Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Duke Miller" <dukemill@tampabay.rr.com>
Subject: Pearl of Wisdon (was [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection)
Date: Sun, 11 Aug 2002 09:33:54 -0400
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Winston, et al:
I'm catching up with my backlog of CANSLIM list messages, and a thought
just occurred to me after reading Winston's reply to Kelly below. (Sans
header I would have surely assumed it was Katherine's response!)
Your point #4 is a true Pearl of Wisdom--I.e., it provokes further
thought, and is what I call an "a-ha". The reason? How bombarded we
are with information and desktops riddled with shortcuts to investment
net "tools." But when it's all said and done--technicals,
fundamentals, charts, ratings, etc.--spending time in thought about how
will the rest of the market...react to the point or issue and how
soon--is what it's all about, isn't it? You can't measure it, you can
accurately predict it, can't touch it, can't feel it. But if the
response to that question is not, albeit in you gut, positive, you
shouldn't touch it, should you?
Thank you for that.
Duke
-----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Winston Little
Sent: Friday, August 09, 2002 12:15 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection
Kelly:
My hope is that the note was of some help, but please keep the following
in mind:
1. The goal is neither to whip or throw you back into the pond.
2. ALWAYS QUESTION anything that is said or stated.... do you agree with
the point or issue stated or asked?
3. If you agree with the point, then is what is the significance of the
point or issue? The point may be true but of little value.
4. How will the rest of the market traders/investors/or others react to
the point or issue, and how soon?
Depending on the results of the evaluate the points above (or others),
you may then want to respond and show the other person a different
perspective.
- ----- Original Message -----
From: Kelly Short <mailto:kelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com>
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Sent: Friday, August 09, 2002 11:22 AM
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection
Winston,
You give me new understanding of DD. After reading your email I whip
myself for not investigating further before posting. Back to the newbie
pond for me. I feel like those Snakehead fish in Maryland- so close to
making it from the pond to the big river, then the big bad human ("M")
comes and throws me back in the pond. Thanks for your observations- I'll
keep hacking away.
Kelly
-----Original Message-----
From: Winston Little [mailto:wlittle1@peoplepc.com]
Sent: Thursday, August 08, 2002 4:31 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection
Kelly:
A few comments:
1. Chart pattern:
If cup-with handle (start 27 May, end 01 Aug) then the shape is V-Cup
which is not ideal.
2. Handle is 2 days long (minimum desired is five days) on 03 and 05
Aug.
3. Heavy volume in handle (again undesirable)
4. Breakout volume on 06 Aug was 166% of average daily = ok.
5. Debt to equity ratio = 4.3 This may be a bit high, as others in the
top five of the IBD group were at 0.98, 0.18 and 0.83. The one exception
was the government sponsored agency FRE (Freddie Mac) at 31.
6. Largest concern was roll off in revenue in Q2 of 2002 to $$998
million, was $1233 in Q1, N/A in Q4 of 200, $1272 in Q3 of 2001, $1234
in Q2 of 2001 etc. Surprisingly the eps reported in Q2 of 2002 was
highest at $1.48 up from $1.32 in Q1 of 2002. Does this imply there may
be a re-statement in the works as day of reckoning approaches for CEO
and CFO?
CCR is believed to be a sub-prime lender. Does this mean difficulty as
the slow economy persists and consumers start to run out of cash?
- ----- Original Message -----
From: Kelly Short <mailto:kelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com>
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Sent: Thursday, August 08, 2002 4:50 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for dissection
CCR - Countrywide Cr Inds Inc
EPS growth could be better but are we more forgiving over the past 3
qtrs (after all- CCR is positive EPS growth for past 3 qtrs which in
itself is an accomplishment)? Appears to be coming out of CWH formation
(all though not as beautiful a formation as the Mona Lisa or anything
IBD would show us). Thoughts?
