Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Winston Little" <wlittle1@peoplepc.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection
Date: Fri, 9 Aug 2002 12:14:44 -0400
Previous Article (by Subject): RE: [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection "Kelly Short"
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MessageKelly:
My hope is that the note was of some help, but please keep the following =
in mind:
1. The goal is neither to whip or throw you back into the pond.
2. ALWAYS QUESTION anything that is said or stated.... do you agree with =
the point or issue stated or asked?
3. If you agree with the point, then is what is the significance of the =
point or issue? The point may be true but of little value.
4. How will the rest of the market traders/investors/or others react to =
the point or issue, and how soon? =20
Depending on the results of the evaluate the points above (or others), =
you may then want to respond and show the other person a different =
perspective.=20
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Kelly Short=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Friday, August 09, 2002 11:22 AM
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection
Winston,
You give me new understanding of DD. After reading your email I whip =
myself for not investigating further before posting. Back to the newbie =
pond for me. I feel like those Snakehead fish in Maryland- so close to =
making it from the pond to the big river, then the big bad human ("M") =
comes and throws me back in the pond. Thanks for your observations- I'll =
keep hacking away.
Kelly
-----Original Message-----
From: Winston Little [mailto:wlittle1@peoplepc.com]
Sent: Thursday, August 08, 2002 4:31 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection
Kelly:
A few comments:
1. Chart pattern:=20
If cup-with handle (start 27 May, end 01 Aug) then the shape is =
V-Cup which is not ideal.
2. Handle is 2 days long (minimum desired is five days) on 03 and 05 =
Aug.
3. Heavy volume in handle (again undesirable)
4. Breakout volume on 06 Aug was 166% of average daily =3D ok.
5. Debt to equity ratio =3D 4.3 This may be a bit high, as others in =
the top five of the IBD group were at 0.98, 0.18 and 0.83. The one =
exception was the government sponsored agency FRE (Freddie Mac) at 31.
6. Largest concern was roll off in revenue in Q2 of 2002 to $$998 =
million, was $1233 in Q1, N/A in Q4 of 200, $1272 in Q3 of 2001, $1234 =
in Q2 of 2001 etc. Surprisingly the eps reported in Q2 of 2002 was =
highest at $1.48 up from $1.32 in Q1 of 2002. Does this imply there may =
be a re-statement in the works as day of reckoning approaches for CEO =
and CFO?
CCR is believed to be a sub-prime lender. Does this mean difficulty =
as the slow economy persists and consumers start to run out of cash?
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Kelly Short=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Thursday, August 08, 2002 4:50 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection
CCR - Countrywide Cr Inds Inc
EPS growth could be better but are we more forgiving over the past =
3 qtrs (after all- CCR is positive EPS growth for past 3 qtrs which in =
itself is an accomplishment)? Appears to be coming out of CWH formation =
(all though not as beautiful a formation as the Mona Lisa or anything =
IBD would show us). Thoughts?
