Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Bill King" <wk11@adelphia.net>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] CANSLIM Hunting List Updated 11/22/02
Date: Sun, 24 Nov 2002 22:06:56 -0500
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Hi Katherine, Tom and others,
As a generally non-contributing lurker on this board, but extremely
interested investor, I continue to learn a great deal from you and the other
knowledgeable contributors. I look forward to your monthly Hunting List and
Tom’s weekly list to compare with what I get from my screening.
Thanks,
Bill King
- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Katherine Malm
Sent: Sunday, November 24, 2002 11:49 AM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] CANSLIM Hunting List Updated 11/22/02
Hi All,
I've uploaded the latest CANSLIM Hunting list to:
http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting112202.xls ( a bit slow to
load)
http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting112202.zip ( a zipped
version for download)
*Please note that these spreadsheets were prepared with Excel 2000 for
Windows. If you have older versions of Excel or use a Mac version, you will
not be able to view them properly. If you do not have Excel, see
http://office.microsoft.com/downloads/2000/xlviewer.aspx for a free viewer.
In order to make it to the list, the stock had to have a forward growth rate
of at least 15%, Price at least 6, Avg Daily Vol at least 30K, RS at least
60, no more than 15% below the 50 day SMA, and at or above the 200 day SMA.
This is what I consider to be "bare bones" requirements for CANSLIM quality
stocks. (Note that if you follow stricter CANSLIM guidelines, you can use
the autofilter feature in each column and view only Price>=$12 (or 15) and
AvgVol>=100000.) Other information included is industry name (slightly
different than DGO's names, but close enough!), price, avg vol, and links
to graphs and due diligence sites on the internet. This month I've also
added links to Mike's and (now my!) cwhcharts for each stock which displays
U/D volume, RS Rank, Comparative RS vs. SPX and more. I've also added a
couple of additional columns as an outgrowth of my recent discussion with
Eric J regarding relative outperformance of certain stocks and strength of
potential and current leader stocks. You'll find a column for the RS Line
since the 10/10 market low. If the RS Line (RS compared to S&P500) has been
going up since that date (indicating outperformance relative to the market),
it is indicated with a "+". I've also included a column to show the % off
the 52 week high for those that keep their eye focused on such things. Also
note that there are 4 sheets in the workbook, though this is easy to
overlook. The first sheet has the listed stocks, but others include a list
of stocks dropped from the list, a summary of stocks by sector, and a sheet
with misc. links for free info on the web.
If you'd like to look at last month's hunting list, you will find it at:
http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting101802.xls or
http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting101802.zip
This month there are 476 names, up a whopping 105 names from the list I
posted last month just after the FTD. This month, 125 names fell from the
list, 230 new names came on board and 246 names are repeats. Though rotation
on the list is still fairly severe, the large number of repeats does show
some marked improvement over what I've seen in the last year. It's an
encouraging sign that money seems to continue to flow out of defensive names
such as REITS, Mining and Healthcare (hospitals/HMO's) and into growth areas
such as Healthcare equipment/instruments and Business Sevices. Of particular
note this month is the high representation of media stocks. As a sign of
*economic* strength (though not necessarily market strength), this is very
important. 19 names show on the list and represent both print and broadcast
media. AOL also announced recently that they see a strengthening demand for
advertising. This is an important sign, because media is typically one of
the strong sectors leading out of economic reversionary periods. As the
market is a discounting mechanism, this then bodes well. Other areas with
good representation are telecom (select cellular and equipment companies),
computer services and business services. I don't see it as particularly
troubling that more retailers don't show on the list. The consumer stocks
have dominated over the past 20 (or so) years and I don't think it would be
out of the question there would be a substantial secular shift to capital
goods and other quasi-cyclical sectors in the future. Tech supports many
industries and great growth stocks don't necessarily have to come from
consumer related businesses (though it is true many growth companies do
typically come from innovative retailers.) It's also interesting to me that
Biotech is well represented on this month's list with 14 names. While this
is a high-risk sector, it is encouraging to see institutional money flow to
it. Many believe biotech will be the most important growth industry going
forward. I am also not troubled by the flow of money *out* of homebuilders
and related stocks. Again, the market is a discounting mechanism. That means
that if money is flowing out of this sector, the growth in housing, etc.will
decline. People may not be building new houses at a pace equal to the last
10-15 years in the future, but it's a fallacy to conclude that the consumer
will no longer be healthy and spend money. The laborers and supporting
businesses will shift to other industries as a result in the same way that
they did when the oil industry collapsed in the early '80's. Take a trip to
Houston today and you'll find it a far different city than it was at that
time--still a lot of oil money, but a far more diverse group of businesses
than 20 years ago.