IBD Ratings
Smart Select 99
EPS Rating 94
RPS 89
Industry Group Rank A
S+P M+ROE A
A/D A+
Technical Rating 98
Fundamental Rating 96
Attractiveness Rating 99
Group's Technical Rating 79
Group's Fundamental Rating 86
Rank within Industry Group
Industry Rank (08/08/02) 32
Overall 100
Technical 100
Fundamental 91
Attriveness 100
Top 5 Companies w/in Group
CCR
DORL
NCEN
NDE
FRE
Group % Chg to Date 2%
Group % Chg Last 12 mths 4%
Group % Chg Last 4 weeks 4%
Performance
Up/Down Vol 1.3
3 Yr. EPS Growth 16%
3 Yr. Sales Growth 25%
EPS Growth (Quarterly) % Chg
Qtr -1 $0.64 5%
Qtr -2 $0.61 8%
Qtr -3 $0.56 5%
Qtr -4 $0.53 8%
Qtr -5 $0.49 0%
Qtr -6 $0.49
Revenue Growth
Qtr -1 293,159 3%
Qtr -2 285,799 1%
Qtr -3 283,199 1%
Qtr -4 281,332 3%
Qtr -5 272,860 0%
Qtr -6 272,489
_____
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<DIV><SPAN class=3D390061613-11082002><FONT face=3DArial>Winston, et=20
al:</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390061613-11082002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390061613-11082002><FONT face=3DArial>I'm catching up =
with my=20
backlog of CANSLIM list messages, and a thought just occurred to me =
after=20
reading Winston's reply to Kelly below. (Sans header I would have =
surely=20
assumed it was Katherine's response!)</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390061613-11082002><FONT =
face=3DArial></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D390061613-11082002><FONT face=3DArial>Your point #4 =
is a true=20
Pearl of Wisdom--I.e., it provokes further thought, and is what I call =
an=20
"a-ha". The reason? How bombarded we are with =
information=20
and desktops riddled with shortcuts to investment net =
"tools." =20
But when it's all said and done--technicals, fundamentals, charts, =
ratings,=20
etc.--spending time in thought about <EM>how will the rest of the =
market...react=20
to the point or issue and how soon--</EM>is what it's all about, isn't =
it? =20
You can't measure it, you can accurately predict it, can't touch it, =
can't feel=20
it. But if the response to that question is not, albeit in you =
gut,=20
positive, you shouldn't touch it, should you?</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma size=3D2><FONT face=3DArial =
size=3D3></FONT></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma size=3D2><SPAN class=3D390061613-11082002><FONT =
face=3DArial=20
size=3D3>Thank you for that.</FONT></SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D390061613-11082002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma size=3D2><SPAN class=3D390061613-11082002><FONT =
face=3DArial=20
size=3D3>Duke</FONT></SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D390061613-11082002></SPAN></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D390061613-11082002> </SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D390061613-11082002> </SPAN>-----Original =
Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] <B>On=20
Behalf Of </B>Winston Little<BR><B>Sent:</B> Friday, August 09, 2002 =
12:15=20
PM<BR><B>To:</B> canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> Re: =
[CANSLIM] CCR=20
- - I offer this up for dissection<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Kelly:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>My hope is that the note was of some help, but =
please keep=20
the following in mind:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>1. The goal is neither to whip or throw you back =
into the=20
pond.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>2. ALWAYS QUESTION anything that is said or =
stated.... do=20
you agree with the point or issue stated or asked?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>3. If you agree with the point, =
then is what is=20
the significance of the point or issue? The point may be true but =
of=20
little value.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>4. How will the rest of the market =
traders/investors/or=20
others react to the point or issue, and how=20
soon? </FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Depending on the results of =
the evaluate the=20
points above (or others), you may then want to respond and show =
the other=20
person a different perspective. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2></FONT> </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dkelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com=20
href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com">Kelly Short</A> </DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, August 09, 2002 =
11:22=20
AM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] CCR - =
I offer=20
this up for dissection</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2>Winston,</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2>You give me new understanding of DD. After reading your =
email I whip=20
myself for not investigating further before posting. Back to the =
newbie pond=20
for me. I feel like those Snakehead fish in Maryland- so close to =
making it=20
from the pond to the big river, then the big bad human ("M") comes =
and=20
throws me back in the pond. Thanks for your observations- I'll keep =
hacking=20
away.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002></SPAN><FONT =
face=3DTahoma><FONT=20
size=3D2><SPAN class=3D353261915-09082002><FONT face=3DArial=20
color=3D#0000ff></FONT></SPAN></FONT></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D353261915-09082002>Kelly</SPAN></FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DTahoma><FONT size=3D2><SPAN=20
class=3D353261915-09082002> </SPAN>-----Original=20
Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> Winston Little=20
[mailto:wlittle1@peoplepc.com]<BR><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, August 08, =
2002=20
4:31 PM<BR><B>To:</B> canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> =
Re:=20
[CANSLIM] CCR - I offer this up for =
dissection<BR><BR></DIV></FONT></FONT>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>Kelly:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>A few comments:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>1. Chart pattern: </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>If cup-with handle (start 27 May, end 01 Aug) =
then the=20
