Re: [CANSLIM] Case Study


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Case Study
Date: Sun, 18 Aug 2002 14:13:23 -0500

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Tom,

Take another look. The charges as outlined in the SEC filing also speak =
to criminal/civil charges. This is distinct from any SEC investigation.

Katherine
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Tom Worley=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Sunday, August 18, 2002 1:56 PM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Case Study


  I completely agree, Katherine, Due Diligence should always be a =
necessary part of evaluating a stock prior to entry. On the other hand, =
the SEC filings for 10Q and 10K must also spell out every possible =
hazard and risk, much like a prospectus for an offering. What is not =
mentioned here is that the SEC already investigated its financials, and =
in April closed the investigation recommending no action.=20

  So while there does appear to be a lot of smoke here, don't know if =
there is a real fire. I think the confused chart shows that investors =
don't know either, which is reason enough to stay away.

  In past filings, they indicated that it was their subsidiary Liberty =
Medical Supply, located in Florida and targeting senior citizens with =
diabetes, as the subject of the investigation. Don't know if it expanded =
to the entire Polymedica corp now.

  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Katherine Malm=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Sunday, August 18, 2002 12:12 PM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] Case Study


  Hi All,

  Just thought I'd pass on a recent example that demonstrates the =
following points:

  (1) Fundamental screening based on past performance doesn't always =
"tell the tale"
  (2) Technicals always lead to the downside
  (3) It pays to perform due diligence
  (4) Never be tempted to enter a stock while it is still basing

  Here are the stats aside from the technical condition:
  EPS =3D 92, SMR =3D A, EPS Growth rate (historical) =3D 61%, Composite =
rating =3D 82, ROE =3D 21%, Debt =3D 0%.

  Sounds good, doesn't it? Now, take a look at a chart of PLMD.

  When you're finished, read this passage excerpted from their 10Q filed =
this week:
  Item 13 Under "Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" =
(Highlighting is mine)=20

  . ... The regulations that govern Medicare reimbursement are complex =
and our compliance with those regulations may be reviewed by federal =
agencies, including the Department of Health and Human Services, the =
Department of Justice ("DOJ"), and the Food and Drug Administration =
("FDA"). The U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of =
Florida, with the assistance of the Federal Bureau of Investigation =
("FBI") and Department of Health & Human Services' Office of Inspector =
General ("OIG"), is investigating allegations of healthcare fraud, =
improper revenue recognition and obstruction of justice by PolyMedica. =
Both civil and criminal investigations are being conducted. We are =
cooperating with the investigations. We cannot accurately predict the =
outcome of these proceedings at this time, and have therefore not =
recorded any charges relating to their outcome.=20

  We and three individuals who are or were officers are defendants in a =
lawsuit alleging violations of certain sections and rules of the =
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act"). In addition, there =
is a derivative action against the directors and two individuals who are =
or were officers in Massachusetts state court alleging certain breaches =
of fiduciary duty. We, the named individuals, and the Board of Directors =
believe that we have meritorious defenses to the claims made against us =
in the actions in which we are defendants and intend to contest the =
claims vigorously. Although we do not consider an unfavorable outcome to =
the various claims probable, we cannot accurately predict their ultimate =
disposition, and have therefore not recorded any charges related to =
their outcome. An unfavorable outcome could have a material effect on =
our financial position and results of operations. Please see Item 1 of =
Part II, Legal Proceedings, for a more complete description of these =
claims.=20

  If any of these investigations results in a determination that we have =
failed to comply with the regulations governing Medicare reimbursement =
or financial reporting or have otherwise committed healthcare fraud or =
securities law violations, we could be subject to delays or loss of =
reimbursement, substantial fines or penalties, and other sanctions. An =
adverse determination could have a material effect on our financial =
position and results of operations.=20

  (ref: =
http://www.edgar-online.com/bin/edgardoc/finSys_main.asp?dcn=3D0000950135=
- -02-003770)=20

  Add to that a sudden resignation of their CEO at the beginning of the =
month.=20

