Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "inderjit" <inderjit@adelphia.net>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] deflating list <was Worley's Weekend Weeview>
Date: Sat, 16 Nov 2002 22:20:24 -0500
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This canslim list also seems to be deflating at least in numbers over
last few months now. Does this means people are loosing interest or just
scared of threats from the won companies?
- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Tom Worley
Sent: Saturday, November 16, 2002 3:38 PM
To: CANSLIM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
ECONOMICS
While inflation is always a concern, it has not so far been an issue,
allowing the Feds to lower rates to record lows, and keep them there.
Deflation, on the other hand, is a real threat, especially to investors.
Simply put, deflation means demand is so weak that producers are not
able to raise prices. As investors, if corporations cannot raise prices,
it is likely they cannot improve earnings except through cuts in costs
(short term solution) or increase in sales volume (long term, but in a
weak economy likely must be achieved by increasing market share, which
means some competitors must fail). As of September, 40% of all products
and services were priced below levels of a year prior. That, to me, is
deflation, and one of the biggest problems Japan already faces in
climbing out of its economic hole. This chart, from Merrill Lynch based
on govt stats, shows the products most affected.
_____
Retail sales were flat in October after falling 1.3% in September.
Excluding auto sales, the rate was up 0.7%. Expectations were for a drop
of 0.2% overall, and an increase of 0.3% on the core rate.
>>>
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<p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'>This canslim list also seems to be deflating at least =
in
numbers over last few months now. Does this means people are loosing =
interest
or just scared of threats from the won =
companies?<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><font size=3D2 face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D2 =
face=3DTahoma><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma'>-----Original =
Message-----<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>From:</span></b>
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] <b><span
style=3D'font-weight:bold'>On Behalf Of </span></b>Tom Worley<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>Sent:</span></b> =
</span></font><st1:date
Month=3D"11" Day=3D"16" Year=3D"2002"><font size=3D2 face=3DTahoma><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma'>Saturday, November 16, =
2002</span></font></st1:date><font
size=3D2 face=3DTahoma><span =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma'> </span></font><st1:time
Hour=3D"15" Minute=3D"38"><font size=3D2 face=3DTahoma><span =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Tahoma'>3:38 PM</span></font></st1:time><font size=3D2 =
face=3DTahoma><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma'><br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>To:</span></b> CANSLIM<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>Subject:</span></b> [CANSLIM] =
Worley's
Weekend Weeview</span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><strong><b><font =
size=3D3 face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>ECONOMICS</span></font></b><=
/strong><o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>While inflation is always a =
concern,
it has not so far been an issue, allowing the Feds to lower rates to =
record
lows, and keep them there. Deflation, on the other hand, is a real =
threat,
especially to investors. Simply put, deflation means demand is so weak =
that
producers are not able to raise prices. As investors, if corporations =
cannot
raise prices, it is likely they cannot improve earnings except through =
cuts in
costs (short term solution) or increase in sales volume (long term, but =
in a
weak economy likely must be achieved by increasing market share, which =
means
some competitors must fail). As of September, 40% of all products and =
services
were priced below levels of a year prior. That, to me, is deflation, and =
one of
the biggest problems </span></font><st1:country-region><st1:place><font
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-family:Arial'>Japan</span></font></st1:place></st1:country-=
region><font
face=3DArial><span style=3D'font-family:Arial'> already faces in =
climbing out of
its economic hole. This chart, from Merrill Lynch based on govt stats, =
shows
the products most affected.</span></font><o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
<div>
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id=3D"_x0000_i1025" src=3D"cid:image001.gif@01C28DBE.5B918000" =
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<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Retail sales were flat in =
October
after falling 1.3% in September. Excluding auto sales, the rate was up =
0.7%.
Expectations were for a drop of 0.2% overall, and an increase of 0.3% on =
the
core rate.</span></font><o:p></o:p></p>
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