Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Date: Sun, 1 Dec 2002 00:33:29 -0500
Previous Article (by Author): Re: [CANSLIM] CANSLIM Hunting List Updated 11/22/02 "Tom Worley"
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This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0209_01C298D1.4527D3A0 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_020A_01C298D1.4527D3A0" - ------=_NextPart_001_020A_01C298D1.4527D3A0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable ECONOMICS Despite recent signs of weakness in the housing market, as well as the = uncertainty of a weak economy and a poor employment market, sales of = existing homes surprised the experts who expected a dip, and instead = shot up 6.1% in October to tie the third highest monthly level on = record. With two months to go, this indicator is on track for a full = year record. Home sales, whether of existing or brand new homes, are = doubly significant. They are a meaningful indicator of consumer = sentiment and confidence about the future. And they are also a sizable = measure of future consumer spending, as home buyers traditionally spend = a lot of money fixing up, decorating, and furnishing that new home. Bankruptcy filings continue to set new records, up 7.7% for the 12 = months thru September. For the third quarter, filings rose 11.6%. Nice = steady growth industry. A survey of economists shows that they now expect the 4th Qtr GDP to = only grow by 1.4%. Two months ago, they were predicting 2.7%. And they = scaled down their forecast for Q1 of 2003 from 3.3% to a more anemic = 2.5%. For the full year of 2003, they are forecasting growth of 3%. The = risks to achieving this 3% growth were "retrenchment by consumers", = given higher odds than that of terrorism. The Prez signed the new terrorism insurance bill last week, which may = give a strong boost to the construction industry, insurance industry, = and the employment market. Many major construction projects were being = delayed due the high cost of insurance that would cover acts of = terrorism. Now the insurance industry can write those policies at a more = reasonable cost, and those projects can go forward, hopefully also = creating jobs in the process. In contrast to the sales figures for existing homes, sales of new homes = dropped in October from the record levels of September, down 4.5%, but = still on track for the third best year. Despite the drop, the results = still exceeded expectations. September was also revised up. Univ. of Michigan revised its final consumer sentiment figures for = November, raising it to 84.2, still down from the preliminary figure of = 85.0 as well as expectations of 85.5, but well ahead of the final figure = for October (which hit a 9 year low) of 80.6. Credited as contributing = to the rise was a rebound in the stock market, the Fed's half point rate = cut, and a better job market. This was the first improvement in = sentiment in five months. The future expectations index also rose from = October, but fell short of the preliminary November results. In a = similar report, CNNfn reports that the Conference Board showed almost = identical results as well on both overall consumer sentiment, and future = expectations. =20 Third quarter GDP was revised upward to 4.0% from the original 3.1%. = Expectations were for a revision to 3.8%. Strong car sales were = mentioned as significant, along with improved corporate after tax = profits. Inventory increases by business, govt spending, and the housing = market also contributed. Overall consumer spending was up to 4.1%, a = marked improvement from Q2's 1.8%, with much of that coming from car = sales after all the zero interest car loan incentives. Business spending = on a combined facilities and equipment declined 0.7%, continuing a two = year downward trend. However, business spending on a combo of equipment = and software increased for the second quarter. Durable goods orders rebounded in October, up by 2.8%, led by machinery = and equipment for communications and transport. This offsets part of the = 4.6% drop in September, and also beat forecasts of a 2.0% gain. = Computers and electronic products were up 6.2%, communications equipment = grew faster than any time in nearly six years. NAPM Chicago, often signaling the national trend, rose to 54.3 in = November from 45.9 in October. This was well ahead of expectations of a = rise to 48.5. The employment component rose, while the prices paid = component declined. The Nat'l ISM Index comes out Monday. New jobless claims dropped again, second week in a row and lowest level = in two years, down to 364,000. Expectations were for 382K. The 4 week = moving average fell for the third week in a row, down to 385,750 from = 397K. Of course, this only means fewer workers getting laid off around = Thanksgiving / Christmas. The claims for continuing benefits continued = to rise, up to 3.65 million from 3.56 million. That's another 90K people = that were unemployed at Thanksgiving. Personal income rose 0.1% in October while personal spending rose 0.4% = (see why I said bankruptcy is a growth industry, go EPIQ!!!). The income = gain was expected while spending beat the forecast of a 0.3% growth. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- JAPAN I haven't bashed this second largest economy in a while, as I waited for = the Prime Minister to release substantive plans to resolve the enormous = burden of defaulted loans held by their banks, capital reserves and = acceptable accounting standards, loss reserves for bad loans, deflation, = deficit spending by the govt, falling industrial output, unemployment at = post WW II levels, etc. Well, pretty much everything has been released, = and I am not impressed. Banks will be expected to accelerate disposal of = bad loans, but adhering to international standards of identifying which = loans are "bad", vs which ones the bankers "think" will eventually pay = up is murky. Likewise, the use (as capital reserves) of the expectations = of future tax credits from writing off bad loans continues for another = six months. This alone represents about 40% of most banks reserves = (compared to 10% for US banks, for example), and likely would force many = into insolvency if this accounting gimmick was eliminated. The govt = promises to cut spending next year, while simultaneously adding an extra = spending budget to this year's deficits, and already the largest nat'l = debt of any advanced country. Revenues for the govt were very = optimistic, and the drop in income from tax revenues already puts them = nearly 3 trillion yen behind projections. The plans to reform the banks = were leaked last week, sparking a rebound in their share prices as no = one saw anything particularly painful about the plans, as usual. Any = decision on infusing public funds into banks to rebuild their capital = will take another six months. Banks that fall under govt corrective = measures will have a year (instead of 3) to improve capital reserves. A = new inspection, to assess the true extent of bad loans, is not expected = to be any more diligent than the past several. Probably the most = aggressive change is a requirement that banks use Discounted Cash Flow = (DCF) by the end of the fiscal year in March. This requires that the = bank evaluate how much recoverable cash flow a debtor with a bad loan = can generate in determining necessary bank reserves. Of course, as long = as defaulted loans are still treated as receivable because the banker = "thinks" they will eventually pay off, this is not likely to change = much. And meanwhile, once again, the biggest boost to the Nikkei came = when US economic data suggested that the US economy is continuing to = recover, with the resultant demand for increased Japanese exports. Its = way past time for the world's second largest economy to stop riding on = the back and coattails of the US economy, and take necessary and painful = steps to start contributing to the global economic recovery instead. The = US economy is weak enough without this drag threatening to pull it back = into recession. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- "M" Once again a bullish week for me personally, with my VR Fund up another = 5.6%, and my real money I manage in my spare time up nearly 8%. This = understandably colors my judgment, but I felt this past week, despite = the abbreviated trading on both Wednesday and Friday, helped clarify the = charts of the major indexes. To me, the double bottom scenario remains = dominant. Only the Naz Composite, and the Naz 100 have yet to actually = breech the mid-point of the "W", the R2000 came very close on Wednesday. = The rest of the major indexes are close. If this pattern proves out to = be dominant, it means only a small part of the trend up has been made to = date, and there remains a long leg in this market. And yes, with every = index now over a 20% recovery from the October low, I am becoming = comfortable in considering this to be a new bull market, rather than a = bull rally in a continuing bear market. Only time will tell if this is = indeed correct, but volume lately has been encouraging as we approach = the mid-point pivot of the "W". Meanwhile, global money managers are = increasing the portion of their portfolios in US stocks, mostly at the = expense of their cash position. Europe and Japan are seeing mild cuts in = positions. During late November, fund managers were increasing their US = exposure to 50.9% from 49.5% in October. They were also cutting their = exposure to fixed income, including US Treasuries. Euro zone fund = managers were even more aggressive, raising their US exposure to 54.1% = from 51.0%. German stocks were cut from only 4.1% down to 3.3% after = economic indicators there showed a sixth month of declines. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES=20 This list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It = is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's = "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with = constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from = (and of course doing your own due diligence). I am employed in = Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views = or opinions of my employer. I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, = and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout = scenario. I look at all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, = focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all = industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings forecast = for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no = due diligence, that is your responsibility. I will