  --Katherine


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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV>Tom,</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Take another look. The charges as outlined in the SEC filing also =
speak to=20
criminal/civil charges. This is distinct from any SEC =
investigation.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Katherine</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dstkguru@bellsouth.net =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">Tom=20
  Worley</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, August 18, 2002 =
1:56=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] Case =
Study</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I completely agree, Katherine, Due Diligence =
should=20
  always be a necessary part of evaluating a stock prior to entry. On =
the other=20
  hand, the SEC filings for 10Q and 10K must also spell out every =
possible=20
  hazard and risk, much like a prospectus for an offering. What is not =
mentioned=20
  here is that the SEC already investigated its financials, and in April =
closed=20
  the investigation recommending no action. </FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>So while there does appear to be a lot of =
smoke here,=20
  don't know if there is a real fire. I think the confused chart shows =
that=20
  investors don't know either, which is reason enough to stay =
away.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>In past filings, they indicated that it was =
their=20
  subsidiary Liberty Medical Supply, located in Florida and targeting =
senior=20
  citizens with diabetes, as the subject of the investigation. Don't =
know if it=20
  expanded to the entire Polymedica corp now.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
  <DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
  title=3Dkmalm@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:kmalm@earthlink.net">Katherine Malm</A>=20
  </DIV>
  <DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, August 18, 2002 12:12 PM</DIV>
  <DIV><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] Case Study</DIV></DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV>Hi All,</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Just thought I'd pass on a recent example that demonstrates the =
following=20
  points:</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>(1) Fundamental screening based on past performance doesn't =
always "tell=20
  the tale"</DIV>
  <DIV>(2) Technicals always lead to the downside</DIV>
  <DIV>(3) It pays to perform due diligence</DIV>
  <DIV>(4) Never be tempted to enter a stock while it is still =
basing</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Here are the stats aside from the technical condition:</DIV>
  <DIV>EPS =3D 92, SMR =3D A, EPS Growth rate (historical) =3D 61%, =
Composite rating =3D=20
  82, ROE =3D 21%, Debt =3D 0%.</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Sounds good, doesn't it? Now, take a look at a chart of =
PLMD.</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>When you're finished, read this passage excerpted from their 10Q =
filed=20
  this week:</DIV>
  <DIV>
  <P>Item 13 Under "Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements" =
(Highlighting is=20
  mine)=20
  <P>.&nbsp;... The regulations that govern Medicare reimbursement are =
complex=20
  and our compliance with those regulations may be reviewed by federal =
agencies,=20
  including the Department of Health and Human Services, the Department =
of=20
  Justice ("DOJ"), and the Food and Drug Administration ("FDA"). The =
U.S.=20
  Attorney's Office for the Southern District of Florida, with the =
assistance of=20
  the Federal Bureau of Investigation ("FBI") and Department of Health =
&amp;=20
  Human Services' Office of Inspector General ("OIG"), <EM><FONT=20
  color=3D#0000ff>is investigating allegations of healthcare fraud, =
improper=20
  revenue recognition and obstruction of justice by PolyMedica. Both =
civil and=20
  criminal investigations are being conducted.</FONT></EM> We are =
cooperating=20
  with the investigations. We cannot accurately predict the outcome of =
these=20
  proceedings at this time, and have therefore not recorded any charges =
relating=20
  to their outcome.=20
  <P><EM><FONT color=3D#0000ff>We and three individuals who are or were =
officers=20
  are defendants in a lawsuit alleging violations of certain sections =
and rules=20
  of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act"). In =
addition,=20
  there is a derivative action against the directors and two individuals =
who are=20
  or were officers in Massachusetts state court alleging certain =
breaches of=20
  fiduciary duty</FONT></EM>. We, the named individuals, and the Board =
of=20
  Directors believe that we have meritorious defenses to the claims made =
against=20
  us in the actions in which we are defendants and intend to contest the =
claims=20
  vigorously. Although we do not consider an unfavorable outcome to the =
various=20
  claims probable, we cannot accurately predict their ultimate =
disposition, and=20
  have therefore not recorded any charges related to their outcome. An=20
  unfavorable outcome could have a material effect on our financial =
position and=20
  results of operations. Please see Item 1 of Part II, Legal =
Proceedings, for a=20
  more complete description of these claims.=20
  <P><EM><FONT color=3D#0000ff>If any of these investigations results in =
a=20
  determination that we have failed to comply with the regulations =
governing=20
  Medicare reimbursement or financial reporting or have otherwise =
committed=20
  healthcare fraud or securities law violations, we could be subject to =
delays=20
  or loss of reimbursement, substantial fines or penalties, and other =
sanctions.=20
  An adverse determination could have a material effect on our financial =

  position and results of operations. </FONT></EM>
  <P><EM><FONT color=3D#0000ff>(ref: <A=20
  =
href=3D"http://www.edgar-online.com/bin/edgardoc/finSys_main.asp?dcn=3D00=
00950135-02-003770">http://www.edgar-online.com/bin/edgardoc/finSys_main.=
asp?dcn=3D0000950135-02-003770</A>)</FONT></EM>=20

  <P>Add to that a sudden resignation of their CEO at the beginning of =
the=20
  month.=20
  <P>--Katherine</P></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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