IBD Ratings =20
Smart Select 99 =20
EPS Rating 94 =20
RPS 89 =20
Industry Group Rank A =20
S+P M+ROE A =20
A/D A+ =20
=20
=20
Technical Rating 98 =20
Fundamental Rating 96 =20
Attractiveness Rating 99 =20
Group's Technical Rating 79 =20
Group's Fundamental Rating 86 =20
=20
=20
=20
Rank within Industry Group =20
Industry Rank (08/08/02) 32 =20
=20
Overall 100 =20
Technical 100 =20
Fundamental 91 =20
Attriveness 100 =20
Top 5 Companies w/in Group =20
=20
CCR =20
=20
DORL =20
=20
NCEN =20
=20
NDE =20
=20
FRE =20
Group % Chg to Date 2% =20
Group % Chg Last 12 mths 4% =20
Group % Chg Last 4 weeks 4% =20
=20
=20
Performance =20
=20
Up/Down Vol 1.3 =20
3 Yr. EPS Growth 16% =20
3 Yr. Sales Growth 25% =20
EPS Growth (Quarterly) % Chg=20
Qtr -1 $0.64 5%=20
Qtr -2 $0.61 8%=20
Qtr -3 $0.56 5%=20
Qtr -4 $0.53 8%=20
Qtr -5 $0.49 0%=20
Qtr -6 $0.49 =20
=20
Revenue Growth =20
Qtr -1 293,159 3%=20
Qtr -2 285,799 1%=20
Qtr -3 283,199 1%=20
Qtr -4 281,332 3%=20
Qtr -5 272,860 0%=20
Qtr -6 272,489 =20
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Visit us at http://www.neoris.com/=20
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<HTML><HEAD><TITLE>Message</TITLE>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Kelly:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>My hope is that the note was of some help, but =
please keep the=20
following in mind:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>1. The goal is neither to whip or throw you back =
into the=20
pond.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>2. ALWAYS QUESTION anything that is said or =
stated.... do you=20
agree with the point or issue stated or asked?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>3. If you agree with the point, =
then is what is the=20
significance of the point or issue? The point may be true but of =
little=20
value.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>4. How will the rest of the market =
traders/investors/or others=20
react to the point or issue, and how =
soon? </FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Depending on the results of the evaluate =
the points=20
above (or others), you may then want to respond and show the other =
person a=20
different perspective. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dkelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com=20
href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com">Kelly Short</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, August 09, 2002 =
11:22=20
AM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] CCR - I =
offer this=20
up for dissection</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2>Winston,</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>You=20
give me new understanding of DD. After reading your email I whip =
myself for=20
not investigating further before posting. Back to the newbie pond for =
me. I=20
feel like those Snakehead fish in Maryland- so close to making it from =
the=20
pond to the big river, then the big bad human ("M") comes and throws =
me back=20
in the pond. Thanks for your observations- I'll keep hacking=20
away.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002></SPAN><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT =
size=3D2><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002><FONT face=3DArial=20
color=3D#0000ff></FONT></SPAN></FONT></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D353261915-09082002>Kelly</SPAN></FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D353261915-09082002> </SPAN>-----Original=20
Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> Winston Little=20
[mailto:wlittle1@peoplepc.com]<BR><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, August 08, =
2002 4:31=20
PM<BR><B>To:</B> canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> Re: =
[CANSLIM]=20
CCR - I offer this up for dissection<BR><BR></DIV></FONT></FONT>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Kelly:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>A few comments:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>1. Chart pattern: </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>If cup-with handle (start 27 May, end 01 Aug) =
then the=20
shape is V-Cup which is not ideal.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>2. Handle is 2 days long (minimum desired is =
five days) on=20
03 and 05 Aug.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>3. Heavy volume in handle (again =
undesirable)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>4. Breakout volume on 06 Aug was 166% of average =
daily =3D=20
ok.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>5. Debt to equity ratio =3D 4.3 This may be a =
bit high, as=20
o</FONT><FONT size=3D2>thers in the top five of the IBD group were =
at 0.98,=20
0.18 and 0.83. The one exception was the government sponsored agency =
FRE=20
(Freddie Mac) at 31.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>6. Largest concern was roll off in revenue in Q2 =
of 2002=20
to $$998 million, was $1233 in Q1, N/A in Q4 of 200, $1272 in Q3 of =
2001,=20
$1234 in Q2 of 2001 etc. Surprisingly the eps reported in Q2 =
of 2002=20
was highest at $1.48 up from $1.32 in Q1 of 2002. Does this imply =
there may=20
be a re-statement in the works as day of reckoning approaches for =
CEO and=20
CFO?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>CCR is believed to be a sub-prime lender. Does =
this mean=20
difficulty as the slow economy persists and consumers start to run =
out of=20
cash?</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dkelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com=20
href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com">Kelly Short</A> =
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, August 08, =
2002 4:50=20
PM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] CCR - I =
offer this=20
up for dissection</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2>CCR - Countrywide Cr Inds Inc</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2>EPS growth could be better but are we more forgiving over =
the past=20
3 qtrs (after all- CCR is positive EPS growth for past 3 qtrs =
which in=20
itself is an accomplishment)? Appears to be coming out of CWH =
formation=20
(all though not as beautiful a formation as the Mona Lisa or =
anything IBD=20
would show us). Thoughts?</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002>
<TABLE style=3D"WIDTH: 219pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" =
cellSpacing=3D0=20
cellPadding=3D0 width=3D291 border=3D0 x:str>
<COLGROUP>
<COL=20
style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: =
6363"=20
width=3D174>
<COL style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt; mso-width-source: userset; =
mso-width-alt: 1938"=20
width=3D53>
<COL style=3D"WIDTH: 48pt" width=3D64>
<TBODY>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl28 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: 12.75pt" =
width=3D174=20
height=3D17>IBD Ratings</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53></TD>
<TD style=3D"WIDTH: 48pt" width=3D64></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Smart Select</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>99</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>EPS Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>94</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>RPS</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>89</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Industry Group =
Rank</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27>A</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>S+P M+ROE</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27>A</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>A/D</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27>A+</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Technical =