note any CANSLIM = patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) bottoms, or flat bases = (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also note LLUR = (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely are any of these stocks of interest to me for my = personal investing due size, price or industry group. I will note any = stocks in which I have a current personal financial interest. The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend remains stable, to = slightly declining (I suspect mostly because so many stocks are hitting = new highs and now extended). ASGR - stealth b/o Friday, no volume, didn't break pivot from a B5 ATRS - very young LLUR?? CFFN - c&h CHCO - LLUR, volatile CPWM - c&h CTSH - B4 EBAY - nice cup, possible handle forming at 70 ESPD - high handle b/o on volume, 2nd entry or now failing?? EXPD - c&h FCFS - c&h, in my VR Fund GRMN - nice cup HLTH - cup, double bottom?? IDXC - c&h, in my VR Fund IRM - B2+ JOSB - high handle KSWS - high handle LXK - high handle MBT - handle forming on the cup MNTR - 2nd base forming on the handle? MVL - c&h NXTL - handle continues to form OKSB - c&h SLE - B6 SRT - c&h, or double bottom?? Happy Hunting, Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley - ------=_NextPart_001_020A_01C298D1.4527D3A0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable <!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> <HTML><HEAD> <META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; = charset=3Diso-8859-1"> <META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2800.1126" name=3DGENERATOR> <STYLE></STYLE> </HEAD> <BODY> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>ECONOMICS</STRONG></FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Despite recent signs of weakness in the housing = market, as=20 well as the uncertainty of a weak economy and a poor employment market, = sales of=20 existing homes surprised the experts who expected a dip, and instead = shot up=20 6.1% in October to tie the third highest monthly level on record. With = two=20 months to go, this indicator is on track for a full year record. Home = sales,=20 whether of existing or brand new homes, are doubly significant. They are = a=20 meaningful indicator of consumer sentiment and confidence about the = future. And=20 they are also a sizable measure of future consumer spending, as home = buyers=20 traditionally spend a lot of money fixing up, decorating, and furnishing = that=20 new home.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Bankruptcy filings continue to set new records, = up 7.7%=20 for the 12 months thru September. For the third quarter, filings rose = 11.6%.=20 Nice steady growth industry.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>A survey of economists shows that they now = expect the 4th=20 Qtr GDP to only grow by 1.4%. Two months ago, they were predicting 2.7%. = And=20 they scaled down their forecast for Q1 of 2003 from 3.3% to a more = anemic 2.5%.=20 For the full year of 2003, they are forecasting growth of 3%. The risks = to=20 achieving this 3% growth were "retrenchment by consumers", given higher = odds=20 than that of terrorism.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>The Prez signed the new terrorism insurance bill = last=20 week, which may give a strong boost to the construction industry, = insurance=20 industry, and the employment market. Many major construction projects = were being=20 delayed due the high cost of insurance that would cover acts of = terrorism. Now=20 the insurance industry can write those policies at a more reasonable = cost, and=20 those projects can go forward, hopefully also creating jobs in the=20 process.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>In contrast to the sales figures for existing = homes, sales=20 of new homes dropped in October from the record levels of September, = down 4.5%,=20 but still on track for the third best year. Despite the drop, = the=20 results still exceeded expectations. September was also revised = up.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Univ. of Michigan revised its final consumer = sentiment=20 figures for November, raising it to 84.2, still down from the = preliminary figure=20 of 85.0 as well as expectations of 85.5, but well ahead of the final = figure for=20 October (which hit a 9 year low) of 80.6. Credited as contributing to = the rise=20 was a rebound in the stock market, the Fed's half point rate cut, and a = better=20 job market. This was the first improvement in sentiment in five months. = The=20 future expectations index also rose from October, but fell short of the=20 preliminary November results. In a similar report, CNNfn reports that = the=20 Conference Board showed almost identical results as well on both overall = consumer sentiment, and future expectations. <IMG alt=3D"" = hspace=3D0=20 src=3D"cid:020701c298fb$2df920b0$6501a8c0@TOMSBOX" align=3Dbaseline=20 border=3D0></FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Third quarter GDP was revised upward to 4.0% = from the=20 original 3.1%. Expectations were for a revision to 3.8%. Strong car = sales were=20 mentioned as significant, along with improved corporate after tax = profits.