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Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Ernie's Forecasts
Date: Fri, 30 Aug 2002 08:08:13 -0400 (EDT)
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> THIS IS A MESSAGE IN 'MIME' FORMAT. Your mail reader does not support MIME. > Some parts of this will be readable as plain text. > To see the rest, you will need to upgrade your mail reader. - --PART.BOUNDARY.2960.10249.n281.1030709293.2256 Content-Type: text/plain Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-ID: <2960_10249_1030709293_246@n281> even more examples of Fibonacci: bottom of a pine cone (each direction is a Fibonacci number), architecture (Parthenon's columns use Fibonacci proportions), or my personal favorite: music (Beethoven's 5th, Dvorak, etc)... Regarding why it works in the financial markets, check out the S&P from 5/01-12/01. 61.8% almost to the dollar. Think anyone on the street was watching that?... - ----- Original Message ----- From: Mike Gibbons <canslim@lists.xmission.com> At: 8/29 18:06 > Hi Norm, > > My information came from quotetracker as follows: > > > > As for my hypothesis about DNA and fibonacci numbers: DNA transmits the code by > which every organsim develops. So the "shape" of a > plant for example is determined by its DNA. I recall (although its been a long > time ) that fibonacci numbers are found, for example, > in the number of leaves on a fern frond. In other words, that fibonacci pattern > must have been encoded in the DNA in some way. > Presumanbly, also, ferns with that DNA pattern were "fitter" for survival than > ferns that didn't have fibonacci numbers encoded in > their DNA. Now we are definitely off topic, but I enjoy a little intellectual > diversion sometimes. > > Aloha, > > Mike Gibbons > Proactive Technologies, LLC > http://www.proactech.com > > > -----Original Message----- > From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com > [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Norman > Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002 11:14 AM > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com > Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Ernie's Forecasts > > > Hi Maui Mike, > > OK, on topic and out of the shadows<G> The investors.com chart shows a low > of 911.06. I know that sometimes there are trades that confound the > charting sites, so where can I get the same info you have? > > As for encoding Fib lines in DNA; that's a little far fetched even for this > Trekker to consider<G> My ecology understanding dictates that genes survive > by increasing the reproductive success of the species. Now I can think > "outside of the box" as good as the next scientist, but this one doesn't > seem to be in the same room with the box<g> Looks like an observation has > been made, now you have postulated a theory, who's gonna test it<G> > > Elliot wave theory is 'nother story and one that I don't have enuf knowledge > to address at this time. > > There, now *that's* OT! > > Norm > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Gibbons" <mikegibbons@proactech.com> > To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com> > Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002 4:01 PM > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Ernie's Forecasts > > > > Norm and kelly, > > > > I don't want to be picky, but the S&P 500 sank to below 905 at about > 10:00. > > It then rose and fell again with a turn later in the day at 911. So the > turn > > was actually lower than Ernie predicted. > > > > That said, I do agree that Ernie's forecasts since I've been following > them > > have certainly been on the money and within what I would consider > > "experimental error". > > > > However, I have the same kind of feeling about Elliot Wave Theory as > > Einstein had about the uncertainty principal - without a rational > > explanation for why it works (if it does reliably), its hard to believe in > > it. > > > > I can understand fibonacci numbers recurring frequently in nature because > > they could be somehow encoded in DNA, but I have a hard time seeing how > they > > could apply to the stock market. But then again, I haven't put any time > into > > trying to understand the causal connection and my comments are based > largely > > on ignorance. If any member of the group can explain a possible causal > > relationship, I would find that helpful. > > > > Also, why is this off topic? Understanding M is fundamental to CANSLIM > > because 75% of stocks go with the flow. > > > > Aloha, > > > > Mike Gibbons > > Proactive Technologies, LLC > > http://www.proactech.com > > > > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com > > [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Kelly Short > > Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002 10:36 AM > > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com > > Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Ernie's Forecasts > > > > > > Norm, > > > > I was commenting at lunch at perfectly he called it today and yesterday. > > Almost to the hour. I wonder if he tracks the success of his predictions. > > > > Kelly > > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: Norman [mailto:theboyd@tisd.net] > > Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002 3:27 PM > > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com > > Subject: [CANSLIM] Ernie's Forecasts > > > > > > All, > > > > I know it's a little (OK a lot<G>) off topic, but is interesting. For > those > > of you who subscribed to Ernie's S&P 500 forecasts, did you notice he has > > apparently called this one perfectly. He predicted a turn window or > > 910-913. Today it turned at 911.06. For now, his crystal ball is > working. > > For those of you who are not subscribed I copied last nights forecast > below. > > > > Norm > > > > > > Once again today could be the bottom, as we came within a whisker of the > > 910-913 target range, and both of my short term cycle indicators are > > suggesting that a turn is imminent. While the next target level of 876-884 > > is still a possibility, at this point I would have to say that it is not > > very likely that we will go that low. > > > > > > > > The 910-913 range has emerged as the high probability target for the > > termination of this short term down move. The most likely scenario for > > tomorrow would be a move slightly lower into the target range or just > below > > before the market terminates the move, and begins to go higher. The second > > most likely scenario is that the market will open higher and continue to > > move higher from there. And the third most likely scenario would be a > > continuation of the down move possibly as low as 900, with an intra-day > > reversal featuring a closing price above at least 911. Each of these > > scenarios involves the 910-913 target range. > > > > > > > > Despite the high probability that we are about to make a turn and not > likely > > to go much lower, until we see the turn confirmation signal this market > > could still reach the lower target range > > > > > > > > E > > > > > > > > - > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" > > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or > > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. > > > > > ____________________________________________________________________________ > > For your protection, this e-mail message has been scanned for viruses. > > Visit us at http://www.neoris.com/ > > > > - > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" > > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or > > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. > > > > > > - > > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" > > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or > > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. > > > > > > > - > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - --PART.BOUNDARY.2960.10249.n281.1030709293.2256 Content-Type: application/octet-stream; name="64678387.htm" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: ATTACHMENT; filename="64678387.htm" Content-ID: <2960_10249_1030709293_247@n281> <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> <HTML><HEAD><TITLE></TITLE> <META http-equiv=Content-Type content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1"> <META content="MSHTML 6.00.2719.2200" name=GENERATOR></HEAD> <BODY> <P><FONT size=2><FONT face=Tahoma>Hi Norm,<BR><BR>My information came from quotetracker as follows:<BR><BR><IMG alt="" hspace=0 src="cid:200275921@29082002-0353" align=baseline border=0></FONT></FONT></P> <DIV><FONT size=2><FONT face=Tahoma><FONT color=#000080>As for my hypothesis about DNA and fibonacci numbers: DNA transmits the code by which every organsim develops. So the "shape" of a plant for example is determined by its DNA. I recall (although its been a long time ) that fibonacci numbers are found, for example, in the number of leaves on a fern frond. In other words, that fibonacci pattern must have been encoded in the DNA in some way. Presumanbly, also, ferns with that DNA pattern were "fitter" for survival than ferns that didn't have fibonacci numbers encoded in their DNA. Now we are definitely off topic, but I enjoy a little intellectual diversion sometimes.</FONT></FONT></FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=Tahoma color=#000080 size=2></FONT><FONT size=2><FONT face=Tahoma><BR>Aloha,<BR><BR>Mike Gibbons<BR>Proactive Technologies, LLC<BR></FONT><A href="http://www.proactech.com" target=_blank><FONT face=Tahoma>http://www.proactech.com</FONT></A><BR><BR><BR><FONT face=Tahoma>-----Original Message-----<BR>From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR>[</FONT><A href="mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com"><FONT face=Tahoma>mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com</FONT></A><FONT face=Tahoma>]On Behalf Of Norman<BR>Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002 11:14 AM<BR>To: canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR>Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Ernie's Forecasts<BR><BR><BR>Hi Maui Mike,<BR><BR>OK, on topic and out of the shadows<G> The investors.com chart shows a low<BR>of 911.06. I know that sometimes there are trades that confound the<BR>charting sites, so where can I get the same info you have?<BR><BR>As for encoding Fib lines in DNA; that's a little far fetched even for this<BR>Trekker to consider<G> My ecology understanding dictates that genes survive<BR>by increasing the reproductive success of the species. Now I can think<BR>"outside of the box" as good as the next scientist, but this one doesn't<BR>seem to be in the same room with the box<g> Looks like an observation has<BR>been made, now you have postulated a theory, who's gonna test it<G><BR><BR>Elliot wave theory is 'nother story and one that I don't have enuf knowledge<BR>to address at this time.<BR><BR>There, now *that's* OT!<BR><BR>Norm<BR>----- Original Message -----<BR>From: "Mike Gibbons" <mikegibbons@proactech.com><BR>To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com><BR>Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002 4:01 PM<BR>Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Ernie's Forecasts<BR><BR><BR>> Norm and kelly,<BR>><BR>> I don't want to be picky, but the S&P 500 sank to below 905 at about<BR>10:00.<BR>> It then rose and fell again with a turn later in the day at 911. So the<BR>turn<BR>> was actually lower than Ernie predicted.<BR>><BR>> That said, I do agree that Ernie's forecasts since I've been following<BR>them<BR>> have certainly been on the money and within what I would consider<BR>> "experimental error".