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>98</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Fundamental =
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>96</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Attractiveness =
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>99</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group's Technical =
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>79</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group's Fundamental =
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>86</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl28 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-ignore: =
colspan" colSpan=3D2=20
height=3D17>Rank within Industry Group</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Industry Rank =
(08/08/02)</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>32</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Overall</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>100</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Technical</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>100</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Fundamental</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>91</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Attriveness</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>100</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Top 5 Companies w/in =
Group</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 80px; =
POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG=20
height=3D1 =
src=3D"cid:015d01c23fbf$dfb0bb00$b0e55aa6@pavilion" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1050 _x0000_s1055"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: 12.75pt" =
width=3D174=20
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>CCR</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 1; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; =
WIDTH: 80px; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG =
height=3D1 =
src=3D"cid:015e01c23fbf$dfb0bb00$b0e55aa6@pavilion" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1051 _x0000_s1056"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: 12.75pt" =
width=3D174=20
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>DORL</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 2; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; =
WIDTH: 80px; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG =
height=3D1 =
src=3D"cid:015f01c23fbf$dfb0bb00$b0e55aa6@pavilion" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1052 _x0000_s1057"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: 12.75pt" =
width=3D174=20
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>NCEN</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 3; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; =
WIDTH: 80px; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG =
height=3D1 =
src=3D"cid:016001c23fbf$dfb0bb00$b0e55aa6@pavilion" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1053 _x0000_s1058"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: 12.75pt" =
width=3D174=20
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>NDE</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 4; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; =
WIDTH: 80px; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG =
height=3D1 =
src=3D"cid:016101c23fbf$dfb0bb00$b0e55aa6@pavilion" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1054 _x0000_s1061"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: 12.75pt" =
width=3D174=20
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>FRE</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group % =
Chg to=20
Date</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"00.02">2%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group % =
Chg Last 12=20
mths</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"00.04">4%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group % =
Chg Last 4=20
weeks</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"00.04">4%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl28 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" =
height=3D17>Performance</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Up/Down Vol</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>1.3</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>3 Yr. EPS =
Growth</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"00.16">16%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>3 Yr. Sales =
Growth</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"0.25">25%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>EPS Growth =
(Quarterly)</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27>% Chg</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 15pt" height=3D20>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 15pt" height=3D20>Qtr -1</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.64">$0.64</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"4.6875E-2"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B42-B43)/B42">5%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -2</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.61">$0.61</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"8.1967213114753995E-2" =
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B43-B44)/B43">8%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -3</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.56">$0.56</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"5.3571428571428617E-2" =
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B44-B45)/B44">5%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -4</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.53">$0.53</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"7.5471698113207614E-2" =
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B45-B46)/B45">8%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -5</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.49">$0.49</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"0"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B46-B47)/B46">0%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -6</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.49">$0.49</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Revenue Growth</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -1</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"293159">293,159</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"2.5105829942113324E-2" =
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B50-B51)/B50">3%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -2</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"285799">285,799</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"9.0973026497643446E-3" =
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B51-B52)/B51">1%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -3</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"283199">283,199</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"6.592537403027553E-3"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B52-B53)/B52">1%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -4</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"281332">281,332</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"3.0113886795672017E-2" =
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B53-B54)/B53">3%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -5</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"272860">272,860</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"1.3596716264751155E-3" =
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B54-B55)/B54">0%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -6</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"272489">272,489</TD>
<TD></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE>
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