shape is V-Cup which is not ideal.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>2. Handle is 2 days long (minimum desired is =
five days)=20
on 03 and 05 Aug.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>3. Heavy volume in handle (again=20
undesirable)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>4. Breakout volume on 06 Aug was 166% of =
average daily =3D=20
ok.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>5. Debt to equity ratio =3D 4.3 This may be a =
bit high, as=20
o</FONT><FONT size=3D2>thers in the top five of the IBD group were =
at 0.98,=20
0.18 and 0.83. The one exception was the government sponsored =
agency FRE=20
(Freddie Mac) at 31.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>6. Largest concern was roll off in revenue in =
Q2 of 2002=20
to $$998 million, was $1233 in Q1, N/A in Q4 of 200, $1272 in Q3 =
of 2001,=20
$1234 in Q2 of 2001 etc. Surprisingly the eps reported in Q2 =
of 2002=20
was highest at $1.48 up from $1.32 in Q1 of 2002. Does this imply =
there=20
may be a re-statement in the works as day of reckoning approaches =
for CEO=20
and CFO?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3D2>CCR is believed to be a sub-prime lender. Does =
this mean=20
difficulty as the slow economy persists and consumers start to run =
out of=20
cash?</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
<DIV=20
style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
<A title=3Dkelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com=20
href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@tx.us.neoris.com">Kelly Short</A> =
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
=
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, August =
08, 2002=20
4:50 PM</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] CCR - =
I offer=20
this up for dissection</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2>CCR - Countrywide Cr Inds Inc</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2>EPS growth could be better but are we more forgiving =
over the=20
past 3 qtrs (after all- CCR is positive EPS growth for past 3 =
qtrs which=20
in itself is an accomplishment)? Appears to be coming out of CWH =
formation (all though not as beautiful a formation as the Mona =
Lisa or=20
anything IBD would show us). Thoughts?</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
size=3D2></FONT></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D714244820-08082002>
<TABLE style=3D"WIDTH: 219pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" =
cellSpacing=3D0=20
cellPadding=3D0 width=3D291 border=3D0 x:str>
<COLGROUP>
<COL=20
style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; mso-width-source: userset; =
mso-width-alt: 6363"=20
width=3D174>
<COL=20
style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt; mso-width-source: userset; =
mso-width-alt: 1938"=20
width=3D53>
<COL style=3D"WIDTH: 48pt" width=3D64>
<TBODY>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl28 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: 12.75pt" =
width=3D174=20
height=3D17>IBD Ratings</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53></TD>
<TD style=3D"WIDTH: 48pt" width=3D64></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Smart Select</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>99</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>EPS Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>94</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>RPS</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>89</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Industry Group =
Rank</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27>A</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>S+P M+ROE</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27>A</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>A/D</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27>A+</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Technical =
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>98</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Fundamental =
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>96</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Attractiveness =
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>99</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group's Technical =
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>79</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group's =
Fundamental=20
Rating</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>86</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl28 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt; mso-ignore: =
colspan"=20
colSpan=3D2 height=3D17>Rank within Industry Group</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Industry Rank =
(08/08/02)</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>32</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Overall</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>100</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Technical</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>100</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Fundamental</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>91</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Attriveness</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>100</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Top 5 Companies =
w/in=20
Group</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 80px; =
POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG=20
height=3D1 src=3D"cid:390061613@11082002-13B4" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1050 _x0000_s1055"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: =
12.75pt" width=3D174=20
=
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>CCR</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 1; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; =
WIDTH: 80px; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG =
height=3D1 src=3D"cid:390061613@11082002-13BB" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1051 _x0000_s1056"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: =
12.75pt" width=3D174=20
=
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>DORL</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 2; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; =
