Re: [CANSLIM] OT - Qwest bond swap


From: "Tom Worley" <stkguru@bellsouth.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] OT - Qwest bond swap
Date: Thu, 26 Dec 2002 18:55:21 -0500

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Hi Nancy,

In this particular case, my interest was peaked by one of the many daily =
emails I get from several different services with market comments (and =
varied perspectives). As I was not real motivated to short it, my =
research did not go further than a review of a number of other news =
articles.

The most authoritative research source for something like this would =
seem to be the SEC site / Edgar, where you would be able to read the =
actual filings and specific details directly from the company to the =
SEC.

- ----- Original Message -----=20
From: NANCY POLCARO=20
To: canslim=20
Sent: Thursday, December 26, 2002 5:32 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] OT - Qwest bond swap


TOM-CAN YOU TELL ME WHERE YOU LOOK FOR INFO LIKE THIS  ALL I CAN EVER =
FIND IS A PRESS RELEASE IT SEEMS.  THANKS NANCY

  ----- Original Message -----
  From: Tom Worley
  Sent: Wednesday, December 25, 2002 5:13 AM
  To: CANSLIM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] OT - Qwest bond swap

  Here are some more details. As I suspected, the cost of servicing the =
new debt will considerably exceed what the old bonds were paying because =
of the drastically higher "junk bond" rates. So total debt goes down, =
but expenses goes up. Also noteworthy that only institutional holders =
were involved, this bond swap could not be "offered" to the public =
because Qwest's financials have not been audited, and in light of the =
ongoing investigations. The FCC, while approving the entry into long =
distance service, also expressed concerns over allegations that Qwest =
bribed competitors into supporting their application by giving them =
secret deals for access to their network, and intends to monitor Qwest =
closely in the future. Several states are also investigating them and =
these deals.

  Again from Yahoo: (formatting and marking is mine)
  "=20
  Holders of about $4 billion of Qwest bonds went to court to challenge =
the exchange offer, which Qwest announced on Nov. 20.=20

  They said Qwest was forcing them to exchange their bonds at a fraction =
of face value -- between 52.5 percent and 82.5 percent, depending on the =
bond -- or else fall lower in the pecking order for repayment in case =
Qwest went broke.=20

  Last week, Judge Denny Chin for the U.S. District Court in Manhattan =
denied a motion to block the exchange, saying the bondholders failed to =
prove "irreparable harm." The bondholders later dropped their complaint. =


  Qwest said holders of $5.2 billion of Qwest Capital Funding Inc. debt =
maturing between 2004 and 2031 exchanged it for $3.3 billion of more =
senior debt issued by Qwest Services Corp. maturing in 2007, 2010 or =
2014.=20

  Qwest had offered to exchange up to $12.9 billion of the old bonds,(so =
not what I would call a successful offering, well under half accepted) =
which carried interest rates between 5.875 percent and 7.9 percent. The =
new debt carries rates between 13 percent and 14 percent."



  Tom Worley
  stkguru@bellsouth.net
  AIM: TexWorley
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<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
<META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2800.1126" name=3DGENERATOR></HEAD>
<BODY=20
style=3D"BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; BORDER-TOP: medium none; FONT: 10pt =
verdana; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none"=20
bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D3>Hi Nancy,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D3></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D3>In this particular case, my interest =
was peaked by=20
one of the many daily emails I get from several different services with =
market=20
comments (and varied perspectives). As I was not real motivated to short =
it, my=20
research did not go further than a review of a number of other news=20
articles.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D3></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D3>The most authoritative research source =
for=20
something like this would seem to be the SEC site / Edgar, where you =
would be=20
able to read the actual filings and specific details directly from the =
company=20
to the SEC.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
<DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A=20
title=3DZILLAGIRL@msn.com href=3D"mailto:ZILLAGIRL@msn.com">NANCY =
POLCARO</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, December 26, 2002 5:32 PM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] OT - Qwest bond swap</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>TOM-CAN YOU TELL ME WHERE YOU LOOK FOR INFO LIKE THIS&nbsp; ALL I =
CAN EVER=20
FIND IS A PRESS RELEASE IT SEEMS.&nbsp; THANKS NANCY</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt Arial">----- Original Message -----</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt Arial; COLOR: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  Tom Worley</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt Arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, December 25, =
2002 5:13=20
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt Arial"><B>To:</B> CANSLIM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt Arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] OT - Qwest =
bond=20
  swap</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2800.1126" name=3DGENERATOR>
  <STYLE></STYLE>

  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Here are some more details. As I suspected, =
the cost of=20
  servicing the new debt will considerably exceed what the old bonds =
were paying=20
  because of the drastically higher "junk bond" rates. So total debt =
goes down,=20
  but expenses goes up. Also noteworthy that only institutional holders =
were=20
  involved, this bond swap could not be "offered" to the public because =
Qwest's=20
  financials have not been audited, and in light of the ongoing =
investigations.=20
  The FCC, while approving the entry into long distance service, also =
expressed=20
  concerns over allegations that Qwest bribed competitors into =
supporting their=20
  application by giving them secret deals for access to their network, =
and=20
  intends to monitor Qwest closely in the future. Several states are =
also=20
  investigating them and these deals.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Again from Yahoo: (formatting and marking is=20
  mine)</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>"</FONT>=20
  <P><FONT face=3DArial>Holders of about $4 billion of Qwest bonds went =
to court=20
  to challenge the exchange offer, which Qwest announced on Nov. 20. =
</FONT>
  <P><FONT face=3DArial>They said Qwest was forcing them to exchange =
their bonds=20
  at a <EM>fraction of face value -- between 52.5 percent and 82.5 =
percent</EM>,=20
  depending on the bond -- or else fall lower in the pecking order for =
repayment=20
  in case Qwest went broke. </FONT>
  <P><FONT face=3DArial>Last week, Judge Denny Chin for the U.S. =
District Court in=20
  Manhattan denied a motion to block the exchange, saying the =
bondholders failed=20
  to prove "irreparable harm." The bondholders later dropped their =
complaint.=20
  </FONT>
  <P><FONT face=3DArial>Qwest said holders of <STRONG>$5.2 =
billion</STRONG> of=20
  Qwest Capital Funding Inc. debt maturing between 2004 and 2031 =
exchanged it=20
  for <STRONG>$3.3 billion</STRONG> of more senior debt issued by Qwest =
Services=20
  Corp. maturing in 2007, 2010 or 2014. </FONT>
  <P><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>Qwest had offered to exchange up to =
$12.9 billion=20
  of the old bonds</STRONG>,(<FONT color=3D#ff0000>so not what I would =
call a=20
  successful offering, well under half accepted)</FONT>&nbsp;which =
carried=20
  interest rates between <STRONG>5.875 percent and 7.9 percent</STRONG>. =
The new=20
  debt carries rates between <STRONG>13 percent and 14=20
  percent</STRONG>."</FONT></P>
  <P><FONT face=3DArial></FONT>&nbsp;</P></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Tom Worley<BR></FONT><A=20
  href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net"><FONT=20
  face=3DArial>stkguru@bellsouth.net</FONT></A><BR><FONT =
face=3DArial>AIM:=20
  TexWorley</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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