=20 Inventory increases by business, govt spending, and the housing market = also=20 contributed. Overall consumer spending was up to 4.1%, a marked = improvement from=20 Q2's 1.8%, with much of that coming from car sales after all the zero = interest=20 car loan incentives. Business spending on a combined facilities and = equipment=20 declined 0.7%, continuing a two year downward trend. However, business = spending=20 on a combo of equipment and software increased for the second=20 quarter.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Durable goods orders rebounded in October, up by = 2.8%, led=20 by machinery and equipment for communications and transport. This = offsets part=20 of the 4.6% drop in September, and also beat forecasts of a 2.0% gain. = Computers=20 and electronic products were up 6.2%, communications equipment grew = faster than=20 any time in nearly six years.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>NAPM Chicago, often signaling the national = trend, rose to=20 54.3 in November from 45.9 in October. This was well ahead of = expectations of a=20 rise to 48.5. The employment component rose, while the prices paid = component=20 declined. The Nat'l ISM Index comes out Monday.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>New jobless claims dropped again, second week in = a row and=20 lowest level in two years, down to 364,000. Expectations were for 382K. = The 4=20 week moving average fell for the third week in a row, down to 385,750 = from 397K.=20 Of course, this only means fewer workers getting laid off around = Thanksgiving /=20 Christmas. The claims for continuing benefits continued to rise, up to = 3.65=20 million from 3.56 million. That's another 90K people that were = unemployed at=20 Thanksgiving.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Personal income rose 0.1% in October while = personal=20 spending rose 0.4% (see why I said bankruptcy is a growth industry, go = EPIQ!!!).=20 The income gain was expected while spending beat the forecast of a 0.3% = growth. <HR> </FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>JAPAN</STRONG></FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I haven't bashed this second largest economy in = a while,=20 as I waited for the Prime Minister to release substantive plans to = resolve the=20 enormous burden of defaulted loans held by their banks, capital reserves = and=20 acceptable accounting standards, loss reserves for bad loans, deflation, = deficit=20 spending by the govt, falling industrial output, unemployment at post WW = II=20 levels, etc. Well, pretty much everything has been released, and I am = not=20 impressed. Banks will be expected to accelerate disposal of bad loans, = but=20 adhering to international standards of identifying which loans are = "bad", vs=20 which ones the bankers "think" will eventually pay up is murky. = Likewise, the=20 use (as capital reserves) of the expectations of future tax credits from = writing=20 off bad loans continues for another six months. This alone represents=20 about 40% of most banks reserves (compared to 10% for US banks, for = example), and likely would force many into insolvency if this accounting = gimmick=20 was eliminated. The govt promises to cut spending next year, while=20 simultaneously adding an extra spending budget to this year's deficits, = and=20 already the largest nat'l debt of any advanced country. Revenues for the = govt=20 were very optimistic, and the drop in income from tax revenues already = puts them=20 nearly 3 trillion yen behind projections. The plans to reform the banks = were=20 leaked last week, sparking a rebound in their share prices as no one saw = anything particularly painful about the plans, as usual. Any decision on = infusing public funds into banks to rebuild their capital will take = another six=20 months. Banks that fall under govt corrective measures will have a year = (instead=20 of 3) to improve capital reserves. A new inspection, to assess the true = extent=20 of bad loans, is not expected to be any more diligent than the past = several.=20 Probably the most aggressive change is a requirement that banks use = Discounted=20 Cash Flow (DCF) by the end of the fiscal year in March. This requires = that the=20 bank evaluate how much recoverable cash flow a debtor with a bad loan = can=20 generate in determining necessary bank reserves. Of course, as long as = defaulted=20 loans are still treated as receivable because the banker "thinks" they = will=20 eventually pay off, this is not likely to change much. And meanwhile, = once=20 again, the biggest boost to the Nikkei came when US economic data = suggested that=20 the US economy is continuing to recover, with the resultant demand for = increased=20 Japanese exports. Its way past time for the world's second largest = economy to=20 stop riding on the back and coattails of the US economy, and take = necessary and=20 painful steps to start contributing to the global economic recovery = instead. The=20 US economy is weak enough without this drag threatening to pull it back = into=20 recession. <HR> </FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>"M"</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Once again a bullish week for me personally, = with my VR=20 Fund up another 5.6%, and my real money I manage in my spare time up = nearly 8%.