<BR>><BR>> However, I have the same kind of feeling about Elliot Wave Theory as<BR>> Einstein had about the uncertainty principal - without a rational<BR>> explanation for why it works (if it does reliably), its hard to believe in<BR>> it.<BR>><BR>> I can understand fibonacci numbers recurring frequently in nature because<BR>> they could be somehow encoded in DNA, but I have a hard time seeing how<BR>they<BR>> could apply to the stock market. But then again, I haven't put any time<BR>into<BR>> trying to understand the causal connection and my comments are based<BR>largely<BR>> on ignorance. If any member of the group can explain a possible causal<BR>> relationship, I would find that helpful.<BR>><BR>> Also, why is this off topic? Understanding M is fundamental to CANSLIM<BR>> because 75% of stocks go with the flow.<BR>><BR>> Aloha,<BR>><BR>> Mike Gibbons<BR>> Proactive Technologies, LLC<BR>> </FONT><A href="http://www.proactech.com" target=_blank><FONT face=Tahoma>http://www.proactech.com</FONT></A><BR><FONT face=Tahoma>><BR>><BR>> -----Original Message-----<BR>> From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR>> [</FONT><A href="mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com"><FONT face=Tahoma>mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com</FONT></A><FONT face=Tahoma>]On Behalf Of Kelly Short<BR>> Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002 10:36 AM<BR>> To: canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR>> Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Ernie's Forecasts<BR>><BR>><BR>> Norm,<BR>><BR>> I was commenting at lunch at perfectly he called it today and yesterday.<BR>> Almost to the hour. I wonder if he tracks the success of his predictions.<BR>><BR>> Kelly<BR>><BR>> -----Original Message-----<BR>> From: Norman [</FONT><A href="mailto:theboyd@tisd.net"><FONT face=Tahoma>mailto:theboyd@tisd.net</FONT></A><FONT face=Tahoma>]<BR>> Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002 3:27 PM<BR>> To: canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR>> Subject: [CANSLIM] Ernie's Forecasts<BR>><BR>><BR>> All,<BR>><BR>> I know it's a little (OK a lot<G>) off topic, but is interesting. For<BR>those<BR>> of you who subscribed to Ernie's S&P 500 forecasts, did you notice he has<BR>> apparently called this one perfectly. He predicted a turn window or<BR>> 910-913. Today it turned at 911.06. For now, his crystal ball is<BR>working.<BR>> For those of you who are not subscribed I copied last nights forecast<BR>below.<BR>><BR>> Norm<BR>><BR>><BR>> Once again today could be the bottom, as we came within a whisker of the<BR>> 910-913 target range, and both of my short term cycle indicators are<BR>> suggesting that a turn is imminent. While the next target level of 876-884<BR>> is still a possibility, at this point I would have to say that it is not<BR>> very likely that we will go that low.<BR>><BR>><BR>><BR>> The 910-913 range has emerged as the high probability target for the<BR>> termination of this short term down move. The most likely scenario for<BR>> tomorrow would be a move slightly lower into the target range or just<BR>below<BR>> before the market terminates the move, and begins to go higher. The second<BR>> most likely scenario is that the market will open higher and continue to<BR>> move higher from there. And the third most likely scenario would be a<BR>> continuation of the down move possibly as low as 900, with an intra-day<BR>> reversal featuring a closing price above at least 911. Each of these<BR>> scenarios involves the 910-913 target range.<BR>><BR>><BR>><BR>> Despite the high probability that we are about to make a turn and not<BR>likely<BR>> to go much lower, until we see the turn confirmation signal this market<BR>> could still reach the lower target range<BR>><BR>><BR>><BR>> E<BR>><BR>><BR>><BR>> - -<BR>> -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"<BR>> -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>> -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.<BR>><BR>><BR>____________________________________________________________________________<BR>> For your protection, this e-mail message has been scanned for viruses.<BR>> Visit us at </FONT><A href="http://www.neoris.com/" target=_blank><FONT face=Tahoma>http://www.neoris.com/</FONT></A><BR><FONT face=Tahoma>><BR>> - -<BR>> -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"<BR>> -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>> -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.<BR>><BR>><BR>> - -<BR>> -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"<BR>> -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>> -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.<BR>><BR>><BR><BR><BR>-<BR>-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"<BR>-In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.</FONT></FONT><FONT face=Tahoma> </FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML> - --PART.BOUNDARY.2960.10249.n281.1030709293.2256 Content-Type: application/octet-stream; name="spx.gif" Content-Transfer-Encoding: Base64 Content-Disposition: ATTACHMENT; filename="spx.gif" Content-ID: <2960_10249_1030709293_248@n281> R0lGODlhxgFcAdUAAAAAAAB/AAAArwAAcN/f3/8AAAAAUL+/v////wAA7wAAM///AAAA3wAAmQAA IAAAzAAAgAAAZn9/f3BwcAAAEAAAQAAAv39/AAAA////fwAAfwAAmQAAZgAAjwA/AMDPzwD/AL+/ AAC/AL/fvz8/AP4BAgAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACH5BAUUACUALAAAAADGAVwBAAb/QIJw SCwaj8ikcslsOp/QqHRKrVqv2Kx2y+1GAQgCYkwum8/otHrNbrvf8Lh8Tq/b7/i8fs/v++ESYGIH hIWGh4iJiouMjY6PkJGSk5SVlpeYmZqbnJ2en5CBYQigpaanqKmqq6ytrq+ZooMHGrW2t7i5uru8 vb6/wMHCw8TFxsfIycrLzM3Oz9C9hLKktLgA2AHYANHd3t/g4eLj5OW/c9zmwtOC1dci2CABFxck 6er4+fr7/P37CB8CChxIMOA9DXDAvEmXsBa7UYTeaQsgIsSCBST8adzIsaPHjgALihR4MAwTWScZ 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