RE: [CANSLIM] For Tom W.


From: "Fred Richards" <ffradrich@attbi.com>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] For Tom W.
Date: Sun, 8 Sep 2002 21:01:05 -0500

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Pretty well said.  However, to me a recession is between 6 and 36 months
while a depression might be considered to be  a decade or so.
  -----Original Message-----
  From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Tom Worley
  Sent: Sunday, September 08, 2002 8:51 PM
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] For Tom W.


  I will take a shot at it, but am sure Katherine and others can do a better
job.

  Japan currently is suffering a deflationary recession. The deflation part
of that phrase means prices are falling (opposite of inflation). The second
part means the economy is shrinking. The key concern for investors is that
producers cannot raise their prices to improve profits, and at the same time
the shrinking economy means things are not going to get better any time
soon.

  A deflationary depression would seem to me to be essentially the same, but
with the economy in even worse shape (I never did get the hang of the
difference between recession and depression, other than the latter lasts
longer and hurts more).

  ----- Original Message -----
  From: Gene Ricci
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
  Sent: Sunday, September 08, 2002 9:46 PM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] For Tom W.


  Tom, can you help me understand deflationary depression?

  Thanks,
  Gene

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<DIV><SPAN class=3D620080002-09092002><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff =
size=3D2>Pretty=20
well said.&nbsp; However, to me a recession is between 6 and 36 months =
while a=20
depression might be considered to be&nbsp; a decade or =
so.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT =
face=3DTahoma=20
  size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20
  owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<B>On Behalf Of </B>Tom=20
  Worley<BR><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, September 08, 2002 8:51 =
PM<BR><B>To:</B>=20
  canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] For Tom=20
  W.<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I will take a shot at it, but am sure =
Katherine and=20
  others can do a better job.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Japan currently is suffering a deflationary =
recession.=20
  The&nbsp;deflation part of that phrase means prices are falling =
(opposite of=20
  inflation). The second part means the economy is shrinking. The key =
concern=20
  for investors is that producers cannot raise their prices to improve =
profits,=20
  and at the same time the shrinking economy means things are not going =
to get=20
  better any time soon.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>A deflationary depression would seem to me to =
be=20
  essentially the same, but with the economy in even worse shape (I =
never did=20
  get the hang of the difference between recession and depression, other =
than=20
  the latter lasts longer and hurts more).</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
  <DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
  title=3Dgenr@swbell.net href=3D"mailto:genr@swbell.net">Gene Ricci</A> =
</DIV>
  <DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV><B>Sent:</B> Sunday, September 08, 2002 9:46 PM</DIV>
  <DIV><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] For Tom W.</DIV></DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Tom, can you help me=20
  understand&nbsp;deflationary depression?</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Thanks,</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans =
MS">Gene</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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