Re: Volatility (was [CANSLIM] CSTR)


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: Re: Volatility (was [CANSLIM] CSTR)
Date: Tue, 27 Aug 2002 11:08:39 -0500

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Just in case it comes up....here's a description of the ATR:
http://stockcharts.com/education/What/IndicatorAnalysis/indic_ATR.html

Katherine

- ----- Original Message -----
From: "Norman" <theboyd@tisd.net>
To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
Sent: Tuesday, August 27, 2002 10:54 AM
Subject: Re: Volatility (was [CANSLIM] CSTR)


| Ed,
|
| Is this "daily range" analysis the same as ATR (avg true range) analysis?
|
| Before someone says this OT, it goes to the volatility that WON talks
about
| so often.
|
| Norm
| ----- Original Message -----
| From: "Edward W. Gjertsen II" <ed@macktracks.com>
| To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
| Sent: Tuesday, August 27, 2002 10:45 AM
| Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] CSTR
|
|
| > Michael,
| >
| > With the PE on CSTR in the mid 70's, there is risk.  Even though WON
| > doesn't really pay attention to PE, many do.  Second, this is not the
| > first time CSTR has fallen so quickly.  One additional analysis we
| > perform is to review charts form mini implosions.  There have been many
| > stocks we have passed over due to a volatile trading history.  Stocks
| > that have recent (6 months) daily ranges of greater than 10% carry
| > additional risks for Canslimers.
| >
| > Ed Gjertsen II
| > ed@macktracks.com
| >
| > -----Original Message-----
| > From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
| > [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of
| > michael_niemotka@baxter.com
| > Sent: Tuesday, August 27, 2002 10:22 AM
| > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
| > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] CSTR
| >
| >
| > I appreciate all the advice that I have gotten.  It is when stuff like
| > this
| > happens that makes me question a trading "method".  I'm sure if CSTR
| > stays
| > down, it will only be a matter of time before I see and IBD write up
| > using
| > their famous 20-20 hindsight to show why it was destined to fall.  Does
| > anyone else see anything in the price volume action that would lead them
| > to
| > believe that this was going to happen, or is it the M that is still not
| > strong enough?
| >
| > Okay, now I feel a bit better after venting.  Thank you all!
| >
| >
| > Mike Niemotka , PE
| > Sr. Principal Engineer
| > Baxter Healthcare Corporation
| > Route 120 & Wilson Road
| > Round Lake, IL 60073
| > Tel (847) 270-4075
| > Fax (847) 270-4525
| > michael_niemotka@baxter.com
| >
| >
| >
| >
| >                     "Edward W. Gjertsen
| >
| >                     II"                           To:
| > canslim@lists.xmission.com
| >                     <ed@macktracks.com>           cc:
| >
| >                     Sent by:                      Subject:     RE:
| > [CANSLIM] CSTR
| >                     owner-canslim@lists.xm
| >
| >                     ission.com
| >
| >
| >
| >
| >
| >                     08/27/2002 10:09 AM
| >
| >                     Please respond to
| >
| >                     canslim
| >
| >
| >
| >
| >
| >
| >
| >
| >
| > Dear Mike
| >
| > CSTR was a favorite of many Canslimers - with the problems we faced with
| > buying CVH recently (too many chasing too few) we are seeing similar
| > results, which unfortunately are on the downside.  You mentioned that
| > you got into the office late.  Remember - there are people who do this
| > for a living with millions at stake.  A slight smell of weakness and
| > they may sell some of their position to take some risk off the table -
| > selling begets selling and before you know it CSTR is down over 20%.  We
| > have been in this situation several times before - and sold quickly -
| > and yes much to our chagrin - some stocks came roaring back - but in
| > other cases the stock kept declining.  Throw out your ego - sell - and
| > if CSTR sets up again look at buying it.  I don't want to get too deep
| > into wash sale rules, but you can't take and loss on CSTR if you buy it
| > back within 30 days.  Good luck
| >
| > Ed Gjertsen II
| > ed@macktracks.com
| >
| > -----Original Message-----
| > From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
| > [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of
| > michael_niemotka@baxter.com
| > Sent: Tuesday, August 27, 2002 9:25 AM
| > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
| > Subject: [CANSLIM] CSTR
| >
| > Does anyone know what is going on with this stock?  Got in late to the
| > office today and it is down 18%!!!
| >
| > I know we are supposed to sell at 7-8%, but now do I sell anyway, or
| > wait
| > it out to see if the day may turn a bit?
| >
| > Thanks
| >
| > Mike Niemotka , PE
| > Sr. Principal Engineer
| > Baxter Healthcare Corporation
| > Route 120 & Wilson Road
| > Round Lake, IL 60073
| > Tel (847) 270-4075
| > Fax (847) 270-4525
| > michael_niemotka@baxter.com
| >
| >
| >
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Next Article (by Author): Re: [CANSLIM] CSTR "Katherine Malm"
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