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002>Look at the chart below. Note that the =
handle is only=20
3 days long. This is normally insufficient to have shaken out the =
potential=20
sellers and WON recommends that a handle should be at least 1-2 weeks =
long,=20
otherwise a breakout is prone to failure. Also the volume in the =
handle has=20
not dried up. This is often the case in the early days of handle =
formation and=20
we would like to see the volume decrease below the ADV and the price =
wedge=20
downwards as the handle progresses.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=3D#000080><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT=20
face=3DTahoma><FONT size=3D2>Look at the volume coming up the right =
side of the=20
cup - consistently above the 50 ADV accompanied by big price positive =
price=20
movements, with only two days when the stock closed slightly down. It =
would=20
have been better if the volume had been below the ADV on those days, =
in which=20
case the stock would have earned a higher CQ (Chart Quality)=20
score.<BR></FONT></FONT></SPAN></FONT><FONT color=3D#000080><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D260395018-08082002></SPAN></FONT></FONT></SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT color=3D#000080><SPAN=20
class=3D260395018-08082002><BR><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D770040819-08082002><FONT =
color=3D#0000ff> </FONT></SPAN>Note the RS=20
line. This is quite high at 83, but has advanced<SPAN=20
class=3D770040819-08082002><FONT color=3D#0000ff><FONT =
color=3D#000080> only=20
slightly</FONT> </FONT></SPAN>over the last few days despite =
significant=20
price gains in this stock. This indicates that other stocks are =
doing at=20
least as well.</FONT></FONT></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D+0><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT =
face=3DTahoma><FONT=20
color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
=
class=3D260395018-08082002></SPAN></FONT></FONT></SPAN></FONT> </DIV=
>
<DIV><FONT size=3D+0><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT =
face=3DTahoma><FONT=20
color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN class=3D260395018-08082002>The 50 day =
up/down volume=20
is at 0.90. Values less than 1 mean that the down volume days exceed =
the up=20
volume days. However, the trend of the line is upwards, which is a =
positive=20
sign.</SPAN></FONT></FONT></SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D+0><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT =
face=3DTahoma><FONT=20
color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
=
class=3D260395018-08082002></SPAN></FONT></FONT></SPAN></FONT> </DIV=
>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT face=3DTahoma =
color=3D#000080=20
size=3D2><SPAN class=3D260395018-08082002> <SPAN=20
class=3D770040819-08082002>I'll go out on a limb and =
say m</SPAN>y guess is=20
that todays breakout will not be sustained<SPAN=20
class=3D770040819-08082002> (although its holding now -=20
just) </SPAN>and it will continue to form a handle.=20
</SPAN></FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D+0><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT =
face=3DTahoma><FONT=20
color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
=
class=3D260395018-08082002></SPAN></FONT></FONT></SPAN></FONT> </DIV=
>
<DIV><FONT size=3D+0><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT =
face=3DTahoma><FONT=20
color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN class=3D260395018-08082002><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT color=3D#000080 =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D260395018-08082002>I conclude that this is one to watch but =
not to buy=20
right=20
now.</SPAN></FONT></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></FONT></FONT></SPAN></FONT></DIV>=
<DIV><FONT size=3D+0><SPAN class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT =
face=3DTahoma><FONT=20
color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN class=3D260395018-08082002><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT color=3D#000080 =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
=
class=3D260395018-08082002></SPAN></FONT></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></FONT></FO=
NT></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002><IMG alt=3D"" hspace=3D0=20
src=3D"cid:002701c23f1a$0a12d0a0$229d9840@pavilion" align=3Dbaseline=20
border=3D0></SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D210001418-08082002></SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DTahoma =
color=3D#000080=20
size=3D2>Aloha,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2>Mike =
Gibbons</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080 size=3D2>Proactive =
Technologies,=20
LLC</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#000080=20
size=3D2>http://www.proactech.com</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT> </DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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