Re: [CANSLIM] For Tom W.


From: Gene Ricci <genr@swbell.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] For Tom W.
Date: Sun, 08 Sep 2002 21:08:14 -0500

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Thanks Tom, this is from amazon.com ..... I just ordered his book...
Gene


In Conquer the Crash, Robert Prechter explains why he thinks the boom =
times are behind us. Based on his interpretation of the Elliott Wave =
principle (an idea premised on the notion that mass investor psychology =
is what really drives markets), Prechter believes that the U.S. economy =
is about to enter into a deflationary depression that few investors are =
prepared to deal with. In making his case, Prechter assembles an =
impressive array of data that in essence suggests that the bill for the =
last 10 years of market excess is about to come due. The second half of =
the book shows how to avoid becoming "a zombie-eyed victim of the =
depression" and offers advice on protecting one's assets in a =
deflationary environment (cash is king). If there's any good news in the =
future that Prechter sees coming (other than how to avoid it), it's that =
all-out depressions don't last very long. Conquer the Crash should =
appeal to gloom-and-doom investors and to those desperately looking for =
a safe haven from the uncertainties of today's markets. --Harry C. =
Edwards=20

  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Tom Worley=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Sunday, September 08, 2002 8:51 PM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] For Tom W.


  I will take a shot at it, but am sure Katherine and others can do a =
better job.

  Japan currently is suffering a deflationary recession. The deflation =
part of that phrase means prices are falling (opposite of inflation). =
The second part means the economy is shrinking. The key concern for =
investors is that producers cannot raise their prices to improve =
profits, and at the same time the shrinking economy means things are not =
going to get better any time soon.

  A deflationary depression would seem to me to be essentially the same, =
but with the economy in even worse shape (I never did get the hang of =
the difference between recession and depression, other than the latter =
lasts longer and hurts more).

  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Gene Ricci=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Sunday, September 08, 2002 9:46 PM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] For Tom W.


  Tom, can you help me understand deflationary depression?

  Thanks,
  Gene
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<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
<META content=3D"MSHTML 5.50.4916.2300" name=3DGENERATOR>
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</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><SPAN class=3Dserif><FONT face=3DTimes>Thanks Tom, this is from =
amazon.com=20
..... I just ordered his book...</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3Dserif><FONT face=3DTimes>Gene</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3Dserif><FONT face=3DTimes></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3Dserif><FONT face=3DTimes></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3Dserif><FONT face=3DTimes>In <I>Conquer the Crash</I>, =
Robert=20
Prechter explains why he thinks the boom times are behind us. Based on =
his=20
interpretation of the Elliott Wave principle (an idea premised on the =
notion=20
that mass investor psychology is what really drives markets), =
<STRONG><FONT=20
color=3D#0000ff>Prechter believes that the U.S. economy is about to =
enter into a=20
deflationary depression that few investors are prepared to deal with. In =
making=20
his case, Prechter assembles an impressive array of data that in essence =

suggests that the bill for the last 10 years of market excess is about =
to come=20
due.</FONT></STRONG> The second half of the book shows how to avoid =
becoming "a=20
zombie-eyed victim of the depression" and offers advice on protecting =
one's=20
assets in a deflationary environment (cash is king). If there's any good =
news in=20
the future that Prechter sees coming (other than how to avoid it), it's =
that=20
all-out depressions don't last very long. <I>Conquer the Crash</I> =
should appeal=20
to gloom-and-doom investors and to those desperately looking for a safe =
haven=20
from the uncertainties of today's markets. <I>--Harry C. Edwards</I>=20
</FONT></SPAN><BR></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dstkguru@bellsouth.net =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">Tom=20
  Worley</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, September 08, =
2002 8:51=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] For Tom =
W.</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I will take a shot at it, but am sure =
Katherine and=20
  others can do a better job.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Japan currently is suffering a deflationary =
recession.=20
  The&nbsp;deflation part of that phrase means prices are falling =
(opposite of=20
  inflation). The second part means the economy is shrinking. The key =
concern=20
  for investors is that producers cannot raise their prices to improve =
profits,=20
  and at the same time the shrinking economy means things are not going =
to get=20
  better any time soon.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>A deflationary depression would seem to me to =
be=20
  essentially the same, but with the economy in even worse shape (I =
never did=20
  get the hang of the difference between recession and depression, other =
than=20
  the latter lasts longer and hurts more).</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
  <DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
  title=3Dgenr@swbell.net href=3D"mailto:genr@swbell.net">Gene Ricci</A> =
</DIV>
  <DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, September 08, 2002 9:46 PM</DIV>
  <DIV><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] For Tom W.</DIV></DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Tom, can you help me=20
  understand&nbsp;deflationary depression?</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Thanks,</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans =
MS">Gene</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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