=20 This understandably colors my judgment, but I felt this past week, = despite the=20 abbreviated trading on both Wednesday and Friday, helped clarify the = charts of=20 the major indexes. To me, the double bottom scenario remains dominant. = Only the=20 Naz Composite, and the Naz 100 have yet to actually breech the mid-point = of the=20 "W", the R2000 came very close on Wednesday. The rest of the major = indexes are=20 close. If this pattern proves out to be dominant, it means only a small = part of=20 the trend up has been made to date, and there remains a long leg in this = market.=20 And yes, with every index now over a 20% recovery from the October low, = I am=20 becoming comfortable in considering this to be a new bull market, rather = than a=20 bull rally in a continuing bear market. Only time will tell if this is = indeed=20 correct, but volume lately has been encouraging as we approach the = mid-point=20 pivot of the "W". Meanwhile, global money managers are increasing = the=20 portion of their portfolios in US stocks, mostly at the expense of their = cash=20 position. Europe and Japan are seeing mild cuts in positions. During = late=20 November, fund managers were increasing their US exposure to 50.9% from = 49.5% in=20 October. They were also cutting their exposure to fixed income, = including US=20 Treasuries. Euro zone fund managers were even more aggressive, raising = their US=20 exposure to 54.1% from 51.0%. German stocks were cut from only = 4.1% down=20 to 3.3% after economic indicators there showed a sixth month of = declines. <HR> </FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>WORLEY'S WATCHLIST=20 WANNABES</STRONG><FONT face=3D"Times New Roman"> </FONT></DIV> <DIV> <DIV> <DIV> <DIV> <DIV> <DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>This list is in no way intended to recommend any = stocks to=20 the group. It is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health = of=20 CANSLIM's "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some = stocks=20 with constructive chart patterns that may be worth <STRONG><FONT=20 color=3D#ff0000>WATCHING</FONT> and learning from</STRONG> (and of = course doing=20 your own due diligence). <FONT color=3D#0000ff><STRONG><EM>I am employed = in=20 Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly=20 my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views or = opinions of=20 my employer.</EM></STRONG></FONT></FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS = ranking of 80=20 or better, and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition = /=20 buyout scenario. I look at all charts that meet = this general RS/EPS=20 criteria, focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I = consider all=20 industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal=20 investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings = forecast=20 for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. <FONT=20 color=3D#ff0000>I do no due diligence, that is your = responsibility</FONT>. I will=20 note any CANSLIM patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) = bottoms, or=20 flat bases (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also = note LLUR=20 (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely=20 are any of these stocks of interest to me for my personal investing due = size,=20 price or industry group. I will note any stocks in which I have a = current=20 personal financial interest.</FONT></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>The population of stocks I am reviewing this = weekend=20 remains stable, to slightly declining (I suspect mostly because so many = stocks=20 are hitting new highs and now extended).</FONT></DIV> <DIV> </DIV> <DIV>ASGR - stealth b/o Friday, no volume, didn't break pivot from a = B5</DIV> <DIV>ATRS - very young LLUR??</DIV> <DIV>CFFN - c&h</DIV> <DIV>CHCO - LLUR, volatile</DIV> <DIV>CPWM - c&h</DIV> <DIV>CTSH - B4</DIV> <DIV>EBAY - nice cup, possible handle forming at 70</DIV> <DIV>ESPD - high handle b/o on volume, 2nd entry or now failing??</DIV> <DIV>EXPD - c&h</DIV> <DIV>FCFS - c&h, in my VR Fund</DIV> <DIV>GRMN - nice cup</DIV> <DIV>HLTH - cup, double bottom??</DIV> <DIV>IDXC - c&h, in my VR Fund</DIV> <DIV>IRM - B2+</DIV> <DIV>JOSB - high handle</DIV> <DIV>KSWS - high handle</DIV> <DIV>LXK - high handle</DIV> <DIV>MBT - handle forming on the cup</DIV> <DIV>MNTR - 2nd base forming on the handle?</DIV> <DIV>MVL - c&h</DIV> <DIV>NXTL - handle continues to form</DIV> <DIV>OKSB - c&h</DIV> <DIV>SLE - B6</DIV> <DIV>SRT - c&h, or double bottom??</DIV> <DIV> </DIV> <DIV>Happy Hunting,</DIV> <DIV> </DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></FONT></FONT></DIV> <DIV><IMG alt=3D"" hspace=3D0 = src=3D"cid:020801c298fb$2dfb6aa0$6501a8c0@TOMSBOX"=20 align=3Dbaseline border=3D0></DIV> <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Tom Worley<BR></FONT><A=20 href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net"><FONT=20 face=3DArial>stkguru@bellsouth.net</FONT></A><BR><FONT face=3DArial>AIM: = TexWorley</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML> - ------=_NextPart_001_020A_01C298D1.4527D3A0-- - ------=_NextPart_000_0209_01C298D1.4527D3A0 Content-Type: image/gif; name="consumer_confi_chart_nov.gif" Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64 Content-ID: <020701c298fb$2df920b0$6501a8c0@TOMSBOX> R0lGODlh3wAdAcQAAI6Oju7w8Ht7e9Pb2wkJCWyRkdszGz9AP4akoqS7u+N2ddbbtEh2de7uxLu7 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