With a follow-through day under our belts, decent (though certainly not
perfect, and still suspect) action in recent breakouts and a list of hunting
candidates composed of less defensive names and more fully populated with
innovative companies, it's an encouraging sign that we may be in for an
intermediate term rally of some consequence. It's still a jungle out
there....be sure to honor all your buy *and* sell rules!!
One last note...I'm aware that there are many who will not use a list stocks
such as this (and rightfully so), but it's always difficult to tell if the
spreadsheet is useful to enough people on the CANSLIM list to continue to
spend the time it takes to prepare each month. As there is no way to monitor
the number of downloads, I'll need some individual feedback to gauge the
value to the list. Tom Worley has often expressed the same sentiment from
time to time given the amount of effort he puts into his weekly Weekend
Weeview, so I am following his lead to get a pulse point.
Happy Hunting,
Katherine
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<div class=3DSection1>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle17><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Hi=
Katherine,
Tom and others,<o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle17><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><!=
[if =
!supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle17><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>As=
a
generally non-contributing lurker on this board, but <u>extremely =
interested</u>
investor, I continue to learn a great deal from you and the other =
knowledgeable
contributors. I look forward to your monthly Hunting List and =
Tom’s weekly list
to compare with what I get from my =
screening.<o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle17><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><!=
[if =
!supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle17><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Th=
anks,<o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle17><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>Bi=
ll King<o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle17><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><!=
[if =
!supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DTahoma><span =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma;color:black'>-----Original
Message-----<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>From:</span></b>
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<b><span
style=3D'font-weight:bold'>On Behalf Of </span></b>Katherine Malm<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>Sent:</span></b> Sunday, November =
24, 2002
11:49 AM<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>To:</span></b> =
canslim@lists.xmission.com<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>Subject:</span></b> [CANSLIM] =
CANSLIM Hunting
List Updated 11/22/02</span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt'><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>Hi =
All,</span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>I've uploaded
the latest CANSLIM Hunting list to:</span></font><font =
color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'><a
href=3D"http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting112202.xls">http:=
//WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting112202.xls</a>
( a bit slow to load)</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'><a
href=3D"http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting112202.zip">http:=
//WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting112202.zip</a> (
a zipped version for download)</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>*Please note
that these spreadsheets were prepared with Excel 2000 for Windows. If =
you have
older versions of Excel or use a Mac version, you will not be able to =
view them
properly. If you do not have Excel, see <a
href=3D"http://office.microsoft.com/downloads/2000/xlviewer.aspx">http://=
office.microsoft.com/downloads/2000/xlviewer.aspx</a> for
a free viewer.</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>In =
order to
make it to the list, the stock had to have a forward growth rate of at =
least
15%, Price at least 6, Avg Daily Vol at least 30K, RS at least 60, no =
more than
15% below the 50 day SMA, and at or above the 200 day SMA. This is what =
I
consider to be "bare bones" requirements for CANSLIM quality =
stocks.