WIDTH: 80px; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG =
height=3D1 src=3D"cid:390061613@11082002-13C2" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1052 _x0000_s1057"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: =
12.75pt" width=3D174=20
=
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>NCEN</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 3; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; =
WIDTH: 80px; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG =
height=3D1 src=3D"cid:390061613@11082002-13C9" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1053 _x0000_s1058"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: =
12.75pt" width=3D174=20
=
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>NDE</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" vAlign=3Dtop align=3Dleft =
height=3D17><SPAN=20
style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 0px; Z-INDEX: 4; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; =
WIDTH: 80px; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 1px; mso-ignore: vglayout"><IMG =
height=3D1 src=3D"cid:390061613@11082002-13D0" width=3D80=20
v:shapes=3D"_x0000_s1054 _x0000_s1061"></SPAN><SPAN=20
style=3D"mso-ignore: vglayout2">=20
<TABLE cellSpacing=3D0 cellPadding=3D0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD class=3Dxl31 style=3D"WIDTH: 131pt; HEIGHT: =
12.75pt" width=3D174=20
=
height=3D17> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></TD>
<TD>FRE</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group =
% Chg to=20
Date</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"00.02">2%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group =
% Chg Last=20
12 mths</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"00.04">4%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Group =
% Chg Last=20
4 weeks</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"00.04">4%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl24 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD class=3Dxl28 style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" =
height=3D17>Performance</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Up/Down Vol</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27 x:num>1.3</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>3 Yr. EPS =
Growth</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"00.16">16%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>3 Yr. Sales =
Growth</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl29 x:num=3D"0.25">25%</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>EPS Growth =
(Quarterly)</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27>% Chg</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 15pt" height=3D20>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 15pt" height=3D20>Qtr -1</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.64">$0.64</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"4.6875E-2"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B42-B43)/B42">5%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -2</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.61">$0.61</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright =
x:num=3D"8.1967213114753995E-2"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B43-B44)/B43">8%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -3</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.56">$0.56</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright =
x:num=3D"5.3571428571428617E-2"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B44-B45)/B44">5%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -4</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.53">$0.53</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright =
x:num=3D"7.5471698113207614E-2"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B45-B46)/B45">8%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -5</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.49">$0.49</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright x:num=3D"0"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B46-B47)/B46">0%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -6</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl30 x:num=3D"00.49">$0.49</TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17></TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Revenue =
Growth</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl27></TD>
<TD></TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -1</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"293159">293,159</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright =
x:num=3D"2.5105829942113324E-2"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B50-B51)/B50">3%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -2</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"285799">285,799</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright =
x:num=3D"9.0973026497643446E-3"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B51-B52)/B51">1%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -3</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"283199">283,199</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright =
x:num=3D"6.592537403027553E-3"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B52-B53)/B52">1%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -4</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"281332">281,332</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright =
x:num=3D"3.0113886795672017E-2"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B53-B54)/B53">3%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -5</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"272860">272,860</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl26 align=3Dright =
x:num=3D"1.3596716264751155E-3"=20
x:fmla=3D"=3D(B54-B55)/B54">0%</TD></TR>
<TR style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>
<TD style=3D"HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=3D17>Qtr -6</TD>
<TD class=3Dxl25 style=3D"WIDTH: 40pt" width=3D53=20
x:num=3D"272489">272,489</TD>
<TD></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></SPAN></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE>
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