(Note that if you follow stricter CANSLIM guidelines, you can use the
autofilter feature in each column and view only Price>=3D$12 (or 15) =
and
AvgVol>=3D100000.) Other information included is industry name =
(slightly
different than DGO's names, but close enough!), price, avg vol, and =
links
to graphs and due diligence sites on the internet. This month I've also =
added
links to Mike's and (now my!) cwhcharts for each stock which displays =
U/D
volume, RS Rank, Comparative RS vs. SPX and more. I've also added a =
couple of
additional columns as an outgrowth of my recent discussion with Eric J
regarding relative outperformance of certain stocks and strength of =
potential
and current leader stocks. You'll find a column for the RS Line since =
the 10/10
market low. If the RS Line (RS compared to S&P500) has been going up =
since
that date (indicating outperformance relative to the market), it is =
indicated
with a "+". I've also included a column to show the % off the =
52 week
high for those that keep their eye focused on such things. Also note =
that there
are 4 sheets in the workbook, though this is easy to overlook. The first =
sheet
has the listed stocks, but others include a list of stocks dropped from =
the
list, a summary of stocks by sector, and a sheet with misc. links for =
free info
on the web.</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>If =
you'd like
to look at last month's hunting list, you will find it =
at:</span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'><a
href=3D"http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting101802.xls">http:=
//WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting101802.xls</a> or</span><=
/font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'><a
href=3D"http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting101802.zip">http:=
//WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/CANSLIMHunting101802.zip</a></span></font><f=
ont
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>This month
there are 476 names, up a whopping 105 names from the =
list I
posted last month just after the FTD. This month, 125 =
names
fell from the list, 230 new names came on board and 246 names are =
repeats.
Though rotation on the list is still fairly severe, the large number of =
repeats
does show some marked improvement over what I've seen in the last year. =
It's an
encouraging sign that money seems to continue to flow out of defensive =
names
such as REITS, Mining and Healthcare (hospitals/HMO's) and into =
growth
areas such as Healthcare equipment/instruments and Business Sevices. Of =
particular
note this month is the high representation of media stocks. As a sign of
*economic* strength (though not necessarily market strength), this is =
very
important. 19 names show on the list and represent both print and =
broadcast
media. AOL also announced recently that they see a strengthening demand =
for
advertising. This is an important sign, because media is typically one =
of the
strong sectors leading out of economic reversionary periods. As the =
market is a
discounting mechanism, this then bodes well. Other areas with good
representation are telecom (select cellular and equipment companies), =
computer
services and business services. I don't see it as particularly troubling =
that
more retailers don't show on the list. The consumer stocks have =
dominated over
the past 20 (or so) years and I don't think it would be out of the =
question
there would be a substantial secular shift to capital goods and other
quasi-cyclical sectors in the future. Tech supports many industries and =
great
growth stocks don't necessarily have to come from consumer related =
businesses
(though it is true many growth companies do typically come from =
innovative
retailers.) It's also interesting to me that Biotech is well represented =
on
this month's list with 14 names. While this is a high-risk sector, it is
encouraging to see institutional money flow to it. Many believe biotech =
will be
the most important growth industry going forward. I am also not troubled =
by the
flow of money *out* of homebuilders and related stocks. Again, the =
market is a
discounting mechanism. That means that if money is flowing out of this =
sector,
the growth in housing, etc.will decline. People may not be building new =
houses
at a pace equal to the last 10-15 years in the future, but it's a =
fallacy to
conclude that the consumer will no longer be healthy and spend money. =
The
laborers and supporting businesses will shift to other industries as a =
result
in the same way that they did when the oil industry collapsed in the =
early
'80's. Take a trip to Houston today and you'll find it a far different =
city
than it was at that time--still a lot of oil money, but a far more =
diverse
group of businesses than 20 years ago.</span></font><font =
color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>With a
follow-through day under our belts, decent (though certainly not =
perfect,
and still suspect) action in recent breakouts and a list of hunting
candidates composed of less defensive names and more fully populated =
with
innovative companies, it's an encouraging sign that we may be in for an
intermediate term rally of some consequence. It's still a jungle out
there....be sure to honor all your buy *and* sell =
rules!!</span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>One last
note...I'm aware that there are many who will not use a list stocks such =
as
this (and rightfully so), but it's always difficult to tell if the =
spreadsheet
is useful to enough people on the CANSLIM list to continue to spend the =
time it
takes to prepare each month. As there is no way to monitor the number of
downloads, I'll need some individual feedback to gauge the value to the =
list.
Tom Worley has often expressed the same sentiment from time to time =
given the
amount of effort he puts into his weekly Weekend Weeview, so I am =
following his
lead to get a pulse point.</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>Happy
Hunting,</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'>Katherine</span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
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